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Pakistan's Future | Moeed Pirzada Analysis| Will Imran khan have meeting today?
Epic Laughs & Thrills
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1 year ago
Why next 24 hours are being considered very important for Pakistan’s future? Will Sharif, Zardari & Asim regime be able to control future political dynamics through an illegally brought constitutional amendment? Why not? Can cars be run on water?
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00:00
Assalam-o-Alaikum, this is Moeed Pizada in Washington, United States.
00:04
The day of Friday, October 18, 2024 has ended in Pakistan.
00:09
And I am returning to this YouTube channel after about 24 hours.
00:13
And so, regarding Pakistan, India, Pakistan, this region, the Middle East,
00:20
and regarding America, many developments are in front of me at the moment.
00:24
I would like to keep some discussion and some analysis of them in front of you.
00:28
But at the outset, I would say that my principal focus will be on those power dynamics
00:34
which at the moment are between Maulana Fazl-ur-Rehman, PPP, and PMLN,
00:38
i.e. Sharif Zardari Tora and Maulana Fazl-ur-Rehman, which is the power dynamics and equation.
00:43
And on the other hand, between Maulana Fazl-ur-Rehman and Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf,
00:47
which is a power equation or power dynamics that we are seeing at the moment.
00:51
And they are related to that constitutional amendment
00:53
about which Sharif Zardari Asim regime had a lot of hope.
00:58
You know that in the meeting of Bilawal and Nawaz,
01:01
it was decided that it will be tabled on the day of 18 October.
01:05
And in today's day, the time was set twice.
01:08
First, at 11 o'clock in the morning in the National Assembly.
01:10
Then it was rescheduled at 6 o'clock in the evening.
01:13
Similarly, the time was set at 2 o'clock in the Senate.
01:16
Then after 2 o'clock, it was rescheduled at 6 o'clock.
01:19
But this constitutional amendment could not be tabled anywhere.
01:24
And the situation was such that in the black cars of Kia Sportage,
01:30
probably the 6 senators who were kidnapped or brought together,
01:34
they were also brought to the Parliament.
01:35
And the cars were probably standing there for half an hour, 40-50 minutes.
01:39
This is someone's rumor, someone told me.
01:41
So the idea was that this constitutional amendment would be passed today.
01:45
Now, just a few hours ago, 6-7 hours ago,
01:48
Barrister Gohar, who is the acting chairman of Pakistan Tehreek-e-Ansaf,
01:51
after another meeting with Maulana Fazl-ur-Rehman,
01:54
he made a claim that he probably made a claim.
01:58
And I think this is a very confusing claim.
02:01
In which he said that the draft agreement between him and Maulana
02:06
was adopted by the Parliamentary Committee.
02:09
I have a special doubt that this is not the case.
02:13
And that if tomorrow we get the approval of this draft from the former
02:17
Prime Minister of Pakistan, Mr. Imran Khan,
02:20
then we will be able to make further progress on this.
02:23
He is very hopeful that when the day begins on 19th October,
02:26
there Pakistan Tehreek-e-Ansaf's leadership will get the opportunity
02:29
to meet Imran Khan.
02:30
I have a lot of doubt that by creating some excuse,
02:33
such a meeting will not be possible.
02:36
So this is my main focus on which I will come further.
02:39
Along with this, I will tell you that there are many other
02:42
international important developments,
02:44
which are also related to Pakistan and international scene.
02:47
For instance, what happened in the last 24 hours,
02:50
the way Israel has killed Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar,
02:55
now maybe Hamas still has a leadership,
02:58
which had a relationship with 7th October 2023.
03:02
It should be noted that Israel has spent 18 days
03:05
on the attacks of Iran's ballistic missiles.
03:07
But Israel issues a warning at least 2 or 3 times a day
03:10
that its attack is going to be on Iran.
03:12
But all the ballistic missile attacks of Israel are happening
03:15
on Hezbollah in Lebanon, on other organizations,
03:19
on Hamas, or the attacks of America and Israel
03:22
are happening on Houthi tribes or Houthis in Yemen.
