00:00But how about this, Joe?
00:01The worst regular season record, as it's listed at Cal Sheep.
00:04Now, you might see the usual suspects up top.
00:06The Tennessee Titans maybe think New Orleans isn't going to be that good this year.
00:10Washington, heck, is even trading at 48%, which is kind of interesting,
00:13a few short years removed from an NFC championship game.
00:16But you know which one caught my eye the most, Joe?
00:18The New England Patriots at 45% as a chance that the NFL's worst record
00:25when they were just in the Super Bowl last year.
00:27Product of your environment, you might say here.
00:30Vrabel is a head coach.
00:31Some interesting doings, to say the least, for him.
00:33But understand this.
00:34They had an easy run last year with that schedule.
00:36Not so much this year, Joe.
00:38A lot of people saying maybe New England has a chance to be the worst team in the NFL.
00:42Say it ain't so.
00:44Well, their schedule is going to be a lot more difficult than it was a year ago, Donnie.
00:50But who are we kidding?
00:52It's going to be the New York Jets.
00:54Stop it.
00:55The Jets, I mean, I think the look-ahead line for total wins, five and a half,
01:01juice to the under.
01:02And why is that?
01:04Well, because they have Geno Smith, the quarterback.
01:06And we all know how that's going to work out.
01:08Not to mention they have three first-round picks next year.
01:12They're not going to do anything to jeopardize their ability to go get the quarterback of the future
01:18in next year's draft.
01:19But I also would not sleep.
01:21I think the Cardinals are going to be awful as well.
01:24So I think between the Jets and the Cardinals, those are your two live teams that have the fewest wins
01:29next year.
01:31Aaron Glenn probably would be out of a job.
01:33Maybe Darren Moogie, 27 cents to a yes contract from the Jets having the worst record, Joe.
01:38That $100 investment pays back $371.
01:42Let's go role reversal.
01:43Best regular season record in the NFL.
01:46The Super Bowl champion Seattle Seahawks, 13%.
01:49They're currently trading at, have the best record in the NFL.
01:52And by the way, that's a tough division and a tough conference that they're playing in.
01:56Followed by Jacksonville at 11%.
01:58Chicago at 10%.
01:59Now understand this.
02:00That's not where the money is actually going.
02:02Because if you take a look at Jackson, say, wait a second.
02:04They're at an 11% chance.
02:06That's the algo listed there.
02:084% is the contract to the yes.
02:09You get an even better price.
02:11Los Angeles Rams loaded up by taking a quarterback in round number one.
02:15We'll see how that one turns out.
02:17Buffalo, Kansas City, Baltimore, and such, Joe.
02:19How do we feel this playing out next year?
02:20The best regular season record in the NFL.
02:24Yeah, the best regular season.
02:25It's kind of tough not to look at those teams, right?
02:28The Rams, you mentioned the Seahawks.
02:31But are they going to devour one another is my question there, Donnie.
02:35And that's the head scratching here.
02:38But listen, the Bills, don't sleep on the Bills.
02:41We know Miami is rebuilding.
02:43The Jets are going to be terrible.
02:44Like you said, New England's taking a step back this year.
02:48So, all of a sudden, the Bills, their AFC East opponents, who they played twice, not all of a sudden,
02:55not that bad there, Donnie.
02:57I think the Bills are worth a look.
02:59And, of course, kind of hard here.
03:01And it's a long shot.
03:02But if Joe Burrow stays healthy, could Cincinnati end up being the king of the AFC North?
03:09Or how about those charges out on the West Coast, Joe?
03:12A healthy offensive line.
03:13Herbert healthy in this one.
03:15Another year in that horrible offense.
03:16A $100 investment.
03:17We'll pay back $16.67 if you think the charges can get the job done.
03:22Making the playoffs in the NFL, Joe, year to year.
03:24We see a lot of changes here.
03:26It's no surprise that a lot of teams that didn't make the playoffs last year, you get better draft picks.
03:30You restructure.
03:31You get an easier schedule than the first-place teams.
03:33And you can make it in.
03:34Leader in the clubhouse, no surprise.
03:36It's Seattle.
03:36It's 75% just winning the championship.
03:39But if you do scroll down, how about this, Joe?
03:41When's the last time we saw the Kansas City Chiefs trading at only $0.66 as a yes to make
03:47the playoffs here?
03:47They missed it last year.
03:49But $100 investment pays back $1.52.
03:51If Mahomes is healthy by game number one and Andy Reid, could they make the playoffs?
03:55That may be a little bit of a discount for them now.
03:58Yeah, absolutely.
04:00You can't discount them.
04:01They also had a really good draft.
04:03They addressed a lot of the needs that they have.
04:06And ultimately, listen, you know, he's got to come back and be healthy.
04:11And all indications are he's going to be.
04:14But again, I'll go back.
04:16Jaguars, Bengals, I think, have some value.
04:19What about the Bears?
04:21The Bears don't seem to be going anywhere anytime soon also.
04:24So I do think there are some decent-priced teams that you can take a shot with here.
04:31And even the Cowboys, for that matter.
04:32Yeah.
04:34How about the New York Giants and Harbaugh in town?
04:36Could they turn it around, Joe?
04:3733 cents is the contract to the yes for the Giants.
04:40A $100 investment in the Giants making the playoffs pays back $3.04.
04:45How about NFL champion, Joe, for next year?
04:48Now, so many people say Seattle, they could win that division.
04:50Seattle's not the favorite.
04:51Do you know what it is?
04:52It's the Los Angeles Rams.
04:53We're trading at 12% right now, which is the interesting part about that.
04:56But if they chose a weapon that could help them in the draft, would that have been higher
05:01at this point, Joe?
05:02But the Rams are the leaders right now.
05:03And Cal, she had a 12% chance to win the Super Bowl.
05:07Not if Mahomes is back.
05:09I'll take my chances with Kansas City in that market, Donnie.
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