00:00 and when severe weather arrives,
00:01 you know that one man is going to be nearby.
00:03 And there he is himself,
00:05 extreme meteorologist, Dr. Reed Timmer.
00:07 He's on the chase.
00:08 So Reed, what are you seeing out there right now?
00:10 - Well, Jeff, I'm on the west side of Houston right now.
00:15 And all day, we've just had this drizzle,
00:17 a very steady rain, a lot of cloud cover as well.
00:20 And that has been limiting instability
00:22 around the Houston area and across southeastern Texas.
00:25 Just to my west though,
00:26 just to the west of this cloud cover
00:28 out near College Station, down to the west of Freeport, TX.
00:31 The clouds are starting to clear out.
00:33 That's because that mid-level dry slot,
00:35 that elevated mixed layer that we talked about,
00:37 is finally starting to eject
00:38 and it's starting to erode some of this cloudiness.
00:41 But it does look like overall,
00:42 this storm system might be a little bit mistimed.
00:44 If that dry slot was able to catch up to this moisture
00:47 earlier on in the day,
00:48 then I think some of those storms
00:49 over the south side of Houston
00:51 may have had a little bit greater tornado potential.
00:53 There was one storm that moved to the south of Houston,
00:56 right near the coastline, out near the Treasure Island area.
00:59 That one seemed to try to produce a water spout
01:01 before moving offshore.
01:02 But other than that, it's largely been pretty quiet
01:05 down here across southeastern Texas
01:07 and the Storm Prediction Center
01:08 has downgraded the region to a slight risk.
01:10 I did see that a mesoscale discussion was just issued
01:13 and there is a 20% chance of a watch to get issued.
01:16 There are some storms that are beginning to develop
01:18 on that pull front, just to my west.
01:20 - So Reed, do you think that any of what's going on today
01:24 could impact what's happening tomorrow?
01:26 - Certainly, I think that there could be
01:29 an abundance of convection today
01:31 and that could lead to a little bit less severe weather
01:34 during the day tomorrow.
01:35 But I think so far,
01:36 since we haven't had those complexions of storms
01:39 form over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico,
01:41 I don't think that the moisture return
01:42 is gonna be too impacted tomorrow.
01:44 So I wouldn't be surprised
01:45 if across portions of the Mid-South,
01:48 there's a little bit more severe weather, even tomorrow,
01:50 than there was today.
01:51 That upper level storm system
01:52 is lagging behind a little bit.
01:54 It's across northwestern Texas right now.
01:56 It is forecast to eject later on tonight.
01:59 And that could lead to a short-term increase
02:01 in the tornado potential
02:03 up near the Texas-Louisiana border
02:05 when that wave finally arrives
02:06 and that low-level wind shear really begins to increase.
02:09 - All right, extreme meteorologist Dr. Reed.
02:11 Timmer, Reed, we appreciate you.
02:12 And we have a hunch,
02:13 and I think you're on board with this,
02:14 we might see you again in the months to come
02:16 somewhere in the southern US here with this El Nino year.
02:19 It tends to lead to a little bit more action
02:21 between I-10 and I-20 in the winter months.
02:24 Thanks again, Reid.
02:25 Thank you so much.
Comments