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Atlanta Braves Eye Win in Series Finale Against Diamondbacks
SportsGrid
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6/5/2025
Category
🥇
Sports
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00:00
We've got a series finale today in Atlanta as well.
00:03
And of those 13 games, eight during the afternoon hours.
00:08
Grant Holmes on the bump for the Braves, DRS,
00:11
as Atlanta looks to get back to winning ways.
00:14
And Atlanta looks to avoid a sweep during this homestand in the home set
00:19
against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
00:21
Now, they have been a favorite in each of the first two games of this series.
00:26
They have lost both.
00:28
They are a favorite today, despite Brandon Fott being on the other side for the Snakes.
00:33
Total is nine.
00:35
Atlanta nearly a dollar and a half favorite.
00:37
That line even working on the FanDuel Sportsbook.
00:40
As we speak, what's the play with some day baseball in the end?
00:44
You can't lose this game today if you're Atlanta Brave.
00:47
77-degree temperatures would like to see.
00:49
That light wind blowing in not going to have any effect here on the two teams.
00:52
But if we are understanding Brandon Fott,
00:55
he's been a decent pitcher throughout his Major League Baseball career.
00:57
But over the last 30 days, he's been an abomination on the mound at this point.
01:00
You take a look here at 22 innings pitched over the past month,
01:03
a 7.36 ERA and a 5.25 XFIP number.
01:08
You take a look at two right-handed batters who has faced 41 over the past month.
01:11
That's a 333 ISO and a 381 weighted on base percentage.
01:14
To lefties, a 170 ISO, which is okay,
01:17
but a 357 elevated weighted on base percentage there.
01:20
Doesn't strike a lot of batters out, and that's what should get them in trouble.
01:23
Ronald Acuna, Drake Baldwin, Matt Olsen, Marcel Ozuna,
01:27
all elevated weighted on base percentages and ISO power numbers
01:29
against right-handed pitching over the past month.
01:32
If we flip it over and take a look at Grant Holmes,
01:34
he's been decent here, especially against right-handed pitching.
01:37
But here's the problem that we might run into today.
01:39
If you look at just his overall statistics, Ben, over the past month,
01:42
30 in the third innings pitched, a 3.26 ERA.
01:45
You like that?
01:45
3.47 XFIP number.
01:47
You really like that.
01:48
But where he has struggled and been a little bit leaky over the past 30 days
01:51
has been against left-handed batters.
01:53
Only a 17% strikeout rate and ISO power number of 257 against
01:57
and a weighted on base percentage of 355.
02:00
You know the lefties in that lineup today.
02:02
Carroll, Marte, Perdomo, Naylor, Pavin Smith, Alec Thomas, and also Jose Herrera.
02:07
You have a ton of lefties in that lineup.
02:08
So we're probably looking at scoring runs 2-1 yesterday.
02:11
Get out of town.
02:12
We should see the exact opposite of that today, to be honest.
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