00:29We know that the ocean, what we call the ocean heat content or ocean temperatures from the surface below, when
00:35those are strongly positive and consistent and across the whole basin, we know that's a pretty strong
00:40precursor to an El Nino event.
01:02It's checking a lot of the boxes, even at this earlier time forecast, things can always change.
01:08But right now, it's checking all the boxes for it evolving into being one of the historically strong events since
01:161950.
01:32And why do we want these forecasts?
01:33Because El Nino alters the climate and weather around the world.
01:38It changes the probability of hurricanes, of typhoons.
01:42It changes the probability of drought and flood in a number of parts of the world, of heat waves.
01:47And it even alters the globally average temperature.
02:06I mean, one of the, you know, obvious impact that we really see during El Nino years is the increase
02:13in the global mean temperature.
02:15So when you, you're, you're, you're, you have more, you know, increase in the temperature in the background that could
02:23potentially lead to the extreme.
02:26So we can feel maybe more heat waves and maybe some stronger rainfall events.
02:45I mean, it's CALinski's thecollover historically.
02:47That makes a bigger part of the world.
02:48I think it's not nice.
02:49You already have a major league on a total of dollars and ask for some more questions.