03:25
Israel has not yet attacked Iran,
03:28
which is given a warning twice a day and it is said
03:31
that its targets are constantly changing.
03:34
So this is an important development.
03:36
Along with this, you can see that PAK-PAK,
03:39
which is a very important and influential community
03:42
of Pakistani-Americans, which is a very powerful NGO
03:45
and lobbying group, has announced to support President Trump
03:48
in the election. This is also a very interesting development.
03:51
Similarly, another Pakistani NGO,
03:53
First Pakistan Global, a day ago,
03:55
in the National Press Club in Washington,
03:58
many associations got together and demanded
04:01
that Pakistan's Army Chief General Asim Munir
04:04
should be responsible for all the issues
04:07
and he should be resigned in the interest of Pakistan.
04:10
Supreme Court of Pakistan issued another clarification
04:13
in the last 24 hours, which was issued by 8 majority judges,
04:16
in which it is said that the Election Commission of Pakistan
04:19
has said, and we are explaining this to you for the last time,
04:22
that the 41 seats can only be given to the Justice Department of Pakistan
04:25
and the interpretation or new law of the Election Amendment Act 2017
04:28
has no retroactive or retrospective effect
04:31
on the election process.
04:34
The confusion was created by Ayaz Sadiq Sahib
04:37
through his two letters to the Election Commission of Pakistan.
04:40
But despite this, it does not seem that the Election Commission of Pakistan
04:43
and the Supreme Court of Pakistan will accept
04:46
the instructions and orders of this clarification.
04:49
Another very interesting development, which is very important to mention,
04:52
is that an NGO in Pakistan, named Aurat March,
04:55
has targeted Maryam Nawaz Sahiba
04:58
and has made the Chief Minister of Punjab a target of intense criticism
05:01
and has demanded that either Maryam Nawaz Sahiba
05:04
should either apologize for the statement she has made
05:07
about women, about rape, about abuse,
05:10
or resign because she is no longer worthy of being the Chief Minister
05:13
because she has displayed her patriarchal mindset.
05:16
Now, Aurat March has raised a very interesting point,
05:19
she is not saying that Maryam Nawaz
05:22
says that there has been no rape or abuse,
05:26
she is objecting that Maryam Nawaz,
05:29
while giving this explanation, said that the girl
05:32
on whom this allegation has been made,
05:35
she is pure and clean. Aurat March is objecting
05:38
that if a girl, a woman is raped and abused,
05:41
then doesn't she remain pure and clean?
05:44
Doesn't she remain clean? Does she get damaged forever?
05:47
And she said that Maryam Nawaz has shown
05:50
her patriarchal mindset here.
05:53
Now, there is another development related to Pakistan-India,
05:56
which I think is very important. Let me explain that.
05:59
Now, if you look at the thumbnail of this video,
06:02
I have written on it that the next 24 hours,
06:05
next 24 hours are very important for Pakistan's future,
06:08
next 24 hours. And with that, there is a subtitle,
06:11
where India fits in. Look at this thumbnail,
06:14
and it has an interesting kind of background.
06:17
I want us to create an understanding and awareness
06:20
because of which there are technological revolutions,
06:23
economic revolutions, geostrategic changes,
06:26
because of which India's influence
06:29
will increase very quickly in Pakistan's internal politics.
06:32
And it will have big implications,
06:35
and we need to understand this process in a very objective,
06:38
professional, scientific way.
06:41
This is a debate that I want to start,
06:44
and this debate can go ahead with your help.
06:47
And I can give you some interesting observations in this regard.
06:50
The previous vlog that I did 24 hours ago,
06:53
if you look at its thumbnail,
06:56
its thumbnail was that a new relationship between India and Pakistan
06:59
has begun, and who surrendered?
07:02
By who surrendered, I meant which faction in Pakistan
07:05
has surrendered in this changing situation,
07:08
by being forced to do so.
07:11
My indication was towards the establishment of Pakistan.
07:14
There were a lot of such comments,
07:17
but an interesting, provocative comment
07:20
by an Indian citizen, Mr. Shilpa Chatterjee Sahiba,
07:23
I understand Shilpa is a female name,
07:26
Shilpa Chatterjee Sahiba raised the question
07:29
that why do Pakistanis expect from us
07:32
that India should prefer Imran Khan over Nawaz Sharif?
