Germany’s Troops MOVE East… Europe Prepares War & Other Stories

Name: Germany’s Troops MOVE East… Europe Prepares War & Other Stories
Uploaded: 2026-10-02T04:22:01+00:00
Duration: 1 h 9 min 39 s
Channel: The Military Show

Skip to player Skip to main content

The Military Show

Become a Member Today and Unlock EXCLUSIVE Videos: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCKfak8fBm_Lhy4eX9UKxEpA/join

⏱️ CHAPTERS:
00:00 - German Army Deploys NATO Troops to Eastern Europe
17:02 - NATO Threatens Kaliningrad as Poland Prepares Ukraine Support
33:08 - Russia Challenges German Military Strength in Eastern Flank
51:43 - Is Russia CSTO Military Alliance About to Collapse?

Support us directly as we bring you independent, up-to-date reporting on military news and global conflicts by clicking here: https://www.youtube.com/@TheMilitaryShow/join

#militarystrategy #militarydevelopments #militaryanalysis
#themilitaryshow

SOURCES:
ATTRIBUTIONS:

Category

🗞

News

Transcript

Display full video transcript

00:00:01Germany is not messing around.

00:00:03For decades, its military was characterized by caution and restraint.

00:00:08But now, the gloves are off.

00:00:10Berlin is bouncing back in a major way,

00:00:12pouring billions into one of the most massive rearmament campaigns

00:00:15Europe has seen in years.

00:00:16It's rebuilding its military industry,

00:00:19developing exciting and innovative weapons systems,

00:00:22and even deploying troops to NATO's eastern flank.

00:00:24In doing so, Germany is setting a shining example to the rest of Europe

00:00:28and the entire NATO alliance,

00:00:30and sending a crystal clear message to Russia too.

00:00:33If Moscow wants a fight,

00:00:35Berlin is more than ready to answer the call.

00:00:37Many military analysts never expected this day to come,

00:00:41because Germany spent so long,

00:00:43entire decades to be exact,

00:00:45treating its military as an afterthought.

00:00:47For a large part of the post-Cold War era,

00:00:49despite being one of the wealthiest nations in Europe,

00:00:52it was also one of the world's most cautious military powers.

00:00:55It spent very little of its vast federal budget on defense,

00:00:58which resulted in its armed forces,

00:01:00the Bundeswehr,

00:01:02becoming increasingly underfunded,

00:01:03under-equipped,

00:01:04and utterly unprepared for any large-scale conflict

00:01:07that might someday break out.

00:01:09But Berlin didn't believe that was a problem,

00:01:11because it thought that the days of war in Europe

00:01:13were effectively over.

00:01:15Now, before we explain more,

00:01:17the military show offers exclusive content just for members.

00:01:20Consider joining the channel today

00:01:22to access some of our most fascinating reports.

00:01:25Unlike its Western European neighbors,

00:01:27like France and the United Kingdom,

00:01:29both of which maintain nuclear arsenals

00:01:31and active expeditionary militaries,

00:01:34Germany exercised unique military restraint and caution

00:01:37following the end of the Second World War

00:01:39and throughout the Cold War.

00:01:40But once the Berlin Wall fell,

00:01:42and the Soviet Union collapsed,

00:01:44these countries earnestly believed

00:01:45that they were entering an unprecedented era

00:01:48of peace and prosperity.

00:01:49So why waste money on designing expensive tanks

00:01:52and fancy fighter jets?

00:01:54Why waste funds and resources training troops

00:01:57for a war that was probably never going to happen,

00:01:59when that same money could be spent on healthcare,

00:02:02education, and infrastructure?

00:02:04At the time, it seemed to make sense.

00:02:06As Germany's defense minister,

00:02:08Boris Pistorius explained,

00:02:10For more than 25 years,

00:02:12we all lived in a reality

00:02:13in which we believed there was no threat.

00:02:15We don't need to do anything for our own defense.

00:02:17And even when Russia began to flex its military muscle

00:02:20and show signs of aggression,

00:02:22Germany remained in its little bubble,

00:02:24believing that war would never come to its doorstep again.

00:02:27In 2014, for example,

00:02:29when Russia illegally seized control

00:02:31of the Crimean Peninsula, Pistorius notes,

00:02:34The Northern European countries reacted immediately,

00:02:37revitalized conscription,

00:02:38started rearmament of the armed forces, and so on.

00:02:41Germany and other countries, they didn't.

00:02:43They heard the alarm clock,

00:02:44but they pushed the snooze button and turned around.

00:02:47Thankfully, that alarm became significantly louder

00:02:50in February 2022,

00:02:51when Russia began its full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

00:02:55That was the moment when the illusion

00:02:57of some sort of everlasting peace across Europe was shattered.

00:03:00It was the wake-up call that Berlin

00:03:02had so desperately needed.

00:03:04And this time, it wasn't simply going to hit the snooze button.

00:03:07Instead, it began thinking several steps ahead,

00:03:10imagining the worst-case scenarios

00:03:12and putting plans in place to prepare for them.

00:03:15Mere days into the war,

00:03:17military officials revealed just how unready

00:03:19the country was for a possible conflict.

00:03:21Nearly a quarter of its heavy combat equipment,

00:03:24such as fighter jets and main battle tanks, for example,

00:03:27was inoperable.

00:03:28Many soldiers also lacked the most basic of supplies,

00:03:31like boots, walkie-talkies, and even underwear.

00:03:34The grim reality of the underfunded Bundeswehr

00:03:37was laid bare for all to see,

00:03:39but Berlin was ready, willing, and able to fix it.

00:03:42And if there's one thing that Germany is famous for,

00:03:44its efficiency.

00:03:46The country realized it may not have the luxury

00:03:48of a decade or two to level up its armed forces,

00:03:50and it needed to act quickly and decisively

00:03:53to get back on track,

00:03:54before Russia decided to expand its aggression

00:03:56beyond the borders of Ukraine.

00:03:58So, it got to work right away.

00:04:01In 2022 alone,

00:04:03it established a 100 billion euro,

00:04:05approximately $113 billion special defence fund,

00:04:09which was the largest single defence investment

00:04:11by any European government at the time.

00:04:13That money accelerated procurement efforts

00:04:16across every single combat domain,

00:04:18from armoured vehicles to air defence,

00:04:20and it was only the first step of many

00:04:22that Germany has since taken to modernise,

00:04:24expand, and upgrade its military.

00:04:26We've since seen the world's third strongest economy

00:04:29pour billions into its rearmament,

00:04:31while also providing more support for Ukraine

00:04:33than any other country on earth,

00:04:35except the United States,

00:04:36and even rewrite its own constitution

00:04:38in order to allow it to make the swift and sweeping changes

00:04:41it needs to achieve its goals.

00:04:43Thankfully, the public has largely been on side

00:04:46with these decisions,

00:04:47with Pistorius noting,

00:04:48the majority of the German society and public

00:04:51is convinced that there is a threat again

00:04:53after 25, almost 30 years of peace.

00:04:56And many Germans now feel that the threat

00:04:58is growing both larger and more imminent.

00:05:00While various officials,

00:05:02including Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky,

00:05:05and NATO Secretary General Mark Reuter,

00:05:07have claimed that Russia could attack NATO by 2030,

00:05:10Berlin has an even earlier date in mind,

00:05:13with Pistorius admitting,

00:05:14Our experts say it can happen in 2029.

00:05:17Christian Freuding, the inspector of the German army,

00:05:21agrees with this assessment,

00:05:22and says that other NATO nations feel the same way.

00:05:25We have to be ready to fight.

00:05:27It's intelligence.

00:05:28It's NATO coordinated.

00:05:30All 32 NATO partners agree that Russia

00:05:32could have the ability to invade a NATO partner country in 2029.

00:05:37A recent Danish news report,

00:05:39based on military intelligence from various Nordic nations,

00:05:42reinforces these claims,

00:05:44with experts concluding that Moscow

00:05:45could deploy up to 115,000 troops

00:05:48along the northern and Baltic borders of NATO,

00:05:51and rebuild its bases in these areas,

00:05:53ahead of a possible conflict in the Baltic Sea.

00:05:55This doesn't mean that war between Russia and NATO

00:05:58is sure to kick off in 2029 or even 2030,

00:06:02but the possibility is there,

00:06:04and the data exists to back it up.

00:06:06Germany knows that,

00:06:07and it doesn't want to take any chances,

00:06:09which is why it's essentially operating on the basis

00:06:11that war will happen within the next four to five years.

00:06:15Berlin also acknowledges and appreciates the fact

00:06:18that the NATO alliance is changing.

00:06:20The United States has made it clear

00:06:22that it's no longer willing to shoulder so much of the burden

00:06:24when it comes to military spending and defense,

00:06:27and it's called on European countries to step up,

00:06:29spend more,

00:06:30and prove that they can stand up for themselves.

00:06:33And Germany has answered that call quite comprehensively,

00:06:36and the most obvious way to measure that is in money.

00:06:39While plenty of nations around Europe have increased

00:06:41their defense budget since the war in Ukraine began,

00:06:44very few have done so to the same sort of scale as Germany.

00:06:47It hasn't merely pledged an extra 0.1% of its GDP

00:06:50to military investment or thrown a few extra billion euros around.

00:06:54When the war began,

00:06:56the German defense budget was estimated at around $56.15 billion.

00:07:00A year later, in 2023, it rose by almost 20% to $67.3 billion.

00:07:07In 2024, it went more than 30% higher still to around $88.5 billion.

