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  • 7 months ago
On Thursday's "Forbes Newsroom," HarrisX CEO Dritan Nesho broke down the latest polls in the New York City Mayoral race.

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00:00And so when you break this down, I know you said that more progressive voters are going for Mamdani, Republicans and independents perhaps are going to Cuomo. Is there anything else that you're seeing trending wise demographically? One person is breaking more for one group over another?
00:17Well, Mamdani does very well with young voters. And also, it's not just the youngest voter demographic, let's say Jets years, but it's also millennials who are in their third.
00:33And these are voters that we know from our polling and previous polling that has been done are very sensitive to affordability related issues, affordability of day to day life, affordability of housing within the city.
00:52And again, they constitute Madame's core. Cuomo does much better with older voters and certainly voters that are within 45 to 64 year olds of the Gen Xers.
01:1065 plus, it's a little bit more competitive. And I think that that will be an area of focus or will need to be an area of focus for a Cuomo campaign going forward to consolidate the base.
01:23But there's really this generational split that is at play. And again, Cuomo has to hit the right messages with younger voters.
01:33And we'll see if we'll see if Mamdani is able to make any inways or inroads with all their middle-aged plus voters.
01:42I will also say one thing that in a four-race contest, Mamdani supports the in-sport mail.
01:50He's at 27% mail support, whereas Cuomo is at around 20%.
01:59Whereas Cuomo does better with female voters and Cuomo is at about 28, 29% of female voters tied with Mamdani and Slevan Adams obviously have much lower numbers with female voters.
02:15So it'll be interesting to also see how, from a gender perspective, each of the candidates are able to make inroads and, you know, when votes pick up traction, both if it is a four-way contest or if it ends up being a smaller two-way or three-way contest.
02:37So, let's see.
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