07:35
Because Imran Khan always sent criticism
07:38
to our elected Prime Minister Narendra Modi.
07:41
He made a lot of targets and abused them.
07:44
On the other hand, he did not want good relations with India.
07:47
On the other hand, Nawaz Sharif,
07:50
he wanted to have very good relations with India since the late 90s,
07:53
despite the military resistance.
07:56
Because it was a very reasonable type of comment,
07:59
I pin-tweeted it, and there was a very interesting debate on it,
08:02
in which all of you participated.
08:05
So far, I have seen more than 45 comments in it.
08:08
The point is, where Shilpa Chatterjee raised her question in a reasonable way,
08:11
which later subsequently,
08:14
Indian and Pakistani people participated in it,
08:17
they also argued in a very reasonable way.
08:20
I found this very good and good.
08:23
Because I have generally seen this,
08:26
in fact, I have always seen this,
08:29
that Indian and Pakistani, wherever there are comments,
08:32
they are just using very harsh language against each other.
08:35
This is a very substantive issue.
08:38
So the comments you see, and I also acknowledge,
08:41
who are the people who have participated in this debate in a very good way.
08:44
There are two very interesting characters in it,
08:47
who have named themselves as Mul Batura.
08:50
They are very much against me.
08:53
They think that I am an agent of the Western empire,
08:56
and I am sitting here and doing some conspiracy.
08:59
And that's why they watch every video to keep informed,
09:02
There is a comment of yours, of Peace For All, a very good comment.
09:05
Razam Khan participated in it.
09:08
Okay, we have named ourselves in a fictitious way.
09:11
Star and Moheed Ahmed,
09:14
Civilwala, Mohammad Zeeshan,
09:17
At Triple M, Sukhpareet Singh,
09:20
Salman Ali,
09:23
Nitesh, Farha,
09:26
IBN Bashir, Ismail Rahman,
09:29
and many other people have participated in this debate.
09:32
I want that if you go and watch it in the last video,
09:35
if you can participate in this debate, then do so.
09:38
Right now, as I want to move towards Pakistan,
09:41
in the next vlog, I will try to answer a detailed question
09:44
on GVS News, which was raised by Shilpa Chatterjee.
09:47
And I want to explain that
09:50
the approaches of Nawaz Sharif and Imran Khan towards India,
09:53
the approaches of peace,
09:56
what is the fundamental difference between the two?
09:59
Which I think was not understood in India.
10:02
Ministry of External Affairs, which is a very intelligent institution,
10:05
a mature institution, also did not understand
10:08
how Imran Khan's approach could deliver
10:11
and Nawaz Sharif's approach could never deliver.
10:14
What was the fundamental difference?
10:17
Then there is a question, why Imran Khan is so badly
10:20
misunderstood in India and across the West?
10:23
Because not only in India, but in the West,
10:26
Imran Khan is sometimes considered an Islamist,
10:29
sometimes a fanatic, sometimes anti-India,
10:32
sometimes anti-West, sometimes anti-woman.
10:35
What are the reasons for this?
10:38
What are Imran Khan's own mistakes in dealing with the world and India,
10:41
especially in dealing with the West?
10:44
And then what mistakes did the Ministry of External Affairs make from India?
10:47
What mistakes did Narendra Modi make, BJP, RSS,
10:51
where they have reached today? I will discuss all these things in the next video.
10:54
Now let's move to Maulana Fazlur Rehman and Power Dynamics.
10:57
Now let's move to the colorful world of Maulana Fazlur Rehman
11:00
and Bilawal Zardari and the Sharif family.
11:03
Jane Austen, who is a very famous British writer of the 19th century,
11:06
has a very famous book of the time,
11:09
which many of you must have read,
11:12
whose name and title is Pride and Prejudice.
11:15
In Pride and Prejudice, at some point
11:18
she wrote a sentence at the beginning of a chapter
11:21
that every man has at least one day in his life
11:24
when it is more important than all other people.
