You won't believe what's brewing up north! Canada is actually drafting war scenarios against the US for the first time in a century. Dive into this wild story and discover the real reasons behind the tension, from economic battles to Arctic ambitions. Don’t miss out—hit that subscribe button and let us know in the comments what shocked you most! #news #Canada #USA #politics #internationalrelations
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0:00 - Canada Plans for Possible US Conflict
0:16 - Background: Tensions and Response Plans
0:53 - Canada-US Alliance and Rising Tensions
1:57 - Alberta Separatism and US Contacts
3:33 - Military Power Imbalance and Hypothetical Strategies
5:00 - International Implications of Military Scenarios
5:51 - Canada's Shift Toward Diversification
7:25 - Significance and Arctic Security Concerns
👉 This channel was created in collaboration with https://www.youtube.com/@센서스튜디오
0:00 - Canada Plans for Possible US Conflict
0:16 - Background: Tensions and Response Plans
0:53 - Canada-US Alliance and Rising Tensions
1:57 - Alberta Separatism and US Contacts
3:33 - Military Power Imbalance and Hypothetical Strategies
5:00 - International Implications of Military Scenarios
5:51 - Canada's Shift Toward Diversification
7:25 - Significance and Arctic Security Concerns
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NewsTranscript
00:00Canada has officially begun drafting war scenarios assuming a war with the United States.
00:03The very fact that Canada is creating plans assuming a war with the US
00:06is something that hasn't happened in a hundred years.
00:09Today, let's take a proper look at this story. Let's dive right in.
00:11Before that, if you'd like to get the fastest international news in the country,
00:14please visit SBH News. I'd really appreciate it.
00:16According to a report by the New York Times,
00:18after US President Trump threatened to make Canada the 51st state of the United States,
00:22Canada took this threat very seriously.
00:24Because of this, they've reportedly reviewed in detail the possibility of a US-led military invasion.
00:29On top of that, according to a report by the Globe and Mail,
00:32the Canadian military drafted a hypothetical scenario of a US invasion of Canada
00:35and reportedly formulated detailed plans on how to respond to it.
00:39It is said that the response plans included key measures ranging from using militias
00:43to guerrilla warfare like that seen in Afghanistan.
00:45You might ask if it's only natural to draw up war plans with neighboring countries, though.
00:49The very fact that Canada is formulating war plans against the United States is extremely unusual.
00:53Canada is an irreplaceable ally of the United States.
00:55It's a founding member of NATO,
00:57and in North America, the US and Canada jointly operate an integrated air defense system.
01:01Yet for such a Canada to assume a US invasion and draft a response plan
01:04is something that hasn't happened in 100 years.
01:07According to the New York Times,
01:08they mention that Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney comes from a finance background,
01:12where one approaches the world by thoroughly evaluating worst-case scenarios
01:15and preparing countermeasures,
01:17suggesting that what Prime Minister Mark Carney did might just be a risk management measure.
01:21The Canadian Prime Minister's office stated they have no further comment on this war plan.
01:24That said, President Trump's repeated pressure on Canada
01:27is cited as a key factor behind Prime Minister Carney,
01:29considering even the possibility of a military conflict with the United States.
01:33Since taking office,
01:35President Trump has repeatedly claimed that Canada should become the 51st state of the US,
01:39continuing to make remarks concerning Canada's sovereignty.
01:42Compounded by conflicts between the two nations over tariffs,
01:45analysis suggests that the Canadian government
01:47has begun to view its relationship with the US from a different perspective.
01:50In fact, with recent economic conflicts between the US and Canada expanding into tariff disputes,
01:55tensions between the two countries have escalated.
01:57However, Canada is concerned because circumstances have emerged
02:00connecting Canada's internal separatist movements with American figures.
02:04A prime example is the province of Alberta in western Canada.
02:07Alberta is a region with well-developed oil and natural resource industries,
02:11where dissatisfaction with federal government policies
02:13and movements advocating for independence have long existed.
