Notre Dame's Shocking Loss to NIU: An In-depth Analysis

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00:00What happened with Notre Dame last week, four touchdown favorite at home, you can't lose

00:06that game.

00:07Oh, absolutely.

00:08And I talked about it with Kevin in Game Time Decisions, the fact that they came out for

00:13a season opener after the beating that they gave Texas A&M in the interior, and they come

00:19out flat, they couldn't run the football, they couldn't shut down NIU, they lost their

00:24turnover battle, Riley Leonard was completely inconsistent, and that's on Marcus Freeman.

00:30That's a coaching type of situation.

00:32Donnie, the numbers were amazing.

00:33I mean, Notre Dame, I believe, and I have to double check, but when I did that game,

00:38they have never lost to a MAAC opponent.

00:40A week one matchup opening up in terms of South Bend since the days of the 1800s, whenever

00:46they started, they had like a 910 winning percentage opening day.

00:51So it's fine that they didn't cover, but to lose the game outright as a 28-and-a-half

00:56point favorite to Northern Illinois, not even picked as one of the better teams in the MAAC,

01:01that was a pitiful performance, and that falls solely on Marcus Freeman.

01:06I'm pretty surprised here, because we're going to take a look at some of the numbers here

01:09for Notre Dame now on the season and what is left of it here.

01:11As I said, at 1-1, to make the playoffs, it's a 3-1 price, which I do think is substantially

01:17lower than what I would actually rate it at.

01:19You see, to win it all, that is at a 100-to-1 number, which I agree with there.

01:24I don't think there's any chance of that.

01:25So moving forward, and here's some of the topics that I'd love to bring up.

01:28Typically, Joe, if you're in a conference, and we can equate this to Florida State, they're

01:33down and out.

01:34They lost their first two games, but theoretically, they can still win the ACC, which means it

01:39doesn't matter what anybody else does in college football, you get that automatic bid into

01:43the playoff.

01:44Notre Dame is not in a conference, they don't get the automatic bid.

01:47Is the season over already for Notre Dame after just two games in the expanded playoff

01:52era?

01:53No, I don't think it is.

01:54I think 3-1 is fair.

01:56They went from minus 170 in the offseason to now 3-1.

02:00They still play USC.

02:02Assuming that USC is for real, right, they get the victory over LSU, they're going to

02:06face Michigan in a couple of weeks.

02:09They're already 8 and a half, or they were preseason 8 and a half point dogs in that

02:13matchup.

02:14If they can go into the big house and get that victory, and let's say they're going

02:17toe-to-toe with Ohio State as the best team in the Big Ten, and Notre Dame can get that

02:22win, Donny, then that'll catapult them to potentially a top-10 ranking.

02:26But there is no margin of error.

02:28They play Army and Navy on the schedule.

02:30They play Miami of Ohio, another MAAC opponent.

02:33You have to run the table.

02:35At worst, you have to be 11-1, I believe, right now, unless Florida State can right

02:40their ship, because they get them in South Bend later in the year.

02:44You have to be 11-1.

02:45You have to be 11-1.

02:46You have to be 11-1.

02:47You have to be 11-1.

02:48You have to be 11-1.

02:49You have to be 11-1.

02:50You have to be 11-1.

02:51You have to be 11-1.

02:52You have to be 11-1.

02:53You have to be 11-1.

02:54You have to be 11-1.

02:55You have to be 11-1.

02:56You have to be 11-1.

02:57You have to be 11-1.

02:58You have to be 11-1.

02:59You have to be 11-1.

03:00You have to be 11-1.

03:01You have to be 11-1.

03:02You have to be 11-1.

03:03You have to be 11-1.

03:04You have to be 11-1.

03:05You have to be 11-1.

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