00:00All right, we need your prediction. The prediction's sure to go wrong with the Dallas Cowboys 20-26 schedule out.
00:07We're commercial-free in the expressway, and we're going to get the fan cam, Twitch, and YouTube on Peyton going
00:13up the ladder at 7.40.
00:15Choppy's going to take us through the games with the point spreads that Vegas has put out, and then we'll
00:20all pick a record.
00:21Week one, on the road, New York football Giants' Cowboys are a two-and-a-half-point favorite.
00:31That's my first bet of the year.
00:33Let's go.
00:34First bet of the year, getting that W.
00:36So, that would seem to indicate that that Austin Mock thing we talked about the other day was correct,
00:44because when the Athletic was gauging how far apart the Giants and the Cowboys were,
00:49he had said that the Cowboys were about five points better, and so if it's a two-and-a-half
00:54-point spread,
00:55Choppy said that it's now about two points that home field advantage gives you.
00:59So, yeah, Dallas by two-and-a-half.
01:00Cowboys favored by two-and-a-half on the road.
01:02Cowboys favored by two-and-a-half.
01:03Okay.
01:04All right.
01:05I think it's a win.
01:06I think we'll all put that down as a W.
01:08Yeah, it is.
01:09If it's not, there's problems.
01:10All right.
01:11Cowboys against the Commanders.
01:13It's a home game.
01:15Cowboys favored by four-and-a-half.
01:18Okay.
01:19It's a dub.
01:21Win.
01:21Win.
01:22And cover.
01:23And cover.
01:24And cover.
01:25Now we get to the first game that we are wondering about.
01:29Maybe a question on who would be favored.
01:31This is the Rio de Janeiro road game, home game, in Brazil against the Ravens.
01:39Ravens favored by two-and-a-half.
01:41Ooh.
01:42I bet the Ravens.
01:43Smaller than I thought.
01:44What happens to teams on – we'll study this more.
01:48When we're in the season, getting ready for it.
01:51How do teams' regular performance change internationally?
01:55Like, does it usually play out in terms – I'd like to compare the spread that the game would be
02:01in America versus there,
02:02and how much do things change?
02:04The Ravens feel like the team, to me, that would, like, really get in, dive into the circadian sleep rhythm
02:10of travel.
02:11The Rams do this, right?
02:13The Rams left for Europe, like, on Thursday instead of leaving and staying there all week, right?
02:18And then they just – they ran over Jacksonville.
02:21I would bet the Ravens with the points in that one.
02:24Yeah.
02:24I mean, I assume Baltimore's going to bounce back.
02:26Now, that was not a – they are – we're assuming they're going to bounce back, but, I mean, that
02:29is a – that was not a good football team last year.
02:31You've got to get your picks in on this, too, Mr. Host.
02:34Yeah.
02:34I mean, right now I've got 3-0.
02:36I don't think they –
02:37Hey, don't worry.
02:37There we go.
02:38Look at that.
02:39All right.
02:39So they come back from the 12-hour flight from Rio, and they quickly turn around and go south to
02:44Houston on the road.
02:46The favorite in this one is –
02:48Houston.
02:49Houston.
02:49The Texans by 2-1⁄2.
02:51This is the Christian Parker game for me because you're not scoring.
02:55You're not lighting up their defense, in my opinion.
02:59So let's see Christian Parker do worse to C.J. Stroud.
03:04Lamar and C.J. Stroud, a lot of executives and coaches and scouts, according to Jeremy Fowler, questioning both of
03:11them whether they're going to get their next deal.
03:12I'm out on C.J.
03:14Let's see Christian Parker go ahead and win this game defensively.
03:18And what's the over-under?
03:19They probably don't have that out already.
03:21I haven't – well, yes, they do.
03:23Hang on.
03:23I'll find it for you.
03:24But I would pick the Texans in this game, but if they win it, this will be the Christian Parker
03:29game.
03:30Yeah.
03:31Houston's probably going to win this game.
03:32That's going to be such a tight, tough turnaround for them.
