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  • 4 hours ago
Climate researchers have identified the initial unmistakable atmospheric indicators of an El Niño phenomenon taking shape for the summer and autumn of 2026, with ocean temperature irregularities in the eastern Pacific already surpassing predictions. An evaluation by Severe Weather Europe of ECMWF forecasting models suggests this could match a historically significant El Niño if present patterns continue into the fall. Every state in the US will experience consequences through changes in storm patterns, temperature irregularities, drought, and flooding trends.

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00:00Scientists have confirmed what forecasters feared.
00:03A powerful El Nino is building, and it could rival some of the strongest on record.
00:08New analysis from ECMWF climate models shows the first clear atmospheric signals of an El Nino event
00:15forming in the eastern Pacific for summer 2026.
00:19Ocean temperature anomalies are already exceeding what was expected at this stage of the cycle.
00:25Severe weather.
00:27Europe's analysis projects those anomalies could surpass plus 4.5 degrees Celsius in the eastern Pacific by late autumn,
00:34a level that would put this event among the most powerful in recorded history.
00:39When El Nino reaches that intensity, it reorganizes weather patterns globally and across every U.S. state.
00:46The effects include altered hurricane tracks, drought in some regions, above-average flooding in others,
00:52and temperature swings across seasons.
00:54NOAA has already incorporated a strengthening El Nino into its summer and hurricane season outlooks.
01:01Scientists say the full impact won't be felt until autumn, but the atmosphere is already responding.
01:07NOAA has already anticipated.
01:07NOAA has already anticipated.
01:08NOAA has already anticipated.
01:08NOAA has already anticipated.
01:08NOAA has already anticipated.
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