Germany and France have unveiled major new support for Ukraine, including tens of thousands of attack drones, advanced missile production licenses, and future Rafale fighter jets. In this video, we break down what these announcements mean, how they could reshape the battlefield, and why Moscow is watching closely. We also examine the military technology, strategic implications, and the broader impact on the war. Watch to the end for the full analysis, and subscribe for more military updates.
⏱️ CHAPTERS:
00:00 - Russia Ground Campaign Fails in 2026
00:42 - Germany Funds 50,000 Shrike Drones for Ukraine
03:34 - France Sends Rafale Jets and Missile Tech
08:32 - Drones Cause 80% of Russian War Casualties
11:08 - How Ukraine Builds SCALP and Patriot Missiles
15:54 - Is Russia Losing the War of Attrition?
Support us directly as we bring you independent, up-to-date reporting on military news and global conflicts by clicking here: https://www.youtube.com/@TheMilitaryShow/join
#militarystrategy #militarydevelopments #militaryanalysis
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SOURCES: https://pastebin.com/qUyfEHJh
⏱️ CHAPTERS:
00:00 - Russia Ground Campaign Fails in 2026
00:42 - Germany Funds 50,000 Shrike Drones for Ukraine
03:34 - France Sends Rafale Jets and Missile Tech
08:32 - Drones Cause 80% of Russian War Casualties
11:08 - How Ukraine Builds SCALP and Patriot Missiles
15:54 - Is Russia Losing the War of Attrition?
Support us directly as we bring you independent, up-to-date reporting on military news and global conflicts by clicking here: https://www.youtube.com/@TheMilitaryShow/join
#militarystrategy #militarydevelopments #militaryanalysis
#themilitaryshow
SOURCES: https://pastebin.com/qUyfEHJh
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NewsTranscript
00:00Things haven't been going well for Russia in 2026. Its ground campaign has faltered,
00:05the spring and summer offensive is already a failure, and Putin is being forced to face up
00:11to the fact that Ukraine is going from strength to strength while Russia gets weaker. And then
00:18France and Germany turned up. Both have just done something legitimately insane for Ukraine.
00:24We're talking about drones, fighter jets, and some of the most important missiles that
00:29Ukraine can get its hands on. It's all coming, and Putin is terrified. He knows his war is
00:36practically over already. Now, two of Ukraine's partners have just pushed Ukraine closer to
00:41finishing it once and for all. We'll start with Germany. On July 13, Reuters reported that Germany
00:47is funding 50,000 attack drones that will be used across the front lines to devastate Russian troops
00:53and equipment. The news comes not from the defense ministries of Ukraine or Germany, both of which
00:59are staying quiet, but from a source familiar with what's happening. That source, who appears to be
01:04the CEO of the US defense technology firm Alterion, Lorenz Meyer says that this deal represents the
01:10single largest purchase of drones by a Western government for Ukraine. Alterion isn't providing
01:16the drones, but what it is doing is creating the technology that the drones use to autonomously
01:21track and strike targets during the final phase of their flight. Meyer says that the contract for
01:27Ukraine's new drones is valued at $103 million and that it's been funded by a European country.
01:33How do we know that country is Germany? Skyfall says so. The Ukrainian drone manufacturer which
01:39uses Alterion's tech in its strike drones has confirmed Germany's involvement in the purchase
01:44of 50,000 drones, though it says that it can't elaborate further beyond giving the name of the type of
01:50drone that has been purchased, Shrike. One of the best short-range drones that Ukraine can access.