03:35Houston at home.
03:35Houston's defense being as strong as it is.
03:3847-1⁄2.
03:39That's high.
03:40Oh, I'm hammering the under on that one.
03:41That's high.
03:42Hammering the under.
03:43That's – that's league average for that week.
03:46I mean, the lowest one that week that I could see is Kansas City-Vegas at 43-1⁄2.
03:50Minnesota-Miami at 43-1⁄2.
03:53Okay.
03:54Yeah, I think that's – this is one of my three asterisk games that, like, are the season-defining type
04:01swing games.
04:02This one, San Fran, and then Jacksonville.
04:06Season can go any which way based on that.
04:08So, I got about 2-2 after the four games.
04:11Same.
04:12With that.
04:12Yep.
04:13Tampa home game.
04:14Week 5.
04:16Cowboys favored by 3-1⁄2.
04:20Win.
04:22That's a win.
04:22Why are you so arrogant about it?
04:24Because I thought Tampa was super mid all last season.
04:27They were.
04:28Yeah, no, but –
04:29They were, like, 6-2, right?
04:30Or 5-1.
04:30Yeah, that's why people were buying into them early in the year.
04:33But, like, I just – no, I think that – no, you'll beat Tampa.
04:36You're going to be better than Tampa this year.
04:37This is the kind of game that Baker, like, shines for.
04:41But I still – I still think –
04:42You never know when Baker's going to shine.
04:44That's the problem.
04:44That's true.
04:45Like, there's a lot of, you know, Baker, Dak, over the years,
04:49questions with his nice run in Tampa Bay.
04:52They could easily lose the game.
04:53But I'll pick the Cowboys.
04:55Pepe?
04:55Yeah, I'm going to pick the Cowboys.
04:56It seems like it's going to be, you know, if we're picking them 2-2 up to that point,
04:59it's kind of like an early save the season kind of mode.
05:01Because, you know, if they go – if they start 2-0 and they drop three straight,
05:05then you've got Green Bay Philly the next few weeks.
05:07And so –
05:08And this will be the Brian Broaddus game.
05:10As Reuben Bain is judged by Broaddus.
05:13And when Reuben comes around the corner, like he's doing in practice and drills right now in Florida,
05:19Broaddus will be coming on, dunking on everybody.
05:22Cool.
05:22I mean, just the fact that Baker Mayfield being as short as he is,
05:25I think Broaddus is going to probably pick the Buccaneers by 30.
05:28All right.
05:29Let's go to the next game.
05:30Week 6.
05:31It's at Green Bay.
05:32Green Bay favored by three.
05:35Loss.
05:36Loss.
05:37Loss.
05:37So they beat a couple teams that have dominated them.
05:41I will not be picking the Cowboys until otherwise.
05:43And I don't even love the Packers.
05:44They're 3-3.
05:46Well, I'm going to pick the tie in that one, actually.
05:47They're going to be 3-2-1.
05:49Hell of a projection.
05:50Well done.
05:51All right.
05:51So we all got them at 3-3?
05:52Yep.
05:53All right.
05:53Next one is at Philly.
05:55Philly is favored by three.
05:58Loss.
06:00Loss.
06:01I'm going to do the whole split thing.
06:03Yep.
06:03Yep.
06:03I'm going to go loss at Philly, win in Arlington on Thanksgiving.
06:07So they're below 500 at this point.
06:09Yep.
06:09Right.
06:09Yep.
06:10Then the next week they'll get to 500.
06:12I mean, hopefully Arizona.
06:14Who knows, right?
06:15But they host Arizona.
06:18Arizona, this is the largest point spread of the year.
06:22Oh, God.
06:23Cowboys by 10-1.
06:25Oh!
06:27I mean, I'm not taking the points, but I have to pick the Cowboys to win the game.
06:32They have to.
06:33If they don't win this game, just.
06:34I mean, it happens every year.
06:35What do you mean?
06:36Every time they play them.
06:37I know.
06:37They have to finally beat them.