00:07:142025 saw Germany spend around $114 billion on its military,

00:07:18and the increases are set to continue in the years to come,

00:07:21with Berlin intending to allocate a whopping $189 billion purely to its defense budget by 2029,

00:07:28which would comfortably put the country above its 3% GDP defense spend target

00:07:33and edge it closer towards the 3.5% target it hopes to hit by 2035.

00:07:38As well as spending significantly more money year on year,

00:07:42Germany has also managed to attract more recruits to its army as well.

00:07:46In August of 2026, the Bundeswehr celebrated a massive milestone

00:07:50as it reached an impressive total of 186,700 personnel,

00:07:54which is the highest figure in around 13 years.

00:07:58More troops and more money are obviously major steps in the right direction.

00:08:02But what arguably matters more is how Germany is spending that money.

00:08:06Is it buying the right kinds of equipment to be able to cope in a prospective conflict with Russia?

00:08:11Is it covering all of its bases from drones to cyber warfare?

00:08:14Now before we answer those questions, this is why we make the military show,

00:08:19to explain how power really moves.

00:08:21If you're new here, hit subscribe so you don't miss what's next.

00:08:25It's not necessarily difficult for countries to commit a little extra cash to their annual defense budget

00:08:30to effectively save face and seem as though that they're doing more to defend themselves.

00:08:35They can order a few new tanks, for example, and claim that they're modernizing their militaries,

00:08:40despite the fact that they still have multiple glaring weaknesses,

00:08:43which a serious opponent, like Russia, would easily be able to exploit.

00:08:47Fortunately, that's not at all how Germany is operating right now.

00:08:51It isn't just splashing its cash on a few big assets,

00:08:54or concentrating its spending on modernization efforts in one particular area,

00:08:58while overlooking others.

00:09:00Indeed, according to Berlin's own National Security and Defense Industry Strategy,

00:09:05or SVI Strategy, Germany has spared no expense and left no stone unturned

00:09:10when it comes to identifying and addressing the multiple issues facing its security and defense industry today.

00:09:16The SVI Strategy identifies several big challenges,

00:09:20such as rising economic pressures, increasing demands on deterrents,

00:09:24regulatory barriers, and a lack of synergy between civilian and military research.

00:09:28It also proposes several clear solutions,

00:09:31such as strengthening technologies and technological sovereignty across fields like AI, IT, and unmanned systems,

00:09:38establishing new links between civilian and defense-related research and development,

00:09:42more support for startups specializing in dual-use innovations,

00:09:46a reduction in bureaucracy, and a complete overhaul of procurement law.

00:09:50In short, Germany isn't just spending more money on the likes of more munitions,

00:09:55air defense systems, armored vehicles, drones, and long-range strike systems.

00:09:59It's rebuilding and refining its entire defense industry, improving the infrastructure,

00:10:04and streamlining the logistics that underpin it.

00:10:06It's cutting red tape so that companies can develop and deploy new weapons and equipment more quickly.

00:10:12It's building bridges across sectors so that materials, information, and resources can move more quickly and efficiently.

00:10:19And it's leveraging its existing advantages, like its strong economy and powerful defense industrial base,

00:10:25anchored by such companies as Rheinmetall, TKMS, and MBDA Deutschland,

00:10:30to effectively turn itself into Europe's very own weapons and munitions factory.

00:10:35In doing so, it's solving a problem that's plagued the continent for years.

00:10:38Countries like France, Germany, and the UK may have plenty of cash to burn,

00:10:43but they've historically lacked the capacity to actually make weapons and munitions in the quantities

00:10:47that would be needed to sustain a serious war effort.

00:10:50As Mark Reuter recently stated,

00:10:52Cash is crucial, but you can't stop a missile or a tank with a dollar or a euro.

00:10:58We need to turn the cash into combat-ready capabilities and fast.

00:11:01This is our shared priority.

00:11:03Germany is stepping up to the plate to make that happen.

00:11:06It's empowering small defense startups, dozens of which are springing up around Munich

00:11:11and the broader Bavaria region in particular, while also providing the necessary support and incentives

00:11:16for the bigger firms to expand their factories, fast-track research and development of new systems,

00:11:21and even forge new international partnerships.

00:11:24Rheinmetall, for example, has started working with several American partners in Ukraine

00:11:29and is in active discussions about co-producing 155mm artillery munitions and ATAKAMS ballistic missiles.

00:11:36The US startup Covenant also recently announced plans to begin mass production of its low-cost Anthem cruise missiles

00:11:42in Germany starting in 2027, further demonstrating Berlin's commitment to not only strengthening its own army,

00:11:49but making the whole of Europe stronger.

00:11:51Because if and when war with Russia does break out, it'll be up to the continent,

00:11:55not just any single country, to step up, band together, and battle back.

00:11:59And Germany isn't just investing in new weapons systems and working to build more of its own.

00:12:04It's also putting them to the test.

00:12:06On September 2nd, 2026,

00:12:08NATO Allied Joint Force Command Brunson revealed that a German frigate had carried out a previously undisclosed test

00:12:15of the Israeli-made Laura ballistic missile somewhere in the North Atlantic Ocean.

00:12:20According to NATO's own reporting,

00:12:22the missile was fired from a vessel equipped with its own command trailer and launcher.

00:12:26It followed its set trajectory, navigated to its target, and struck it successfully,

00:12:31meeting all expectations and objectives.

00:12:33Boasting a range of over 310 miles, 500 kilometers, and incredible levels of precision,

00:12:40the Laura is particularly valuable for Germany,

00:12:42since it has lacked a large long-range conventional strike capability of this kind in the past.

00:12:47That weakness has now been addressed, with Vice Admiral Jan Christian Kack,

00:12:51Inspector of the German Navy, stating,

00:12:53With the successful launch of a ballistic missile last night in the North Atlantic,

00:12:58we made naval history.

00:12:59I'm extremely satisfied with this achievement.

00:13:02Kack also explained that the Laura can be successfully deployed from our unit,

00:13:07and the potential range exceeds anything we've known before.

00:13:10Tests and announcements like these both affirm Germany's genuine commitment

00:13:14to making sure its military is one of the strongest in the NATO alliance,

00:13:18and it also gives Russia serious reasons to reconsider whatever long-term plans

00:13:22it may have in store for Europe.

00:13:24If Vladimir Putin does, for example, intend to invade the Baltic state someday,

00:13:28he'll now have to contend with the fact that Germany has an increasingly dangerous arsenal of weapons

00:13:33designed specifically to stop him.

00:13:35And if Putin had any lingering doubts about Berlin's intentions,

00:13:39they would have been well and truly crushed when the news broke that Germany

00:13:42was also deploying troops to NATO's eastern border.

00:13:46To be more exact, the Bundeswehr's 45th Armoured Brigade has been stationed in Lithuania,

00:13:51giving Germany a permanent presence close to the Russian border.

00:13:55It's the first time since the end of the Second World War that Germany has made a move like this,

00:13:59and for countries like the Baltics and Poland,

00:14:02which have been doing all they can to strengthen their defences and deter Russian aggression,

00:14:06it's arguably the biggest and most important move that Berlin could have made.

00:14:10Because even though NATO nations are all happy to say that they would defend one another,

00:14:15if ever another world war broke out,

00:14:17there's a big difference between saying something and actually doing it.

00:14:20And the countries that would theoretically be on the front lines of a prospective conflict,

00:14:25like Lithuania, like Poland, like Latvia,

00:14:28have always had to deal with the lingering questions of

00:14:30would our Western allies truly step in and put boots on the ground to help us,

00:14:34or would they mainly focus on keeping themselves safe,

00:14:37or simply sending us supplies and munitions and wishing us the best?

00:14:41Germany has put those doubts to bed once and for all.

00:14:44It's not just saying, we will defend the Baltics, it's proving it.

00:14:49Old post-Cold War Germany would never have done that,

00:14:51but the new and improved Germany 2.0 plays by a very different rule book.

00:14:56And while its army is gearing up for a potential ground and air conflict with Russia,

00:15:00other branches of its armed forces and intelligence agencies are, in many ways,

00:15:05already waging war with the Kremlin.

00:15:07That's the assessment of Stefan Thurman, a German defence sector entrepreneur

00:15:11who runs a company that supplies combat drones to Ukraine.

00:15:15Germany's interior minister, Alexander Dobrindt, has chosen his words more carefully, stating,

00:15:20We are not at war, but we are a daily target of hybrid warfare.

00:15:24And there's plenty of evidence to back up that claim.

00:15:27Like other countries across Western and Central Europe,

00:15:30Germany has faced rising reports of possible sabotage, espionage, cyber attacks,

00:15:34and other forms of hybrid warfare in recent years,

00:15:37many of which can be attributed or at least linked back to Moscow.

00:15:40A recent high-profile example of this was when a drone carrying explosives

00:15:44was discovered at Leipzig airport.

00:15:47After investigation, Germany claimed that Russia was behind this attempted attack,

00:15:51with Dobrindt noting that the incident followed a well-established pattern

00:15:54of Russian hybrid operations in Europe.

00:15:57Moscow reacted angrily, with Putin even accusing Germany of faking evidence.

00:16:01But Berlin hasn't taken the Kremlin's bait and refuses to play pointless political games,

00:16:06opting instead to take real, impactful actions.

00:16:09The government announced the closure of the Russian Consulate General in the city of Bonn,

00:16:13for example, and suspended the operating agreement of the Russian House Cultural Center in Berlin.

