00:00and uh thunder three and a half point favorites total of two twelve and a half and so carlin
00:06you've now seen six games you've also seen the regular season that the spurs were the only team
00:12in the nba to give the thunder a battle basically consistently which way are you going to go game
00:16seven game seven and and normally we say you know these game sevens are close there's going to be
00:21tight and you know there's going to be low scoring i'm my gut still tells me the thunder are the
00:26better team they're going to be at home i expect them to win now if you are going to agree
00:30with me
00:31in that side of things i think you can level up a little bit and not only just take the
00:34thunder on
00:35the money line you can probably take them on the spread as well and you could probably take them
00:39in the first half because what we've seen in this series thus far is whoever basically wins the first
00:44half wins the game like that just normally happens in this in this series so far the way that's played
00:48out through six games the other thing is that third quarter has been so important to both those teams
00:53the winner of the game normally plays well in the third quarter so if you want to take a third
00:57quarter bet that's that's probably something that you can do as well so uh if you're disagreeing with
01:01me i would take the opposite on everything that i just said right there uh but i think the thunder
01:06are going to win this game i'm not only just going to take them on the money line but i
01:09would take them
01:09on the spread as well and first half uh being ahead in the first half as well uh so just
01:14kind of
01:14give me some level of value because it's not you're not going to get much just on the money line
01:18i mean you could get a little bit more on the money line just by taking sga instead of the
01:23thunder
01:23because the thunder are minus about 150 in the game but to win the mvp carland sga is minus 135
01:30so
01:30if you believe that the thunder are going to win i would assume that sga is the mvp of the
01:36western
01:36conference finals wemby is plus 130 i mean there's no one really else out there on either team that has
01:42a shot here so that's another at least way to look at it if you like the thunder here unless
01:47you
01:47really think that alex caruso has any legit shot which i do not yeah what we're doing right now
01:53we're building failure for whoever's going to you know have a five six like parlay right now and and
01:57and salivating over the weekend for their winnings because we're just adding things on that uh you
02:02know you're you're going to talk yourself into and the sport sports are saying like craig carlin
02:06go ahead yeah keep telling them to add likes to that parlay that's what we like to see but you're
02:10right if this thunder are going to win i can't see anyone other than sga winning mvp has he played
02:15hit to a standard probably not but guess what his standard is a level above everyone else's right
02:21like the the what he's doing right now is probably a great series for any bench player and you have
02:28to consider the fact that chet holgram hasn't played you know to his level jalen williams who's
02:32the second best player on the on the team has been in and out of the lineup he gave him
02:36really nothing
02:37last night and i don't know what he can give him tomorrow night so sga has to be sga but
02:42him being
02:42just means he scores 30 points and maybe dishes out 10 assists and that's a pretty good stat line
02:47and maybe a ho-hum night for him in his opinion let's take a look real quick at the props
02:51if we
02:52could uh as far as their their totals are uh sga 29 and a half wemby 27 and a half
02:58rebounds of course
03:00wemby is going to get a much bigger number here 12 and a half there and then you know on
03:04the flip side
03:05the assists will go to sga and then points rebounds and assists very close for both carlin 41 and a
03:10half
03:11versus 42 and a half is there any of those numbers that stick out yeah the assists so seven and
03:19a half
03:19for sga i'm gonna give you the stat last night he threw 39 total passes for the entire basketball
03:25game for someone that has the ball in his hands as much as he has the ball in his hands
03:29you know
03:2939 passes to me just isn't enough that means he's not moving the ball quickly enough and those 39 passes
03:34don't necessarily mean that they're going to be led to assist like those could just be giving it to
03:38someone else to carry it up the floor so you know that's a low number for sga he's been around
03:42that
03:42for the entire series so i would say under on his assist total tomorrow night
03:46you
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