00:00On Polymarket right now, Joe, picking the FIFA World Cup winner.
00:04Did you know, $963 million in that market already before the World Cup has even begun.
00:14France is the favorite, 18%.
00:16Spain, 16%, followed by England, the only double-digit chance at 11% here.
00:23France has around $25 million in volume.
00:26Spain, right around 20.
00:27England, around 16 here, Joe.
00:29Impressive market and a lot of money behind it.
00:33Well, listen, I think the market tells you most likely France, Spain, kind of, you know,
00:39those are going to be at the top of the board, and we know that at those prices right now.
00:44But if you're looking for value, I don't know, Argentina or Portugal right now,
00:51we know France and Spain are going to be the chalk,
00:53but you've got a defending championship pedigree here with Argentina.
00:57Argentina, the path, Donnie, you know, the group that they have to come out of,
01:02this is another thing to consider when betting in these markets.
01:05It's not about, well, is this team good enough to win?
01:07Is their path good enough for them and easy enough that warrant the price here?
01:13I think if Messi is healthy and available, which we're hearing he is, call me crazy.
01:18I think they might have a shot here.
01:21But don't forget, Donnie, these markets, we're not betting outcomes.
01:24We're betting the repricing of the market as the World Cup goes on.
01:29Keep that in mind when we're talking about these.
01:32I'm going to give you a question, Joe, that I need to be answered.
01:35There's one nation out there that leads the way with marketing right now,
01:39which means how much money is being pumped into them.
01:43$31.5 million.
01:46Who is that, Joe?
01:48What nation?
01:50I would say U.S.
01:52Is it the U.S. right now that's trying to oversell this?
01:55Oh, wow.
01:55It's the United States currently trading at 2% right now as a chance.
02:00But you know what I'm even worried?
02:01You slide it down.
02:02A lot of countries have a lot of money on it.
02:04There's a team currently trading right now on your contract of 0.4 cents, Joe.
02:09South Korea has $23.3 million invested in them right now.
02:14Money's moving all around.
02:15And as Joe points out, you don't have to win the World Cup.
02:18Maybe just a round one victory here in your first game propels that ticket from 0.4 cents
02:23up to 1.4 cents.
02:25And you're profitable at that point here.
02:27Also on Polymarket, Joe, which continent will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
02:33Europe, monstrous favorite.
02:3573% chance here.
02:37South America, 21%.
02:40North America, Joe, 2% here.
02:43So you're going to get what?
02:43Canada, Mexico, and the United States.
02:47$100 investment pays back $3,890 there.
02:52Well, a lot of correlation or hedging in this market, right?
02:56Because if you like, let's say, France or England, right, or Spain, well, all right.
03:01So you're going to go, you know, you're not going to back it up.
03:04If you wanted to hedge out, though, Donnie, and you're worried about the Argentinas or the
03:09Brazils of the world, guess what?
03:11At that price for South America may not be a bad look there.
03:17Goal score, who's going to lead the way?
03:19Who's going to be in the back of the net more than not?
03:22The favorite right now, Joe, Mbappe at an 18%.
03:26Harry Kane plays for the Three Lions over there, 15%.
03:32Erling Haaland, who scores left and right in EPL, seems like every single game, 8%, Joe.
03:38How about that?
03:39And by the way, Ronaldo popping up there with 6%.
03:42How about that?
03:43I like Haaland.
03:44I'm with you.
03:45I think you nailed it there.
03:46Listen, we know Harry Kane.
03:48Even Harry Kane at that price, though, is kind of crazy when you think about it there.
03:52Mbappe is going to be your favorite as well.
03:55He should.
03:56But I think Erling Haaland is interesting because Norway has maybe the softest group and
04:03path of any of those guys.
04:05And, I mean, call me crazy, if he can get two or three goals early in the group stage, that
04:14price is going to get crushed, Donnie.
04:17That's going to go through the roof.
04:18So, buy in now on him, strictly because I think he's got the easiest path coming out of that
04:23group.
04:24By the way, Mbappe is the favorite.
04:26I keep scrolling down.
04:27Like, again, I'm not too fluent on the roster for the United States, but I know a couple of
04:31the players there.
04:32I don't think I see anybody listed here on Team USA.
04:35Like, I know, got like Vinicius is on here.
04:37Dembale is on here.
04:39Even Luis Suarez is listed on there.
04:41He's got like 60 years old, still playing in the World Cup.
04:44I don't see.
04:45Where's my guy Pulisic?
04:46No Pulisic, Joe?
04:48No, no.
04:49That's a wrong decade for that.
04:52Yeah, no.
04:52I am not.
04:53Yeah, don't spend a whole lot of time figuring.
04:56It's got to be a group effort for Team USA if they're going to get out of the group
05:00stages and actually make it to the fun part of the tournament.
05:05Yeah, Holland to take it down, Joe, right now, his eighth, his eighth sense here on the
05:09contract, a hundred dollar investment will pay back nine hundred and fifty five dollars.
05:13World Cup is coming soon.
05:15Certainly keep you invested here on the prediction markets.
05:18And we got more hot topics on the Wednesday right here on the Sports Grid Network.
05:22Join us after this.
05:23Wait.
05:23Wait.
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