11:27
All eyes are focused on it.
11:30
And that day is when no matter how poor that poor man is,
11:33
it is his wedding day, he is the groom
11:36
and everyone is looking at him.
11:39
Similarly, in today's weddings, people call the Prime Ministers,
11:42
Chief Ministers, Supreme Court Judges, Army Chiefs,
11:46
and there everyone is doing their own networking.
11:49
No one in Islamabad knows who is the groom and who is the bride.
11:52
And I have attended many such marriages unfortunately.
11:55
Such colorful marriages.
11:58
Anyway, the situation is that whether Maulana Fazlur Rehman
12:01
was so important on his wedding day or not,
12:04
for the past few days or weeks,
12:07
he is the groom of all the politics of Islamabad and Pakistan.
12:10
And all eyes are focused on him.
12:13
One delegation comes, he stands and waits,
12:16
and the second delegation comes.
12:19
If Bilawal Zardari is sitting in one room,
12:22
then PMLN people are sitting in the other room,
12:25
PTI people are sitting in the third room,
12:28
and as they come and go, they meet each other.
12:31
Like a few hours ago, when the delegation of Pakistan Tehrik-e-Insaf
12:34
was present there, or was coming, or was waiting,
12:37
Bilawal Zardari, whom Maulana had called for his meeting,
12:40
Maulana is the center of attention at this time.
12:43
And what is in Maulana's mind,
12:46
all Pakistani media, social media,
12:49
all political parties, all pandits are continuously
12:52
analyzing it, and Maulana has put everyone behind him.
12:55
What is this power dynamics in reality,
12:58
I want to explain it to you a little.
13:01
First of all, it is very important to understand that in the past 24 hours,
13:04
the core political committee of Pakistan Tehrik-e-Insaf
13:07
has regained such a political space,
13:10
and with great sincerity and great effort,
13:13
to recapture and regain that lost political space,
13:16
which they lost at the time when they,
13:19
at the behest of the protest and the government,
13:22
at the D-Chowk of Islamabad, they made it public.
13:25
But with the doctors, Dr. Asim and Tehrik-e-Insaf,
13:28
Imran Khan's treatment, Imran Khan could not meet the doctor.
13:31
In that regard, they have done a lot of press talks,
13:34
Akram Raja's very passionate and detailed press conference,
13:37
in which he defended the core committee,
13:40
his decisions, in which he also said that
13:43
there were some friendly countries,
13:46
who are members of the SCO, who requested us
13:49
that we should not make this protest public on the stage.
13:52
Our allies, like Maulana Fazl-ur-Rehman,
13:55
the political parties that are with us,
13:58
BNP, Maulana, they also requested us.
14:01
They took a very convincing position.
14:04
In this regard, if you see, there were many more press conferences.
14:07
A few hours ago, there was a very important press conference,
14:10
where the acting chairman, Barrister Gauhar Ali Khan,
14:13
he was very serious and big, he did a good press talk.
14:16
It is a small press talk, which you will find on the
14:19
YouTube channel of Pakistan Tehrik-e-Insaf,
14:22
where Hamid Raza is also standing with him,
14:25
and he announced there that there is a complete agreement
14:28
with Pakistan Tehrik-e-Insaf,
14:31
regarding the constitutional package,
14:34
and we are moving forward with that,
14:37
and now on 19th, he is very hopeful,
14:40
that the day that is about to start,
14:43
he will be able to meet the real power of Pakistan Tehrik-e-Insaf,
14:46
the chairman, the former prime minister of Pakistan, Imran Khan,
14:49
and he will be able to get the approval of this draft from Imran Khan.
14:52
I am very sure that such a meeting will not be possible,
14:55
because the power dynamics of Sharif Zardari Asim regime will be disturbed,
14:58
so I think such a meeting will not be possible,
15:01
but Barrister Gauhar is very hopeful that if such a meeting will take place,
15:04
then on a constitutional package,
15:07
he and Maulana Fazlur Rahman will get an approval,
15:10
and they will be able to move forward with that.
15:13
I have a doubt that the optimism that Barrister Gauhar Ali Khan is showing,
15:16
this optimism is especially misplaced,
15:19
for the following reasons, which I will explain to you.
