00:00Would you guys like to know why USA Today believes that the Miami Dolphins will go 1-16 this coming
00:10season?
00:11Please explain this to me.
00:12Alright, they did record projections for all the teams in the NFL and the write-up that they give the
00:17Dolphins,
00:18and they do have the Dolphins being the worst team in the NFL.
00:20It says, this isn't meant to disrespect first-year general manager John Eric Sullivan, rookie head coach Jeff Halfley, or
00:29their players.
00:30But there's no denying that the Finns purged this roster, are clearing up their salary cap,
00:37and will predominantly roll with young and or inexperienced starters in 2026, including first-time NFL QB1 Malik Willis.
00:47Miami very much looks like a team that could struggle to pass the ball and struggle to disrupt opposing air
00:55attacks.
00:56The Dolphins also somehow wound up with the AFC's toughest schedule, opponents with a 542 winning percentage in 2025.
01:06And that's with the Jets on their schedule, twice ominous.
01:14I mean, when you hear it in written word, it makes a lot of sense.
01:19Now, it's not taking into account just the normal, typical surprises we see in any sports season, right?
01:26College sports, professional sports, you're going to see surprises.
01:29But, on paper, kind of inarguable.
01:34They're going to have a tough time moving the ball.
01:36They don't have many weapons at wide receiver.
01:38They're going to have a tough time stopping opposing air offenses.
01:42And they have a tough schedule.
01:44Yes, and they're going to have a tough time getting to the quarterback.
01:46You know, we were talking about a couple days ago.
01:48Who's the leading sacker on this team?
01:51Who's the leading receiver on this team?
01:52Who is it?
01:53Devon A. Chan is going to be the leading rusher.
01:54You know, knock on wood that he stays healthy.
01:56We know that, but that's about it.
01:58And they are working with $150 million.
02:02Everybody else is working with $300 million.
02:04But just to the point that they play the Jets twice, that's one win.
02:09They cannot get swept by the Jets.
02:11They are going to sneak up on another win, man.
02:14I just, I can't see it.
02:15Oakland and the Kirk Cousins, like, I see games and I know they have a tough schedule.
02:21The AFC West is hell.
02:23They have a tough schedule.
02:24I don't know how you guys, you and Solana, you and Solana keep talking about the Raiders
02:30week one as being this easy road victory.
02:34And I'm not certain the Raiders are looking at their schedule going, hey, we just have
02:38a few opportunities to win games.
02:40And trust me, the Dolphins are the weakest opponent on their schedule.
02:46It's not that it's an easy game.
02:48I'm not guaranteeing a Dolphins victory.
02:50Hawk, the Raiders are three and a half point favorites at home.
02:53Like, the home team gets three points.
02:56So even Vegas is telling you the difference between the Raiders, who definitely on paper
03:01are, have some more talent than the Miami Dolphins, are only three points better than
03:07the Miami Dolphins, which isn't a heck of a lot.
03:09I think that game is a game that Miami can win.
03:13And as far as the one win goes, do you know the last team to only win a game in
03:18the NFL?
03:19Hey, listen, listen.
03:20Oh, I thought you was about to take a shot at me with the Lions.
03:23I think it was the Lions.
03:24Oh, seven.
03:25No, no, no, I wasn't.
03:26I mean, like we talk about teams being bad every year.
03:30Every year we go into season saying this team stinks there.
03:32And you look at their schedule and you say, who are they going to beat?
03:35How could they beat this team?
03:37X team.
03:37And that's why the NFL is so interesting, because you just don't know.
03:41The last team to only win a game in the NFL was the Jacksonville Jaguars six years ago.
03:49Shoot.
03:49The New York Jets last year did something that hadn't been done since 1844 when they still
03:55played without helmets.
03:57And that was not intercept a ball one time all season long.
04:02And they still managed to, what, win three games last season?
04:05Even, like, bad teams at some point, as bad teams, the New York Jets last year were bad.
04:12And they still managed to win three games.
04:16I'm not telling you the Dolphins are going to the playoffs.
04:18I'm not telling you the Dolphins are winning 10 games.
04:21But it's easy to look at their roster, look at their schedule, and say, yeah, they're not
04:26better than any of these teams.
04:27Well, you don't know where those teams are going to be week 14, week 10, week 11, who
04:32the starting quarterback is going to be.
