00:00. . . . . . .
00:30Thank you very much.
01:11Thank you very much.
01:34Thank you very much.
02:05Thank you very much.
02:33Thank you very much.
03:15Thank you very much.
10:18So there is that aspect as well.
10:25So this is a really complicated issue which we need to disentangle.
10:28Okay, I want to talk about Israeli buffer zones, but we have a little break.
10:33I want to ask this question.
10:35I want to ask this question, which we have already encouraged.
10:50Welcome back, listeners.
10:52Okay, Kamran Bukhari, we were actually discussing that Nathan Yahoo's statement,
10:59which is obviously Israeli national interests, which is the statement that
11:06where we have encouraged, or we have made buffer zones,
11:10whether it is Lebanon or Syria, we will maintain them.
11:14And that is what we have to do.
11:26And that is what we have to do.
11:38So, if we have to do that, we will be discussing the power of politics,
11:41which will be discussed at the tables.
11:42And there is no way of war.
11:46Yes, look, if we look at the statements,
11:50we focus on the statements,
11:53we get caught in sort of info-ops.
12:04So, there is only so much value you can derive from the statements.
12:10The statements will also come here and there.
12:12So, that itself will make you go crazy.
12:15But the truth is that, as you have told us,
12:20that this is going to be a bumpy ride.
12:22And there is also many posturing.
12:25Like yesterday, the news came,
12:26that Sir Donald Trump's statements,
12:29that he walked out of the Iranian delegation.
12:35Now, the news came,
12:36but the truth is that,
12:38that there was no walk-out.
12:40So, look at the end of the day.
12:43There is a lot of things,
12:44which is not focused on the issues.
12:46You can see that,
12:47there is a lot of ceasefire violations.
12:49That the glaciers are caused by an Iran,
12:52that Iran is a look at the front of Lebanon.
12:55So, when the thing goes on,
12:58and the pressure starts to them,
12:59and the pressure starts to them,
13:00and the pressure starts to them,
13:01and the proxy of Hezbollah,
13:02they start to defeat them,
13:04and they say,
13:05what happened with us,
13:06and what you are doing.
13:07So, they say,
13:08They say that they don't have tolerable parameters.
13:13Then the biggest thing is that, notice how the Iranians have not made demand that Israel
13:22withdrawing from Lebanon.
13:23This buffer zone is actually spreading.
13:27So, Abad Adrej, they reverse it.
13:31Why do they accept this?
13:38They have no leverage over that.
13:40So, I think that these unstated things, they need to understand.
13:46Where we have Netanyahu, they have a very difficult situation for them.
13:51One of them, they have the northern flank of Israel.
13:56They have to do it for them.
13:59They have to do it for Iran.
13:59They have to do it for them.
14:02But the other thing is that, they can't do it for the United States.
14:09So, he has caught in this dilemma.
14:12They want to do it for the United States.
14:17So, if they are Palestinian and Iran, they have to do it for their own security,
14:23and they have to do it for Trump.
14:25They will say, okay, we have to suspend our efforts.
14:30So, they have to be reduced.
14:41So he is, you know, damned if you do and damned if you don't from a political point of view.
14:46So he is, you know, damned if you do and damned if you don't from a political point of view.
14:48So how do you square this circle?
14:52This is enough to see.
14:54Before we actually end this, I want your answer on one question.
14:59Which is about, it's now almost certain that Iranian president is Dr. Pazishkian.
15:06He'll be visiting Pakistan on the 23rd.
15:10He'll be visiting Pakistan on the 23rd.
15:10And some of the power corridors in the diplomatic circle.
15:15There is one thing that we have heard about Iran as a transit hub.
15:23And there is a balance between America and China.
15:51How do you think this viable is?
16:19It's a long and bumpy road as we mentioned earlier.
16:23And there are no guarantees that we will reach the destination and if we will reach the destination, then we
16:28will reach the destination.
16:28So that's one part of it.
16:30The other part that people don't understand and don't do the discussion,
16:33is that what the Iranian regime is.
16:38The Iranian regime is the Islamic Revolutionary Guards core.
16:42Because that's the center of gravity of the regime.
16:44Yes, absolutely.
16:46It's not just a military force. It's not even just a political force.
16:52It is the largest company in the country.
16:55Yes.
16:56The economic force is a conglomerate.
16:57It's the base of companies.
17:00The Iranian society and states have dominated and captured.
17:06So, it's the main problem if they start investing and trade with the outside world and the outside world is
17:19not going to invest money.
17:20If there is no transparency, if they don't know what their investments are, what their return on investment is.
17:30And conversely, IRGC does not want, it will lose power if it becomes,
17:35if it becomes a trade or investment, it becomes a monopoly.
17:41So, we are getting ahead of ourselves.
17:44We have to understand that the Iranian regime is not the center of gravity.
17:48That it is the normalised trade.
17:52It is the Eurasia, it is the other one.
17:54So, if that's their situation, unless they resolve that.
17:58Because in the JCPOA, which happened in 2015,
18:01after that, Mr. Rouhani,
18:03Mr. Rouhani made a big effort to make the IRGC
18:06to bring back some private sector space.
18:09If there will not happen, everything else is a pipe dream.
18:14Thank you very much.
18:14We will see you in the next video.
18:17See you in the next video.
