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The West Asia conflict has escalated following a threat from US President Donald Trump to Iran, stating that a failure to immediately open the Strait of Hormuz will result in the obliteration of its electric generating plants, oil wells, and Kharg Island.
Transcript
00:00Hello and welcome. The West Asia conflict is entering a far more dangerous and complex phase
00:06with the possibility of a wider regional spillover now growing by the hour.
00:12From escalating rhetoric in Washington to direct accusations from Tehran
00:18and now fresh strikes across multiple theatres.
00:22This is no longer a contained confrontation.
00:26There are developments happening by the hour.
00:30And here on Five Live, we'll bring you up to speed with all the developments.
00:36Here are the top 10 developments from the war that you need to see and you need to care about.
00:44Let's start with Donald Trump who has hardened his stance.
00:47Donald Trump has now suggested seizing Iran's key oil hub, the Khark Island.
00:51Remember we told you about that.
00:52Even as the US media reports say that Washington is weighing a military move to extract nearly 500 kilograms of
01:00uranium,
01:01hinting at Trump's plan of ground invasion in talks as well.
01:07That means if talks fail, that's what they are headed towards.
01:12Number two on our list today, coming in from Iran, who has accused the United States of planning potential ground
01:17operations,
01:18warning that its forces are waiting for US ground troops so they can rain fire upon them.
01:27Let's look at number three.
01:28Tehran claims that it has carried out a missile and drone strike on the US-operated airbase in Saudi Arabia,
01:34alleging damage to US-AWAC surveillance aircraft along with multiple refueling aircrafts.
01:45Meanwhile, Trump has raised the stakes further, says he would consider a new regime in Iran.
01:51Trump said that he has destroyed one regime, further claiming the second was mostly dead
01:58and the third regime would be of different people altogether.
02:04Meanwhile, Mujtaba signaled regional backing, claimed that Iraq is now supporting Iran in the conflict.
02:13Mujtaba released a third statement in a written one.
02:17He says that he thanked the people of Iraq for their support in Iran war against the United States and
02:23Israel.
02:25The Houthi movement has opened up a new front, launching two waves of missiles and drone strikes on Israel's military
02:34sites.
02:34In just the past 24 hours, the Iran-backed group has now vowed more attacks until Israel halts its offensive,
02:43raising fresh fears of disruption at the Babal Mandeb choke point, a critical artery for the global shipping.
02:51Meanwhile, strikes hit a key Iranian petrochemical facility, sort of raising concerns over energy infrastructure security.
03:01Recent Israeli strikes of targeting Tehran have led to major power outages as well,
03:06with multiple areas across the capital facing blackouts.
03:11Meanwhile, Kuwait drawn into the conflict zone,
03:15this time power and scintillation infrastructure reportedly hit.
03:22Iran, meanwhile, has confirmed that an Israeli strike had killed the commander of the naval force of the Revolutionary Guards,
03:30who Israel had said was responsible for blocking the state of Hormuz.
03:37And back home, pressure is mounting on Donald Trump, with thousands hitting the streets.
03:42Let's look at those pictures in the third wave of the No Kings protests.
03:47Demonstrators have rallied against the Iran conflict with chants, placards, street blockades,
03:53sand art, accusing Trump administration of pushing an authoritarian agenda.
03:59Let's start by bringing you another aspect of which way the war really is going
04:04and why we think a second shock is on its way.
04:10Now, one month into Iran conflict, there are early signs of the situation could widen
04:16and three major developments stand out.
04:21Number one, the American troop deployment, if you look at that, that's constantly increasing.
04:28Reports suggest that planning of a range of operations from limited coastal raids
04:32to the possible seizure of the strategic Iranian islands,
04:35including areas around the state of Hormuz, is happening.
04:39And if that were to take place, it would mark a shift to direct ground engagement.
04:45Such transitions, remember we've told you in the past as well, in conflict,
04:49typically signal a more prolonged and complex phase
04:52with wider implications, including for global energy markets as well.
04:58Number two then, Iran appears to be preparing for a longer confrontation.
05:04On that front, the IRGC has now lowered the voluntary recruitment age.
05:10The move is both symbolic, also practical.
