00:00Now, 7.40 p.m. Eastern, it's a night game at Wrigley where the Cubs have been dominant and they
00:07have a dominant pitcher tonight.
00:08But look out, because when you see this total, and if I had a telestrator, I'd circle it, 10 and
00:13a half, it tells you a different story.
00:16Clearly, they imagine the Windy City, the wind is blowing out tonight at Wrigley.
00:21That's why the total is 10 and a half.
00:22There's no question in my mind that's why it is.
00:25But can one of these pitchers keep the ball down at Wrigley tonight?
00:31Minus 162 is Imanaga against the Brewers, who are playing really good baseball also.
00:37They are, but I think Imanaga, I struggle with his name every single time.
00:41But the Cubs pitcher is the way to go here.
00:45You know he's comfortable at home in the Windy City, like you said.
00:48He is balling right now.
00:49Only a couple earned runs in the entire month.
00:52The Brewers playing well, the Cubs playing well, but 10 and a half, man.
00:57You got to stretch to get there.
00:58Even if one team dominates, you could be looking at a 7-2 total and you come in under this.
01:03So I'll take the Cubs on the money line here, 168 at DraftKings right now.
01:07That's not the most friendly price.
01:09If you want to lay the run in half like what I'm doing with the Yankees, you get plus money.
01:12I don't hate that.
01:14But yeah, I think the pitching matchup here leans in the favor of the home team here.
01:18So give me the Cubbies.
01:20Okay, fair enough.
01:21Now let's get to the game between the Rangers and the Rockies, where naturally the Rangers are going to be
01:27favored.
01:27Seems like maybe they're starting to get a feel for their season.
01:30I know it's been a disappointment to start.
01:32But if you look at the Rangers' run differential, it seems like they're probably going to go on some sort
01:36of streak here.
01:37Rockies have been better than what everybody thought, but still probably not good enough to win this series against Texas.
01:43How about in a one-game spot here tonight?
01:46Yeah, better than expected.
01:47Talk about setting a low bar for the 2026 Rockies here.
01:50But you're right.
01:51They've been okay.
01:52But this comes down to a process play for me.
01:55I'm on Mackenzie Gore to win the first five innings of every start until the rest of the season.
01:59Maybe the rest of my life.
02:00I don't know.
02:01Mackenzie Gore, great in the first few innings.
02:03He's given up a 164 batting average the first trip through the lineup.
02:06He's just about as good on the second trip through.
02:08I'm not sold on the Rockies.
02:10I don't think they're scoring much.
02:12Maybe they scratch across one.
02:13I'll lay the half a run and take the road team here to cover half a run during the first
02:18five innings.
02:20All right.
02:20Finally, Kyle, we got a little time to get to here.
02:23I'm a little worried about Yamamoto.
02:25He hasn't pitched well last couple times out.
02:27But the Dodgers naturally are going to be favorites.
02:29This is a small number for L.A. though tonight in San Diego.
02:33Yeah, still 16 strikeouts against just one walk this month for the Dodgers ace here.
02:38I'm going under two and a half runs through the first three innings.
02:41A little pricey, but I trust both pitchers here.
02:44Michael King on the other side.
02:45Also very good for the Padres.
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