00:00Bank Negara Malaysia BNM mengakui persekitaran ekonomi global kini sangat tidak menentu sehingga menjejaskan ketepatan sesuatu unjuran.
00:09Bagaimanapun, Timbalan Governor BNM, Datuk Marzu Nisham Omar berkata pihaknya tetap bersiap-siaga dengan membangunkan beberapa senario dalam berdepan kesan
00:20konflik di Asia Barat.
00:49Beliau berkata demikian dalam sesi wacana ekonomi Malaysia dan perbincangan panel 2026 anjuran BNM di Kuala Lumpur pada Khamis.
00:58Jelasnya dalam unjuran semasa, ekonomi global dijangka berkembang antara 2.7 hingga 3.2% tahun ini, disokong dasar moneteri
01:08dan fiskal yang kukuh.
01:10Sementara itu, Ketua Ahli Ekonomi Maybank Investment Bank Sohaimi Ilyas berkata, krisis ini bukan sekadar isu tenaga tetapi telah meluas
01:19kepada pelbagai sektor ekonomi.
01:21But there's also the issue of even if we have de-escalation of some form in the Middle East crisis,
01:30the next question is the disruption risk.
01:33Will things go back to normal ASIP or will it take time to crank up production of crude oil after
01:41the disruption that happened, after the strikes on facilities, infrastructure upstream all the way to downstream at the logistic point
01:48and whether the reopening, we're going to see a full reopening of a state of Hormus.
01:54Dalam masa sama, pakar ekonomi di Pusat Penyelidikan dan Latihan Bank-Bank Pusat Asia Tenggara, Dr. Nur Ain Syahrir menegaskan,
02:02kesan krisis ini turut mempengaruhi corak persepsi masyarakat yang membentuk realiti ekonomi.
02:10So currently the shocks that happen is the supply shocks. It's what happened in the Hormus trade. The oil price
02:19disruptions, the production chain disruptions, that is currently, the monetary policy cannot increase or decrease to like control that.
02:31So it's the supply shock. It's the first round. Unless the supply shocks spill over or it permeates and affects
02:40consumption, affects the investment, then this is now the second round effect.
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