Betting the 49ers vs Vikings without McCaffrey

BetMGM Network

Brad and Ryan break down Christian McCaffrey's injury and what it means short and long-term for the San Francisco 49ers and your fantasy teams

Transcript

00:00And he's laying three the tolls at forty and a half

00:04With or without Malik Willis under center Horvath side total prop. What are your thoughts here?

00:09All right, so I don't want to steal your thunder. I really like your look especially in his homecoming

00:14Oh really Lambo feel okay. I'm gonna go green Bay anything over two and a half

00:19I need at least a field goal and here's why you got to remember Brett Favre played through like every single injury

00:24I'm not a Favre guy

00:25But I love that press clipping the injury reports that used to get in the newspaper and it's like broken hand like mingled finger

00:33Concussion and he still went out there and Aaron Rodgers same thing though

00:37Like he played with a broken leg and beat the Chicago Bears

00:39Hashtag people do forget if you're the quarterback starting quarterback in Green Bay you play through injury

00:44But I I believe like that. There's no chance that Jordan loves really gonna be out there

00:48But I also had a hard time believing that Malik Willis is gonna be the starting quarterback

00:52I'm not a Shawn Clifford guy, but maybe you see a little Shawn Clifford

00:56Maybe you see a lot of Malik Willis or just a little bit of them the best part about it, though

01:00Who the hell knows if I don't know and you know, I have buddies that cover the team

01:05I don't think that Shane Steichen in the Indianapolis Colts have an idea either. So I do like Green Bay

01:10That's just a crazy adjustment where there are five point favorites four and a half point favorites now

01:15There's three three and a half point dogs

01:17But so it's a numbers play. I do like the Packers as far as props

01:20I don't really know what to do if Jaden Reed's not fully healthy

01:23I don't really trust any of the wide receivers. Maybe some unders on the receivers

01:26I do think that Anthony Richardson in the ground game of Jonathan Taylor are gonna give the problems

01:31Give the Packers problems because week one against Philadelphia. That's what I wanted to see

01:35You know

01:36You have a new defensive coordinator Jeff Halfley

01:38They were supposed to be more aggressive better against the run and Saquon did whatever he wanted and so did hurt

01:43So I like your look that you're about to give out but I do like the Packers anything over a field goal

01:48All right, apparently Horvath's got double down on my selection this is what it is Jonathan Taylor

01:55JTT, I think he gets it anytime touchdown. I grab it at a plus

01:58105 a little baby seduced by the juice there as a result

02:03I think he's gonna cash in much like he did in week number one

02:08With my mind of my money and my money on my mind, that's right Snoop John the Taylor

02:13I think it's gonna find at the end zone cross that shock and do a little in zone jig

02:17The reason being is this week one?

02:19He saw a hundred percent of the opportunity share guy didn't see the sideline at all

02:24If the Colts offense was on the field, he was on the field. It's gonna be more of the same

02:29He had 16 carries only 48 yards in a touchdown in that matchup

02:33I did run 16 routes and catch a ball

02:35But he is an adept for see rather backfield when he is targeted had or a red zone touches four of them

02:42The secondary analytics not that great

02:451.81 yards at the contact per attempt did not force a missed tackle a single time of the game

02:49But you look at Green Bay look what Philly did on the ground against them

02:53They had not one but two rushing TDs from the running back position

02:57Also, the Packers gave up a hundred eleven yards to the running backs on the ground alone down there in Brazil

03:04Though they finished the week number four in rush EPA defense. So you put together the high volume you put together a defense

03:11I think is entirely beatable you add in the back of the Colts

03:15I believe have a borderline top ten offensive line. You got the dual threat there of Anthony Richardson

03:21Jonathan Taylor, baby. It's got a punch it in for six and a plus 105 juice there

03:27At

03:36You got to do this to me

03:38fumble the ball Jayhawks

03:41Sorry, Brad. Yeah, the sweat is really on right now. I might have jinxed it

03:46But again, I left the door and window ajar

03:49So don't put that onus on me. Hopefully I can't

03:53Not gonna fight me and so it here cuz horrified times gonna be too much time on the board