02:16Recently, this movement has been drawing attention again,
02:18following reports that the Alberta Prosperity Project,
02:21an Alberta separatist group, made contact with US government officials.
02:25In particular, a Financial Times report stated that
02:27officials from the Alberta Prosperity Project met with US State Department officials several times
02:31and are pursuing discussions regarding the financial support needed
02:34should Alberta gain independence.
02:36It was reported that the group even brought up a large-scale line of credit
02:39to support the post-independence transition.
02:41During this process, Jeff Jeffries, legal counsel for the Alberta Prosperity Project,
02:46made remarks suggesting that the United States has a significant interest
02:49in a free and independent Alberta.
02:52However, the US government drew the line stating that the contact took place
02:54during routine meetings with civil society figures
02:56and that there was no support or specific commitment for independence.
02:59This is the part the Canadian government is bound to view very sensitively.
03:02That is because separatist forces inside Canada discussing independence among themselves
03:06is a completely different matter from them discussing post-independence economic aid
03:10or state governance with foreign government officials.
03:12In fact, strong concerns were raised even within Canadian political circles
03:16over contacts between US government officials and Alberta separatists.
03:19On the other hand, the US government stated that
03:21no promises of support were made during the contacts in question
03:24and Pete Hoekstra, the US ambassador to Canada,
03:27also denied claims that the Trump administration was discussing strategy
03:30with Alberta separatists or preparing to support them.
03:33However, here lies the problem that Canada must contemplate most seriously.
03:36That is none other than the disparity in military power between the US and Canada.
03:39Assuming Canada engages in an all-out conventional war with the US,
03:43it is difficult to compare the two countries on equal terms.
03:45Backed by an immense defense budget,
03:47the United States operates aircraft carrier forces capable of conducting operations worldwide,
03:50strategic bombers, fighter jets, submarines, as well as satellite and intelligence assets.
03:54On the other hand, the Canadian armed forces are organized on a scale
03:57to handle homeland defense and NATO international missions,
03:59so they aren't structured to sustain a large-scale conventional war
04:01at the same level as the US for an extended period.
04:03The difference becomes especially problematic as the war drags on.
04:06The US has a vast military-industrial base capable of continuously deploying troops and equipment
04:10while replenishing losses.
04:12Canada would inevitably face significant limitations in halting a US attack over a prolonged period,
04:16relying solely on its regular forces.
04:18Therefore, when Canada reviewed the possibility of a US invasion,
04:21the critical variable was not whether it could fight back in the same manner as the United States.
04:25With the regular forces' strength vastly outmatched,
04:27the core issue becomes how to sustain the nation's defensive capabilities.
04:31Because of this, it is known that the Canadian Armed Forces' hypothetical model
04:34discuss irregular warfare tactics, such as surprise attacks by small units,
04:37ambushes, drone deployment, and sabotage against infrastructure,
04:39alongside conventional combat responses.
04:41This does not mean Canada could overpower the United States militarily.
04:45Rather, it is a response strategy predicated on the vast disparity in military power
04:48between their regular armed forces.
04:50For Canada, rather than fighting a war on the same terms as the United States,
04:53it is necessary to consider maintaining a prolonged resistance capability
04:56by leveraging their own geographical conditions and vast territory.
05:00Of course, if the United States were to actually invade Canada,
05:02the diplomatic burden it would face in the international community would inevitably be immense.
05:07In particular, Canada has long cooperated with the US in economic and security fields
05:11and is also a member of NATO.
05:12Attacking such a country with military force would be an issue
05:15that could significantly impact the United States' existing alliances as well.
05:18In particular, Canada has recently even been moving to further strengthen its ties with Europe.
05:23In his speech to the European Parliament,
05:25Prime Minister Mark Carney stated that Canada and the EU need to expand their strategic cooperation further,
05:29and proposals also came from the EU side to take relations with Canada to the next level.
