00:00People see the shots and oh he looks great he looks ripped and they like a couple of training videos
00:05and they're gonna bet on the fighter that they like and people like to bet on the underdog and it's
00:11rare that Conor McGregor is gonna be an underdog against anybody despite the fact that he hasn't won a fight
00:16since 2020 Tom.
00:19Yeah it's always interesting with Conor fights because this is what happens he's such a big star you never really
00:25get a true line on what the fight should be there's always going to be money on Conor so the
00:31line's always going to be a lot closer than what it should be and really if you're breaking it down
00:36Max Holloway should be a minus 350 minus 400 favorite just based on the layoff for Conor the last few
00:43fights for Conor nothing has looked great for him but
00:47you know he's coming back he's had five years off he looks to be in phenomenal shape I mean he
00:53looks to be doing all the right things he's found God he's he appears to be sober who knows how
01:00how true that is but he doesn't look crazy in any of the interviews that you know that he has
01:04he looks pretty well spoken and he looks like a guy that's prepared so that's gonna if you like Conor
01:12that's gonna give you the incentive to go bet on him but if you are like me and you think
01:17Max Holloway should win this fight you know maybe wait around a little while see what that line gets to
01:23I expect at some point some somebody's gonna come in and place a big bet on Max so that line
01:29could shift back towards Max but you know it's getting closer and as the fight gets closer the line probably
01:35stays relatively close and if you're a Max Holloway backer this is uh it's a good opportunity to get in
01:42and bet Max.
01:44Yeah you're exactly right if you're a Conor backer you missed the best number you should have pulled the trigger
01:49right away when that big fat number was out there to plus 250s and all that type of stuff and
01:55if you like Max Holloway and good point by Tom because I do think the so-called Sharps will sit
02:02on this until they believe that you know what this isn't moving anymore
02:06right this is right now is the time to buy in on Max on Saturday night but and listen Conor
02:12McGregor is you know arguably the most entertaining fighter in the UFC's history as far as personality is concerned and
02:20and as far as the marketing is concerned is he's the best fighter in the UFC history no no he's
02:27not right but
02:29he was dominant you and I talked about it last week he did have a dominant run that was like
02:35second
02:35to none right and no one could take that away from him but at the same point in time Tom
02:39let me be realistic
02:40with this when's the last time he beat a top tier fighter all right he lost two times in a
02:46row to Dustin Poirier
02:47he beat Donald Cerrone in 2020 guys Donald Cerrone was like a jobber it was like WWE Monday Night Raw
02:53he pulled the curtain type
02:54of deal so Cerrone was a sacrificial lamb Cerrone just wanted to get paid and didn't care he had
03:00the Khabib stuff all right Eddie Alvarez Eddie Alvarez really good fighter but Eddie Alvarez isn't a top of the
03:05top Nate Diaz he split with Diaz I mean I gotta be honest he hasn't had a big win since
03:122015 when he beat
03:13Jose Aldo yeah it really in the last 10 years it you could you could say that I mean at
03:21the time when he
03:22fought Eddie Alvarez that looked like a really good matchup yeah uh he he walked through Alvarez
03:27a lot of people thought Alvarez I love Eddie I love Eddie great battler great you know I mean but
03:33he's
03:33a brawler bro he's not like you you know you know what I'm saying I'm not dismissing any Alvarez but
03:37you know my point when Conor fights the elite or top guys he generally loses yeah and you know part
03:44of the
03:44reason for that is when he got the big money like when the Floyd Mayweather thing happened you kind of
03:50saw
03:50a different Conor McGregor I you know I know he lost to uh Nate Diaz before that and I'm not
03:55calling
03:55him out for it Tom I would say too if I made 50 million dollars in a night it's hard
04:00not to but
04:01that's kind of what happened you know he got into the lifestyle and he he wasn't the same guy uh
04:07that
04:08we saw in 2016-2017 when he was all about you know movement and and the body and just being
04:15healthy
04:15and loving the team like he was a totally different guy and it would have been nice to have seen
04:21him
04:21stay that way for a longer period of time it would have been nice to see him fight Khabib
04:26when he was in that mindset but you know when he was fighting Khabib he was he was he had
04:33the proper
04:3312 he was drunk at the press conferences like he just it wasn't the same guy and you know Khabib
04:40probably still beats him Khabib is is who he is I mean it's hard to take anything away from that
04:45guy
04:46uh but it would have been nice to see Conor be one of the few guys that could maintain over
04:51the course
04:51of his career because if you watch Conor coming up it was electric and that's I mean he really did
04:58build the sport up he brought a lot of new fans to the sport and he brought entertaining fights his
05:03walkouts are entertaining everything about Conor is entertaining and he was as a striker about as good
05:10as you can get I mean he was he was precision he was knocking dudes out and you know he
05:15was an
05:15impressive guy
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