00:16:18It also called for stronger sanctions against Moscow,

00:16:21and laid out proposals that would allow German intelligence services

00:16:24to counter hostile operations more efficiently and strike back more aggressively.

00:16:28And when added to everything else that's already been talked about,

00:16:32the defense spending increases, the Bundeswehr expansions, the defense industry reconstruction,

00:16:38the missile tests, the troops in Lithuania, and so much more,

00:16:41the conclusion is clear and obvious.

00:16:44Germany isn't just buying a few more weapons or recruiting a few thousand extra troops.

00:16:48It's rising up to become the leading conventional military power for the whole of Europe for generations to come,

00:16:54assuming its responsibilities wholeheartedly to provide a powerful example for its allies

00:16:59and increasingly fearsome deterrent for its enemies.

00:17:03Not every strategy needs to involve directly attacking the enemy.

00:17:07Sometimes the smarter choice is to force that enemy into changing his plans.

00:17:11And if those changes in place can directly benefit an ally who is fighting that enemy more directly, then even

00:17:17better.

00:17:18That's precisely what a bold new plan out of Poland suggests that NATO should do to really hurt Russia.

00:17:24The exclave of Kaliningrad would be the key.

00:17:28According to Poland, forcing Putin to defend his Kaliningrad with some very clever NATO actions could help free Ukraine.

00:17:35And it would also just happen to help Poland to get a measure of revenge against Russia for actions Putin

00:17:40has been ordering recently.

00:17:42As he took the stage at the Yalta European Strategy meeting in Kyiv,

00:17:47Poland's Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs, Radislav Sikorsky, had a plan in mind.

00:17:52Standing before 700 fellow politicians along with diplomats, military personnel and business executives from 28 different countries,

00:18:01he revealed that Poland has come up with an interesting plan that would both help Ukraine in its battle against

00:18:05Russia

00:18:06and serve NATO's member nations as they look to push back against Russia's escalating hybrid war in Europe.

00:18:12Before we explain more, if you're enjoying the video, consider subscribing and let us know your thoughts below.

00:18:17You can also become a channel member for access to exclusive content we don't publish publicly.

00:18:23Sikorsky put forth his occupation.

00:18:24Kaliningrad should be NATO's next target, he said, though he wasn't advocating an attack on the exclave.

00:18:30Instead, NATO should be putting pressure on Kaliningrad by running exercises and taking other actions that will force Putin to

00:18:36redirect forces to the exclave

00:18:38in preparation for a future attack that may or may not come.

00:18:40There are practically no troops in the exclave, Sikorsky told listeners, as he added,

00:18:45So Putin knows or assumes that NATO is a peaceful alliance and that we will not take advantage of his

00:18:50local weakness.

00:18:51That could be a huge mistake by Russia's president that NATO has an opportunity to exploit.

00:18:56The idea here is to do what Russia so often does to NATO, make things uncertain.

00:19:02Sikorsky believes that by ramping up NATO operations around Kaliningrad, Putin will be forced to consider the possibility that NATO

00:19:08is preparing an attack.

00:19:10Putin might think such an attack would never come, but he wouldn't know for certain, and that would force him

00:19:15to strengthen Kaliningrad, which, in turn, weakens Russia inside Ukraine.

00:19:19We should exercise so aggressively on our side as to make him uncertain of what we will do, so that

00:19:24he needs to draw forces away from Ukraine, Sikorsky declared as he encouraged attendees to reconsider the nature of their

00:19:30conflict with Putin.

00:19:31That conflict is no longer confined to Ukraine, even if Ukraine is the key battleground.

00:19:37Russia is carrying out hybrid attacks all over Europe, and Putin is making it clear that he is testing NATO

00:19:43boundaries.

00:19:43Those boundaries should be shoved hard into his face, forcing Putin to confront possibilities that he has never confronted before.

00:19:50There is certainly a good amount of logic behind Sikorsky's plan.

00:19:54Russia isn't exactly doing well when it comes to maintaining troops inside Ukraine.

00:19:58If the idea is to force Russia to send thousands or potentially tens of thousands of soldiers to Kaliningrad to

00:20:04prepare for an attack that may or may not come, then the timing is perfect.

00:20:08Russia is losing more soldiers than it's recruiting for its war against Ukraine.

00:20:12That's according to an August 28th report in The Guardian, which says that Russia is losing around 6,000 more

00:20:18soldiers than it recruits every single month in Ukraine right now.

00:20:22Slowly but surely, Ukraine is whittling away at Russia's manpower advantage, to the point where Ukrainian intelligence now believes that

00:20:28Putin is preparing to mobilize reservists to join the fight.

00:20:31Up to 600,000 of them across the next two years, though this is a move that would prove disastrous

00:20:37for Putin at home, as it would mean yet another broken promise and the forcing of former soldiers into a

00:20:42battlefield that has already claimed so many lives.

00:20:45Either way, it amounts to pressure placed on Putin.

00:20:49And that can only be a good thing for Ukraine.

00:20:51Right now, Ukraine has the momentum in its fight against Russia, aided by clever counter-attacks and the whittling away

00:20:57of Russian forces, which creates opportunities to go on the offense.

00:21:00That momentum has been made abundantly clear over the last few weeks, as Ukraine has made impressive gains in the

00:21:06Donetsk region, pushing Russian plans for the takeover of the Donbass back.

00:21:10In the Liman sector, Ukraine has shattered a Russian salient that was threatening the Donetsk fortress belt of cities, essentially

00:21:16wiping out months of Russian progress in a lethal series of counter-attacks.

00:21:20Around 200 square kilometers have been reclaimed by Ukraine in this series of attacks.

00:21:26Ukraine has also revealed the existence of something called Operation Vivaldi, which is in the first of its four seasons

00:21:32and has already delivered exceptional results in Donetsk.

00:21:36In a September 15 assessment of Russia's invasion, the Institute for the Study of War points out that Ukraine has

00:21:41liberated a further 85 square kilometers of territory,

00:21:44along with several settlements including Serednaya, Yarova, Korovi Yar, and Oleksandrivka.

00:21:51To say Russia is rattled right now would be an understatement.

00:21:54Every plan the Kremlin had for Donetsk in 2026 and into 27 has been ruined by Ukraine.

00:22:00And it's all happening because of the gradual weakening of Russia's forces inside Ukraine.

00:22:05Sikorsky's logic is that presenting a greater NATO threat to Kaliningrad offers a way for NATO to further weaken Russia's

00:22:11forces inside Ukraine,

00:22:12while also delivering the message to Putin that NATO isn't going to stand idly by and let the Kremlin do

00:22:18whatever it wants on NATO territory.

00:22:20And that brings us to another reason why Poland wants to see more pressure placed on Kaliningrad.

00:22:25There's an element of revenge at play.

00:22:27Poland has been no stranger to the hybrid warfare tactics that Russia uses.

00:22:31You could argue that it's been the worst affected by Russia's aggression outside of Ukraine itself.

00:22:36Poland borders Ukraine, which already means that any Russian aerial attacks against the furthest regions of Ukraine's territory have the

00:22:42potential to spill over into Poland.

00:22:45Russia has taken advantage of that fact several times to offer itself plausible deniability whenever some of its drones wander

00:22:52into Polish airspace.

00:22:53However, the most egregious example of this proximity-related risk came toward the end of July, when a Russian Kh

00:23:00-101 missile crossed into Poland,

00:23:02eventually crash-landing about 90 kilometers deep into the country.

00:23:06At least 38 people were injured in the attack, and it was shattered by a NATO response force the entire

00:23:12way,

00:23:13but it quickly became apparent to Poland that Russia is escalating its attacks, and those attacks could impact one of

00:23:19NATO's most important eastern territories.

00:23:21More recently, and at about the same time that Sikorsky delivered his address, Russia attacked a truck near Poland's border

00:23:27with Ukraine.

00:23:28The truck was technically hit inside Ukraine, but the attack happened so close to the Dorohusk-Yahudin crossing point that

00:23:35it caused a temporary shutdown.

00:23:37Lithuania, which is another neighbor of Poland, also had to deal with the drone encroaching on its territory,

00:23:42which led to NATO scrambling fighter jets to shoot it down.

00:23:45On top of all of this, Sikorsky argues, conducting more operations close to Kaliningrad,

00:23:50which also shares a border with Poland, would force Putin to admit that he has made a grave mistake,

00:23:55not just in attacking Poland but also in launching hybrid attacks against other European members of NATO.

00:24:01Sikorsky pointed this mistake out at the Yalta conference, stating,

00:24:04By attacking Eastern Europeans, Putin just maintains our national consensus for very high defense spending.

00:24:10And by attacking Western Europeans, this is a major mistake by Putin.

00:24:13His game should have been to convince Germans and French that this war is an Eastern European problem.

00:24:18By attacking them, he's proving that it's an all-of-Europe problem.

00:24:21In other words, Putin has miscalculated, and to drive the point home,

00:24:26France's national security adviser, Emmanuel Bonn, says that France supports Poland's move, stating,

00:24:32We're going to exercise together with the support of Poland, and this is a strategic signal.

00:24:37France has already made some moves that have the Kremlin on edge.

00:24:40Back in March, the BBC reported that France is working on boosting its nuclear arsenal

00:24:44so that it presents a greater deterrent to Russia.

00:24:47That deterrent is also being expanded, meaning France is going to allow several other countries,

00:24:52including Poland, to come under its nuclear umbrella.

00:24:55And it's not just France that the Kremlin has to worry about.

00:24:58Germany is set to become a problem after a series of Russian drones

00:25:01were discovered loitering at Leipzig airport in August.