05:12It suggests that Tehran is anticipating a drawn-out conflict
05:15and potential pressure on manpower.
05:18Historically, if you look at it, countries expand recruitment
05:21when they expect sustained attrition.
05:24The signal here is clear, preparation for endurance,
05:27not just immediate retaliation.
05:31And number three, the Houthis in Yemen have entered the conflict.
05:37On Iran's side, this raises the possibility of renewed attacks
05:41on Red Sea shipping routes.
05:43If that coincides with disruption in the Strait of Hormuz,
05:47those two critical oil corridors over there
05:50could be affected at the same time.
05:54Which is why we're saying a second shock could just be on its way.
05:58These waterways handle the significant share of global oil flows.
06:03Any disruption would have a direct consequence on the energy markets.
06:08Some estimates even suggest oil prices could move sharply higher
06:11and also knock-on effects on inflation and supply chains.
06:16The Houthis signaling also suggests that any escalation on the ground
06:21could widen into a broader regional economic confrontation.
06:27Which brings us to the key question.
06:29What is the likely end game?
06:33The regime change in Tehran does not appear to be an immediate objective at all.
06:39In fact, you've seen Donald Trump also changes statements constantly.
06:42And he's not talking about regime change anymore.
06:44He talks about nuclear power.
06:46He talks about Hormuz more and more.
06:47So something has changed.
06:49The goalpost has moved.
06:50A more plausible outcome under the discussion
06:52is securing the Strait of Hormuz.
06:55That is something several Gulf states have also favoured
06:59are constantly pushing for
07:01given Iran's ability to actually disrupt traffic.
07:03However, Tehran continues to assert full sovereignty over the Strait
07:08and appears prepared to defend that position
07:11which raises another question.
07:13How long can regional actors actually sustain?
07:17An extended period of missiles and drones exchanged?
07:19Or something more after that?
07:23And finally, there remains the uncertainty around US objectives.
07:26Public positions have shifted
07:28and there is no single clearly stated end game at the moment.
07:34Some in Washington argue for a quick resolution.
07:37Others see an opportunity to weaken Iran's regional network.
07:40At this stage, much of the assessment remains speculative at best,
07:45including amongst policy makers.
07:49So what is clear?
07:52What is clear is that the conflict is entering a more uncertain phase
07:57with the potential for wider military and economic consequences.
08:01How it develops from here will depend on decisions
08:05taken in the coming few days and weeks.
08:10Here's a report to round all of that up for you.
08:26The West Asia war enters its second month
08:30and there are clear signs the conflict is intensifying.
08:36Iran has stepped up retaliatory strikes targeting US assets in the Gulf
08:41despite heavily depleted missile strength.
08:45While Washington is weighing a stronger response,
08:48including boots on the ground,
08:50which may lead to a limited incursion into Iran.
08:55US reports indicate over 50,000 US troops now positioned in West Asia
09:00and that Trump administration is weighing direct action,
09:04including seizure of Karg Island or targeting Iran's uranium stockpile.
09:10According to reports,
09:12the Pentagon is preparing for weeks of possible ground operations.
09:16At the same time, Tehran has issued a direct warning.
09:21Iran's leadership says it is prepared to respond
09:24if the U.S. forces enter the battlefield.
09:29In response to Trump's recent threats of ground operations
09:33or occupation of any part of Iranian territory,
09:36which of course is nothing more than a wish,
09:38we announce that the warriors of Islam
09:40have been waiting for such actions for a long time
09:43to prove that aggression and occupation
09:46will not result in anything other than humiliating captivity
09:49and dismemberment and disappearance of the aggressors
09:52and American commanders and soldiers
09:54will become good food for the sharks of the Persian Gulf.
10:01Iran now claims
10:02its truck, a U.S.-operated airbase in Saudi Arabia,
10:06alleging damage to a key surveillance aircraft
10:09and other military assets at Prince Sultan Air Base.
10:14Despite ongoing diplomatic efforts,
10:16there are few signs of de-escalation on the ground.
10:21U.S. President Donald Trump
10:22has indicated that multiple military options
10:25remain under consideration.