15:22
In the middle of the press talk,
15:25
Mirkhala Hamid Raza said that Aamir Mughal has sent a message,
15:28
and then Aamir Mughal gave a very impassioned speech
15:31
in the Parliamentary National Assembly,
15:34
regarding this constitutional package.
15:37
And here Barrister Gauhar said a very strange thing,
15:40
he said that it has been confirmed that the parliamentary committee,
15:43
which has all the political parties, PPP, PMLN, JUF and PTI,
15:46
the draft that he has adopted,
15:49
has been consensused between Barrister Gauhar Ali Khan and Maulana Fazlur Rahman.
15:52
I find this very strange,
15:55
because if Sharif Zardari Asim Rajim adopts that draft,
15:58
which has been consensused by Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf,
16:01
then all their scheme of things,
16:04
all their strategic requirements,
16:07
are left incomplete.
16:10
So I have a doubt that there is some confusion here,
16:13
which will be clear to us in the next 24 hours.
16:16
The fourth draft of this 26-year-old constitutional amendment,
16:19
that draft was made by Salman Akram Raja,
16:22
who you can easily say is one of the top constitutional experts in Pakistan,
16:25
apart from the fact that he is the Secretary General of Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf,
16:28
he has made this fourth draft a target of intense criticism.
16:31
When you look at the criticism of Salman Akram Raja,
16:34
he is also on the side of that amendment,
16:37
which is being done in Article 8 of the Constitution of Pakistan,
16:40
which is related to the military trials of civilians.
16:43
Then they have a doubt,
16:46
they say that the provision of the transfer of judges of Islamabad High Court,
16:49
is being kept in this constitutional amendment.
16:52
And apart from that, there is a lot of confusion,
16:55
that what will be the mechanism of appointment of the Chief Justice of the Supreme Court of Pakistan,
16:58
what will be the mechanism of appointment of the Chief Justice of the Supreme Court of Pakistan.
17:01
There are two opinions found in political circles.
17:04
Some people say that when Maulana says that,
17:07
we have agreed on judicial reform or judicial mechanism,
17:11
then Maulana is saying that the panel of three judges,
17:14
out of which the Parliamentary Committee will select one as the Chief Justice,
17:17
it will not be applied immediately,
17:20
it will be applied later in the coming times.
17:23
Its implementation and effect will not be based on the appointment of Chief Justice Mansoor Ali Shah,
17:26
but after that it will have an impact.
17:29
On the other hand, if you look at the press talk of Salman Akram Raja,
17:32
look at his comments,
17:35
then he clearly understands that the Parliamentary Committee,
17:39
and the selection of the Chief Justice will be applied immediately,
17:42
and that is why he is making it a target of very strong criticism,
17:45
and he is saying that I reject it,
17:48
and I will take a position against it.
17:51
So, the actual situation that you are seeing between
17:54
Barrister Gauhar and Salman Akram Raja,
17:57
to what extent it is, what it is,
18:00
it will be clear to us in a few more hours.
18:03
To understand this situation, to examine it, to assess it,
18:06
one side's opinion or comment is not enough,
18:09
you need to look at different circumstantial evidence
18:12
from different angles and assess it.
18:15
And this aspect is very important that today,
18:18
on October 18, as was the agreement understanding,
18:21
between Bilawal Zardari and Nawaz Sharif,
18:24
the sessions of both the houses of the Pakistani Parliament were called.
18:27
Both places had this danger or expectation
18:30
that the package of the Constitutional Amendment will be introduced.
18:33
In the Senate, at 2 pm and 6 pm,
18:36
and in the National Assembly, I think at 11 pm,
18:39
and then at 6 pm,
18:42
the package of the Constitutional Amendment could not be introduced in both places.
18:45
And it could not be done.
18:48
Now, some sources of PTI say that their numbers were complete,
18:51
6 senators are under their control,
18:54
2 belong to Pakistan Tehrik-e-Insaas,
18:57
2 belong to the Jamaat of Maulana Fazlur Rehman, JUIF,
19:00
and 2 belong to Akhtar Bengal's BNP.
