Ukraine has launched an unprecedented drone campaign targeting Russia's shadow fleet in the Sea of Azov, striking fuel tankers, cargo ships, and critical logistics supporting Crimea. As explosions spread across key maritime routes, Russia faces mounting challenges supplying the occupied peninsula. In this video, we break down Ukraine's evolving strategy, why these strikes could reshape the war around Crimea, and what they reveal about Russia's weakening control in the Black Sea region.
⏱️ CHAPTERS:
00:00 - Ukraine drone strikes target Russian shadow fleet
00:44 - Ukraine destroys 70 Russian tankers with drones
08:02 - Russia blocks Kerch Strait shipping after drone strikes
08:55 - Why Russian air defenses failed against Ukraine drones
13:14 - Ukraine drone blockade triggers Crimea fuel shortages
16:20 - Can Ukraine liberate Crimea by cutting off supplies?
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SOURCES: https://pastebin.com/8sCXg89h
⏱️ CHAPTERS:
00:00 - Ukraine drone strikes target Russian shadow fleet
00:44 - Ukraine destroys 70 Russian tankers with drones
08:02 - Russia blocks Kerch Strait shipping after drone strikes
08:55 - Why Russian air defenses failed against Ukraine drones
13:14 - Ukraine drone blockade triggers Crimea fuel shortages
16:20 - Can Ukraine liberate Crimea by cutting off supplies?
Support us directly as we bring you independent, up-to-date reporting on military news and global conflicts by clicking here: https://www.youtube.com/@TheMilitaryShow/join
#militarystrategy #militarydevelopments #militaryanalysis
#themilitaryshow
SOURCES: https://pastebin.com/8sCXg89h
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NewsTranscript
00:00We can't believe what we're seeing in the waters around Crimea right now.
00:03Russian Shadow Fleet ships that don't exist are being struck like crazy.
00:09Over and over, Ukraine strikes.
00:11This is a savage campaign of ship sinking that goes down as the largest drone strike in naval history.
00:18Russian supply ships and fuel tankers are simply disappearing, lost to fire and smoke.
00:24And the best of it is that Putin is powerless to stop any of it, as Ukraine storms closer to
00:30liberating Crimea by the day.
00:32How do we know Putin can do nothing?
00:35But Ukraine's results prove it.
00:37We've seen a week of destruction that shows us that something massive has changed in Ukraine's naval strategy.
00:43We start on July 7th.
00:46That's when the news broke that Ukraine had pulled off a strike that achieved industrial-scale results.
00:51Spoiler alert, this ended up being the smallest of the five days of strikes.
00:56Eight of Russia's fuel tankers in the Sea of Azov were hit by Ukrainian drones,
01:01alongside a ferry being used to ship supplies to Crimea and a dry cargo ship with the same job.
01:08The Shadow Fleet is leaving the area, the commander of Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces, Robert Brovdy, blared on Telegram, adding,
01:16the battle for fuel for Crimea in the Sea of Azov continues.
01:20That's a hint about why Ukraine is doing this.
01:23Isolation of the Crimean Peninsula is the goal.
01:26With the overland routes cut off, Ukraine now focuses on shipping.
01:30If this were an isolated strike, it would still be massive for Ukraine.
01:34Not only would it have exacerbated a fuel crisis in Crimea that has spread so deep
01:38that even Russian soldiers are being told that they are now only allowed to start their vehicles
01:43if they are going on a combat mission.
01:45But this strike sent a message.
01:47Ukraine's drones can both reach the Sea of Azov and conduct strikes right by the Kerch bridge
01:53that is the only route out of Crimea for hundreds of thousands of Russian occupiers.
01:58But Ukraine had more up its sleeve.
02:01So much more.
02:02Like a magician, Ukraine has been making Russian Shadow Fleet ships disappear all over the Sea of Azov.
02:08July 8th brought with it a new report.
02:11This time it was nine tankers struck in the Sea of Azov, Brovdy reported,
02:15giving Ukraine a running total of 17 tankers down in two days.
02:21Ready to see the next Shadow Showdown, Brovdy asked in a mocking Telegram post
02:26to mark the day of strikes.