10:28Are you considering still putting boots on the ground
10:30and would you do that without going to Congress?
10:32I just have lots of alternators.
10:33We have tremendous numbers of ships over there.
10:37We don't need them all because of, you know, the power.
10:40Look, I would say we're just like we're ahead of schedule
10:43on the ballroom in a much bigger way.
10:46We're ahead of schedule with Iran.
10:49We're weeks ahead of schedule.
10:51On the other hand, in a recent communication,
10:54Mojtaba Khamenei acknowledged backing from Iraq.
10:58The message was a third written statement
11:01from Mojtaba away from public eye.
11:04This amid speculations if Mojtaba is alive or dead.
11:10Trump was dismissive.
11:13Is committee's son still alive?
11:15Sir, is he a part of these conversations?
11:16We think he may be.
11:17Nobody's heard about him.
11:20He may be alive, but he's obviously very seriously in trouble.
11:24He's seriously wounded.
11:26With troop build-ups, strike claims and ground options all on the table.
11:33The big question now, is this conflict heading towards a wider war?
11:39Bureau of Report, India Today.
11:50All right, the news is coming in.
11:52This is the latest statement that has come in from Donald Trump.
11:55He has said, and I quote,
11:57that the United States of America is in serious discussion
12:00with a new and more reasonable regime
12:03to end our military operations in Iran.
12:06He also goes on to say that great progress has been made,
12:10but if for any reason a deal is not shortly reached,
12:13which it probably will be,
12:16and if the Hormuz trade is not immediately open for business,
12:21we will conclude our lovely stay in Iran
12:25by blowing up and completely obliterating
12:28all their electric generating plants,
12:31oil wells and Khark Island.
12:33A very clear message there coming in from Donald Trump.
12:37Goes on to say,
12:38which we have purposefully not yet touched.
12:42This will be in retribution for our many soldiers and others.
12:47That Iran has,
12:48that Iran has butchered and killed
12:50over the old regime's 47 years of reign of terror.
12:55Thank you for your attention
12:57to this matter,
12:58President Donald J. Trump.
13:01So Donald Trump in his latest message,
13:04sort of a warning that he has given to Iran over there,
13:08talks about how he's not mentioned boots on the ground,
13:11but he does go on to state very clearly
13:15that if the state of Hormuz is not open for business,
13:18immediately he says,
13:20then they will be doubling down on their attacks.
13:23This basically means that the 10-day period,
13:27the five-day period,
13:28pause earlier,
13:29the 10-day extension that he's given,
13:32this message effectively means
13:33that he is withdrawing that now
13:35to say that if Hormuz is not effectively
13:39and immediately open for business again,
13:41he will go down
13:43to attacking all their electric-generating plants,
13:47their oil wells,
13:48and also the Kharg Island.
13:50This is the promise that he made,
13:52that let's come to a negotiating table,
13:55let's come to the board
13:57and let's try and reach a conclusion over here.
14:00But things don't seem to be going the way
14:03he expected at least
14:05and thus comes this message from Donald Trump.
14:10Geeta Mohan,
14:11I just read out the message from Donald Trump.
14:14He's saying very clearly,
14:15almost like a threat,
14:17that in case the state of Hormuz
14:20is not open for business immediately,
14:22he will go down
14:23and will be blowing up,
14:25completely obliterating
14:26all the electric-generating plants.
14:29What does this mean?
14:30Does this effectively mean
14:31that the 10-day pause period,
14:33the extension,
14:34he's ready to withdraw?
14:37Well, it certainly does not mean that
14:39because there is no clarity
14:40on whether this is going to happen
14:42after the 10-day extension or not.
14:45But what I'm looking at
14:47is a very confused statement
14:49because he's saying that
14:50he's having a very good conversation
14:53with the new regime.
14:56Who is he talking to?
14:58Because the Iranian regime has come out,
14:59the government has come out and said,
15:01that they're not in talks,
15:03negotiations are not underway.
15:05There could be certain back channels
15:07which is via Pakistan,
15:09via Qatar,
15:11via Oman,
15:12that some conversations might be taking place.
