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SportsTranscript
00:00 [MUSIC]
00:03 All week, I had two numbers in mind.
00:05 Give me seven and a half and get me to 300 on the money line.
00:09 Like do I think San Francisco has three times as good a chance to win this game
00:13 as the Lions?
00:14 I don't, I don't think it's close to that.
00:16 So that's how I've played this game.
00:18 And you can shop around and you can still get the seven and a half and the 300.
00:22 I think the Lions can bully this game in the trenches, and
00:25 that's where most games are won and lost.
00:27 And I'm looking at a quarterback in golf who's been to the Super Bowl.
00:31 I'm looking at a quarterback in Purdy who has really struggled against pressure and
00:35 against the Blitz.
00:36 It only has a 79 passer rating since the Ravens punched him in the mouth and
00:39 he didn't like the way that blood tastes on national television four weeks ago.
00:43 I don't like the right side of San Francisco's offensive line at all.
00:46 And Aiden Hutchinson right now is the best pass rusher in the NFL with eight sacks in
00:50 his last four games.
00:51 On the other side, you can look at the big four pass rushing for San Francisco,
00:55 right, Ken Law, Young, you've got Bosa, you've got Hargrave.
01:00 Those guys in the last four games have combined for one and a half sacks, right?
01:03 Like they're getting a 3.5% sack rate over the last month.
01:07 And I don't think it's changing against two of the best tackles in the NFL and
01:10 Ragnalls playing.
01:12 I think the Lions can run the ball on them.
01:14 The Lions can keep this game close running the ball.
01:16 The Lions run it under center more than any team in the league.
01:19 San Francisco struggles against under center runs.
01:21 As great as San Francisco is running outside zone, they can't stop it.
01:25 You saw it with Aaron Jones last week.
01:27 Gibbs, he's over six yards of carry running outside zone.
01:31 I think Dan Campbell knows the pressures on the other team,
01:33 Kyle Shanahan and Brock Purdy.
01:35 I don't buy either one in close and late situations.
01:38 So I'm on the Lions at the seven and a half.
01:41 And yes, I've sprinkled on the money line.
01:43 I think the Lions can win this football game.
01:44 [MUSIC]
01:47 (bells chiming)