00:00now let's take a look at the first game which which tells me everything that i need to know
00:03that you're taking the spurs if you only have them by two and a half and the odds makers are
00:06saying four and a half right now total of 218 and a half the game will tip off 8 40
00:13p.m on
00:14wednesday night so if my math is right and i'm not good at it kyle uh you telling me two
00:19and a
00:19half i see a four and a half there and by the way i think that this line will be
00:22four by the time
00:23they tip off i think there will be some pullback here on the knicks i think you're probably right
00:28and i think if you're a spurs backer you're smart to wait here new york's obviously going to be a
00:32very public team you see all the celebrities all that good stuff it'll be even worse when this thing
00:36goes to the garden but yeah i think if you want the spurs you wait on it i'm light on
00:40them so i'm not
00:41touching the spread or the total in this when i come in two points light on the on the total
00:45too
00:45so i'm not going that direction i'm living in the props market that's where i'm going to attack this
00:49series until i get some distance if this thing goes to new york and it's like a coin flip game
00:54then we
00:54could be talking san antonio but until then i'm going to wait and see what we've got in this series
00:59in game one when it comes to totals and spreads all right so now let's go to some of the
01:04bets that
01:05you like and we'll hit on the prop market and naturally a lot of different options that don't
01:10normally present themselves during the regular season and maybe even in the playoffs but you like
01:15in particular a lot of unders and so i like your thoughts on that i do i'm all in on
01:21the unders i come
01:22in on the mix when it comes to you know the spread and things like that but mitchell robinson
01:26under three and a half points i get that it's ugly i get that it's not comfortable we did this
01:31with
01:31rudy gobert a month ago it is what it is no big guy scores on the spurs it's really that
01:37simple
01:38mitchell robinson given his role last round just over 13 minutes a game if you want him to get to
01:43four
01:43points he's gonna have to score it above his season average on a per minute basis you're telling me
01:48he's gonna go above his permanent average against a generational defender with a broken pinky like
01:55to me that's a lot to ask i understand that three and a half points isn't a very big number
01:58i don't think san antonio goes hack-a-shack so i don't think you have to sweat free throws there
02:03my other my best bet in this game would be michael bridges under one and a half three pointers i
02:08just
02:09don't see enough volume to realistically get there if you're talking two made threes for an average to
02:13above average shooter you want at least five attempts he's only doing that once a series this
02:18postseason i don't think you get much of that i don't think the carl anthony towns offense is going
02:23to really function quite the same way with with wendy guarding him and that just doesn't leave open
02:28looks and that's what bridges is doing is shooting over 45 when the looks are wide open under 30 when
02:34they're not i think the latter comes to fruition here you see like a one for three kind of day
02:38just
02:39has not enough volume for bridges to get there in this market
02:41you
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