00:25:04At least one of those drones was armed with explosives,

00:25:07suggesting that Russia was actually attempting an attack.

00:25:10Germany has named and blamed Russia, and as Sikorsky says,

00:25:13Putin has drawn all of Europe into a conflict that could have been confined,

00:25:17if not to Ukraine, then at least to Eastern Europe and the Baltic region.

00:25:21In short, NATO members want to strike back.

00:25:23And they can create a much harder line against Russia

00:25:26if they join in exercises on Poland's border with Kaliningrad,

00:25:30sending the message to Putin that Kaliningrad is being watched,

00:25:33and lethal force could be exercised at any time.

00:25:35Still, an obvious question has to be asked.

00:25:38Wouldn't pushing Putin to divert troops out of Ukraine and into Kaliningrad

00:25:42make the exclave stronger?

00:25:44It would, but there are some major caveats at play

00:25:47that make Poland's strategy more effective than this question suggests.

00:25:50We'll dig deeper in a moment.

00:25:51First, this is a reminder that you're watching the military show.

00:25:54There's a lot more where this comes from,

00:25:56so make sure you're subscribed and have notifications enabled

00:25:59to ensure that you don't miss anything from our channel.

00:26:02Kaliningrad has always been a problem,

00:26:04not least because it's a piece of Russian territory

00:26:06that is separated from the mainland and nestled in Eastern Europe.

00:26:09For decades, Russia has maintained Kaliningrad as a military threat

00:26:13that it could use to strike most European nations if it so chose.

00:26:17However, that threat has diminished since Putin's so-called special military operation

00:26:21devolved into a full-blown war that has cost Russia over 1.5 million soldiers and counting.

00:26:27One of Putin's many strategies for overcoming these massive and senseless losses

00:26:32has been to pull troops out of Kaliningrad so they can go and fight in Ukraine.

00:26:36Sikorsky made reference to this when he mentioned that there were practically no troops left in the exclave.

00:26:41That isn't technically true, though Kaliningrad is home to far fewer troops than it used to be.

00:26:45Back in 2023, the US Center for Naval Analyses estimated that there were around 18,000 soldiers in Kaliningrad,

00:26:52most from the 11th Army Corps.

00:26:54That was a strong enough force to present a direct threat to a Baltic nation like Lithuania,

00:26:59albeit too few to really pose a problem for Poland, which now has one of Europe's strongest militaries.

00:27:05Still, this was a Kaliningrad high point, as Putin has been pulling soldiers out ever since.

00:27:10As far back as June 2025, Sikorsky has been pointing out that Russia's Kaliningrad force has weakened substantially.

00:27:16There are now likely only a couple of thousand Russian soldiers in Kaliningrad,

00:27:20meaning the force established in the exclave is much weaker now than it was just a couple of years ago.

00:27:25Here's where the first of those caveats we mentioned comes into play.

00:27:28If Sikorsky's plan to use NATO exercises to force Putin to send soldiers into Kaliningrad is successful,

00:27:34all it means is that Russia will be bolstering Kaliningrad to the point where it was in 2023,

00:27:39which isn't too much of a concern for NATO.

00:27:41But for Ukraine, this would mean around 15,000 soldiers disappearing from the battlefield,

00:27:46which could open up all sorts of opportunities for counterattacks.

00:27:49But let's assume that Putin decides to really escalate as he sends soldiers back to his exclave.

00:27:55Even that isn't too much of an issue.

00:27:57For a start, if Russia sends even more soldiers into Kaliningrad,

00:28:00then Sikorsky's plan has worked even better than expected.

00:28:03More gaps in the Russian lines form inside Ukraine.

00:28:06More opportunities arise for counterattacks.

00:28:08But the second caveat comes into play here.

00:28:11Russia sending more soldiers to Kaliningrad means that it has a stronger ground force, sure.

00:28:16But that doesn't mean much when a NATO attack against Kaliningrad

00:28:19would be far more likely to come from the sky than the ground.

00:28:22Members of NATO seem very confident that Kaliningrad wouldn't stand a chance in a full war,

00:28:27no matter how many soldiers Putin sends.

00:28:29Back in 2025, the former commander of the US Army in Europe, Ben Hodges,

00:28:33said that Russia's position in Kaliningrad would be

00:28:36eliminated in the first hours of a conflict between Russia and NATO.

00:28:40If Russia attacked Poland the same way they attacked Ukraine,

00:28:43they would be destroyed by NATO air forces, plus NATO land power, Hodges declared.

00:28:48This suggests the strategy would be for bombs and missiles to fly,

00:28:51wrecking Kaliningrad's military infrastructure,

00:28:53followed by a ground force likely from Poland,

00:28:56but perhaps also from the Baltic region that cripples Kaliningrad in short order.

00:28:59About a year later, Lithuania's foreign minister, Kastutis Budris,

00:29:04also said that NATO has all of the weapons it needs to raise Russia's air defense bases

00:29:08and missile facilities in Kaliningrad,

00:29:10suggesting that NATO is extremely confident that Russia's exclave presents very little threat.

00:29:15The point we're making here is that Kaliningrad is far less of a threat than Putin needs it to be.

00:29:20The separation from the Russian mainland that is meant to be one of the exclave's big advantages

00:29:24doesn't mean much when the full force of NATO is focused on Kaliningrad.

00:29:28Suddenly, a threatening chunk of territory becomes a liability for Russia,

00:29:32as NATO would cut off access to the Baltic Sea and close the land routes into Kaliningrad,

00:29:38leaving it as a sitting duck for attacks from the sky and ground.

00:29:41The forces that Putin sends to counter escalating NATO exercises

00:29:45would be surrounded and unlikely to present too much of a threat.

00:29:49Poland knows this.

00:29:50Based on the comments we shared, most in NATO seem to believe

00:29:53that Kaliningrad will be a lame duck right from the start of an actual war.

00:29:57With all of that in mind, it's far better for Putin to be forced to move soldiers out of Ukraine

00:30:02and into that exclave than it is to allow the exclave to stay as weak as it is while Ukraine

00:30:07fights.

00:30:08The next question is will NATO follow Sikorsky's plan

00:30:11and start carrying out more drills to present the sort of indirect threat to Kaliningrad

00:30:16that would force Putin into action?

00:30:18Who's to say that NATO isn't doing that already?

00:30:20On September 15th, Itamil Radar reported that there were some very interesting things

00:30:25happening across Northern Europe.

00:30:27Pulling from various tracking sources, the outlet revealed that NATO had deployed a mixture

00:30:31of maritime patrol, tanker, signal intelligence and airborne early warning assets across Northern Europe

00:30:37in what appears to be some sort of exercise that stretched from Murmansk all the way to Kaliningrad.

00:30:42And when we say assets, we're talking about some of the most important aircraft in NATO's arsenal

00:30:47deployed at a density that would make anybody in the Kremlin sit up and take notice.

00:30:51We're talking a pair of P-8A Poseidon aircraft operated by the German Navy.

00:30:56Remember that Germany is still sore from the Leipzig drone incidents.

00:30:59Both of those aircraft flew at low altitudes consistent with maritime surveillance operations.

00:31:04The Norwegian P-8A was also involved, operating off the coast of Murmansk.

00:31:09NATO also sent a Boeing E-3A Sentry into the mix, and that E-3A was refuelled by a NATO

00:31:15Airbus

00:31:15A330-242M RTT tanker, likely of French origin.

00:31:20Sweden was also involved in the operation, sending a Gulfstream S-101B Corpen, which was active

00:31:26over the southern Baltic region and was likely playing a signals intelligence role with a focus

00:31:31on Kaliningrad.

00:31:31What we see here is several layers of aerial surveillance, all working cohesively to cover

00:31:36the Baltic and Nordic regions.

00:31:38This is precisely the sort of thing that Sikorsky is calling for.

00:31:42As Putin and his cronies will now be asking questions.

00:31:45Was this just an exercise?

00:31:47If it was, why was NATO using surveillance aircraft almost exclusively?

00:31:51What were they looking for?

00:31:52What did they find?

00:31:53What does Russia have to do to respond, should Russia respond?

00:31:57This is what uncertainty for Russia looks like.

00:32:00And to make matters worse for Putin, whatever this aerial operation was, it comes on the

00:32:05back of something similar that we saw in August.

00:32:07On August 19th, a surge of NATO aircraft was tracked in the Black Sea and Kaliningrad regions.

00:32:12Those aircraft included an E3 AWACS, an Artemis II reconnaissance aircraft, and for seemingly

00:32:18the first time in such an exercise, a new US-made EA-37B Compass Call II electronic warfare plane,

00:32:25that just so happens to be equipped with the sort of gear needed to make Kaliningrad practically

00:32:29helpless in the event of an attack by NATO forces.

00:32:32These aircraft likely had a specific operational task related to gathering intelligence near

00:32:37Kaliningrad, with their second task likely being to send a message to Putin that there

00:32:42are eyes on Russia's exclave, and those eyes belong to a force that is more than strong

00:32:46enough to destroy Kaliningrad from the air.

00:32:49Later estimates suggested that anywhere between 25 and 50 aircraft were involved in this operation.

00:32:53Poland's operational command said that the entire thing was coordinated by NATO, and it

00:32:58had nothing to do with Russian aerial activity.

00:33:01Though it's hard to deny that the timings line up pretty well with the missile incursion

00:33:05into Poland and the drone incidents we saw in Germany.