04:33You just don't know.
04:34The Dolphins are winning more than one game, bro.
04:36I would put my house on it.
04:40Correct.
04:40I would give you that.
04:41I would take the over on that.
04:43The greater conversation we've been having is the Vegas line at four and a half.
04:47And both of you guys are over.
04:49But even the example you're giving of the Jets last season, you're like, look at them.
04:54They got three wins.
04:56The Dolphins are on par with that team.
04:59Yes.
04:59They really are.
05:00I give you that.
05:01So four and a half, like, that's the real debate.
05:04If they end up with one win, I know we've got this mantra, wins and losses don't matter
05:10this season.
05:11It ain't going to be fun if they end up with one win.
05:15So I would take the over.
05:16But I would not take the over on four and a half.
05:20Let me tell you, I've been a part of one win.
05:22And it is not fun.
05:23And I stopped going out to dinner.
05:25I started ordering in because people gave me hell.
05:29But that team, Crowder, quit on the head coach.
05:32Like, that team literally just quit.
05:34Well, that could happen, though.
05:35He was a first-year head coach.
05:36I mean, it can happen.
05:37His team is a perfect example of what can happen if they just aren't buying what the coach is selling.
05:44I would, and I don't know I'm not on the team.
05:48It was easy to give up on Cam Cameron.
05:51It was easy to give up on his philosophy, his goofball stuff, his, I know we lost, but
05:56that was a great game to watch, all that stuff.
05:59I've met Halfley.
06:00Halfley's not built like that.
06:02Halfley got a little something to him.
06:03So, and I don't know if you tell a team, hey, we're not going to go to the playoffs.
06:08I know you got to sell.
06:09Let's go out here and let's shock the world.
06:11That has to be the sale to shock the world.
06:13Sure.
06:14But to set up that culture or start the culture of trying to win without winning,
06:19that is a big, big burden on Halfley's shoulders.
06:23If you're going to, like you're saying, best case scenario, six and 11.
06:28How do you set up a winning culture going six and 11?
06:31That's what Halfley has to do.
06:34You guys, by the way, were really close to being a winless team.
06:39Should have been.
06:40If it wasn't for Brian Billick, forgetting where his testicles were, you guys may have
06:47ended up as a winless team.
06:49And they were more talented than this current Dolphins roster.
06:55Ooh.
06:56Now that's a hell of a question.
06:57I have to look back.
06:58Who was the quarterback?
07:00Starting the season.
07:01Oh, it was Cleo Lemon, wasn't it?
07:02Cleo Lemon.
07:03But he took over after somebody else.
07:07I kind of forget that point in my life.
07:09You know, like when PTSD hits, you just kind of try to put it out of your mind.
07:13Yeah.
07:14Yeah.
07:14Yeah.
07:14When you've been through a traumatic situation, oftentimes the brain doesn't even allow you
07:19to remember it.
07:20They call it fight or flight.
07:21My brain went into flight mode.
07:23I had to flight.
07:24Starting the season, though, I believe, Crowder, you guys, like I was, we have the cuts from
07:30training camp that year that we have to get to at some point.
07:32Your cuts, starting the season that year, like you guys were expecting to be a playoff
07:38team, 9-7, 10-8, or 10-6, whatever it was, because like the roster was good.
07:44That was the Trent Green year, by the way.
07:46That was Trent Green.
07:47Let me explain.
07:490-5-0-6.
07:50That was Saban.
07:510-5-0-6.
07:52Cam took over after Saban.
07:53When Saban was there, we had like a top, I think we were the top three defense first
07:58year, top 10 or 11 second year.
08:00So we were like, our defense is solid.
08:04Let's bring in an offensive guy that can score some points.
08:07And we rolling, baby.
08:09We got us something.
08:10And Cam was supposed to be this genius out of San Diego.
08:14And everybody was selling it to us.
08:16And I was selling it to myself and the team.
08:18And then we found out he was a goofball.
08:20I didn't know what he was doing, but it was too late.
08:23We're 0-7.
08:24Because there's, you know, you've been talking a lot, Solana, about surprises.
08:29There's also surprises on the downside.
08:33Like you're counting on a surprise being on the upside.
08:36The Dolphins were a surprise downside team that one win year.
08:40Like you said, there were thoughts of them going to the playoffs.
08:43Yep.