06:39Yeah, they've lost four in a row to the Cardinals.
06:41Ugh.
06:42And who's their quarterback right now?
06:43Four in a row.
06:44They've lost their 1-8 in their last night against Arizona.
06:47Who is their quarterback?
06:49It's, um.
06:50It's not Bursette.
06:51Yeah, it is.
06:52It's Jacoby Bursette.
06:54Or Carson Beck.
06:55Pepe?
06:56And that point spread last year in Arlington was just 3.5 points.
06:59Oh.
07:00I believe.
07:00So, yeah, that Monday night game.
07:02So, man, you know, I don't know.
07:04I mean, that's a lot of points.
07:05I'm going to pick Arizona to cover, but I'm going to say the Cowboys get it done.
07:08All right, so they're 4-4.
07:09We all have a 4-4.
07:10Now we go to Indy.
07:11So mid.
07:12Mm-hmm.
07:13At Indy, Cowboys favored by 1-1.5.
07:18You're a big Carly Ursae Gordon fan.
07:19Yeah, with the headset on everything, I like what she's doing.
07:22That game, okay, they're 500.
07:26I'm going to go lost.
07:27It's a win.
07:27And it's the Jonathan Taylor game for me.
07:29Three touchdowns, 220 on the ground.
07:32I mean, it just seems like he's going to run all over the place.
07:34Unless the Cowboys can fix that run game defense.
07:36This is the Downs Bros game.
07:38Yeah.
07:39Yeah, there's going to be a lot of juice on that one, Peggy.
07:41And Daniel Jones' status is what starting this upcoming season?
07:46He had an Achilles tear, right?
07:47It was the Achilles?
07:48Yeah.
07:48They paid him, right?
07:50Yeah.
07:50Yeah.
07:50Dumb move.
07:51Dumb move.
07:52Yeah, no, I would assume that he's – because how late in the season did that happen,
07:55the Achilles tear?
07:56I mean, late.
07:57Rivers, I was like week 10.
07:58I'm going to pick the Cowboys to win.
08:00Yeah, I have them winning this game as well.
08:03He says he intends to be ready to play by week one, but so did Aaron Rodgers.
08:07All right, so this comes to swing game number two for me.
08:10But Jonathan Taylor could just win the game.
08:12That absolutely could look like a game that the Cowboys just are built to lose.
08:17They just lose these kind of games.
08:19San Fran at home.
08:21Loss.
08:23Cowboys favored by one and a half.
08:25I'll never pick him to beat San Fran unless it's a playoff matchup after they already
08:29beat him the regular season.
08:30Win.
08:32This is a win.
08:33Why?
08:33Because I don't think that San Francisco is built the way they've been built in years
08:40past that have made things so difficult for the Cowboys.
08:42Oh, so revenge.
08:43Yeah.
08:44I mean, he could wreck shop.
08:45No doubt about it.
08:46I'll be honest.
08:47I'm scared of the 49ers.
08:48Home, road, away, wherever you play.
08:50They can play them in Brazil.
08:51It doesn't matter.
08:52I'm going to pick the 49ers.
08:53Until the Cowboys can win that game, I'm going to pick the 49ers.
08:56I'm picking San Fran.
08:58So five and five.
08:59They were two and two, three and three, four and four, five and five.
09:01And now you get home to the Titans where the Cowboys are a six and a half point favorite.
09:06I am taking the six and a half.
09:08I'm going to bet the six and a half right now.
09:10This might be the bet of the year.
09:11Win.
09:13I mean, gosh.
09:14Titans are awful.
09:16Home to Philly.
09:18Win.
09:18Win.
09:19Thanksgiving.
09:19They're always favored by one and a half.
09:22Short week.
09:24But, yeah, at home I have the same thing.
09:25Like, Sean, they're going to split that series with Philly.
09:28So I'm going to say win.
09:29So I give them seven and five right now.
09:31Seven and five.
09:33At Seattle, Seattle favored by four and a half.
09:38Loss.
09:39Loss.
