Thunder vs. Nuggets Game 6: Why Chet Holmgren Could Struggle

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00:00Yeah, let's take a look to it. SGA, 29 and a half, as well as taking a look here also at Nikola Jokic, 28 and a half.

00:05There are no discounts here. We're expecting them to have big game performances tonight, and rightfully so.

00:10One's a three-time form MVP. One's looking to become an MVP for the first time at SGA.

00:14And you're right, OKC is the better team.

00:16So if we are looking at other props outside of the two top guns on each team, Tom, where are we going tonight in this game?

00:22Yeah, let's go to Chet Holmgren, under 14 and a half points.

00:26And I'm going to say he's having a good series.

00:27It's obviously not the easiest matchup for him, but shooting 40% or 43% from the field is good.

00:33He's not knocking them down from downtown. It really comes down to a couple things.

00:37A, he's been in a little bit of foul trouble in some of these games, not every single game.

00:40And B, we're not seeing a massive volume of shots from him, right?

00:43So seeing 40% from the field is great, but when we're only seeing 8, 9, 10, maybe 12 field goal attempts,

00:49he has to be really, really efficient and stay out of foul trouble in order for him to get to 15 or 16 points to push this over.

00:56So, you know, when we're seeing, you know, 4 of 9, like in theory, okay, 4 of 9, that's great,

01:00but that's not getting us to the point where we need to be that we can rely on him to get to 15 points.

01:05So I see this game as a 205 kind of final score total.

01:09It's going to fall the under, and there's not too many players doing a whole lot of scoring tonight.

01:13So, let's do it.