03:58You would have he could drive down kick a field goal and loser as a result

04:02We'll keep you abreast of what's going down in Lawrence, but we got to get back to the pro circuit guys

04:08next game

04:10the Cleveland Browns the Jacksonville Jaguars

04:14Oh

04:17Cleveland Jacksonville the Jaguars are laying three in this one another total low forties a lot of them this week at

04:2541 and a half side total prop Horvath. Give it to me

04:30All right

04:31I got a prop that I like and I'm looking at it right now Jerome Ford over three and a half

04:34Receptions minus 110. I like this one a lot. The Jags gave up the most catches the running backs in

04:402023 you saw week one David at Devon HN went out there and caught all seven of his targets

04:45Jerome Ford really effective in the passing game against the Cowboys caught six to seven targets for 25 yards only

04:50So I'm just gonna go with the receptions over three and a half had a 23% target rate in that game only rushed for 44

04:57Yards, so I consider maybe going under at 48 and a half

04:59But instead over three and a half receptions and then we talked about this earlier

05:03I like Amari Cooper to have a bounce back game over 57 and a half yards

05:07Only caught two of his nine targets for 16 yards, but still had a 20% target share

05:1295% route participation that was more on Deshaun Watson missed him deep for a walk-in touchdown

05:17Did target him twice in the red zone over a hundred air yards?

05:20So I do think that he's gonna get the looks the target

05:22So Amari over 57 and a half minus 115 and then Jerome Ford over three and a half receptions

05:29There's a minus 110 out there. I like those props a lot

05:32Yeah, I'd look man. I think you're really convincing me on pulling Ford out of the garage

05:36He could be a Mustang there in the passing game. I 100% agree with you there

05:40I great adept soft hands to Sean Watson. He's not throwing the ball down the field

05:45He is check down Charlie, you know extraordinaire

05:48So that's only got a bit of it Jerome Ford and he does again have those reliable and dependable sticky tacky hands

05:55So over three and a half receptions. Yeah game on I'm in I'm gonna add that to my spreadsheet always free always

06:00Always transparent and always public on the gaming juice comm click free picks there at the top of the page

06:07You can see all I think I am up to like 38 wagers in NFL week

06:11Do we have 70 in total Horvath? That's that's how much of a degen I am

06:17No, I'm not laying like a grand on each of these, you know, I do play smaller units, but I'm a volume better

06:23That's my strategy. Some people only bet like three or four games

06:27I like to spread the love and try to you know

06:30Make a profit there and we were up 11 units on the spreadsheet last week already down

06:362.90

06:37Thank you blowout last night down there on South Beach

06:40It really ruined a lot of my props on the Buffalo Bills not to a certain extent Miami me under his hair on Tyree kill

06:46But let me digress on my selection in Cleveland and Jacksonville at a plus

06:52200 Jews

06:55Because we're got seduced by that juice with Gabe Davis who I think it's gonna be gangbusters, baby

07:0350 or more

07:05Receiving yards and I grabbed that the alt market there at bed MGM

07:09He went three for three on targets to receptions a week number one for 62 yards

07:152.58 yards per route run and appreciable

07:1816.0 a dot and the field goal is good and that's good news for you

07:23Or by Kansas up 17 to 6 3 17 to go here in the first half under looking mighty

07:29Fine for you on that 29 a half. Yep on the first half line. Yeah, hopefully so

07:35Meanwhile with Gabe Davis who is gonna see in coverage is Martin Emerson jr

07:39The really the weak link in that secondary for the Cleveland Browns. He was targeted

07:44Seven times last week gave up five receptions for 64 yards and a touchdown. I'm no mathematician, but that's let's see

07:51We carry the 171 point four percent of a catch rate allowed

07:5619.0 average at the target and a hundred and thirty nine point three pass a rating and again, that's gonna be the primary guy

08:03That Gabe Davis is gonna see eye to eye at the line of scrimmage and I understand that Cleveland was number nine and pass EP

08:11Defense but it's all about that wide receiver and cornerback matchup Gabe Davis, baby

08:1850 or more receiving irons at a plus

08:21200 juice guys

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