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00:00and we'll start off with the world cup which uh you know what's what's funny about the world cup
00:03is is that they seem to start these games whenever they want you know like sometimes they're 12 o'clock
00:08eastern sometimes they're one o'clock eastern i thought there was a schedule but i am so wrong
00:11about that so let's start off with one of the games in texas today there's a couple by the way
00:16this one is in houston and portugal is taking on uh congo here it's a 1 p.m eastern game
00:22the latest
00:23spread that i see on the money line is pretty formidable here unfortunately if you like
00:27portugal they're minus 350 here a tie is plus 450 and um yeah if you go congo it's it's 10
00:35to 1 so
00:35congo is not supposed to compete today we did see some sideways uh results two days ago is this one
00:42of those you think that could go that way today because unfortunately that's really not what i'm
00:46seeing here online and trending and anything else yeah no and listen i mean congrats to congo for
00:53making it to the world cup right but their preparation time was limited to say the least
00:58here craig i think they had two uh friendly matches they didn't win either uh they just
01:04it looks like they're going to be so outmatched so outclassed with a powerhouse like portugal here
01:12uh who has already you know secured in the friendlies wins over oh i don't know team usa chile
01:19nigeria so yeah you've got experience versus not a lot of experience here kind of hard to look at
01:26anything other than portugal here but i wouldn't shock me if they keep congo off the board either
01:33maybe a clean sheet here uh and portugal maybe uh exact score because i'm thinking we're in that
01:39four four nil category here right now with them and then in dallas at 4 p.m eastern croatia has
01:47had
01:48success in the world cup and so naturally you got to keep this one tight and that's what the line
01:52has
01:53showed us new uh england right now is minus 140 as you can see as opposed to congo croatia joe
01:59is plus
01:59420 so uh that gives you somewhat of a fighting chance and then look at the tie number here this
02:05is
02:05this is kind of tight plus 270 here so maybe that is the play today because i do think we're
02:11going to
02:11get a competitive match well you know listen england swapped coaches out and the guy that they brought
02:18in it's all it's been all about defense and they brought him in purposely for this world cup here
02:25and in eight qualifying matches for this tournament craig the team didn't concede a single goal so we're
02:31talking about you want to talk about defense not exactly going to be i think the highest scoring game
02:37in fact i would only look at the under here at around two and a half goals but uh croatia
02:43to
02:44your point yeah they got a history uh in this tournament uh especially in opening matches where
02:50do not sleep on them and i don't think uh england will i just don't see a very high scoring
02:56game i see
02:56one that's going to be played very close to the vest uh so i think the under and likely a
03:02one nil kind
03:03of situation happening here and welcome back to the early line here on sports grid we've got our
03:08in-game live programming this afternoon getting you ready and in-game for all of our world cup matches
03:14but joe the big story at the world cup thus far has been a firing of a coach tunisia uh
03:20fired their
03:20coach and have appointed herve renard as head coach through the end of the world cup they lost five
03:26to one to sweden uh who knows what renard is really going to bring to the table here i believe
03:31they
03:31at least have one more match maybe two before they bid farewell uh to this world cup of course
03:37they're not going to probably win any matches but the whole bizarre situation in general and
03:42considering that tunisia was one of the final teams in or one of the last teams into the world cup
03:48i'm
03:48not even really sure if they know what they're doing no well they obviously don't so and again we
03:55mentioned this yesterday greg that not one part look at all of the power ratings across the board
04:02look at the feedback nobody had tunisia finishing anywhere but dead last in their group so i'm not
04:08quite sure what was expected here did they think they were going to pull off an upset i'm not sure
04:14why you just didn't wait until the world cup was over but okay we'll see if it lights a fire
04:19under
04:20these guys but i doubt that very much given the competition they're going to be playing
04:25it's like the college football uh coach bump where they fire the coach yeah all of a sudden we're
04:30betting the other we're betting that side right the next week uh oh this uh this battle with mbappe
04:36and messi for all-time goals continues so mbappe now leads after another great match for him even with
04:43of course messi scoring three he scored twice yesterday and france wins three to one over
04:50senegal this is a fun battle that they have individually going back and forth and naturally
04:55france is one of those teams joe that was kind of a sleeper to potentially win it all it feels
05:00like
05:00every four years they are and they are again this year i i you know remember back in 2022 when
05:08messi and argentina beat mbappe in france in a shootout to win the world cup and at that point
05:14messi was 35 mbappe was what almost 24 years old messi scored twice and bobby scored three times
05:22and yet neither guy has stopped scoring ever since here it's amazing uh craig the old guy is in the
05:29seats uh the guy is just he refuses to go away and i you know call me crazy this could
05:35they could be on
05:36a collision course here again and history could repeat itself but france looked real good yesterday
05:42i mean really good and and certainly better than what spain did for around the same price as a
05:48favorite right to win this thing you watch those two teams play they were two different classes
05:54yesterday chalk it up to a bad game for spain but france looked the part big time yesterday
