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Speaking to India Today, former Indian Ambassador to China Ashok Kantha analyzed the state of bilateral relations following official discussions and statements. He dismissed notions of a breakthrough, stating, "I will not characterize it as a new dawn in India-China relations or a reset of relations." Kantha highlighted key differences in the diplomatic readouts from New Delhi and Beijing, noting that India treats peace and tranquility at the border as an essential prerequisite for normalization, whereas China seeks to advance relations on parallel tracks. He pointed out unresolved operational realities on the ground, such as reports of Chinese transgressions in Arunachal Pradesh and an absence of de-escalation. Furthermore, Kantha cited structural hurdles, including widening trade imbalances, Chinese decrees restricting technology transfers, China-Pakistan battlefield coordination during Operation Sindoor in May 2025, and unilateral hydropower dam construction in seismically active Tibet.

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00:00And joining me now on India First is Ambassador Ashok Khan,
00:03former Indian ambassador to China.
00:06Ambassador, welcome.
00:08Prime Minister Narendra Modi and President Xi
00:11have described each other as partners and not rivals,
00:15or words to that effect,
00:16and they're committed to a fair, reasonable,
00:18and mutually acceptable resolution of the boundary question.
00:22Sir, in your view, given the past track record,
00:27do you see this as a genuine reset in India-China ties,
00:33a new beginning?
00:34Or is this, you know, just taking baby steps,
00:37trying to restore the relationship?
00:41Gaurav, I will not characterize it as a new dawn in India-China relations
00:46or a reset of relations.
00:49In fact, you only need to look at the readouts
00:53issued by Minister External Affairs of India
00:56and Minister of Foreign Affairs of China yesterday.
00:59And there's a big gap.
01:01In fact, the formulation was just referred to
01:03partner, not partners, not rivals.
01:06Chinese readout has that formulation.
01:09Indian readout doesn't have that formulation.
01:11And there are some other very substantive issues
01:14on where two readouts are not convergent.
01:19For instance, if you look at our readout,
01:23the whole paragraph is devoted to boundary issue,
01:26especially need to maintain peace and tranquility in border areas.
01:30Whereas the Chinese readout says that,
01:32you know, we must advance bilateral ties and boundary issue
01:37on parallel tracks that reinforce each other.
01:41That means, you know, they are parallel tracks.
01:45They are not really intersecting tracks.
01:47Whereas our position is that it's only when borders are normal,
01:53we can look at overall relations being normal.
01:56It's a very, very substantive difference.
01:58True.
02:00Yes, so let's take this step by step.
02:03Prime Minister Narendra Modi stressed on peace and tranquility
02:05at the borders.
02:06And that remains the essential basis of this relationship
02:09to move forward.
02:11When you see the Chinese, you know, readout,
02:14that boundary issue moves in parallel with improving ties.
02:18Now, what does this actually mean on ground?
02:22What are key benchmarks that we should look at
02:25that indicate that China also has a genuine desire
02:29to move forward, improving ties with India,
02:32ensuring there's peace and tranquility at the borders?
02:35It has been a substantive difference between two sides.
02:39We maintain that peace and tranquility
02:43is an essential prerequisite for continued normalization.
02:47Chinese don't accept that position.
02:49If you look at situation on the ground,
02:52unfortunately, what we are witnessing,
02:55recently we had reports on Arshir Pradesh
02:58about transgressions by China, you know,
03:01in Asafila area, possibly even in Longzhou area.
03:05You have a situation where disengagement
03:08was more or less agreed upon way back in October 2024.
03:14And since then, there has been absolutely no progress
03:18on de-escalation of troops.
03:20So there is still, you know,
03:22continued deployment of troops from both sides
03:24at a very high level,
03:27which is, you know, far from normal.
03:30The issue of de-induction, you know,
03:32doesn't figure at all at this point in time.
03:35So what I'm trying to say that,
03:36if you look at, you know, situation on ground,
03:41I think our concerns are definitely, you know,
03:46rooted in a factual position
03:50and our apprehensions are correct.
03:53Oh, absolutely.
03:54Because, you know, especially when it comes to China
03:57and who knows that better than you,
03:59it's not sweet words,
04:00but action on ground
04:01that must verify the next step in the relationship.
04:05And the two sides,
04:06while they may talk of agreeing
04:08to address the structural trade imbalance,
04:11for example,
04:12or supply chain issues and market access,
04:14the trade deficit stands at an alarming $112 billion.
04:19So do you see any conversation
04:22that indicates there could be, you know,
04:25formal movement or some forward movement
04:28that India gets greater access to Chinese markets?
04:32Our experience so far has not been very encouraging.
04:36We have been raising issue
04:38of getting better access to Chinese market,
04:40even products and services
04:42where we are globally competitive,
04:44for instance, pharmaceuticals or IT services,
04:47where we have been unable to make a dent
04:49into Chinese market.
04:51And trade deficit keeps growing.
04:52Last year, according to Chinese trade statistics,
04:55they had a surplus of $116 billion.
04:57And this year,
04:58they're likely to have been larger trade surplus.
05:01And it's not just a question of trade surplus, Gaurav.
05:05When we talk about economic engagement,
05:07we seem to be moving in opposite directions.
