00:00Pretty much instantaneously after we saw President Biden drop out, we saw the Democratic Party
00:06really coalesce around Kamala Harris.
00:09We saw this coronation around Kamala Harris.
00:11And if I was part of the Harris campaign, hearing you say these are the best days of
00:16the campaign, I mean, I would be feeling a little nervous right now.
00:20So she has this momentum.
00:21She has seen historic fundraising numbers over the past few days.
00:25She has been embraced by Gen Z.
00:27On this last day, and when do you think it will stop?
00:32Well, 81 percent of voters across the country view that President Biden took the step aside
00:43from the campaign favorably and positively.
00:47That includes 90 percent of Democrats and 55 percent of independents.
00:55So that is – I'm sorry – and 55 percent of independents actually viewed the decision
01:03to appoint Kamala Harris as the successor in the campaign, right?
01:08So those two data points tell you everything, that while an overwhelming majority of voters
01:17in the 80 percent plus range favored President Biden stepping aside, when it comes to President
01:26Harris, right, she still has to make the case as to why voters should vote for her and why
01:33she deserves their vote.
01:34So as I mentioned, 55 percent approve of Biden's decision to endorse Vice President Harris
01:42to become the Democratic nominee for president.
01:45And that's also 54 percent of independents.
01:48But it's not an overwhelming number.
01:49It's almost split.
01:51And so that's a data point that shows that the campaign will have to do a lot to secure
01:59the vote.
02:00And overall, about 25 percent of voters still say that they have not made up their mind.
02:07That's a very important data point.
02:10If 25 percent or a quarter of the electorate still saying that I'm weighing my options,
02:15then there's a lot of room for movement in one direction or another.
02:21Do you think because there's so many people who now are undecided that the VP pick matters
02:27all the more?
02:28Because historically, the vice presidential pick doesn't really help a candidate.
02:33But because of the historic nature of Kamala Harris's candidacy here, do you think because
02:38she has such little runway left between now and November, that matters all the more?
02:44I think that the vice presidential pick from the Harris camp can matter on a state level
02:51basis.
02:53And again, you hear rumors of the governor of Pennsylvania, Joe Shapiro or Mark Kelly,
03:02the senator from Arizona, being on a potential shortlist of candidates.
03:08And that's because both Pennsylvania and Arizona matter amongst swing states.
03:17That said, on a national level, it's unlikely to really change the numbers and help her
03:22that much, leading us to that old quip in American politics that a vice presidential
03:27candidate can only hurt you, but rarely do they help you or do they help move the numbers
03:33on a sustained basis.
Comments