00:00In Johor, a new analysis suggests Pakatan Harapan's chances hinge on Chinese voter turnout.
00:07The Center for Malaysian-Chinese Studies says PH could capture several marginal seats
00:11from Barisan Nasional if turnout among Chinese voters reaches 65%.
00:17But the think tank forecasts that with turnouts likely at between 55% and 60%, DAP may struggle
00:24to hold on to four key seats, Jementa, Tangkak, Perling, and Johor Jaya, where Malay voters
00:31make up about 40% of the electorate.
00:34Meanwhile, Barisan Nasional won three seats by razor-thin margins in 2022 when the Chinese
00:40voter turnout stood at 45%, Bukit Pasir by 198 votes, Parit Liani by 294, and Serum by 699.
00:52Meanwhile, Perikatan Nasional's campaign strength appears to have weakened after PAS ended its
00:57cooperation with Bersatu recently.
01:00With turnout the decisive factor, the Johor polls could see tight battles, surprises, and upsets,
01:06especially if outstation voters return home.
01:10Can PH push the turnout high enough to challenge BN's dominance?
01:14We will know the answer when Johor goes to the polls this Saturday.
01:19Jessalyn Kaur, FMT.
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