00:00Now let's get to the Spurs and Thunder tonight in the, all right,
00:03so we got the West tonight. That's good news here.
00:05I thought we were going to have to wait a couple of days.
00:07Thunder might as six and a half total of two, 20 and a half. Okay.
00:10So here's what everyone is wondering, Kyle, let's just put it out there.
00:14You look at Oklahoma city and you're like, all right,
00:16now I got a shot to take the Thunder because they're only six and a half point
00:20favorites.
00:20You're never going to get the Thunder at home for less than like 13 or 14 or
00:25even 10.
00:26And then you remember the regular season every time the Thunder were favored
00:30over the Spurs, the Spurs not only covered, but they won the game outright.
00:33So here's your chance, Kyle.
00:35Is this the chance to take the Thunder in a series or do we just divert back to
00:40November and December and January when every time these two teams played,
00:44it was the Spurs that had the Thunder's number.
00:47Yeah.
00:47I'm more interested in the series price and game and a half and things like
00:51that on the Thunder than I am game one, game one.
00:53I've got closer to this number.
00:55I just don't think this series in the East series should be priced the same.
00:59You can't tell me that the Thunder potentially a team of a generation.
01:02And I understand when the, and all of that with San Antonio,
01:06but you can't tell me that they're just as likely to win this series as the
01:10Knicks are against Cleveland.
01:11Maybe that's an East problem more than a West,
01:13but I'm going under the game one total here.
01:16And it's moving away from me, which sometimes scares me.
01:19Sometimes I like to get involved in those.
01:20It's it opened at two 19 and a half went to two 20 this morning.
01:24I hop down with you guys.
01:25It's two 21 and a half.
01:27So maybe wait till tip to take this thing,
01:29but I'm going under now two 21 and a half three of San Antonio's eight
01:34slowest games this season came against the Thunder.
01:36I think there'll be able to slow them down.
01:37You're looking at two of the best rim protection defenses in the entire
01:41association.
01:42So nothing's coming easy.
01:43You know,
01:44Shay likes to slow things down and get to the free throw line.
01:46I don't think either one of these teams is getting past 115 points.
01:49And that puts me on under 221 points now.
01:52And I'm going to keep taking it.
01:54If the number keeps climbing.
01:56All right.
01:56So fair enough.
01:57So Kyle likes that in terms of the total.
01:59Now the odds are pretty thick as they say on Oklahoma city.
02:03I mean,
02:03to bet a favorite like this at minus one 65 before the finals is just flat
02:09out crazy.
02:10So you're getting no value whatsoever with OKC.
02:12The question is can the Knicks because that's really the only spot to go.
02:16If you don't think the Thunder is going to win it.
02:18Can the Knicks end up doing enough to keep this a series where maybe,
02:22you know,
02:22honestly you could play this to game five game six hedge a little bit.
02:26Even if you think the Thunder are still going to win.
02:28What do you make of those odds?
02:30Yeah,
02:30if those odds,
02:31I think you got to lean Cleveland just based on what I was saying earlier,
02:34just because I think Cleveland and New York is a much closer series to
02:37have that price discrepancy just doesn't add up to me.
02:40They have them 22 to one that would have hedge written all over it.
02:43If they're in position to win this series and move on,
02:46then you had Jim,
02:46you take the Thunder,
02:47you'd be on your way.
02:48I don't think there's going to be a whole lot of hedge equity.
02:50If you take the Knicks because the books are telling us that's what you
02:53should.
02:54That's what we're expecting.
02:55That's what,
02:55where they have this handicapped right now.
02:58They they're penciling in Nick's thunder.
03:01So if you get the Knicks through,
03:03are you going to get that much hedge equity at five to one?
03:06They'd be what?
03:06Plus three 50,
03:07maybe something along those lines.
03:09I don't think you'd get too much.
03:10Whereas the Cavs,
03:11I think they'd be maybe four to one underdogs,
03:14one to four,
03:14however you want to say that.
03:15So I think you'd,
03:16you would be playing the market to get off of it,
03:20which isn't really a way I like to gamble,
03:22but if I was going not,
03:24okay,
03:24see it would be Cleveland.
Comments