08:44And they had gotten a big coaching hire.
08:46Cam Cameron was a desired guy.
08:48Oh, six.
08:50We were on the front of ESPN.
08:53Dante Culpepper, Ronnie Brown, Ricky Williams, Chris Chambers, Marty Booker,
08:58Randy McMichael.
08:59We were supposed to win the AFC.
09:02And then we found out that Culpepper's knee didn't bend.
09:06And then it all went downhill again.
09:09We remember, bro.
09:11Trust me.
09:11I'm looking at the Hard Rock app.
09:13You can bet who will be the last winless team.
09:18In the NFL.
09:22Well, with your last report, I say the Dolphins.
09:26It's the Cardinals who are favored, though.
09:27It's the Cardinals.
09:28Cardinals are plus 250.
09:30Dolphins are plus 475.
09:33Yeah.
09:34Because they have the Raiders week one.
09:36That's why.
09:37You have to look at the schedules and see who has a winnable game early.
09:41Hawk, if after that game in Las Vegas, if the Dolphins don't look like a team
09:47with a semblance of competition in them, right?
09:50Like, they just look like a team that was totally outmatched by Las Vegas, then I'm
09:54genuinely ready to have the conversation of when will that win come?
09:58Because the schedule at San Francisco versus the Chiefs at Minnesota versus the
10:05Bengals.
10:05Like, if you can't compete with the Raiders week one, probably not competing with any
10:10of those four teams either.
10:11Well, you can bet on the Hard Rock app to start the season 4-0 or to start the season
10:170-4.
10:19And if you want to bet the Dolphins to start the season 0-4, it's plus 100.
10:24It's even money.
10:25And essentially what you're betting there is that they're going to lose to the Raiders.
10:30They can't beat the Raiders.
10:31That's really what the bet is there.
10:33You're betting even money that they're going to lose to the Raiders because they're not
10:36going to win one of those next three games, I don't think.
10:39No.
10:40Even the Raiders, are we terrified of Jalen Naylor or Jack Beck, Ashton Gentey?
10:46No.
10:47But I am scared of Kirk Cousins.
10:48The Raiders aren't a great roster either.
10:49I'm scared of Kirk Cousins.
10:51I am because he doesn't make mistakes.
10:52Well, he does make mistakes.
10:54But if he's told specific, if he knows he's on a team that's not going anywhere and really
11:00all he needs to do is play fairly conservative and not make mistakes, and I think he's got
11:05enough veteran savvy to pick apart a defense that may not be the greatest defense in the
11:12NFL.
11:12Oh, I'm terrified of playing the Guardians.
11:17They got Stephon Diggs and Terry McLaurin.
11:20I mean, both those receivers should catch 250 yards each in that game.
11:26Who's covering them at practice?
11:28Like, who are we throwing out there?
11:30Solana's boy?
11:31The little white dude?
11:32Like, I don't know how this is going to look.
11:35But the Raiders, I'm not caring about Jalen Naylor.
11:38It's going to be a very boring, low-scoring game.
11:41I'll tell you that much.
11:43Somebody puts on the chat, Hawk, what record does USA Today have in the Cardinals?
11:47I said it in the previous segment.
11:48They've got the Cardinals at 2-15.
11:51Let me see if there's any other real.
11:53They have the Raiders at 3-14.
11:57Jets at 3-14.
12:01And, yeah, those are the real bottom dwellers.
12:04Cardinals, Raiders, Jets, Dolphins.
12:08The wrong side of this list, huh?
12:10We are on the wrong side of the list.
12:14Just don't put it past the substation to give the Dolphins a chance in San Francisco week two, by the
12:21way.
12:22Oh, that's right, because the substation.
12:24But that won't have an effect on the Dolphins, only on the Niners?
12:27Well, no.
12:27I mean, the Niners are practicing literally right next to a magnetic field that is just disintegrating all their bones.
12:33And by week two, they're done, though.
12:36All right.
12:36Fair enough.
12:36We'll hope for that.
12:37You guys have both been pretty adamant over the last few weeks when the futures came out that you would
12:43bet the Dolphins over four and a half wins.
12:46And I'm not certain, like, if I really pressed you on it, I said you have to take $5,000
12:52of your own money and make a wager on over under four and a half wins for the Dolphins this
13:01coming season.