01:57Shrike is something special, and it's not just Ukraine that believes so. Back in March,
02:02the Pentagon ran a program to determine which drones will be best suited to America's new drone
02:07dominance program. The Shrike came out on top by a distance, as it scored 10 points more than the
02:13second-place drone in tests that, among other things, assessed strike accuracy at ranges of 2.5 to 10
02:19kilometers and how well the drones operate in urban environments against several targets. For Ukraine,
02:2650,000 of these drones heading to the front lines means pain for Russia. There are two versions of the
02:31Shrike. The smaller 17.78 centimeter version can carry a 1.5 kilogram payload. Not massive, sure,
02:39but more than enough to take out soldiers and armored vehicles. It can hit a maximum speed of
02:44100 kilometers per hour, making it difficult to outrun, and it has a range of 30 kilometers,
02:50marking it out as a great addition to Ukraine's drone-infested kill zones. The larger version adds
02:56about 7.6 centimeters to the package, which allows for the payload to be doubled. Add a 20 kilometer
03:02per hour speed upgrade into the mix, and that version of the Shrike is even more terrifying for Russia's
03:06soldiers. Oh, and there's the autonomy we mentioned. Thanks to Autarion's software, the Shrike can track
03:12and strike targets autonomously during the final phase of its flight. The deal that has just been
03:17revealed is already well underway. Meyer says that some of the Shrike drones that Germany has purchased
03:23for Ukraine are already on the front lines, wreaking havoc. The rest are due to arrive in Ukraine by
03:28the end of the year, when they'll inevitably deal more death and destruction to Russia's fraught forces.
03:33It all sounds impressive, right? The crazy thing is that a shipment of 50,000 of the most terrifying
03:40drones to grace the front lines of the Ukraine war is small fry compared to what France has just done
03:46for Ukraine. Nobody saw this coming, especially Putin. France has basically looked at Germany's
03:52offering and said, that's great, but hold my beer. France saw Germany's drones, and it raised the
03:58stakes with fighter jets and missiles. We're acting like this is a bit like a competition,
04:04but the reality is that both France and Germany are doing great things for Ukraine.
04:07It's just that France's announcement is huge. Following a meeting of the Coalition of the Willing
04:12in Paris on July 13th, French President Emmanuel Macron announced that France will be delivering
04:18Rafale fighter jets to Ukraine. We knew that already. France committed to sending 100 Rafales to Ukraine
04:24back in February. But then Macron dropped the bombshell. On top of the jets, France is also
04:29going to grant licenses so that Ukraine can build its own Aster-30 anti-aircraft missiles,
04:35SCALP long-range cruise missiles, and Assam-Hammer guided bomb kits. That announcement comes on the
04:41back of US President Donald Trump stating that the US is going to give Ukraine a license to build Patriot
04:46missiles. And it's absolutely huge. What this means is that Ukraine is no longer going to have to rely on
04:52military aid to get its hands on all of these vital missiles and bomb kits. It can build its own,
04:58relying on a domestic defense sector that has ballooned in size since Putin invaded.
05:03Here are the details. The Rafale fighter jets aren't arriving instantly. As Macron says,
05:09this involves a project to acquire 16 Rafale aircraft and their accompanying weapon systems.
05:14The first flights could take place as early as 2028 to 2029,
05:18and personnel training will begin in the coming months. So Ukraine is going to spend the next few
05:23months getting its pilots ready for a fighter jet that will be arriving in a couple of years.
05:27We saw a similar process when Ukraine received F-16s. And though it may seem like the sort of delay
05:32that isn't ideal for Ukraine, and in some ways it is, France saying it will send jets from 2028 is
05:38also a sign of confidence. It's a message sent to Putin that Ukraine will still very much exist and still
05:43be in the fight years from now. In other words, no, Russia, you won't have won the war by 2028.
05:49You are not going to win it at all.
05:51As for the licenses, there were hints that this was going to happen.
05:54On June 30, Euronews reported that Ukraine's Defense Minister Mikhailo Fedorov
05:59had revealed that negotiations were ongoing between Ukraine and France about the possibility of licensing
06:04scalp missiles for Ukraine. There is indeed progress, but it is still too early to say,
06:09because it is a difficult process regarding intellectual property in general, the opening
06:14of production and so on. There is a certain bureaucracy in this regard, Fedorov said at the time.
