Previewing the Breeders' Cup Classic: Key Runners & Odds

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00:00it's time to talk about the main event the breeders cup classic is going to be

00:07race number eight on Saturday and I actually kind of like what they've done

00:11they put it in the middle of the card and what's nice about that is it's

00:15actually the ending leg of the early pick five it starts the late pick five

00:19so if you want to be right about one race on Saturday this is the race that

00:24you want to be right about because it's the middle of all of those big multi

00:27exotic wagers let's talk about the breeders cup classic and let's talk

00:32about the field for the breeders cup classic what's so cool about this group

00:36it's international yeah we have so many really good horses internationally and

00:42it starts out with forever young I gotta say I'd be surprised if he's six to one

00:46I think he's gonna take a lot of money on there I think he's six to one on the

00:49morning line I wouldn't be shocked if he's more like three to one seven to two

00:53in that range and you maybe have two or three horses that are kind of in that

00:56three to one seven to two range vying for favoritism but this horse has done

01:00almost nothing wrong he's six for seven his only loss came when he was third in

01:05the Kentucky Derby when Sierra Leone was leaning in on him and he was probably

01:08best that day and he got his prep race out of the way which I really love he

01:13had some time off from May to October shows up at the beginning of October

01:17wins the Japan dirt classic I like him a lot in here I think he's pretty

01:21versatile this is a legitimate horse the number two is Highland Falls Highland

01:25Falls was written a little differently last time out Flavian Pratt was very

01:29aggressive with him and it exactly resulted in the career best effort the

01:33grade one Jockey Club Gold Cup win for Highland Falls so the horses always has

01:38talent and he put it together in a big way last time out so let's get to Alexa

01:43you talk about City of Troy and numbers three through five yeah City of Troy is

01:46the favorite and I just want to put the we say this is the big one I mean

01:50there's seven million dollars on the line for this race so this is the big

01:55one indeed and City of Troy is the morning line favorite at five to two

01:58odds you know he's only ever lost one race he's coming here for Aiden O'Brien

02:02coming off of three group one wins in Europe he's an extremely tactical horse

02:07if you read through his comment lines you'll see how he's he's studied he's

02:11been in difficult positions and he just responds comfortably every time so he's

02:14no joke he's definitely the one to be in my opinion in here number four mixed Oh

02:1930 to 1 morning line odds this horse I don't think really fits he's 2 for 14 in

02:24his life he did win the grade 1 Pacific Classic last out but that I don't think

02:29is going to be comparable to today's level of competition it really was so

02:34you know he's a California based runner who I don't think is gonna be able to

02:38hang with the best in the world but number five is Senor Buscador also a

02:42long shot at 30 to 1 odds almost a 13 million dollar winner so far who won the

02:47Saudi Cup in February whoever he's had three races since then and has had like

02:53a little bit of deteriorated deteriorating form each time so I am

02:57not sure I'm ready to put my faith in him today he travels about as much as

03:00Berto does Derma Sotogake and Ushpa Tesoro the next two Roberto these are

03:07really talented horses and they are kind of coming in in different ways like

03:10Derma Sotogake was the classic runner-up last year but Ushpa Tesoro this year is

03:15in a little bit better form yeah definitely about it when you see Derma

03:19Sotogake you said it he finished second behind Wyatt Barrio but maybe it's not

03:24the same horse that you know he was last year I agree

03:28regarding number seven Ushpa Tesoro he finished second remember in the two

03:32richest race on dirt in the world Saudi Cup Dubai World Cup he's this one I will

03:38say he's one of the Japan horses yeah hope for this weekend and also he

03:44looked great in the mornings and the question is will him and Sierra Leone

03:51get the pace that they need but if he get it talking about Ushpa Tesoro he

03:57could become the horse and the richest horse in the earning he's kind of flying

04:02under the radar he has produced 60 million dollars over 60 million dollars

04:06because he was the buzz horse last year coming into the Breeders Cup he was only

04:10seven to two in that race and he kind of got a little bit lost in the race I

04:15get it he just got outrun I love that he's already got that race under him now

04:18and now he's a little more acclimated to the US style into the North American

04:22style regarding number eight Piran is yeah I know Charita about she's having a

04:26fantastic year but this is this is a whole different group you know this is

04:32a group of horses yeah now fairness and number nine is a whole different game

04:36yeah he's looking great and one thing about fairness is Fletcher loves him to

04:43run when he's rested when he's well rested you know it's kind of a small

04:47horse compared with the rest of you know the other horses here so that time

04:52between the Travers and now and now he put some weight which is looking good

04:58it's Johnny Velasquez he's I think it's a great post position for him and now he

05:03learned how to run you know like kind of following the pace instead of him

05:08being the pace he proves a lot of people wrong this year in that he proved he can

05:13put two wins together and run two big races back-to-back he proved he can get

05:16a mile and a quarter the distance of the classic those are questions we didn't

05:19have we didn't had to ask about him we did an interview I did I interview with

05:23Johnny Velasquez and Kentucky downs and Johnny stalls that's what Johnny talks

05:28they say I was telling everybody he doesn't need to run in the lead he can

05:33he can sit and wait and then pass it well the last two races I think he

05:39proved that yeah we talked about pyrenees we talked about fierceness it'd

05:43be so cool to see like fierceness for every young city of Troy if they all

05:47showed up with their best efforts I don't know who would be the best like

05:51who has the highest ceiling of them who's gonna take to the track or get the

05:54right trip but all of them with their a-game would be just really tough to

05:58beat in here a couple of prices that are sort of fun tap it trice if you're

06:02looking for a huge price in the bottom of your exotics this is a horse who was

06:05a good three-year-old and this year has won two of three was really good in his

06:09first start off the bench might have regressed a little bit in the Jockey

06:12Club I have him in the bottom of exotics I'd be okay throwing him in some of your

06:16Maltese and at least in exact as tries and supers Sierra Leone's kind of funny

06:20because the reputation of Sierra Leone is sort of like he never wins but you

06:25actually look at him he still improves on speed figures in every race he's only

06:30three four eight and he's only Oh for his last four he's never even been

06:33beaten more than two lengths so I think he gets kind of knocked a little more

06:37than I mean that's a yeah getting what ten to one yes the thing we know with

06:45him he's always gonna come closing yeah we'll always come rolling we got to get

06:49everybody when it sets up for him a new gate was coming off of his career best

06:58effort that was when third in the California crown last time out and then

07:02next he's the marathoner who's stepping up and trying to face the absolute best

07:07let's quickly get into selections here

07:18there you go so I think this year is gonna be in the classic a three-year-old

07:23superfecta I will go three eleven one nine I think it's a lot about the

07:28three-year-old shoe how about for you Alexa I want to mention one more that we

07:32miss which is next okay this is the 14 horse and is extremely consistent has

07:36had seven straight wins his I love this horse his best figures are when he's

07:40asked at a higher level so he really rises to the occasion he wants the lead

07:46his margins of win in his last six races have been like 20 lengths 25 lengths 11

07:51lengths so I really like that my top selections in here City of Troy

07:56fierceness and next followed by Sierra Leone forever young for me the one I put

08:01on top and I think City of Troy is pretty good we have Sierra Leone we have

08:06Tapitrice underneath

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