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Chicago Cubs Look for Revenge in Game 2 vs. Cardinals Tuesday
SportsGrid
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7 months ago
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00:00
Tonight, DRS, game number two in the loom.
00:03
Chicago, an ever-so-slight road favorite, minus 118.
00:06
Now, that updated number on the FanDuel Sportsbook
00:08
over-understands at nine.
00:10
We got the double digits last night in St. Louis.
00:13
Are we going to see more offense tonight under the arch?
00:17
Yeah, 90-degree temperatures again at first pitch.
00:19
And keep in mind, it's not even a day game.
00:20
It's a night game, 745 Eastern start here.
00:23
90-degree temperatures, light winds blowing out to left center field.
00:25
You have to like that.
00:26
You take a look at Michael McGreevy.
00:27
Not a lot of information on him on this season.
00:30
Only 65 total batters.
00:31
But if you can sort of take a look at those numbers,
00:33
he does do very well against right-handed batters,
00:36
but doesn't do very well against left-handed batters.
00:39
And that's a problem.
00:40
If we look at McGreevy on the season, only 11, excuse me,
00:42
the last 30 days, let's just go with that.
00:43
11 innings pitch.
00:44
He's got a 4.09 ERA, which isn't a total disaster,
00:48
but a much better XFIP number of 3.27.
00:51
But how about this?
00:51
Like, if lefty is the angle you want to play tonight,
00:53
maybe it's a team total for the Cubs that you might want to check into,
00:56
but just RBI hunting, here's where your sense is going to come from.
00:59
Ian Happ is a switch hitter.
01:01
Of course, he's going to bat lefty tonight.
01:02
His last 79 at-bats going up against right-handed pitching,
01:05
a 3.13 ISO and a 3.94 weighted on base percentage.
01:09
How about Kyle Tucker?
01:10
His last 64 played appearances against right-handed pitchers,
01:13
a 2.31 ISO and a 4.29 weighted on base percentage.
01:16
He also will bat from the left-hand side.
01:18
Our guy, Pete Crow Armstrong,
01:20
his last 69 at-bats going up against right-handed pitching,
01:22
a 2.97 ISO and a 3.93 weighted on base percentage.
01:25
And then also another guy with a lot of power in that lineup,
01:28
left-handed batter, Michael Bush.
01:29
His last 69 appearances against right-handed pitching,
01:32
a 3.44 ISO and a 4.84 weighted on base percentage.
01:36
So from a Cubs perspective,
01:37
do I think there's a legitimate chance they win tonight?
01:39
Of course they do.
01:40
But if I'm just looking from an RBI,
01:42
I'm probably looking at saying,
01:43
if you take those four left-handed batters,
01:46
two of those guys at least probably going to get RBI looks tonight,
01:49
and that's all you can ask for.
01:50
If you go over to St. Louis,
01:51
red hot last night at the plate,
01:52
as Ben, you pointed out,
01:53
four home runs yesterday.
01:55
Maybe that continues today.
01:56
Jamison Tyone, not a great pitcher this season,
01:58
particularly over the past 30 days.
02:00
30 innings pitched over those 30 days.
02:02
He's got a decent ERA of 3.30,
02:04
a slightly higher XFIP of 3.91.
02:06
So I do like the Cubs' perspective from pitching and hitting,
02:09
but I don't know if I would lay just the money line.
02:11
I would look at the RBI props from the left-handed batters tonight
02:14
for the Chicago Cubs.
02:15
I think that's the best way to make some money.
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