09:41Yeah, D-Law's not going to be burnt out for that one.
09:44So I'm going to go.
09:44Yeah, but they've got Fowler now.
09:46Fowler will get us.
09:47Jeez, yeah.
09:48Yeah, Monday night game, you get, what, 10 days, 11 days in between that?
09:52But I think, yeah, Seattle's going to be too much this entire season.
09:55It's easy to say loss.
09:56I have a feeling about this game.
09:59I want to see Darnold, you know, all the other expectations, year two follow-up.
10:03I'll go loss right now, but I could easily go Cowboys win.
10:06Wouldn't surprise me.
10:07The next one is interesting because the Cowboys.
10:10Five and seven and six right now.
10:11Yeah, so am I.
10:12The Cowboys have had some success against the Stafford Rams.
10:18Rams are favored by five and a half.
10:21As they should be.
10:22It's a pretty big spread, though.
10:23Loss.
10:23Loss.
10:24I still have it as a loss.
10:25Yeah.
10:26All right, next one.
10:27This is my third swing game, the Jags.
10:30It's a home game.
10:31But this is one of those things where, like, this is, you know, as we are sitting here at
10:36seven and seven.
10:37Yeah.
10:38You know, you lose.
10:38Big swing.
10:39You lose this game.
10:40I mean, your playoffs are in peril.
10:42Win.
10:43Cowboys are favored by two and a half.
10:46Win.
10:46I hate Jacksonville.
10:47Bobby hates Trevor's new haircut.
10:49I'm going W.
10:50Loss.
10:51Oh.
10:51Oh.
10:53This is the game the Cowboys have lost every year.
10:56Like, not Jacksonville, but, like, this is the time.
10:58You're at home.
10:59It's right there for you.
11:01It's a primetime game against Jacksonville.
11:02And Jacksonville was good last year.
11:03With two very winnable games afterward.
11:04Right.
11:05A chance to get to ten and seven.
11:06Jacksonville, at least last year.
11:08This is their seventh loss for me.
11:10So I would have them at this point at eight and seven.
11:14The Jags, if the Jags are the same team as last year, they did have some nasty to them.
11:18Oh, I mean, they generated.
11:19You picked them to win the Super Bowl.
11:21I mean, they were a really good team.
11:23They generated the most turnovers early on.
11:26No doubt about it.
11:27Travis Hunter didn't do anything.
11:29And they still had a very, very nice season.
11:32But Jacksonville could definitely win.
11:33I just, I don't believe in them, or I don't believe in Trevor.
11:36W.
11:37And Joe Buck picking a Cowboys-Bills Super Bowl.
11:40I saw that.
11:41Yesterday with ESPN having the game.
11:42I saw that.
11:43So, man, I've gone back and forth on this one about four times already.
11:48I just buy the Jags roster overall better.
11:52So I'll go loss here.
11:54Now, home to the Giants.
11:56This is actually a surprising number for me.
12:00Cowboys only favored by four and a half.
12:03Win and win.
12:04Win and win.
12:05Ten and seven.
12:07Washington to finish up.
12:08Win and win.
12:08Ten and seven.
12:09Just a different path of getting there.
12:11Cowboys favored by one and a half in Washington.
12:14Which, that'll be a win.
12:16Pepe.
12:16I have them as a win as well, but I have nine and eight overall.
12:20Nine and eight.
12:21I'm going ten and seven, and that wins the NFC East for me.
12:24Woo.
12:25Yeah.
12:26Philly finishes nine and eight.
12:28That very well could win you the division.
12:30I think ten and seven would get them in the postseason.
12:33Like, they'd be in.
12:33Well, you're winning the East, so they're in.
12:35Well, I was going to say, even if they don't win the East, I would think that ten and seven
12:38should get them in.
12:39So, I would guess that they're right there.
12:41Vegas has them scoring 440 points this year.
12:46Projection.
12:48Sitting at about nine and a half wins.
12:50So, it's right on their number.
12:52It's right on their number, which is their overall win total for the year.
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