00:00Scientists have confirmed what forecasters feared.
00:03A powerful El Nino is building, and it could rival some of the strongest on record.
00:08New analysis from ECMWF climate models shows the first clear atmospheric signals of an El Nino event
00:15forming in the eastern Pacific for summer 2026.
00:19Ocean temperature anomalies are already exceeding what was expected at this stage of the cycle.
00:25Severe weather.
00:27Europe's analysis projects those anomalies could surpass plus 4.5 degrees Celsius in the eastern Pacific by late autumn,
00:34a level that would put this event among the most powerful in recorded history.
00:39When El Nino reaches that intensity, it reorganizes weather patterns globally and across every U.S. state.
00:46The effects include altered hurricane tracks, drought in some regions, above-average flooding in others,
00:52and temperature swings across seasons.
00:54NOAA has already incorporated a strengthening El Nino into its summer and hurricane season outlooks.
01:01Scientists say the full impact won't be felt until autumn, but the atmosphere is already responding.
01:07NOAA has already anticipated.
01:07NOAA has already anticipated.
01:08NOAA has already anticipated.
01:08NOAA has already anticipated.
01:08NOAA has already anticipated.
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