13:02I'm not necessarily certain if I made it to where you really had something to risk and you had to
13:08do it with your head rather than your heart.
13:11I'm not certain either of you would pull the trigger on over four and a half wins.
13:17Who?
13:18I would.
13:20Isn't that just blind faith, then?
13:22It is blind faith.
13:24I don't know what Malik Willis is.
13:25I don't know who these receivers are.
13:27I don't know who's covering anybody in the secondary.
13:29But just it's hard to be that bad.
13:34It's hard to go 16-1, and it's hard to go 1-16.
13:40Teams have a down year.
13:42Teams have a down game.
13:44Five wins.
13:45They've got to get to five wins to hit you're over.
13:49Five and 12.
13:50I was on a 1-15 team, and we were terrible.
13:54I just talked to somebody about this.
13:55They asked me, they're like, what is it like to play on a 1-15 team?
13:58I was like, it was miserable.
13:59But at 0-7, we knew we were terrible, and it just starts going downhill.
14:04And Solana kind of brought it up.
14:06Cam Cameron wasn't changing anything.
14:08The blind faith in Halfley.
14:10The blind faith in Malik Willis.
14:14The blind faith in Caden Proctor.
14:16The blind faith in this old line.
14:18It is blind faith, but I just can't see them being that bad.
14:21I don't know why.
14:22You say it.
14:23It's blind faith.
14:24I watched the 2019 Miami Dolphins, who were starting.
14:30I'm going to throw out some names for you.
14:31Sam Aguavin.
14:33Oh, Sam Aguavin.
14:35Sudden Sam Aguavin.
14:38Nobody called him Sudden Sam.
14:42Vince Beagle.
14:44Taco Charlton.
14:46Taco.
14:47Avery Moss.
14:49I mean, Jesse Davis.
14:51Jesse Davis.
14:53Taco Charlton had a body, though, didn't he?
14:57Yeah.
14:57I remember his name.
14:58I don't even know what it was.
15:00He was a high draft pick for someone.
15:02Yeah, and he brought him back.
15:04Yeah, Dallas.
15:05Dallas.
15:05Listen to the offense.
15:08Patrick Laird.
15:09Oh, that guy.
15:11Don't.
15:11Hey, no disrespect on Patrick Laird on my show.
15:14No, sir.
15:15Alan Hearns.
15:16Oh, you am legend.
15:18I know.
15:19Listen.
15:20I know.
15:20You are running me hot right now.
15:25Miles Gaskin.
15:27What are you doing?
15:29I mean, these are three guys on the Mount Rushmore of Dolphins' offensive threats in the last 10 years.
15:37They are all at home with their families right now.
15:41Patrick Laird.
15:42Miles Gaskin.
15:43And Alan Hearns.
15:44You better find some better examples of futility because you're running me hot.
15:49These were the types of players suiting up for the Miami Dolphins, and they won five games with Brian Flores
15:56as the head coach.
15:58And fine, Ryan Fitzpatrick, say what you will, he was a quality quarterback.
16:02Like, fine.
16:03I don't necessarily subscribe to that notion.
16:05But I don't think the gap between Malik Willis and Ryan Fitzpatrick is some insane gap.
16:12Well, wait, though.
16:12Who were some of the real receiver threats?
16:15Alan Hearns wasn't a number one or number two.
16:19Devontae Parker.
16:21I mean, wasn't that the season that earned him millions of dollars?
16:28It might have been that one or the year after, but either way, Hawk, like that roster, they were actively
16:34benching players at the end of the season because, which I totally understand, which I expect the Dolphins to do
16:41at some point this year as well.
16:43They still found a way to win five games.
16:45I saw it.
16:45I saw a team.
16:46So $5,000 of your own money, you'd still go on the over.
16:49No, I'm not putting five.
16:51I put $5,000 of Cotter's dollars on the over.
16:53No, no, no.
16:54But if you had to bet $5,000 of your own dollars, you would then bet the under?
16:59I would.
17:00Yeah.
17:00Yeah.
17:01I would.
17:01But I would bet easily $5,000 if they win more than one game.
17:06Like, if the line was one and a half.
17:08And I get that.
17:09Right, but it's not that.
17:09The stakes are totally different.
17:11I realize that.
17:11But going back to the USA Today article, Hawk, like one game, it almost, it doesn't happen.
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