02:28Ready?
02:28Putin already sees it.
02:30He's being forced to watch as fuel tankers burn and his Crimean air defences seem utterly
02:35incapable of doing anything about it.
02:38Ukraine has a strategy of weakening Russia's logistics throughout the Crimean region,
02:42and it's fast becoming apparent that drone strikes against fuel trucks were just the start.
02:48Now tankers are in the mix.
02:50Russia might have been hoping for a day off at this point.
02:53If it was, Ukraine wasn't about to deliver any respite.
02:56On July 9th, the new voice of Ukraine reported that Ukraine unleashed another overnight attack,
03:02with the targets this time being 12 of Russia's Shadow Fleet oil tankers,
03:07along with a dry cargo ship and a tugboat.
03:10Frankly, we're losing count at this point.
03:12And just to add to Russia's oil woes, Ukraine also used this night to attack the Yugrusi oil
03:17terminal in Batysk, which is in Russia's Rostov oblast.
03:21The terminal is part of Russia's fuel export supply chain,
03:24and it also provides fuel to Russian occupiers operating in the southern direction in Ukraine.
03:29So Ukraine isn't just striking the Shadow Fleet ships,
03:33it's taking out the source of Russia's fuel.
03:36Still, there were far more ships to come.
03:38July 10th brought with it another series of strikes that have
03:42utterly ruined Shadow Fleet ships that are technically not supposed to exist.
03:46July 10th saw another escalation, as Ukraine's drones struck 13 Shadow Fleet ships.
03:53As a little bonus, those drones also headed into the Crimean mainland,
03:57where they disabled five electrical substations that Russia needs to keep power flowing through the peninsula.
04:02Every substation that goes down forces blackouts and diversions.
04:06But the headline here is the ships.
04:09Ten oil tankers, a ferry, a bulk carrier, and a marine tugboat were struck by Ukraine's drones.
04:15By this point, it had become clear that Ukraine has planned a coordinated assault
04:19that is multi-layered and brilliant.
04:21The Sea of Azov has become a death zone for any ship that dares sail it.
04:26During the same 24 hours of the July 10th Azov strikes,
04:29Ukraine's drones also hit 1,660 other enemy targets and eliminated 426 soldiers.
04:38All of this builds on a campaign targeting the roads, bridges, and highways that feed into Crimea,
04:43a campaign which has forced Russia to cut on-land military cargo traffic by 71%, according to Brovdy.
04:51Bewildered and befuddled, Russia's occupiers must have been hoping or practically begging for the firestorm to stop.
04:59It didn't.
05:00Ukraine still had the big one up its sleeve.
05:02On July 11th, another series of overnight strikes claimed 21 Russian oil tankers in the Sea of Azov region,
05:09along with a pair of dry cargo vessels, four tugboats, and a specialized vessel.
05:14Their shadow tanker fleet is noticeably shrinking, Brovdy said mockingly in his telegram report.
05:20We mean, of course it is.
05:22Dozens of ships are being hit by drones.
05:24Vessels that lurk in the shadows have been exposed and are now on fire.
05:28The July 11th firestorm now stands as the single largest maritime drone operation that Ukraine has pulled off,
05:35United24 media reports.
05:37And just as another bonus, Ukraine also kindly took out 53 other military targets across Crimea,
05:44as 21 tankers and several other Shadow Fleet vessels burned in the Sea of Azov.
05:49Ukraine has found the Crimean off switch, and it's just flicked that switch.
05:53How could it get any worse?
05:55Putin's Kremlin cronies must have been thinking as they watched the flames spread on their Shadow Fleet ships.
06:00Ukraine had the answer on July 12th.
06:03That's right, another night of Shadow Fleet strikes.
06:06This time, the count was a little smaller than we saw on July 7th.
06:10According to the Kiev Independent, only 14 Shadow Fleet vessels went down, including 10 oil tankers and 4 ferries.
06:19Brovdy says these strikes capped a week when Ukraine struck a Russian vessel in the Sea of Azov every 112
06:24minutes.
06:25We would say that Russia could finally breathe.
06:28We'd probably be wrong about that.
