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An India Today open source intelligence investigation examines why US air strikes may not be enough to reach Iran's hidden uranium at the Isfahan Nuclear Facility.
Transcript
00:00You must have consistently heard a one word, Ishwahan.
00:03It's a place in Iran and has faced strides.
00:05It's an important military hub as much.
00:08There is this belief that suspected enriched uranium
00:11might be kept in a nuclear site in this city.
00:15So India today's open source intelligence team, our OSINT team,
00:18decided to find it more, break it down,
00:21the terrain, the uranium movement if there is,
00:23and why airstrike, as America is doing,
00:26may not be enough to really pester through.
00:28Take a look at this report.
00:31Let's talk about Ishwahan,
00:34the place now at the center of the US
00:36and Israel's military campaign in Iran.
00:39But wait, wasn't this same place already bombed last year in June?
00:45Wasn't Iran's nuclear program, as Donald Trump claimed,
00:50already obliterated?
00:51Well, it is a bit more complicated than that.
00:55Let's go back to June 22nd, 2025.
00:59Operation Midnight Hammer.
01:01US B-2 bombers flew all the way from the American mainland
01:06to strike Iran's nuclear facilities using GBU-57 massive ordnance penetrators,
01:13better known as bunker buster bombs.
01:16Their prime targets were FODO and Natanz.
01:20The two facilities the US believed were critical to Iran's nuclear weapons pathway.
01:26Long before that strike, Israeli intelligence had already spent years studying these sites.
01:33FODO's tunnel architecture had been mapped in detail.
01:38The facility was buried deep beneath rock, designed to stay hidden and survive attack.
01:44That intelligence likely helped identify vulnerable points for bunker buster strikes.
01:50The same was true in different ways for Natanz.
01:55But Isfahan was different.
01:57And to understand why, we need to look at the terrain.
02:00Forno's uranium enrichment plant sits deep inside a rocky mountain with terrain above it,
02:07giving it heavy natural protection.
02:10Natanz, on the other hand, is also buried underground,
02:14but not in the same mountain ridge setting.
02:18Isfahan is different from both.
02:21Here, some of the underground tunnel zones appear to sit beneath far higher ridge lines,
02:27potentially giving parts of the facility much deeper natural shielding than FODO or Natanz.
02:34That matters because bunker buster bombs are designed to penetrate deep underground targets,
02:40but only up to a point.
02:42So, while FODO and Natanz sat within the range of what repeated bunker buster strikes were meant to target,
02:50Isfahan appears to have posed a much harder penetration problem.
02:54And that may explain why, during the 12-day war in June 2025,
03:00the US used bunker busters on FODO and Natanz, but hit Isfahan differently.
03:07With Tomahawk cruise missiles aimed at tunnel entrances and external access points,
03:14rather than trying to punch directly into the buried core.
03:18But that is not the whole story.
03:20Because as it turns out,
03:23the Iranians may have already seen this coming.
03:26Open source analysis now suggests that some enriched uranium
03:31may have been moved to Isfahan before the bombings.
03:34And that changes everything.
03:37Because now we are not just talking about a hardened site.
03:40We may be talking about a hardened site
03:43that holds some of Iran's most valuable nuclear material.
03:47But wait!
03:48What exactly is enriched uranium?
03:52Here is the simple version.
03:54Natural uranium contains only a tiny amount of uranium-235.
04:01The isotope needed for a nuclear weapon.
04:04So the uranium is turned into a gas
04:06and fed into fast-spinning machines called centrifuges.
04:11As these machines spin at extremely high speed,
04:15they gradually separate the lighter uranium-235
04:19from the heavier uranium-238.
04:23The more this process is repeated,
04:26the more concentrated the uranium-235 becomes.
04:31And once uranium is enriched to very high levels,
04:35it can be used in a nuclear bomb.
04:37So if enriched uranium was moved to Isfahan before the strikes,
04:42then Iran's most prized nuclear stock
04:45may now sit inside one of the hardest underground targets in the country.
04:49And Isfahan is not just deep.
04:52It is also heavily defended.
04:54The wider area is surrounded by military infrastructure,
04:59air bases, drone hubs, and missile sites,
05:02making it part of Iran's central defensive belt.
05:06So now the problem for the US and Israel
05:09is no longer just identifying the target.
05:12It is figuring out how to actually reach what may be buried inside it.
05:17The GBU-57 can strike deep.
05:22Cruise missiles can hit entrances.
05:24Air power can degrade the defenses around the site.
05:28But none of that guarantees access to the buried core of the complex.
05:32And that is where the military logic changes.
05:36At Fordow or Natanz, the focus was destruction.
05:41At Isfahan, the focus may now be shifting to access.
05:45Because if the uranium is really inside these tunnels,
05:49and if bombs cannot reliably reach it,
05:52then there is one last military option left.
05:55A ground operation.
05:57Not just to bomb the site,
05:59but to physically enter it,
06:01secure it,
06:02and seize the uranium hidden inside.
06:04That would be one of the riskiest options on the table.
06:09It would mean going under hundreds of meters of rock
06:12through tunnel systems
06:14inside one of Iran's most protected military zones.
06:18But that is precisely why Isfahan matters.
06:21Because the story here
06:23is no longer just about what can be destroyed from the air.
06:27It is about what may have to be taken on the ground.
06:30And that is the story of Isfahan
06:33in Operation Epic Fury 2026.
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