15:15But for the president to say
15:17that there is a reasonable regime
15:18that he's in talks with
15:20and in the very same breath
15:22actually go ahead
15:23and then threaten
15:27blowing up the power plants in Iran
15:30clearly shows
15:31that this is an act of desperation,
15:33that he really needs a win.
15:35He's not going to withdraw without a win.
15:38Iran is not giving Trump that win.
15:40And so both are stuck.
15:42This could end up being a real escalation
15:45given the fact
15:46that yes,
15:47some of the plants were attacked
15:50and then Iran retaliated
15:52by sending out missiles to Haifa.
15:55And there could be more attacks
15:57in the GCC countries.
15:59I do not think
16:00the Arab world has the stomach
16:02to really take attacks
16:05on their power generation plants
16:07that could impact
16:08their desalination plants.
16:10So right now,
16:11we're just trying to figure out
16:13what the statement means
16:14when he says
16:14he's in talks
16:15with a reasonable regime
16:17in Iran.
16:18One and secondly,
16:20he's put out the threat yet again.
16:21So we'll have to wait and see
16:22whether the deadline ends
16:24with the Strait of Hormuz
16:26not opening.
16:28Yeah, I asked you that question, Geeta,
16:30because he very categorically
16:31says immediately
16:32he's not mentioned
16:33the timeline at all.
16:34And he goes on to say
16:35he mentions Khark Island
16:37as well for the very first time.
16:38We've not seen his tweets
16:39sort of mention that also earlier.
16:41So significant changes
16:43in the tone
16:43in which he's speaking right now
16:45indicating perhaps
16:47he's running out of patience
16:49on this one.
16:51One, that and secondly,
16:52also in all probability
16:54the amphibious strike group
16:56is closer to the war theater.
16:58One must have already
16:58reached the war theater.
17:00So it could be an emboldened
17:01trump.
17:02But is it an emboldened
17:04trump with a plan?
17:05Because if you're mentioning
17:05Khark Island,
17:06if you're mentioning
17:07blowing up of power plants,
17:09you should be ready
17:10for what will follow next
17:11in terms of ramifications
17:13and repercussions.
17:14And it is not something
17:15that is impacting America
17:16directly.
17:17It's impacting
17:18American allies.
17:20And is he accounting
17:21for the concerns
17:22of American allies
17:24is the question over here.
17:25So he's made a threat.
17:27He's made these threats
17:27before as well
17:28and withdrew those threats.
17:30He says there's a conversation
17:31that's underway.
17:32So again,
17:33we'll have to wait and see
17:34how a conversation
17:36really pans out.
17:37Whether Pakistan
17:38is the go between
17:40Washington and Tehran.
17:42Either way,
17:42there needs to be
17:43some conversation
17:44to ensure that
17:45there is no
17:46untoward incident
17:47or one that leads to
17:49or ends up
17:50being the most
17:51irreparable damage
17:53that is done
17:54in this world.
17:56Right.
17:56Geeta, stay on with us.
17:57Our colleague Pranay
17:58also joins us
17:59live from Tel Aviv.
18:00Pranay,
18:01I don't know
18:01if you've seen
18:02but let me just
18:03break the news to you
18:04one more time.
18:04Donald Trump
18:05has just made
18:05a fresh statement
18:06in which he has
18:07gone ahead to say
18:08that he is in talks
18:10in some serious discussions
18:11with a reasonable regime
18:12but that it has
18:14immediately,
18:15two lines later,
18:15it's followed by a threat.
18:17He says if the
18:18state of Hormuz
18:18is not immediately
18:19open for business,
18:21he will have to conclude
18:22his stay in Iran
18:24by blowing up
18:25and completely obliterating
18:27all the electric
18:27generating plants,
18:28oil wells
18:29and for the first time
18:30he actually mentions
18:31Kharg Island.
18:33Help us understand
18:34how this is actually
18:35unfolding
18:36and if you're seeing
18:37any sense of that
18:39or any indication
18:39of that on the ground.
18:42So then,
18:43President Donald Trump
18:44loves headlines
18:45and deadlines
18:45but if you want
18:47to create a word cloud
18:48of his statements,
18:49I think obliteration
18:51will be the most
18:52prominent word
18:53in his recent speeches.
