00:00I want to bring in this Wisconsin-UCLA game
00:04as the number keeps moving towards the Badgers.
00:09It has been a very good run for best bets here on the show.
00:13I really didn't want, I think maybe my first loss,
00:17I'm not like, I think,
00:19I really didn't want it to be the way
00:21I lost the Nico passing yards bet,
00:24which was the easiest bet I've essentially placed all season,
00:28and then he gets injured right before halftime,
00:32scrambling for no reason.
00:35Yeah, it was 184.5, he got to 162 at the break of that game.
00:40It's going to be Ty Diefenbach in for UCLA.
00:46This is a tricky one.
00:47This is a really, really tricky one.
00:49I mean, if you bet Wisconsin early, guys,
00:51you've got a great number,
00:53but man, we're now sitting at UCLA pretty cheap
00:58at home against a Badgers team
01:02who have to make this West Coast trip here.
01:04I'm not playing this any direction.
01:07It's a tough one, Dave,
01:08but I actually find myself starting to lean towards UCLA
01:12and saying that Chesney can find a way at home.
01:18Yeah, and this number, I think,
01:20is indicative of the Wisconsin defense,
01:23ninth nationally in defensive EPA per play,
01:25UCLA going with a backup quarterback,
01:28Wisconsin being a slow, temple-oriented team
01:31and slow it down, but UCLA's better.
01:34They have the better roster.
01:35They have the better coach.
01:36They're at home.
01:37Wisconsin's going all the way out to LA.
01:40Nothing says Big Ten like Wisconsin-UCLA.
01:43I do think UCLA gets this done.
01:45It's not high on my card.
01:47It's not even on my card right now,
01:48but I do like the fact that the number is moving
01:51in the other direction.
01:52You can get UCLA for less than a field goal at home.
01:55Will Wisconsin keep it close?
01:57Probably.
01:58I like the under 43 and a half as well
02:01because you got a backup quarterback
02:02and a Wisconsin team that slows it down.
02:05If Wisconsin's going to win this game,
02:07it's going to be 17-16.
02:09If UCLA wins this game,
02:10I think it's more like 27-10.
02:13Either way, I think it comes under the total.
02:15Again, not on my card,
02:17but that is where I'd go with this one.