05:11We took steps on 10th March
05:13to liberalize the regime for investments from China
05:16to a certain extent
05:17through, you know,
05:18press note 2 of 2026,
05:20whereas in last three months,
05:23China has issued at least three decrees,
05:26tightening the regime
05:28for outward defense,
05:30outward, you know,
05:31direct investment
05:32for technology transfer,
05:34for moving movement
05:35of Chinese engineers
05:37and technical personnel outside.
05:40And these are specifically in areas
05:42where we are looking at, you know,
05:44Chinese investment
05:45to build up our capabilities,
05:47you know,
05:48electronics,
05:49renewables,
05:49EVs.
05:50They are, in fact,
05:51tightening the regime,
05:52especially, you know,
05:54Decree 837 of 1st July 2026.
05:58It's rather disturbing.
05:59It indeed is.
06:00The point is that
06:00we need to discuss the issue up front
06:03with the Chinese side
06:04in a friendly manner.
06:06But these issues cannot be brushed aside
06:08just by, you know,
06:10more talk that we must have
06:11closer economic engagement.
06:13Yes,
06:13closer economic engagement,
06:14but in what terms?
06:16Important thing is your terms of engagement.
06:18Absolutely.
06:19Because when Chinese president
06:20says that China approaches India
06:23from a strategic
06:24and long-term perspective,
06:26are these just words,
06:29you know,
06:30sweet words
06:31that we get from China?
06:32The irritants,
06:34they remain,
06:35these very serious issues,
06:37they still remain.
06:39What about this conversation,
06:41improve relations
06:42through mutual respect?
06:43If there is mutual respect,
06:45shouldn't we get access,
06:46for example,
06:46to the monopoly that China has
06:48either on solar
06:49or wind energy
06:52or on batteries
06:53or the tunnel-boring machines
06:56that we so, you know,
06:57keenly require?
06:59No, you're absolutely right.
07:01You know,
07:01this language of
07:03taking a strategic
07:04and long-term view
07:05of India-China relations,
07:07we have been talking about it
07:09for more than two decades now.
07:12I was part of those conversations
07:14for quite some time, in fact.
07:18Unfortunately, you know,
07:19those mantras
07:21have to mean something
07:22in real practice.
07:24Yes.
07:25When it comes to, you know,
07:27action on part of two countries,
07:29we don't quite see that.
07:31You know,
07:32you just have referred to
07:33one aspect,
07:35which is economic engagement.
07:37I'll refer to at least
07:39three other aspects
07:40very quickly.
07:42Yes.
07:42If we talk about,
07:44want to talk about,
07:45you know,
07:46reset in relations,
07:47a new dawn in relationship,
07:48it's not possible
07:51unless certain structural
07:53challenges are addressed.
07:56For example?
07:57For example,
07:58you know,
07:59last year,
08:00during Operation Sindhu,
08:02in May 2025,
08:03we witnessed a battlefield
08:05collusion between China
08:07and Pakistan,
08:08which was unprecedented
08:09and which influenced
08:11the battlefield situation
08:13in a very significant manner
08:15to a disadvantage.
08:16Point two, sir?
08:17Yeah.
08:17Point two,
08:18our prime minister
08:20had a meeting
08:21with President Xi
08:22at Kazan
08:22in October 2024,
08:24a good meeting
08:25which marked
08:26no sort of resumption
08:27or process of
08:28rebuilding of relations.
08:30Within two months,
08:31Chinese announced
08:32the largest hydropower projects
08:34at Medoc County
08:36in Tibet
08:36within 50 km
08:38Arnachar Pradesh
08:39and work started
08:40in July last year.
08:41No prior information
08:43to us,
08:44let alone
08:44any consultation
08:45with us.
08:46And now,
08:47concerns have
08:48increased further
08:49after what happened
08:51in Nepal
08:51on 26th of August.
08:54And point three?
08:55No, this project,
08:56I'll just add one point.
08:58This project
08:58is being constructed
09:01in Suspic Zone 5,
09:04an area
09:05which has witnessed
09:06all the worst earthquakes
09:08in that region.
09:10And it's really a case
09:11of engineering hubris
09:12to take up a project
09:14of this magnitude there.
09:16Point three,
09:17I would like to say,
09:18you know,
09:18there's a broader issue.
09:20You referred to
09:21mutual respect.
09:23Mutual respect
09:24also includes,
09:25you know,
09:26acknowledging India
09:27as a peer nation,
09:29as a peer civilization.
09:30But Chinese,
09:31in fact,
09:32they tell us,
09:32in fact,
09:33to discussions
09:33quite bluntly
09:34that what's the
09:36multipolarity
09:37in Asia
09:37we are talking about.
09:38But in Asia,
09:39there's only one
09:40resident major part
09:41that is in China.
09:43And India,
09:44you know,
09:45China's GDP
09:46is more than
09:47five times larger
09:47than India.
09:48So while you're
09:49talking about
09:50multipolarity,
09:51I don't think
09:51India is going
09:52to accept
09:53that kind of
09:54But do we see
09:54a change there
09:57during China's
09:58G20,
09:58China's BRICS
09:59presidency
10:00when they're
10:01trying to sound
10:02conciliatory
10:02and is this
10:03a window of
10:04opportunity
10:04for India
10:05to harness
10:06moving forward?
10:08And that's the story
10:08we will continue
10:09to track.
10:10Ambassador
10:10for joining me
10:12here on this
10:13India Today
10:13special broadcast.
10:15Many thanks.
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