00:33:09On the evening of August 4th, 2026, a small quadcopter drone crossed the perimeter fence

00:33:15at Leipzig Halle Airport in eastern Germany.

00:33:18It was the kind of thing you can buy in a shop, the same drone type that filled the skies

00:33:22over

00:33:22Donbass before both sides moved on to something better.

00:33:25What made this one different was what somebody had strapped to it.

00:33:29According to German investigators, the drone was carrying a plastic explosive called Semtex

00:33:34and a detonator.

00:33:36Closed circuit footage, later reviewed by German media, showed the drone flying deliberately

00:33:40at a Ukrainian Antonov Airlines cargo aircraft parked at the airport and striking it near the wing.

00:33:46The impact point was close to the aircraft's fuel tank.

00:33:49But the charge didn't go off.

00:33:51Instead, the drone bounced off the aircraft and fell onto the tarmac, where the explosives

00:33:56appeared to have separated from the airframe.

00:33:58Reportedly, no security system on the airfield registered any of it.

00:34:02The device lay on the ground for roughly four hours, in the dark, at one of the busiest cargo

00:34:07airports in Europe until an airport bus driver noticed it, stepped on it and called security.

00:34:13But what does this all have to do with the ongoing war in Ukraine?

00:34:16That failed attack on a German runway is the clearest evidence that the campaign Ukraine

00:34:21has been running throughout the summer of 2026 is working.

00:34:25Specifically about the position Moscow found itself in, where it was so desperate to launch

00:34:29an attack on Ukrainian aircraft inside a NATO country.

00:34:33Let's go back to June 25.

00:34:36On that day, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy approved a 40-day campaign of long-range strikes,

00:34:42mid-range strikes and security service operations, with a stated aim of pushing Russia toward ending

00:34:47the war.

00:34:48It was as much a political decision as it was a military one, and Zelenskyy has a history

00:34:53of these set-piece efforts.

00:34:55The incursion into Kursk in August 2024 was the same kind of gamble, and the verdict on

00:35:00that one is still contested, with many arguing it consumed some of Ukraine's best troops for

00:35:05very little.

00:35:06Those 40 days came and went by August 4, and Russia stayed away from the negotiating table.

00:35:12By the campaign's own stated benchmark, it failed.

00:35:15But there's an argument that judging it by that benchmark says almost nothing, because

00:35:20the damage this campaign inflicted was never about the negotiations immediately after.

00:35:24Instead, the consequences of those 40 days show up in Russia's budget, supply chain,

00:35:29and eventually in the calculations of the people around Vladimir Putin, who have to make

00:35:34those two work.

00:35:35So, let's look at the target that surprised everybody.

00:35:38On July 18, Ukrainian drones struck two logistics complexes belonging to wild berries,

00:35:44in Katovsk and Tambov region, and in Electro-style just outside Moscow.

00:35:49Unlike most targets, which were munitions depots or defense contractors, wild berries is Russia's

00:35:54largest online marketplace, the closest thing the country has to Amazon.

00:35:58It holds roughly 45% of the Russian online retail market.

00:36:03Ukraine followed that up with attacks on more wild berries logistics centers over the following weeks.

00:36:08By late July, Russian business analysts estimated that roughly 552,000 square meters of wild berries

00:36:15warehouse space had been affected, which constituted about 10% of the company's logistics capacity.

00:36:21The financial estimates vary widely.

00:36:24But one account put wild berries direct losses at between 100 and 200 billion rubles, roughly

00:36:291.1 to 2.2 billion dollars.

00:36:32Thus, the total possible damage to wild berries and its sellers can currently be estimated at

00:36:37between 600 and 800 billion rubles, or 6 to 8.5 billion dollars.

00:36:43Russian analysts called it one of the costliest strikes on Russian commercial infrastructure since the war began.

00:36:48Restoring the damaged facilities alone has been suggested to cost 35.8 billion rubles.

00:36:55The economist Timothy Ash suggested seller losses might reach 10 billion dollars.

00:36:59But there's one detail that turns this from an economic story into a political one.

00:37:04Just weeks before the strikes began, wild berries updated its vendor partnership agreement

00:37:09to remove the company's own financial liability for goods lost or damaged in missile strikes,

00:37:14drone attacks and civil unrest.

00:37:16So when the warehouses burned, the loss fell on the merchants.

00:37:19Many of them were small business owners who had months of investment sitting on those shelves

00:37:23and who had no inventory, no compensation and no insurance payout.

00:37:28There's also a military dimension.

00:37:30Analysis of platform data after the strikes found that sales of military-related goods on wild berries

00:37:36fell immediately once the logistics network was hit.

00:37:39That matters because modern armies buy an enormous amount of their consumables through exactly these channels

00:37:44on both sides of this war.

00:37:46Wild berries specifically has over 31,000 listings for military gear such as body armor,

00:37:52drones, drone accessories, weapon accessories, night vision devices and hunting scopes.

00:37:57Their combined revenue was around 18 million dollars.

00:38:00After the strikes, the sales dropped by an average of 30 percent.

00:38:04The data suggests that wild berries was being used to obtain only some military-related goods and equipment,

00:38:09although they don't indicate the scale of its role in Russia's overall military supply chain.

00:38:14That's one half of the pressure.

00:38:16The other half is energy, and it's been building far longer.

00:38:19According to Ukraine's general staff, by early July 2026,

00:38:24systematic drone strikes had disabled roughly 43 percent of Russia's designed oil refining capacity,

00:38:30although independent estimates varied considerably depending on how the strikes were counted.

00:38:34Drones have attacked Russian refineries at least 194 times since the start of 2026.

00:38:41Fuel production in June fell 25 percent year-on-year,

00:38:44leaving output around 20 percent below domestic demand,

00:38:48which was felt across the country as regions started Russianing fuel.

00:38:51The Moscow refinery, which supplied roughly 60 percent of the capital region's fuel,

00:38:56was expected to stay offline for repairs until early 2027.

00:39:00Now, put that against the state's own accounts.

00:39:03Russia's 2026 budget projections were 8.92 trillion rubles,

00:39:08about $111.5 billion in oil and gas revenue,

00:39:12which was $440 billion more than the state collected the previous year.

00:39:16But in the first three months, the revenues just meant 16.2 percent of that plan.

00:39:21And in June, the accounts chamber put its preliminary estimate for the full year

00:39:25at 7.8 trillion rubles, or $97.5 billion, a shortfall of over $1.1 trillion.

00:39:32And the state is paying to make all that worse.

00:39:35To stop domestic fuel prices from climbing,

00:39:38the finance ministry has been making damping payments to oil companies.

00:39:42Those payments reached 120 billion rubles, about $1.5 billion in June,

00:39:47seven times the January level, and they still failed to prevent price increases.

00:39:51There was a stretch in spring 2026,

00:39:54where the ministry was handing oil companies roughly as much money each month

00:39:58as the cumulative damage Ukrainian strikes had inflicted.

00:40:01The main consequence of all of this is that by mid-August,

00:40:05Russia was buying refined product abroad while selling discounted crude to India,

00:40:09and negotiating gasoline imports with more or less every neighbour.

00:40:13Throughout all this, Russian seaborne crude shipments reached their highest level since 2023,

00:40:18but this is set against the nearly 25% drop in the value of Russian exports,

00:40:23which was driven mainly by falling prices and wider discounts in Asia.

00:40:26So Russia can technically export crude oil,

00:40:30but it needs to do so at lower and lower prices to expect the same level of return.

00:40:34If Ukraine can keep up with the tempo of attacks,

00:40:37one of those parts will inevitably break,

00:40:39unless Russia can do something to prevent it.

00:40:42Which brings us back to the runway at Leipzig.

00:40:44Leipzig-Halle is DHL's main European hub and one of the busiest cargo airports on the continent.

00:40:50NATO even uses it for the Strategic Airlift International Solution mission,

00:40:55which moves weapons, ammunition and military equipment to the alliance's eastern members and to Ukraine,

00:41:00flown in significant part by Ukrainian cargo carriers.

00:41:04The Antonov aircraft that the drone flew into was part of the supply chain that keeps Ukraine stocked in military

00:41:10gear.

00:41:10German Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt called the drone attack a new level of danger,

00:41:16pointing out that no previous drone incident over a NATO country had involved an attempted attack with explosives.

00:41:22German investigators concluded the operation was carried out by professionals acting directly or indirectly for a foreign power.

00:41:29Dobrindt himself has pointedly never named Russia,

00:41:32but American officials have been less restrained,

00:41:35and US intelligence told the Wall Street Journal they believe Russia could be behind the attack.

00:41:39And this attack wasn't the first time the airport came under scrutiny.

00:41:43On July 20, 2024, a DHL logistics centre at the same airport had a few parcels blow up.

00:41:50In that case, a parcel bomb burned on the ground rather than in the air,

00:41:54only because the cargo flight it was meant to be aboard was delayed.

00:41:57So, someone attempted to sabotage an aircraft twice at the same airport, two years apart,

00:42:03with a physical link between the two operations.

00:42:05And it sits inside something much larger.

00:42:08The International Institute for Strategic Studies has plotted 144 suspected drone sightings across Europe

00:42:15between August 2024 and February 2026 in Germany, France, Belgium, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom and Denmark.

00:42:23The IISS assessed the campaign as designed to stay below the threshold that would trigger collective NATO response,

00:42:30while exposing weaknesses in European air defence,

00:42:33and it described Europe's answer to those incursions as a strategic failure.