06:01so did norway norway defeats iraq by a final of four to one erling holland got his world cup moment
06:07scoring twice as they took care of iraq and foxborough massachusetts to score his first ever
06:12world cup goals after norway failed to qualify back in 1998 this is a really good start for them as
06:18well in fact the stadium was pumped look at all the fans over there yeah kind of crazy yeah i
06:25mean
06:26all the stands by the way and some of these games have been crazy
06:39row row row your boat i guess gently down the stream let's hear from erling holland uh who ended
06:45up getting the win in the match on uh you know certainly being called the best player or not being
06:52called the best player in this case statistically no i'm not i would say i'm i'm up there i i
06:57don't
06:57think i scored the most goal this uh this season so statistically no i'm not uh because uh i think
07:05harry kane and mbappe scored more goals than me and that's reality so no i'm not still a lot of
07:10time
07:11to play though and more world cup matches coming for norway as we mentioned earlier in the show
07:15there's more time to play for leo messi he delivered a legendary performance on tuesday night
07:21a hat trick to tie miroslav kase's all-time world cup scoring record of 16 goals argentina wins three
07:30to nothing joe in this one and it just seems like messi is going to outlast any sort of individual
07:38predictions on him when you're 38 years old you're not supposed to be performing at the world cup at
07:44this level should messi still be good of course absolutely he's one of the best of all time but he's
07:49playing better than anybody else on the pitch right now yeah i i did not have a 38 year old
07:56putting up a hat trick during his sixth world cup six they don't happen every year sixth world cup i
08:03didn't have that on my bingo card in fact a lot of people were telling us that i don't count
08:08on messy
08:09now 38 years old yeah i'm very much counting on messy continuing this uh for the rest of the world
08:16cup and as we go to the break we show you argentina crowing during the game
08:28and welcome back to prediction markets edge here on the early line where we take a look at calci
08:33polymarket and ways to potentially invest today on sports grid and i am craig mish along with joe
08:40let's take a look at the first match of the world cup which begins at 1 p.m eastern in
08:45texas we have
08:46portugal taking on congo where no one is giving congo a fighting chance today tie 17 percent congo
08:54eight percent portugal joe 77 percent do you can you make a case at all here for a tie can
09:04you make a
09:05case at all here for congo i mean i i guess the only thing that we could do is look
09:11back at spain
09:12and cape verde and think to ourselves is that the best scenario this afternoon
09:18yeah no it's not gonna happen again i mean congo congrats but they they kind of enter into this thing
09:26not having a ton of preparation they had just two friendly matches leading into the world cup
09:32they got crushed in both uh that's gonna be a problem against a powerhouse like portugal
09:38i mean we've talked about mbappe right we've talked about messy well today we're likely talking about
09:45cristiano ronaldo are we not here uh scoring what 62 of his 142 international goals usually in the first
09:54half i think that's maybe the better way to look here is that all the big name guys are finding
10:00the net
10:01right they're finding the back of the net they're scoring why not here i think there's going to be
10:06quite a few portugal goals i think not only uh first half i think full game and this is one
10:13where
10:13i would look at the alternate markets here craig and say i don't know the congo gets on the board
10:19in this one but i bet you portugal finds a bunch of different ways to score in this one
10:25all right now the marquee game of the day has to be later this afternoon where england will take on
10:31croatia and right now england has 57 percent of uh the the investment there a tie is 26 percent
10:42croatia is 19 percent we'll take a look at those markets real quick but first let's hear from star
10:48harry kane on the pressure from home pressure of major tournaments the expectation the the media
10:56the everything that surrounds it um has not been i don't think easy to deal with as a as a
11:02nation i
11:02think you know this generation has dealt with it as as good as any uh and been extremely close to
11:08to getting over that line but i think it comes with the whole package you know you need to be
11:14technically uh good enough physically in good enough shape uh and then mentally obviously have
11:19the have the right balance of what i touched on a little bit earlier of experience and youth and
11:24and all that coming together so um yeah we're gonna we're gonna need that in in this tournament for
11:30sure um i think when you've been knocking on the door as a as a squad as a nation of
11:36the of the
11:37winning a trophy obviously the the next one that comes along there's more expectation
11:43um definitely in the in the last euros i think we felt that uh as a squad uh but coming
11:49into this
11:50one i feel like yeah we're maybe a little bit uh more balanced in in that sense and um you
11:56know from
11:56like the boss has just said there from what i've seen in prep camp from what i saw in the
12:00costa rica
12:01match especially uh was a team at a high high level who are ready to put in um all the
12:08effort all the
12:08hard yards to be a successful team and that's obviously pleasing to be a part of meanwhile
12:14thomas tuchel he is the manager of england they would certainly love to bring home the cup
12:19he said that he's dreaming of it but also not being delusional dream we dream i think we have a
12:25right to
12:26dream but we don't want to be delusional we know that it comes with the responsibility and the
12:31responsibilities on the effort we want to put the effort in and um and then deserve the outcome
