00:00but as far as the main event is concerned um song returns to his home country for the first time
00:06in seven years hasn't uh fought in in china in seven years last fought against o'malley which
00:12is pretty recently actually uh in january you look at his last three fights tom o'malley cejudo and
00:19peter yan i mean this this this dude's been in there with like the best uh of the best and
00:25now
00:25he faces a two-time former champion who was once uh the best in the world but starting to fade
00:32a
00:33little bit has only lost the top five opponents but starting to fade a little bit going to china
00:38right now were you surprised to see what a big favorite song was uh in this fight i was a
00:48little
00:48bit surprised to see the line as it is i expected him to be a sizable favorite i was thinking
00:54you
00:54know minus 250 maybe minus 300 but uh i mean it is pretty justified you know song you could argue
01:02that he could have got the nod over o'malley i mean he he fought a great fight there um got
01:07the
01:07wrestling going early didn't really get it going as much late which which is what kind of ended up
01:12costing him but uh you know song's really good and he's going to be a title contender he's still
01:16pretty young he's been in the ufc a little while but you know he's he's still got a lot of
01:20upside
01:21and figueredo i mean coming off you know missed weight he's you know he was used to be a 125er
01:26he's moved up to bantamweight last couple years now he's having trouble making weight at bantamweight
01:31he is getting older he's fought nothing but the best so you got to give him credit there and he's
01:36been competitive and he's been winning fights but i just think song overall is not going to be i don't
01:42think figueredo is going to be able to out grapple song which is a path that he's been going to
01:46a lot
01:47so i just think song is going to be a little bit better on the feet he's going to be
01:50a better
01:51grappler overall just an overall better fighter so it's reasonable that he's a pretty sizable
01:57favorite but minus 600 it's always tough i tell you what i'm looking and i'm putting together
02:03a same fight parlay so to speak with song to win song to win and over two and a half
02:09rounds is minus 167
02:12um which i'm surprised i thought it'd be steeper song to win and over three and a half rounds minus
02:18133 song to win and over four and a half rounds is minus 102 considering the difference of odds guys
02:26i
02:26would rather just go with the 33 than the 102 there if i was getting plus money or something i'd
02:31look at
02:31it differently but you know minus 133 or minus 102 there's a big difference between three and a half
02:37and four and a half but with that being stated that's kind of how i'm looking at this fight here
02:41uh tom my approach here will be song to win and i do think it goes over at least two
02:46and a half
02:47rounds i think it goes over three and a half as well and in fact i wouldn't be surprised if
02:50it goes
02:50the distance song by uh by decision yeah i agree i like the overs getting a much better number
02:58on song i like the over two and a half and over three and a half i feel like the
03:02over three and a
03:03half could get a bit sweaty if song is doing what he does and he lands a good amount of
03:08damage he's a
03:09very strong fighter and figueredo could fade if he has another tough weight cut i feel like the over
03:15three and a half and the over four and a half get a little bit scary because if he's fading
03:19down the
03:19stretch songs landing big shots or short or songs grappling him you know he's on top you know maybe
03:25beating him up from the top it could get sketchy i i could see it going all five rounds but
03:30i i like
03:31the over two and a half over three and a half is probably where i would stay uh in terms
03:36of the
03:36same game pyle stuff
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