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  • 1 week ago
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00:00Shohei Otani, his number has dropped down from the MVP over on Kalshi. It was close to about
00:0785% at one point. He's down to under 70% now, Tom. He's 63%. Pete Crow Armstrong is 36%.
00:15You know what I think, Tom, about this is that I don't think Otani is a good investment one way
00:21or the other, because I do think he's going to win. But I do think if PCA keeps it up,
00:26he may be able to get some more money, a little more bang on your buck. I think this could
00:31rise
00:31a little bit for him. I don't think he's going to win, by the way. I think Otani is going
00:34to win.
00:35But the less Otani pitches, or if he doesn't pitch at all, there could be some narrative to change.
00:40But by the way, for me, Otani is the MVP, even if he pitches 15 games a year and that's
00:44it.
00:44The guy's the best hitter in baseball, or one of them, and pitches, even if it's 15 games a year
00:49and he's great, sign me up. I think he still wins, but I think I like the other investments there.
00:54Yeah, I would say we're in total agreement on this. Otani is going to win the award,
00:58but that doesn't mean that A, he's a good investment at this point, and B,
01:03another player isn't a good investment. Again, we're not looking for PCA to win the award,
01:08but with Otani dealing with the bicep issue, the knee issue, to see him pitch maybe one more time
01:15to close out the season, or no more times, shouldn't shock anyone, but he could still win
01:19the award. To see PCA and his number rise, and you can make money off of that, that's,
01:24I think, a very rational way.
01:27The nationally rookie of the year, I think, is still a little bit in flux. I think that there
01:33could be some potential investment to be made on the back end of this too. I do think one two
01:38ends
01:39up like they are here or close with J.J. Weatherholt and Sal Stewart. But I look, Tom,
01:44and I wonder to myself if this kid Valdez on Pittsburgh continues to hit like he is without
01:51O'Hearn there, and Pittsburgh was to vault a little bit, would he start to get a lot more
01:55attention? Also, Joe Mack on Miami, their record with him is much better than it was without him
02:02too. I think there may be some back end investment here to win, but you look at Weatherholt's numbers
02:08over the course of the season, Tom, they're simply, and Sal Stewart, they're going to be better
02:12than probably all those other guys. But Valdez is a name to keep an eye on. Look,
02:16I didn't know a ton about him going into the year, but here's what I know.
02:19O'Hearn is out. Valdez is going to take his spot in the lineup. And if this guy ends up
02:23hitting 25
02:24home runs, look out. I mean, maybe his numbers are similar to the others. I don't see it. I think
02:29this is unsustainable what he's doing, but just wanted to mention it.
02:33Right. I am, I'm a Sal Stewart believer. And, you know, I talked to him at the beginning of the
02:38year. I'm not sure if you remember, but I, you know, I specifically said that Sal Stewart has a
02:42legitimate chance to win NL rookie of the year. And I'm holding to it. We have a player that is
02:46tied and we're leading, depending on what day of the week it is, the entire MLB in RBIs, not just
02:52NL rookies, not just NL. He's leading the major leagues in RBIs. Now he fell one behind CJ Abrams
02:59who took the lead last night, but we have a player that leads the league in RBIs. Some of his
03:04strikeout
03:04numbers aren't great. Weatherholt's war is higher. There's a lot of other factors, but if there's one
03:09investment to make, it's going to be Sal Stewart being a great power hitter, potentially leading
03:14the league with 30 and a hundred and whatever RBIs, homeruns and RBIs. That's the place I'd go.
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