00:42:37Separately, an analysis by the International Centre for Counter-Terrorism and Globsec

00:42:42counted 151 Russia-linked hybrid incidents between 2022 and 2026,

00:42:49with a fourfold increase in sabotage and vandalism operations year-on-year,

00:42:53frequently carried out by criminal networks recruited by Russian intelligence rather than by intelligence officers themselves.

00:43:00While the two campaigns might seem completely separate,

00:43:03they're symmetrical in what they're trying to accomplish.

00:43:06Ukraine is burning down the warehouses that supplied the Russian war effort.

00:43:10Russia is trying to burn down the warehouses that supplied the Ukrainian one.

00:43:14Both are attacking logistics because logistics is where a long war is actually decided.

00:43:19But there is an asymmetry too, in which Ukraine is striking infrastructure inside the country that invaded it.

00:43:25Russia is planting explosives inside countries that have not attacked anyone using proxies recruited online,

00:43:31in a way calculated to stay just under the line that would bring the alliance in.

00:43:35Which raises the obvious question, why Germany?

00:43:39Because Germany is now the single most important supplier keeping Ukraine in this fight.

00:43:44But before we get into the hard numbers, make sure to subscribe to The Military Show.

00:43:48Your support allows us to post daily videos so you can stay informed of everything that's going on in Ukraine

00:43:54and abroad.

00:43:56Back to German aid.

00:43:58Since the US-Ukraine relations largely broke down after Trump's inauguration, Berlin has taken over as Ukraine's biggest backer.

00:44:05The Mertz government estimated the 2026 military assistance figure to around 11.5 billion euros or $12.7 billion,

00:44:13on top of roughly $40 billion provided since February 2022.

00:44:17The Kiel Institute's Ukraine support tracker recorded 4.2 billion euros or $4.6 billion of German military aid in

00:44:26March and April 2026,

00:44:28weighted heavily toward air defense and drones.

00:44:31So, if you're a general from Moscow trying to work out where to apply pressure at the lowest possible cost,

00:44:37Germany is the obvious answer.

00:44:38You can't out-produce the German economy nor deter it militarily without risking a war you can't afford.

00:44:44But you might be able to make German support for Ukraine feel expensive to German voters.

00:44:49And that's precisely what analysts believe the drone attack at the start of the video is a part of.

00:44:54This is further supported by conspicuous timing.

00:44:57On September 6, the state of Saxony-Anhalt goes to the polls, which is immediately north of Leipzig.

00:45:03Berlin and Mecklenburg-Verpommern follow later in the same month.

00:45:07And in the Saxony polls, the party Alternative für Deutschland was projected to have a record 41% of the

00:45:15vote.

00:45:16This is important because the same party has repeatedly called for an end to further aid to Ukraine,

00:45:21suggesting that it's just promoting proxy warfare between NATO and Russia.

00:45:25While this won't upend Germany's foreign policy outright,

00:45:29it could set a precedent that can slow down the rate of support

00:45:32as local governments become more opposed to the measures.

00:45:35Of course, there's no clear correlation between these events

00:45:38and the AFD's rise in eastern Germany began long before any of this.

00:45:42But Moscow appears to believe there is something to be gained here

00:45:45and that could be enough to explain a Semtex charge on a Saxon runway.

00:45:49There is a second audience for all of this, the Russian elite.

00:45:53In late July, at a bilateral forum in Omsk, the president of Kazakhstan sat next to Vladimir Putin

00:45:59and told publicly that it was perhaps time to freeze the conflict

00:46:02and return to an Istanbul-style negotiation under greater power guarantees.

00:46:07Tokayev framed the war in Ukraine directly as a conflict between two independent states,

00:46:12which went directly against Putin's position on Ukrainian sovereignty.

00:46:15He even went further to suggest that the nature of the conflict was not entirely clear to many,

00:46:21including Kazakhstan.

00:46:22There was even speculation that Beijing put Tokayev up to it,

00:46:26while Tokayev himself mentioned signals from the West.

00:46:29But regardless, that's a Russian ally telling Putin, on Russian soil, on camera,

00:46:34that Western capitals are talking to him about ending this.

00:46:37Kazakhstan shares the longest continuous international border in the world with Russia,

00:46:41and has spent the past four and a half years trying to balance its historic ties to Russia

00:46:45with potential investments from the West.

00:46:47It's arguably one of the countries that should be the most concerned about what Russia thinks of it,

00:46:52especially since Russia has previously sent its own military to police Kazakh unrest.

00:46:57But even if the Russian elite isn't concerned about what other nations might think and say,

00:47:02it could be concerned about the country's population,

00:47:04or specifically, how drained it's become since the war started.

00:47:07A CSIS estimate from July 2026 put cumulative Russian battlefield losses since February 2022

00:47:14at approximately 400,000 to 450,000 dead among the broader figure of 1.4 million casualties.

00:47:21Ukraine's general staff puts Russian losses in the first half of 2026 alone at around 196,700.

00:47:29Whatever the precise number, Ukrainian sources indicated that Russia was losing more people than it could recruit

00:47:35in the first three months of 2026.

00:47:37And this is why analysts are watching Russian elections,

00:47:41and how Russian internal affairs evolve and respond to the new crises.

00:47:44By one account, the Kremlin was weighing a mobilization of somewhere between 300,000 and 500,000 men by the

00:47:51end of 2026.

00:47:53Vyorska has reported officials discussing new restrictions on the population in the event of mobilization after the Duma vote on

00:48:00September 20.

00:48:01Of course, predictions of imminent Russian mobilization have been made so often since 2022

00:48:07that they've become a running joke among analysts.

00:48:10But if one happens, the political geography changes.

00:48:12The overwhelming majority of Russian casualties so far have come from poorer regions, from the republics and the far provinces,

00:48:20from places whose grief has almost no purchase on federal politics.

00:48:23Moscow and St. Petersburg have been largely insulated.

00:48:27Mobilization ends that insulation, and the 2022 precedent isn't encouraging for the Kremlin,

00:48:33as that call-up sent up to a million military-age men out of the country.

00:48:37The worst part of this is that the 40-day campaign is arguably at the tail end of Russia's troubles.

00:48:43The country's fiscal position was deteriorating before any of the summer strikes.

00:48:47The deficit hits its full-year target within the first two months of 2026.

00:48:51The economy was near recession, inflation was high, and the trade and current account positions were worsening.

00:48:57Then came the war in Iran, and for Moscow, it functioned as a reprieve.

00:49:02Prices spiked, and Ural Oil stopped trading at a discount and started trading at a premium.

00:49:07But that same war resulted in the United Arab Emirates announcing it was leaving OPEC,

00:49:11the organization that practically runs oil exporting out of the Middle East.

00:49:15This was a direct result of closing the Strait of Hormuz, where the UAE pumped around 2.37 million barrels

00:49:21a day in March,

00:49:23against a sustainable capacity of roughly 4.3 million.

00:49:26Amidst leaving the organization, the UAE has also accelerated plans to reach 5 million barrels a day by 2027.

00:49:34This means the Middle Eastern oil cartel lost its fourth biggest supplier,

00:49:38and everyone else will have to renegotiate trade deals separately with the UAE.

00:49:42And in that backdrop, OPEC will lower prices to keep itself competitive.

00:49:46But Russia, which would normally answer falling prices with higher volume,

00:49:51has no such option because Ukrainian drones have taken out its refineries,

00:49:55damaged its ports, and burned its storage.

00:49:57It has both low prices and low volume.

00:50:00Which brings us full circle into Germany's involvement in all of this,

00:50:04and why that drone strike was important.

00:50:06On August 1st, Russia launched 35 missiles and 185 attack drones at Ukraine.

00:50:12Ukrainian officials said air defenses intercepted only one of the 27 ballistic missiles launched that night.

00:50:19Just a day after the drone fiasco in Germany,

00:50:21Russia fired more than two dozen ballistic and anti-ship missiles at Kyiv and the surrounding region.

00:50:26Not one of them was intercepted.

00:50:28And across July, Russian missile attacks killed at least 377 civilians and wounded 2,129,

00:50:36making it the deadliest month since April 2022.

00:50:40Zelensky's entire political campaign throughout late July was about interceptors,

00:50:44even asking Trump for Patriot supplies, which were denied by the US,

00:50:48which simply said it had its own conflict to run.

00:50:50Now, go back to that German aid figure, and you'll notice that it was weighted towards two things,

00:50:56drones and air defense.

00:50:58And the drone on the Leipzig runway was attempting to sabotage aircraft that ferried supplies for both of these.

00:51:04So Russia was directly attempting to curb Germany's interest in sending the one thing

00:51:09Ukraine needs to protect itself against Russia.

00:51:12So where does that leave us after the 40-day campaign?

00:51:15While the campaign didn't lead to negotiations,

00:51:17it became clear that Ukraine still had something to offer,

00:51:21especially given that it's become the world's predominant expert in drone warfare.

00:51:25And two vital US envoys, Steve Wyckoff and Jared Kushner,

00:51:29are expected in Kyiv in the second half of August,

00:51:31possibly around Independence Day on August 24.

00:51:35Wyckoff has made at least eight trips to Moscow during the war,

00:51:38meeting with Putin seven times, but neither of them has ever set foot in Ukraine.

00:51:43When Russia set up the Collective Security Treaty Organization, or CSTO,

00:51:48it thought it had found an answer to NATO,

00:51:51an equivalent collective defense agency with Russia at the core

00:51:54that would allow it to expand its influence in Europe and Central Asia.

00:51:58But the CSTO hasn't worked out the way Putin wants it to in the 2020s,

00:52:02and it just took a major blow.