05:33In this situation, if the US were to actually take military action against Canada,
05:37it could cause a significant blow to the political trust between the US and Europe as well.
05:41For the US as well, a war with Canada wouldn't just end as a simple military issue.
05:44It's a matter that could impact internal NATO relations, diplomatic ties with Europe,
05:48and even the perception of America's role in the international community.
05:51So, realistically speaking, the chances of an actual war breaking out between the US and Canada are extremely low.
05:55However, there are definitely changes happening in Canada.
05:57The shifts emerging as Canada examines the possibility of a conflict with the US go far beyond just military preparedness.
06:02Rather, what deserves more attention is their move to reduce dependence on the US
06:06while simultaneously expanding economic and security ties with other nations.
06:10Prime Minister Mark Carney has also stated multiple times that rather than completely severing ties with the US,
06:14Canada's direction is to diversify its trade and security partners so that it does not become overly dependent on any
06:19single nation.
06:20While continuing negotiations with the US,
06:22the Canadian government is expanding exports to other markets like Europe and Asia and pushing for new economic and security
06:27cooperation.
06:27Relations with Europe are especially noteworthy.
06:30Canada is expanding cooperation with the European Union in areas like the defense industry,
06:34critical minerals, energy, and artificial intelligence,
06:36and is also participating in SAFE, Europe's defense procurement program.
06:40Recently, there are even discussions on ways to further develop ties with the European Union.
06:43On top of that, they've also formally applied to join the Joint Expeditionary Force,
06:46a rapid response military partnership led by the UK.
06:48While maintaining its existing security ties with the US,
06:51a push to broaden a separate network of military cooperation with European nations is emerging.
06:55The same trend is appearing in the economic sector as well.
06:58Canada is expanding its export markets to Asia, India, and ASEAN,
07:01while pursuing policies to increase exports to non-US regions.
07:04This doesn't mean giving up on relations with the US.
07:06That's because the economic ties with the US are still enormous.
07:09It's just about reducing the risks of becoming overly dependent on a single country
07:13and expanding Canada's economic and diplomatic options.
07:16As a result, Canada seems to be trying to diversify its US-centric economy a bit more.
07:21Regardless, President Trump is expected to ramp up pressure on Canada even further.
07:25Given the situation, the trade war between the US and Canada doesn't seem likely to end easily.
07:29There's one more point worth addressing here.
07:31This recently revealed Canadian invasion scenario of the US shouldn't be taken as an operational order
07:35to actually wage war against America.
07:37The details covered in the published reports are closer to an analysis
07:40of how Canada might respond in the extreme hypothetical scenario of an American invasion.
07:44In other words, it doesn't mean a concrete war plan to fight the US right now has been finalized.
07:48Rather, its significance lies in the fact that they've started reviewing,
07:51from a national security perspective, scenarios they rarely considered in the past.
07:55And when looking at Canada's response,
07:56there is one more region we need to examine, the Arctic.
07:59Canada's security issues cannot be explained solely by its southern border with the United States.
08:03Canada holds extensive territory and maritime zones in the Arctic,
08:06and its northern region, including the Arctic Ocean and the Northwest Passage,
08:09is directly tied to its territorial sovereignty.
08:12Recently, the Canadian Armed Forces have also been bolstering their capabilities in the Arctic
08:15for surveillance, reconnaissance, maritime, land, and air operations,
08:18as well as the deployment of troops and equipment in remote areas.
08:21In 2026, they are enhancing their constant surveillance and response capabilities
08:25through multiple operations across the Arctic and northern regions.
08:28In the future, the Arctic is highly likely to see various disputes and conflicts emerge.
08:32If Canada joins hands with Russia and China to survive against the United States,
08:36it would become an enormous headache for the US.
08:39Right now, China claims to be a near-Arctic state
08:41and is attempting to expand its influence in the Arctic
08:43so they could easily see these ongoing disputes between the US and Canada as an opportunity.