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Fuel prices in Kenya have skyrocketed as the nation grapples with the impact of the Middle East conflict. The opposition is pushing for protests, while the government urges patience. Is this a failure of planning — or a game of politics?

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00:00Kenya's opposition has given the government an ultimatum.
00:04Bring fuel prices down or face nationwide protests.
00:07They say President Ruto's administration has failed,
00:11that Kenyans are hurting and rightly angry.
00:14But behind the threat of mass action, a deeper question looms.
00:18Is the opposition genuinely concerned or taking advantage of the fuel crisis?
00:23Mi vile nilisikia iyo watu winyo au pinzani vile walistangaza iyo mambo ya mandamano.
00:30Niliona ni kama pia pandeo ingine wanaleta imu nini,
00:34wanauza sera yao yonekane wawo wakopande ya wanainchi.
00:38Ya wawo wanataka uchisaidea sababu ya siyasa.
00:41Na sababu ya siyasa yao na wanataka kuleta mandamano,
00:44watu wengi wataumia sana.
00:46Ya nambapu, serigali tena itafika mahali iseme anze kukombenzate.
00:50Na hiyo compensation unawana sasa ni munda inapoteza.
00:53Welcome to the flip side.
00:55Fuel prices are surging.
00:57The cost of living is squeezing households to the brink.
01:00The trigger?
01:01Escalating conflict in the Middle East.
01:04Choking key oil corridors and sending global prices soaring.
01:09Kenya, which imports nearly all its petroleum, is taking a direct hit.
01:13Fuel is up 25%, a record.
01:17Transport costs have spiked.
01:19Food prices are climbing.
01:21For millions already living on edge, something had to give.
01:25The government definitely knew that based on what has been happening in Iran,
01:32I think the government should have come in earlier to have a sit down with the stakeholders
01:39to just prepare them well for this.
01:42Analysts had warned.
01:44Global bodies flagged the risks.
01:46The signals were there.
01:48So what did the government do to prepare?
01:50In terms of what the government could have done, I think they've done quite a bit, given the
01:57circumstances and the volatile nature of the conflict in Iran.
02:00And yeah, the issues are there, pre-existing institutional issues that have been exposed
02:06by these external shocks.
02:08And that's what the government is trying to manage right now.
02:10Fair point.
02:11When COVID hit, no government was fully ready.
02:14Global crisis can overwhelm even strong systems.
02:18But critics argue this was different.
02:21Fuel shocks follow patterns.
02:23There was time.
02:24What steps can the government take to bring relief to its citizens?
02:28The government needs to do further engagements with the stakeholders before the next set of price
02:34adjustments, so that Kenyans are aware much earlier on what they expect to avoid the
02:43situation whereby they're being caught off guard.
02:45Then there's the opposition.
02:46It says it's standing with the people.
02:49But the timing has raised eyebrows.
02:51With elections on the horizon, is this about fuel or about power?
02:56The opposition is in a very, I would say, weakened state.
02:59And so, of course, they're going to jump to the occasion to use these public frustrations
03:04to mobilize ahead of the elections.
03:06But I think it goes deeper than that, because it's not just about the opposition trying to
03:13mobilize and to gain political mileage ahead of the election.
03:16It's also the fact that the way in which the government has handled the crisis has, you
03:23know, elated some genuine concerns from, you know, different Kenyans.
03:27For ordinary Kenyans, politics matters less than the price.
03:31They want relief.
03:33They want answers.
03:34The government says it's doing its best.
03:37In the meantime, the pain at the petrol station is real.
03:41But who's really fighting for the people?
03:43And who's fighting for power?
03:45That is the flip side.
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