00:52:04Russia was trying to use CSTO expulsion to cajole Armenia into doing what Putin wants.

00:52:10Armenia's response? Go ahead and expel us.

00:52:13Russia's bad copy of NATO just went up in smoke,

00:52:16and Armenia's answer to the Kremlin's threats has exposed that the organization

00:52:20isn't able to deliver on the one thing that Russia promised.

00:52:23On August 24, the news broke that Armenia's Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan

00:52:28declared that his nation would welcome expulsion from the CSTO.

00:52:32He claims that members of the CSTO, or probably more accurately just Russia,

00:52:37are already discussing this expulsion,

00:52:39and that the organization's charter also allows for the expulsion of members.

00:52:44That part of the charter would have been put there by Russia as leverage against members,

00:52:48allowing the Kremlin to dangle the loss of security guarantees in front of any member who got out of line.

00:52:53To Russia, Armenia is a long way out of line by simply electing Pashinyan,

00:52:58who isn't shy about his pro-West platform in the first place.

00:53:01Now, Armenia's Prime Minister says,

00:53:04whatever leverage Putin thinks that he has in his ramshackle copy of NATO isn't going to work.

00:53:09Before we dig deeper, are you enjoying our reporting?

00:53:11Subscribe and share your thoughts below.

00:53:14And if you'd like to support the real people behind the channel,

00:53:17consider becoming a member for exclusive content.

00:53:20Pashinyan's claims come after he announced that Armenia will continue the freeze on cooperation with the CSTO

00:53:25that it put in place back in February 2024,

00:53:28which he says was the result of Russia failing to protect Armenia during its recent conflicts with Azerbaijan.

00:53:34This theme of Russia failing as a security partner will come up again, so keep it in mind.

00:53:39Discussing his decision, Pashinyan said,

00:53:42I can say with certainty that we will not activate our work in the CSTO, we will not activate it.

00:53:47As he made his revelation that he knows that discussions about Armenia's expulsion are ongoing.

00:53:52I'll be very pleased if the organization decides to expel the Republic of Armenia from the collective security treaty organization,

00:53:59Pashinyan added, finishing off with a statement that will have really stung Putin.

00:54:03At least it will free us from the dilemma of not leaving.

00:54:06Those 12 words will feel like a dagger plunged into Putin's heart because they represent Armenia telling Russia

00:54:12that the CSTO isn't living up to its promises as a collective defense organization.

00:54:17In other words, Armenia simply doesn't view the CSTO as anywhere near as important as Moscow wants it to be.

00:54:23And to compound that pain, Russia will also know that Armenia's collective eyes have already been turned by a much

00:54:29more attractive option.

00:54:30Of course, Russia is trying to be nonchalant about the whole thing.

00:54:33Putin has already sent his favorite mouthpiece Dmitry Peskov out to basically say,

00:54:37Well go on then, Russia doesn't care that you're leaving, honest.

00:54:41Or to use his actual words,

00:54:43If Yerevan no longer needs to be a member of such an important organization for ensuring regional security to serve

00:54:48its national interests,

00:54:50then it's free to take the appropriate decision and leave this organization.

00:54:53There's a hint of desperation in this comment, especially when Peskov speaks about the CSTO being an important organization.

00:54:59For ensuring regional security.

00:55:02Armenia says that the CSTO already failed at that with the Azerbaijan situation, so these words will ring pretty hollow.

00:55:08And it's not like the Azerbaijan situation is the only thing that Armenia has noticed.

00:55:12There are lots of countries that Russia has promised security to,

00:55:16that have been finding out just how empty those promises are, and Armenia has seen it all.

00:55:21But we'll get to that.

00:55:22First, we need a little context on the CSTO, what it means, what it's supposed to do, and what it

00:55:27actually does.

00:55:28It all started in the wake of the Soviet Union's collapse.

00:55:321991 saw Armenia secure its independence from Russia, though at the time, it wasn't exactly ready to strike out on

00:55:38its own.

00:55:39Armenia retained close security ties with Russia, and it was one of the earliest members of the precursor to the

00:55:45CSTO, the Collective Security Treaty.

00:55:47Looks like Russia later popped organization onto the end in yet another example of it blatantly copying NATO.

00:55:54Others joined this treaty in the years that followed, including Georgia and Armenia's enemy Azerbaijan, which both became members in

00:56:001993.

00:56:01That would have rattled some Armenian cages even three-plus decades ago.

00:56:05But it's here where we already start to see problems with what would become the CSTO.

00:56:09Both Azerbaijan and Georgia chose to withdraw amidst negotiations to turn Russia's treaty into the organization that we see today.

00:56:17Uzbekistan has also had a fractured history with the CSTO and its precursor.

00:56:21It joined Russia's Collective Security Treaty but left in 1999.

00:56:25It then joined the CSTO in 2006 but chose to leave again in 2012.

00:56:30These are all hints that Russia's version of NATO wasn't delivering what it promised to its members.

00:56:35And just for a little bit of fun, do you want to take a guess at how many NATO members

00:56:38have chosen to leave once they're in?

00:56:40If you said zero, then ding ding ding, you're a winner.

00:56:44Even with all of this turmoil, Russia pushed ahead with the formation of the CSTO.

00:56:49The organization became official in 2002 with its original signatories being Kazakhstan, Armenia, Kurdistan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan and Russia.

00:56:57The organization was founded under principles similar to NATO, especially when it comes to collective defense.

00:57:03The CSTO has its own version of Article 5, through which an attack on one member is considered an attack

00:57:09on all.

00:57:10Member states also conduct joint military exercises and training to enhance their interoperability, just like NATO.

00:57:16And for a while, especially when Russia as the main member wasn't really being called upon to act as a

00:57:21security partner in any direct way, the CSTO worked.

00:57:24Back in 2013, Yulia Nikitina, who was part of the Moscow State Institute of International Relations, noted that the CSTO

00:57:32maintained four core types of forces.

00:57:35Among them were a collective rapid deployment force with 4,000 members focusing on Central Asia, a large 20,000

00:57:42-person reaction force and a collective peacekeeping force containing 3,500 soldiers and 800 police officers.

00:57:49The first two are regional groups, one managed by Russia and Belarus, and the other overseen by Russia and Armenia.

00:57:56So Armenia's freezing of its contributions and willingness to leave are going to impact at least part of the CSTO,

00:58:02and maybe all of these force projections.

00:58:04Again, it's all very NATO-like, down to the point where a single member leaving could cause drastic changes in

00:58:10planning.

00:58:11Still, what the CSTO was supposed to offer, more than anything else, was a way for Russia to project its

00:58:16influence over the countries that became members, which, in turn, allows for the projection of influence over the regions where

00:58:21those nations are located.

00:58:23Members are supposed to have equal standing. Nominally, they do. In practice, Russia sits at the head of the table,

00:58:29as seen by Russia giving itself the power to block NATO operations that might involve CSTO members.

00:58:35This focus on Russia is the CSTO's main weakness. It shows us that the entire group is ultimately set up

00:58:41for the Kremlin's benefit.

00:58:42Again, that's fine if Russia can manage its part of the deal. CSTO members let Russia lead the way because

00:58:48Russia is supposed to be providing them with security guarantees.

00:58:51After all, none of the CSTO's members are major military powers. It's telling that Russia isn't really trying to rely

00:58:57on any of them outside of Belarus in its war against Ukraine, and Belarus is only in the fold because

00:59:02it borders Ukraine.

00:59:04The deal was simple. Russia provides the muscle, and the other CSTO members offer up regional influence.

00:59:10One part of that deal breaking down leads to the other failing, and that's precisely what we're seeing with the

00:59:15Armenia situation right now.

00:59:17And to make matters even worse for Russia, Armenia isn't just happy to leave the CSTO.

00:59:22It's also cozying up to the precise types of Western powers that the CSTO is supposed to keep away from

00:59:27the nation.

00:59:28If that becomes a trend among other CSTO nations, everything changes in Russia's NATO.

00:59:32So, before we go further, you're watching the military show, and this is why we make videos to explain how

00:59:38power really moves.

00:59:39If you like what you see, make sure you subscribe and enable notifications.

00:59:44If Armenia saying it's happy to be expelled from the CSTO felt like a body blow for Putin, what Pashinyan

00:59:49said next would have felt like a haymaker to the jaw.

00:59:52On August 24th, Armenia's Prime Minister told Parliament that the country is soon going to launch its bid to join

00:59:58the European Union or EU.

01:00:00We may begin this process in the near future, especially given the urgent requests from our EA-EU partners, Pashinyan

01:00:06declared.

01:00:07Putin won't have liked hearing about these requests.

01:00:09They indicate that Russia is losing a pretty major partner, perhaps more important than he realized, to the EU.

01:00:15This discussion of Armenian accession is nothing new.

01:00:18The country's President, Vahan Kachchuryan, signed the law to formally begin the accession process back in April 2025,

01:00:25though the law gave no timeline for when that process would be completed.

01:00:29The EU met that news with happiness, as European Commission spokesperson Marcus Lammert declared that

01:00:34Armenia is closer to the EU than ever before.

01:00:37Closer to the EU and much further away from Russia and Putin's poisonous influence.

01:00:42Just as with Armenia's hints that it will be happy with CSTO expulsion, Russia isn't happy about any of this.

01:00:49In the wake of Pashinyan's comments, Peskov was once again deployed to project nonchalance

01:00:53and deliver veiled warnings to Armenia that it needs to step back in line with Russia.