06:30We're writing this script on July 13th,
06:32and we'd be willing to bet good money that there will be even more strike reports tomorrow,
06:36and the next day, and the next.
06:38This is a non-stop campaign of Crimean isolation and Shadow Fleet shattering,
06:43and we don't even have to just take Ukraine's word for what's happening.
06:46There is evidence beyond Brovdy's telegram declarations.
06:50That's NASA's FIRM's satellites, which track active fires and hotspots,
06:54have been highlighting fires all over the Sea of Azov over the last few days.
06:58We know what those fires are.
07:00They're burning Shadow Fleet ships that have been struck by drones.
07:04The world makes a big deal about Iran closing off the Strait of Hormuz, and rightfully so,
07:08but what we've seen this July is Ukraine unleashing drone strikes
07:12that go far beyond anything that Iran has been able to pull off.
07:15The Kerch Strait has become a no-go zone for Russian shipping.
07:19The Shadow Fleet is being shrunk,
07:22and every one of the ships that Ukraine is targeting
07:24is in a very specific location that links to Ukraine's overall strategy of isolating Crimea.
07:30The Sea of Azov is connected to the Black Sea via the Kerch Strait,
07:34over which the bridge that we mentioned earlier is located.
07:36The ships that Ukraine has been hitting transport oil, grain, supplies, and more
07:41through the Kerch Strait into the Black Sea,
07:43and then on to Crimea or the Ukrainian mainland, or vice versa.
07:47Ships move through the Sea of Azov to get into international waters too.
07:51What Ukraine is essentially doing here is creating a blockade,
07:54similar to the one that we see in the Strait of Hormuz,
07:57only it's far more explosive.
07:59And that blockade is having an impact.
08:01Russia has been forced into making a move that it never wanted to make.
08:05But before we reveal what that move is,
08:07this is a reminder that you are watching The Military Show.
08:10There's a lot more where this comes from,
08:12so make sure you hit subscribe if you're getting value from our channel.
08:15So, the big move.
08:17Russia has been forced to stop shipping through the Don Azov channel,
08:21which links the Don River through the Sea of Azov.
08:23That's bad for Russia.
08:24The country is one of the largest exporters of grain in the world,
08:28and a quarter of what it sells flows through this very channel.
08:32Russia's FSB has announced that no requests for passage through the Kerch Strait
08:36would be accepted from 1810 local time on July 10th.
08:40There is no indication of when this halt to shipping will be lifted.
08:44If we had to guess,
08:45it'll probably be when Ukraine's drones aren't tearing through
08:48Shadow Fleet ships in the Sea of Azov.
08:50There doesn't seem to be much chance of that happening anytime soon.
08:54More Shadow Fleet ships are going to burn.
08:56There are three things that Ukraine's Sea of Azov campaign tells us,
09:01and none of them are good for Russia as it stands by helplessly
09:03while more and more of its Shadow Fleet ships are damaged and sunk.
09:07The first is what we just mentioned.
09:09Russia seems incapable of doing anything about what Ukraine is doing.
09:13It's become abundantly clear that Ukraine isn't conducting
09:16isolated strikes against the Shadow Fleet.
09:18This is a coordinated and multi-day campaign
09:21that seems designed to wipe the Shadow Fleet
09:24out of the Sea of Azov altogether.
09:26Ukraine's drones are coming from multiple directions,
09:29which indicates that Ukraine has achieved air superiority over the Sea of Azov.
09:33It's also clear that Russia isn't using military ships
09:36to escort its Shadow Fleet ships through this waterway.
09:39Those ships might have contained the air defenses needed to shoot Ukraine's drones down,
09:43but they clearly aren't there.
09:45That probably has something to do with Ukraine having already destroyed
09:48at least a third of the Black Sea fleet
09:50that might have been able to offer protection,
09:52showing us yet another layer to Ukraine's strategy.
09:56First, the warships, then the Shadow Fleet tankers.
09:59And to cap it all off,
10:01it also seems like Russia has no early warning aircraft
10:04operating over the Sea of Azov or the Kerch Strait.