12:37i think no one expects us to to to give a guarantee that we win it no one expects that
12:43we promise to
12:44win it but the way we play the way we arrive and the way we try i think i think
12:48and i hope that they
12:49can feel it and they can be proud of us and and to bring that joy that's that that's that
12:55what's
12:55that's the target and that's the the overlaying or or underlying um underlying purpose but harry
13:04kane and company joe they have their work cut out for them because croatia seemingly could
13:08potentially give england a battle today this is one of the highest tie percentages that we've seen in
13:14the first week of the world cup 26 which tells you it could be a fun game but joe i
13:20know that you're
13:20in on the scoring total here you think maybe it could be a low scoring game absolutely i mean thomas
13:27togel was brought in for england purposely to preach defense and that's what the foundation of england is
13:34so that means that croatia likely not going to get a ton of chances in this one here and by
13:40the way last
13:41time we saw these two teams actually meet uh on the world stage here in real competition it was one
13:48nothing england ended up getting it done so i don't see that changing here i i think both of
13:54these teams very defensive oriented under two and a half goals even though it's a little pricey i think
14:01that's the way to look and build everything else around the under in this spot welcome back to
14:06prediction markets edge here on sports grid craig michel along with joe ranieri getting ready to wrap
14:11up this edition of the show before we do let's take a look at some of the potential golden boot
14:17options over on calci for those unfamiliar this is basically the mvp they call it the golden boot
14:22of the world cup right now 27 joe on mbappe maybe because their team and their country expected to go
14:30deeper into the cup than messy but messy is 23 harry kane of england at 11 mbappe 27 messy 23
14:40harry kane
14:4111 11 but hard to ignore that messy performance joe very hard uh and it's got he's not going away
14:49anytime soon and and you know don't forget the the france and mbappe and messy battle back in 2022
14:56was absolutely epic and yeah this could be maybe one of the last times to get these guys at these
15:04prices
15:04uh because the more they keep playing the more goals they keep scoring the more games they keep winning
15:09you know you got to buy low and eventually sell high and now might be uh now might be the
15:15time to
15:16jump into this market with those guys golden ball race also is on very similar names here and this is
15:24uh for the top scorer so messy's at 22 percent mbappe at 21 percent harry kane nine percent so a
15:31little bit
15:31of a flip there in terms of percentages yeah well a hat trick will do that to you and i'll
15:37get you
15:37all sorts of love in the marketplace so can he keep it up i don't know is anybody else on
15:43augustina
15:43going to score uh and your point about having enough games uh and continuing to play long enough
15:50in order to be able to win this is also uh into consideration but right now again mbappe is it
15:56feels
15:57like that might be the the play here because i think the odds and the prices are only going to
16:03get
16:03better as the tournament moves on the world cup continent you could also predict over on calci and
16:10it's funny that the u.s and canada are only at six percent so not a lot of love for
16:16winning the world
16:17cup from those two countries but europe takes 71 percent of the investment here south america 19
16:25and as i mentioned north america and i guess that just pertains to the u.s and canada at six
16:30percent
16:31uh well we're right mexico too i think uh it will also have an opportunity but let's face it a
16:38north
16:38american team is not going to be in the finals nor are they going to have an opportunity to win
16:43the
16:43world cup not this year anyway but i think even at 70 cents that's that's a pretty good opportunity
16:50to lock it in because most of the teams we have discussed yeah they are favorites for a reason
16:56and that might not be a bad investment at this point all right the world cup winner let's touch
17:03on this right now it is up for grabs spain took a little bit of a hit this week with
17:08their tie
17:09against cape verde but i think they'll pop back up with another good performance later in the weekend
17:14france is at 18.7 spain 13 portugal 11 argentina 10 and a half england 10.4 is this the
17:23time to jump
17:24on spain here joe or are you a little worried after what you saw in the first match i'm a
17:30little worried
17:30uh to be honest with you because you know it's one thing where nobody expects you to win uh it's
17:36a
17:36whole nother thing when everybody expects you to win it's a different it's a whole different thing but
17:40i gotta tell you i mean england's you know england is built to win the way they play their style
17:46of
17:47play their defense they are built to go very deep into these kinds of tournaments and and before they
17:53even hit the pitch you said what 10 cents 10 11 cents it feels like england is only going to
17:59go up
17:59from here and maybe this time next week we'll be talking about england at about 20 21 cents and
18:06likely doubling in price quarterfinal qualification at the world cup as we get ready to wrap it up
18:13portugal is one of the teams potentially that could get there they're at 55 percent we have england also
18:20at 50 for the quarterfinals and certainly joe we'll learn a lot more about england this afternoon
18:27when they take on senegal last opportunities to jump in some of these marks because uh england
18:34handles business handles it easily yep the money will start coming in but for the quarterfinals
18:40market why not team usa after that opening thing they got australia coming up uh this week but if
18:47they handle that pretty well yeah i kind of like team usa's chances of not only winning the group but
18:53also making it to the quarterfinals
18:55you
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