06:19Now, here we are, about two weeks later, and whatever barriers that existed have been demolished.
06:24Scalp is coming to Ukrainian factories, and it is being joined by air defense missiles and guided
06:29bomb kits that are all extremely valuable to Ukraine.
06:33How massive this is for Ukraine cannot be overstated.
06:37On the intellectual property side alone, this is France, along with the producers of these weapons,
06:42recognizing that they can't keep up with Ukraine's demand. Rather than just telling Ukraine to deal
06:47with it, they are sharing their secrets with the one country that is on the front line of a fight
06:51against Russia that many in Europe believe will spread if Ukraine isn't victorious. What we are seeing
06:57here is true partnership. France has given Ukraine the keys to some of its most important weapons.
07:03As for the weapons themselves, they all have track records that showcase why Ukraine wants them in
07:08the first place. Take the Asta missiles as an example. They are used by the SAMP-T air defense
07:14system which Ukraine already has in place and has used to great effect. Back in March 2025,
07:19Ukraine used the SAMP-T to shoot down a Shukhoi fighter jet, likely an Su-27 or Su-35, which
07:26highlights
07:26the system as a key tool that Ukraine can use to keep its skies safe. SAMP-T is also the
07:32closest
07:32equivalent to the Patriot air defense system. Euromiden Press points out as it is capable of
07:37intercepting ballistic missiles at a range of 25 kilometers and can engage other aerodynamic
07:42targets at a range of 150 kilometers. Ukraine's challenge has always been stockpiles. Asta builds
07:49up to 100 Asta-30 missiles annually, though it plans to bump that up to 300 missiles per year by
07:552028.
07:56That's not enough missiles and not soon enough for Ukraine. Now that it has a license,
08:01Ukraine can control its own means of production. Scalp missiles, which are also called Storm Shadow,
08:07have been key to Ukraine's efforts to take down the Black Sea fleet and they are also devastatingly
08:12powerful missiles that are ideal for strikes against border territories. And Ukraine has been
08:17using the Assam Hammer bomb kits throughout the war, with France having already committed to delivering
08:22at least 600 of the bombs per year. Now Ukraine can get more of both and it can build them
08:28as and when
08:29it needs. There is only one word that we can use to describe what the mood must be like in
08:34the Kremlin
08:34right now. Terror. Germany and France have done something legitimately insane for Ukraine and Putin
08:40knows it. Russia is scared. It knows that what we have just seen is a game-changer on multiple levels
08:47levels, and we are going to explain what those levels are in just a moment.
08:50First, this is the military show. If you haven't subscribed to the channel yet,
08:54now is the perfect time to hit the button to ensure you keep seeing more of our videos.
08:59Let's come back to the Shrike drones. A stockpile of 50,000 of the most accurate and
09:04lethal automated drones that Ukraine has in its arsenal spells more death for Russian soldiers on the
09:10front. And it's not like those soldiers aren't experiencing enough death already. In June alone,
09:15Russia suffered 39,490 casualties, which is a long way over its estimated recruitment of 24,000
09:23to 30,000 soldiers per month, Al Jazeera reports. All of those losses are in exchange for an advance so
09:30slow that it will take Russia about 14 years to finally topple Ukraine's Donetsk defenses. Drones are
09:36the main cause of all of these deaths. The Hudson Institute notes that drones are estimated to be
09:41the cause of up to 80% of all casualties that happen on the front lines. So Germany hasn't just
09:46made a
09:46record-breaking purchase of any old weapon for Ukraine. It's buying the precise type of weapon
09:51that Ukraine needs to skyrocket Russia's casualty rate on the front. Plus, the 50,000 Shrike drones feed
09:57into the numbers advantage that Ukraine has over Russia. A lot has been said about Russia being able to
10:02bring more soldiers to the war than Ukraine. But the manpower matters less now than it ever did,
10:07as drones have become the key weapon in the war. Right now, Ukraine has a 1.5 to 1 numbers
10:13advantage in FPV drones, which are the drones used on and near the front lines. Germany just added 50,000
10:19Shrike drones to Ukraine's stockpiles. And in doing so, it's also taken care of a 100 million dollar
10:25plus deal that Ukraine would have had to make anyway. That's an underreported aspect of this drone deal.