10:07There has been no indication that Russia is engaging Ukraine's drones in any meaningful way,
10:12which would suggest a lack of the early warning systems
10:15that would let whatever air defenses Russia has in the coastal regions around the Sea of Azov
10:19know that a drone attack is coming.
10:21Russia is completely incapable of stopping Ukraine from doing what it's doing.
10:26A week's worth of daily strikes proves that.
10:30Russia's naval weakness in the waters that surround Crimea has been exposed here.
10:34But as much as that fact will have Putin and his people panicking,
10:37there's the second aspect to all of this that showcases a complete transformation
10:41in how Ukraine is approaching its naval campaign against Russia.
10:45Something has changed.
10:47A campaign that once focused on warships has evolved.
10:51For anybody who has been paying attention,
10:53this is a natural progression that Russia should have seen coming.
10:56We already mentioned Ukraine's massive success rate against the Black Sea fleet.
11:01The warships that Ukraine has already taken out of commission can't be replaced.
11:06Turkey has made sure of that.
11:08It has blocked warship traffic through both the Bosporus and Dardanelles Straits,
11:12which both feed into the Black Sea and Turkey controls under the Montreux Convention.
11:17Every time Russia loses a Black Sea fleet ship,
11:20it loses a massive portion of the naval power that Putin needs to project in the Crimean region.
11:25The result of all of this is that the Black Sea fleet has become functionally useless
11:29for many of the purposes that it's intended to serve.
11:32We see that in the lack of military escorts for the Shadow Fleet ships that we mentioned.
11:36On June 26, UA.News reported that the fleet isn't just failing to escort ships.
11:42It has essentially disappeared from radar altogether.
11:46By the time of the report,
11:48none of Russia's warships have been detected in the Black Sea or the Sea of Azov.
11:52That isn't because Russia hasn't come up with some miraculous new camouflage
11:56that hides those ships from radars.
11:58It's due to the ships simply not being there.
12:01Russia is too scared to use its warships
12:03in the very seas that those warships are supposed to dominate
12:06because it knows that Ukraine's drones and missiles are always waiting to strike.
12:11Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky knows how badly Russia has failed.
12:15Russia has lost the Black Sea, Zelensky declared on July 5th.
12:20Uncoincidentally, it was right around this time
12:22that Ukraine's drones started to attack the Shadow Fleet vessels
12:25that we're seeing getting struck in their dozens in the Sea of Azov.
12:28Ukraine's campaign in the waters around Crimea has evolved,
12:31with the Black Sea fleet no longer a factor.
12:34Ukraine is free to focus its drones on Shadow Fleet vessels that are unguarded.
12:38That evolution may also be a response to something
12:41that Russia had been trying to pull in the Sea of Azov
12:43just ahead of Ukraine's attacks.
12:45The Kyiv Post reports that starboard maritime intelligence data
12:48indicated a 55% decline
12:51in vessels using the active automatic identification system
12:55in the Sea of Azov between June 30th and July 11th.
12:58That system allows for the identification of ships by all parties
13:02and Shadow Fleet vessels turn it off to ensure that they can't be tracked.
13:07In short, Russia was making the Sea of Azov a haven for its Shadow Fleet.
13:11Ukraine has put a stop to that.
13:13And in doing so, it's shown us the third thing
13:16that Ukraine's Sea of Azov campaign tells us.
13:18The campaign to isolate Crimea has been escalated,
13:22as a new phase of cutting off Russian supply routes has been started.
13:26We've seen this isolation strategy in action for a few months now.
13:30It started with the roads, bridges, and vehicles
13:32that Russia relied on to transport fuel and supplies into Crimea via land.
13:37The R-280 highway, which links Russia, occupied southern Ukraine, and Crimea,
13:42became a target as early as April,
13:44as Ukraine's mid-strike drones made their mark
13:47in the form of leaving hundreds of burned husks of supply vehicles all over the road.
13:52Since then, Ukraine has carried out multiple strikes
13:55against bridges in the occupied territories
13:57that feed into the overland routes Russia relies on
14:00to keep Crimea stocked with fuel and supplies.