19:03
So why didn't they move it?
19:06
They are making a decision with or without Maulana Fazlur Rehman.
19:09
They have tried to get Maulana Fazlur Rehman to come with us.
19:12
Maulana Fazlur Rehman has his own political calculations.
19:15
He wants to get out of this.
19:18
After all, he is the center of attention at the moment.
19:21
He does not want to lose his political importance.
19:24
He is getting a lot of positive political importance in the framework of Pakistan.
19:27
On the 19th of October, definitely,
19:30
Sharif Zardari Asim Rajim will try to pass this Constitutional Amendment.
19:36
Why is he so desperate?
19:39
I raised this question as well.
19:42
The Government is not going anywhere.
19:45
The Government can bring the Constitutional Amendment after 5-6 days or a week.
19:48
The answer is that they are very worried
19:51
that if Qazi Faiz Issa does not stay after the 24th of October
19:54
Mansoor Ali Shah is a very important point.
19:57
All these things are connected here.
20:00
The optimism that Barrister Gauhar is showing
20:03
is misplaced here.
20:06
Sharif Zardari Asim Rajim is worried
20:09
that if Mansoor Ali Shah becomes the Chief Justice
20:12
he can make a series of decisions
20:15
which can jeopardize the architecture of control and power.
20:18
These decisions are related to the Election Commission of Pakistan.
20:21
These decisions are related to the Election Tribunal,
20:24
to the High Court and to the pending cases.
20:27
Mansoor Ali Shah and the 8 judges who are with him
20:30
have repeatedly expressed their determination
20:33
in the last 24 hours
20:36
when they again gave clarification to the Election Commission of Pakistan.
20:39
They said that the Election Act of 2017
20:42
has no retrospective effect.
20:45
You can only send these 41 people to Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf
20:49
Despite this, the Election Commission of Pakistan
20:52
does not seem to be in a mood to implement it.
20:55
They have again started the same drama of meetings
20:58
and what is the legal implication of this.
21:01
There is also a news that on 19th October,
21:04
the Election Commission of Pakistan will notify
21:07
and give the seats of women to the PMLN.
21:10
With the help of this, they will get their constitutional amendment passed.
21:13
These are the dynamics that are in front of us
21:17
Now there is a question that comes to your mind
21:20
and should come to everyone's mind
21:23
that they will pass the constitutional amendment
21:26
I have also seen the thumbnail of this video
21:29
that the decision of the future of Pakistan will be made in the next 24 hours
21:32
There will be no doubt about the decision of the future of Pakistan
21:35
Because of this, their assumption of the Sharif Zardari Asim regime
21:38
that by making a law in a flawed and illegal way
21:41
they will control all the political power and its dynamics
21:44
These three families will sit in Pakistan and rule
21:47
in the same way and their mind will be free
21:50
This will not be possible because all the instruments of the law
21:53
actually depend on that political power
21:56
and the actual physical force that stands behind it
21:59
And the political power and the physical force
22:02
you know very well whose it is, the air is continuously coming out of that balloon
22:05
You cannot extend that balloon more than one limit
22:08
That balloon has become very weak, that machine has become very weak
22:11
It cannot exert itself by making a law in this direction for a long time
22:14
I remember that a few years ago, I think 10 years ago
22:17
Two very famous and prominent TV anchors of Pakistan
22:20
They called a person in their TV program, one after the other
22:23
Who proved this, he told
22:26
And these anchors showed the car
22:29
That a Pakistani scientist has made a car out of water
22:32
After a few days, well, he was exposed
22:35
But why did they do this? Because their understanding was
22:38
It seems that at the school level or at the college level
22:41
They had never studied physics and chemistry
22:44
Or did not understand properly, they did not know that energy
22:47
It cannot be generated without energy
22:50
Energy has to be released from somewhere and in releasing energy
22:53
A whole chemical and physical process is involved
22:56
In the same way, Sharif Zardari, Asim Rajim and his advisers think
22:59
That you will control political power through the Supreme Court and all this judicial package
23:02
This will not happen, sir
23:05
That's all for now, thank you
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