01:00:58Regarding the application for EU membership,

01:01:00I always recommend remembering the experience of Turkey and a number of other countries.

01:01:05Decades have passed since they submitted their applications,

01:01:08yet the situation remains largely unchanged, Peskov declared.

01:01:11This is desperate, even for the Kremlin.

01:01:13The reason why Turkey hasn't become an EU member is because of the deteriorating standards of the democratic process in

01:01:19the country,

01:01:19along with some very questionable decisions made by President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

01:01:24It contributes to these democracy-related issues,

01:01:26and has also approved crackdowns on peaceful protests, which makes the EU wary.

01:01:31Armenia doesn't have these problems.

01:01:32If anything, its move away from Russia and ability to counteract Putin's misinformation campaigns and election tampering,

01:01:39shows that it's a much stronger candidate for EU membership than Turkey right now.

01:01:43So if the Kremlin's strategy is to say,

01:01:45but look at Turkey, Armenia can simply reply,

01:01:48exactly, we aren't Turkey.

01:01:50Russia's other strategy is to tell Pashinyan to call a referendum on Armenia's EU membership.

01:01:55Pashinyan has already told Putin back in July that such a referendum wouldn't be possible until Armenia starts its official

01:02:01bid to join the EU.

01:02:03That bid would make the topic substantive enough to justify a referendum, Pashinyan explains.

01:02:07The Kremlin sees things differently.

01:02:10It was notably emphasized that Armenia needed to promptly hold a national referendum on whether the country should join the

01:02:16EU or remain in the EAEU,

01:02:18Russia said following the July phone call when Pashinyan delivered his statement to Putin.

01:02:22The EAEU is the Eurasian Economic Union, and it's another bloc that Russia tries to use for regional control birds.

01:02:29There's a reason why the Kremlin wants a referendum to be called.

01:02:33Russia wants a chance to influence the results, making it seem as though the Armenian people don't want to be

01:02:38part of the EU.

01:02:39Russia has a hard job on its hands in that respect.

01:02:42According to opinion polls shared by EU neighbors East, the impression of the EU in Armenia is positive.

01:02:4872% of those poll described the relationship between Armenia and the EU as good,

01:02:53with 56% saying they trust the EU more than any other international actor, including Russia.

01:03:00The same poll also showed that 54% of Armenians support EU membership, which is notably up by 9%

01:03:06from the 2025 figures.

01:03:08Only 23% of Armenia's total population actively oppose EU membership.

01:03:13And of those quizzed, 63% believe the EU membership would deliver more benefits than drawbacks.

01:03:19So if Russia is relying on the tide of public opinion to take Armenia off the EU path and keep

01:03:24it as part of the CSDO,

01:03:25it has its work cut out for it.

01:03:27Not that Russia isn't willing to do the work.

01:03:30It tried to manipulate the elections that saw Pashinyan re-secure his place as Armenia's prime minister back in June.

01:03:36France24 reports that Russia employed disinformation campaigns targeting Pashinyan throughout the election.

01:03:41That's according to a fact-checker with Armenian media outlet Civilnet, Annie Gregorian, who told France24,

01:03:48When it comes to Russia, it's been almost one year that we noticed how they tried to influence the Armenian

01:03:53informational space.

01:03:54What's interesting is that the main target is not just Armenia and Pashinyan, but also the EU and France.

01:04:00For several months, they were disseminating narratives that France is going to help Armenia and Pashinyan to falsify the election

01:04:06results.

01:04:06The Institute for Strategic Dialogue adds that Russia deployed a trio of state-sponsored or Kremlin-aligned groups to target

01:04:13Armenia in the months leading up to its elections.

01:04:16One of the operations, dubbed Storm 1516, targeted Armenia between April 2025 and April 2026,

01:04:23and it involved setting up fake news and activism websites, the impersonation of real media outlets and journalists,

01:04:30and the use of influencers on X to try to steer the social media narrative.

01:04:33These are all dirty tricks that Russia would try to employ again for an Armenian-EU referendum.

01:04:39No wonder Putin wants one. He already has all of this in place for round two.

01:04:43For its part, the EU is making it clear that Armenia will be a welcome member.

01:04:47In July, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and Commissioner for Enlargement Marta Kos met with Pashinyan

01:04:54to discuss how Armenia and the EU can build their ties.

01:04:57Armenia came away from that meeting with a $60 million commitment and a proposal for tariff-free access

01:05:03to 80% of Armenia's exports to the EU.

01:05:05In other words, far better trade deals than it has been getting from Russia,

01:05:09which wants to freeze Armenia out because Pashinyan isn't Putin's puppet.

01:05:14Kos' appearance at this meeting is also important.

01:05:16As the Commissioner for Enlargement, Kos oversees the growth of the EU.

01:05:20Armenia wants to be part of that growth,

01:05:22and its Prime Minister is now meeting with the types of people who hold influence over Armenia's accession bid.

01:05:27All of this boils down to one thing for the Kremlin.

01:05:30It's being forced to watch as Armenia embraces the Western influence that the CSTO was supposed to serve as a

01:05:36barrier against.

01:05:37That, more than anything else, shows us that Russia's version of NATO is falling apart.

01:05:41It's all because of something that we touched on earlier.

01:05:44Russia has been exposed as a terrible security partner.

01:05:48The whole point of CSTO membership for any nation aside from Russia is that Russia is supposed to offer protection.

01:05:54The bad promise made by Russia has caused all of this,

01:05:57and we're not just talking about Russia's failure to protect Armenia in the Azerbaijan situation.

01:06:02In the past couple of years, Russia has promised to support allies in Venezuela, Syria, and Iran.

01:06:08What has happened?

01:06:09The dictatorial leaders of Venezuela and Syria have been deposed,

01:06:13with Russia barely raising a finger to help other than sending a few weapons.

01:06:16Iran is in an active war with the US, and all Russia seems willing to do is offer some intelligence.

01:06:22Armenia has seen all of this and has reached the same conclusion that the Times reached,

01:06:26with its sarcastic headline, with friends like Putin, who needs enemies.

01:06:31Russia's utter failure to deliver on its part of the CSTO deal is resulting in the Russian copy of NATO

01:06:36falling apart.

01:06:37And it's not just Armenia being willing to leave that's a factor here.

01:06:41Putin's decision to invade Ukraine has caused fractures in the organization,

01:06:44not least because every non-Russian member has seen how Putin responds,

01:06:49when a smaller country than Russia doesn't do what Russia wants.

01:06:53CSTO members will also have seen Russia wage a war against Georgia,

01:06:56which was once a member of the CSTO precursor,

01:06:59so it's not like CSTO membership is any sort of security guarantee,

01:07:03both in terms of Russia's failure to protect and the prospect of being a victim of Russian aggression.

01:07:08As the Center for European Policy Analysis points out, Kazakhstan is actively distancing itself from the CSTO.

01:07:15Kyrgyzstan seems to be doing the same thing.

01:07:17In October 2022, it even canceled a CSTO military exercise just one day before it was set to begin,

01:07:24which tells us that things haven't been right in the CSTO ever since Putin invaded Ukraine.

01:07:29As much as Putin tries to create division in the real version of NATO,

01:07:33he can't seem to do anything to stop the very real fractures that have developed within the CSTO from becoming

01:07:38gaping chasms.

01:07:39We can even see these fractures from the one time that the CSTO has been called upon to fulfill its

01:07:44collective defense purpose.

01:07:46In January 2022, Kazakhstan called on the CSTO for help with dealing with armed clashes that were sparked by mass

01:07:52unrest in the country.

01:07:53The CSTO sent a peacekeeping force, but that force only stayed in Kazakhstan for five days.

01:07:59According to the Baku Research Institute,

01:08:01that's because Kazakhstan had no interest in Russia maintaining a position in the country under the guise of being a

01:08:06peacekeeping force.

01:08:07Even when Russia tries to follow up on its security promises, CSTO members don't want its involvement.

01:08:12That tells you how badly Putin has poisoned the well, that he played the biggest part in digging.

01:08:18All of this leaves the CSTO in a bad position.

01:08:20Russia's version of NATO is actively falling apart.

01:08:23And Armenia's willingness to leave may end up being the catalyst for an exodus.

01:08:28And on top of all of this, it's not just the EU that is seeking to become a more active

01:08:31partner with Armenia.

01:08:32The US under President Donald Trump also wants to partner with the nation.

01:08:37Trump has played a bigger role in solving the conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan than Putin ever did.

01:08:41The point where he brought Pashinyan and Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev together to sign a peace agreement in August 2025.

01:08:49Other strategic deals have been signed since and Pashinyan has emphasized his desire to deepen Armenia's relationship with the US,

01:08:55which includes enabling American investment into his country.

01:08:59Again, all of this is happening because the CSTO failed to deliver on its promises.

01:09:03But do you know what is as big a sign of the Russian NATO's failure as Armenia's decision to leave?

01:09:08The leader of one of its member nations sitting across from Putin and telling him that Russia is losing the

01:09:14war in Ukraine.

01:09:15That's what Kazakhstan's President, Kassim Jomar Tokayev, did in early August.

01:09:20He sent a message to Putin that the CSTO may be on the verge of losing more than one member.

01:09:25Find out more by watching our video.

01:09:27And if you enjoyed this video, consider subscribing and letting us know your thoughts below.

01:09:31You can also become a channel member for access to exclusive content that we don't publish publicly.

01:09:36And thank you, as always, for watching.

Germany’s Troops MOVE East… Europe Prepares War & Other Stories

Category

Transcript

Recommended