14:03The result has been a massive fuel shortage that racks the peninsula
14:06and forces people to queue for hours
14:09just to get a small portion of rationed fuel.
14:12There are also strikes inside Crimea,
14:15such as the attacks on power substations that we mentioned earlier.
14:18The goal is to make life in Crimea hell for Russia's occupiers
14:22without resorting to the war crime of attacking those occupiers directly.
14:26Ukraine wants those occupiers to run,
14:29to evacuate Crimea by the Kerch bridge that Ukraine purposefully leaves standing,
14:34as this exodus will be a huge blow to Putin's claims
14:37that he is Russia's great protector.
14:39Ukraine's on-land strikes had already caused a fuel shortage on the peninsula.
14:44Now Ukraine is attacking Shadow Fleet fuel and oil tankers
14:47that would have been sailing into Crimea in an attempt to alleviate that crisis.
14:52Bear in mind that all of this is happening as Ukraine maintains its campaign
14:55of attacking Russian oil refining,
14:58which RBC Ukraine says shut down as much as 40% of Russia's refining capacity,
15:03which feeds into a fuel crisis that has expanded across the Russian mainland
15:07and currently affects about 50 million people.
15:10There is no overstating how humiliating this is for Putin.
15:14He has positioned Crimea as the Russian Riviera,
15:17the go-to destination for tourists all over Russia
15:20and a symbol of the power that Russia supposedly holds over Ukraine.
15:24But that Riviera has become a battlefield.
15:26Any tourist who dares head into Crimea will encounter fuel shortages,
15:31deal with constant power cuts,
15:33and may even be able to look out from the coast
15:35and see the burning ships in the Sea of Azov.
15:37They'll hear the non-stop blare of air raid sirens
15:40and will be frightened by the explosions in the night
15:43as yet more Ukrainian drones touch down on the peninsula
15:46that Putin can no longer defend.
15:48This is a classic blockade, conducted in a brand new way.
15:52Ukraine doesn't need warships in the waters or checkpoints on land
15:56to stop Russian logistics from serving Crimea.
15:58It just needs drones, hundreds of them,
16:01attacking everything that keeps Crimea alive.
16:04And with this brilliant strategy,
16:06Ukraine has made the impossible possible.
16:08The liberation of Crimea,
16:10which nobody could have ever anticipated happening back in 2014
16:14when Russia illegally annexed the peninsula,
16:16is now underway.
16:17Now, Russia faces some critical months ahead
16:20As Crimea is being isolated,
16:22preparations are being made in Ukraine's south,
16:25especially for the occupied regions of Kherson and Zaporizhia,
16:28UNN reports.
16:29Ukraine needs to liberate those regions
16:31if it's to pull off any large-scale amphibious operation
16:34to retake Crimea.
16:36The isolation strategy feeds into this.
16:39Right now, there are 125,000 troops
16:42in Russia's southern military grouping.
16:44They all need fuel, ammo, and equipment.
16:46And the logistical routes Ukraine is striking
16:48are what provides those essentials.
16:51These 125,000 soldiers are being cut off
16:54just like the Crimean occupiers.
16:56Slowly but surely, every domino is falling.
16:58And when Ukraine has completed its work,
17:00the conditions will be perfect
17:02for the Crimean liberation that nobody saw coming.
17:05Dozens of Shadow Fleet ships burning in the Sea of Azov
17:07aren't the endgame.
17:09It's another step in a brilliant campaign
17:11that Putin is powerless to stop.
17:12But as that campaign continues,
17:15there are 1.5 million Russian occupiers in Crimea
17:18who are experiencing the most profound regret possible.
17:21They never should have moved to the peninsula.
17:24Ukraine just showed them why,
17:25and it's been showing them for months.
17:27About a month before the shattering
17:29of the Shadow Fleet in the Sea of Azov,
17:31Ukraine also destroyed the single most important bridge
17:34in Russia's Crimean supply network.
17:36You can find out all about what happened
17:38by watching our video.
17:38And if you enjoyed this video,
17:40hit subscribe and ring the notification bell
17:43to keep up with the military show
17:44and our tracking of Putin's Crimean catastrophe.
17:47And thank you, as always, for watching.
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