Blue Jays vs. Royals: Betting Odds and Predictions

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00:00that's the royals and that is the toronto blue jays opening numbers overnight minus 135 in that

00:05price range a little bit higher today tom we're seeing as high as a minus 150 in the marketplace

00:09but a total that still sits at eight lugo on the mound bassett on the mound what gives today up in

00:14toronto you know i i want to say the blue jays continue to roll especially after the the ups

00:21and downs that they've had i don't think chris bassett's particularly a good pitcher but you

00:25know seth lugo there's something about him that that always draws me to him when he's up when

00:29he's on the mound especially when we're getting a decent price on him as we are today a little hint

00:33for what we see a little bit later you know if this game were at the royals and i would be laying

00:38you know minus 140 on seth lugo i'm not sure i would like that but right now that we're getting

00:43plus 120 on seth lugo that's where we're going to be going you know solid xfip overall at 415 like

00:48i'm not gonna say it's amazing by any stretch he did just sign that contract extension with the royals

00:51to stay in kansas city on the other side chris bassett i know he's having a good season donnie

00:56but i still can't buy into it guys his xfip is 362 on the entire season he's a 22 strike i rate

01:01the 5.6 walk rate is phenomenal but the home runs continue to be an issue for him and there's enough

01:06power in the royals lineup for me to be at least a little bit concerned considering the underlying

01:11metrics from chris bassett with fly ball issues and home runs i just can't buy into him at a minus

01:16money price give me the royals today yeah you know you look at these numbers too because you look at

01:21bassett last 45 days time if we cut it down 5.27 era which is really high 3.65 xfip which isn't bad

01:27so he's getting a little bit unlucky but if we do slide it down to seth lugo 48 innings pitched in

01:32last 45 days a 2.81 era which is serviceable not a bad xfip but 3.99 and you take a look at toronto is

01:39a favorite in this game if you look at the batters for kansas city you do have some plus number guys

01:43not a lot of strikeouts in that lineup against right into pitching for the kansas city royals and some

01:47decent weighted on base percentages which includes the first five guys india witt pasquantino garcia

01:52and also perez but i always like that toronto lineup it does present itself well but the one

01:57place i will pick on seth lugo just a bit is the left-handed batters last 30 days he's faced 51 of

02:02those 292 iso weighted on base percentage 393 hard hit percentage 60 percent here barrel percentage 15.8

02:09and you look at the first two guys in that lineup that we're anticipating and actually we don't have

02:13the i don't have the official lineup here for me i do have for kansas city luks lo perfido

02:17and addison bargers lefties that's probably the looks on where i would go dome should be open up

02:22there in toronto 80 degree temperatures with a light wind blowing out so do we see runs in this

02:26game like if you had to pick a total or a side on this one i know you have that a little bit later

02:29how about the total uh yeah i'm certainly side with the over the blue jays pitching staff has not

02:36been good like we saw that in the series versus the orioles granted that was outdoors and it was 100

02:41degrees in baltimore during that series it was a little bit different but they're they're bullpen

02:45struggling a little bit right now so i'm certainly take some runs overall all right let's keep it

02:49moving here up in the six that's a big game again for toronto here trying to stay in first place or

02:53at least keep that hand out there and say no no not so fast red sox and new york yankees