10:30Whenever another nation buys drones for Ukraine, it saves Ukraine millions of dollars that can be
10:36spent on manufacturing other weapons to use against Russia. Who knows, maybe the money Ukraine
10:41has just saved will be put toward building the Aster-30 missiles that France has just provided
10:46the license to build. Out of everything that France and Germany have provided to Ukraine,
10:50this missile license may be the most terrifying for Russia. Not because these weapons can directly
10:55harm Russian soldiers. That's not what they're built to do. What they can do is shoot down aircraft
11:00and tackle the ballistic and cruise missiles that Russia has been launching at Ukraine almost daily.
11:05In the case of the missiles, this is the one clear advantage that Russia still holds over Ukraine,
11:10as it unleashes powerful missiles against both military facilities and Ukrainian cities.
11:16Zelensky has made no secret of the fact that he believes more air defenses will be a true game-changer
11:21for Ukraine. He's been pressing Ukraine's NATO allies for more missiles, be they Patriots,
11:26Aster-30s or anything else, for pretty much the entire war. At the Ankara-NATO summit that Trump used
11:32to announce the Patriot licensing, Zelensky reiterated his calls stating,
11:37We are capable of doing everything else ourselves, but when it comes to air defense,
11:40we need our partners' determination. That came in the wake of Russian missile strikes that targeted Kyiv
11:45twice in a week, killing more than 50 civilians in the process. Indeed, Russia's missiles are the
11:51one problem that Ukraine can't solve through its own ingenuity. We see that in the interception rates.
11:57In June, Ukraine achieved an 89.4% interception rate against all aerial threats. That sounds good
12:04at first, but those numbers are heavily propped up by Ukraine's success against Russia's strike drones
12:09and missile types other than ballistic missiles. When it comes to Russia's ballistic missiles,
12:14Ukraine was only able to stop 40% of those that Russia fired. There's a clear gap in Ukraine's
12:20air defenses that Russia has been exploiting as Ukraine's air defense missile shortage bites.
12:25Zelensky is calling on Ukraine's partners to provide more. That call won't change. But now
12:31Ukraine has the Aster-30 license alongside the incoming Patriot license, it can finally do this
12:37one important component of its war against Russia by itself. Ukraine received its partners'
12:42determination, all right. And for Russia, this Aster-30 license means that the one successful
12:48route to attack that it has will be mitigated as soon as Ukraine can get the production lines up and
12:52running. That will terrify Putin. If he can't terrorize the Ukrainian people into surrender with
12:57his war crimes, that just leaves him to rely on a military that has soldiers dying in droves as they
13:03fail to make any real progress. Russia is done in that case. And don't forget, there are scalp and
13:09assom hammer licenses. We've touched on why these weapons are important already, but let's dig a
13:14little deeper. Scalp is an air-launched cruise missile designed to take out fixed and fortified
13:20targets. The missiles fly at low altitude and can hit high subsonic speeds of up to max 0.95, which
13:27makes
13:27it incredibly difficult to intercept. Scalp can also travel for about 250 kilometers and it delivers a
13:32450 kilogram brooch penetrator warhead. That warhead works in multiple stages to punch through a target
13:39before delivering an explosive payload to whatever lies inside the target. That's why Ukraine has been
13:44using it to attack ships and bunkers. Punch through first, then destroy whatever is inside. That's the
13:50scalp's modus operandi. Assom hammers are just as worrying for Russia, often described simply as a bomb.
13:57The Assom hammer is more than that. Army recognition describes it as a smart air-to-surface standoff weapon,
14:03and it is essentially a modular bomb kit capable of transforming traditional dumb bombs into precision
14:09guided munitions. Attachable to dumb bombs ranging in size from 125, 250, 500, and 1000 kilograms,
14:17the baseline hammer uses a combination of GPS and inertial navigation to reach its target. Later versions add
14:24infrared homing and laser guidance into the mix. Presumably, Ukraine is going to receive licenses to
14:30build all types of hammer, granting it exceptional versatility when it comes to using these weapons to
14:35bolster a mid-range strike campaign that is already ruining Russian logistics and command structures in
14:40the rear. The rocket motor in a hammer kit extends a dumb bomb's range by more than 70 kilometers,
14:47with the various guidance systems offering a circular error probable of between 1 and 10 meters. So
14:53Ukraine gets power and accuracy, just as it does with the Storm Shadow, only to serve a different
14:57purpose. Both of these weapons are vital for Ukraine. The Russian news agency TASS reports that
15:04Ukraine has already used more than 500 Scalp, Storm Shadow, and American-made Atachems missiles
15:09against Russia as of March, and it would likely have used a lot more if it had them. About half
15:15of these
15:15500-plus strikes were conducted using Scalp and Storm Shadow, 120 in 2023, 90 in 2024, and 45 in 2025.
15:25You can see the downward trend there, which tells us that Ukraine has stockpile challenges.
15:29Not anymore. With its new license, Ukraine can build as many Scalp missiles as it can afford.
15:35As for Assam Hammers, we mentioned earlier that they are already part of the mid-range strike campaign
15:40that Ukraine has launched against Russia. More of these bomb kits mean a capability to deliver bombs
15:45weighing up to 1,000 kilograms on top of all the mid-range strike drones that Ukraine is unleashing.
15:50It's all over for Russia now, and here's why.
15:54We mentioned earlier that it will take Russia 14 years to capture Donetsk at its current rate of
15:58advance. The Institute for the Study of War highlights just how slow that advance is.
16:03In both April and May, Russia suffered net territorial losses, adding up to almost 400 square kilometers,
16:10so not an advance at all. Russia managed to reverse the trend in June,
16:13but only to the tune of 30.02 square kilometers. That's practically nothing in the context of the
16:19invasion. And this piddling rate of movement is happening because Ukraine keeps battering the
16:23Russian rear. What do Scalp and Assam Hammers allow Ukraine to do? Hit that rear even harder.
16:29For Putin, that will mean more weakness on the front and more problems in the rear to deal with.
16:33And remember, there will be Shrike drones on the front lines doing damage, Aster 30s in the skies taking
16:39away Russia's long-range missile advantage, and the prospect of Rafale fighter jets to come in
16:432028 that will expand Ukraine's aerial capabilities. All of this amounts to something very simple.
16:50Russia is falling behind at a time when Ukraine is getting more powerful.
16:54What Germany and France have really done here is establish deeper partnerships with Ukraine
16:58at a time when Russia lags technologically, and both its oil and human resources are dwindling.
17:03The war of attrition that Putin started has blown up in his face. Now Ukraine has the advantage.
17:09And now that Putin knows what's coming from France and Germany, it's all over.
17:14Russia's president may not admit it. He may be so trapped in his own war that he can't admit defeat,
17:19but he knows that Ukraine getting more drones and the ability to build the advanced weapons that
17:23counter everything that Russia tries to do is terrible for his plans. Russia is going to lose.
17:29In fact, it's lost key territory already. No, Ukraine hasn't gone on a massive counterattack
17:34that has liberated entire regions. But what Ukraine has done is take control of an area that was supposed
17:39to help win Russia the war, the Black Sea. Zelensky says Ukraine has won the battle for the Black Sea,
17:45and we'll explain what that means and why it matters in our video. And if you enjoyed this video,
17:50remember to hit the subscribe button and ring the notification bell so you see more from the
17:55military show in your feet. And thank you as always for watching.
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