18:56President Donald Trump
18:57might be trying
18:58to end this war
18:59as soon as possible
19:01or trying to find
19:02some kind of
19:02an escape route
19:03or a U-turn
19:04where he can
19:06call off this operation
19:07but it's not that easy.
19:09Getting into a war
19:10is much easier
19:11than getting out
19:12of a conflict
19:12and we have seen
19:13how Israel
19:15is still in that
19:17combat
19:17and in that conflict
19:18since 7th of October
19:202023
19:20and those conflicts
19:21have only spread
19:22in a wider area
19:24rather than
19:25getting concluded.
19:26We have seen
19:27that after four years
19:29the Russia-Ukran conflict
19:30is still going on.
19:31It's not concluded
19:32as yet
19:33and therefore
19:33the world is more worried
19:34that
19:35what will be
19:37the net effect
19:38what will be
19:38the end game
19:39what exactly
19:40are the objectives
19:41President Donald Trump
19:42would want to achieve
19:42and what costs
19:44the world
19:44would have to pay
19:45for these operations.
19:47But having said that
19:48President Donald Trump
19:49want Iran
19:50to accept the defeat
19:53you have heard
19:54White House spokesperson
19:55Carolyn Lovett
19:56saying that
19:56we want Iran
19:57to accept
19:58its military defeat
19:59but
20:00that has not
20:01happened as yet
20:02and until
20:03that happens
20:05US and Israel
20:07will keep pounding Iran
20:08they will keep targeting
20:09and even
20:10as we are having
20:11this conversation
20:12the Israeli
20:13Defense Forces
20:14have just put out
20:14a social media post
20:15by saying that
20:16they have recently
20:17carried out
20:18yet another airstrikes
20:19in Tehran embassy
20:20and especially
20:21in a university
20:22run by IRGC
20:23because they think
20:24that that has become
20:25their command post
20:26and from there
20:28they were running
20:28their operations.
20:29Sure.
20:30Pranay since I have you
20:31I also want to understand
20:32and get a sense
20:33of ground reality
20:34over there
20:35the timing of
20:36this latest statement
20:38by Donald Trump
20:38is rather interesting
20:39over the weekend
20:40we saw massive protests
20:42in America
20:43against Donald Trump
20:44the sentiment locally
20:45for him is changing
20:46but where you are
20:48in Tel Aviv
20:48what is the sense
20:49on Netanyahu
20:50because how are we
20:52is there a contrast
20:53in what this war
20:55is doing to both
20:56Donald Trump
20:57and Netanyahu
20:58domestically?
21:01if you see
21:02you know
21:02protests
21:03did take
21:04you know
21:04protests
21:05were also organized
21:06in Tel Aviv
21:07as well
21:07we have covered
21:08those protests
21:09you know
21:09people gathered
21:10in large number
21:11in fact
21:12you know
21:12people formed
21:13a human chain
21:14holding the pictures
21:16of children
21:17those who have died
21:18in this conflict
21:19be it from Iran
21:20or be it from Lebanon
21:21or be it in Israel
21:22you know
21:23children
21:23those who have lost
21:24their life
21:24and people
21:25came out in big numbers
21:26saying that
21:27you know
21:27this is really sad
21:28and this is really horrible
21:29and very
21:30you know
21:31heartbreaking
21:31that many young lives
21:33are being lost
21:33in this conflict
21:34and we haven't achieved
21:35anything
21:35and we do not want
21:36a long
21:37you know
21:37a long war
21:38or a long
21:39hostility
21:39or a long conflict
21:40but having said that
21:42you know
21:42Israel is a state
21:44which has perennially
21:45lived into
21:46earth existential threat
21:47and existential war
21:48and therefore
21:49many people
21:50a large number of people
21:51here believes
21:52that Iran has
21:53exposed
21:53serious threat
21:54to the existence
21:55of Israel
21:56by virtue of
21:57the presence
21:58of Hezbollahs
21:59in Lebanon
21:59by presence
22:00of Hamas
22:01in Gaza
22:01and by presence
22:03of Houthis
22:04in Yemen
22:04and in fact
22:05you know
22:06Iran
22:07the Iranian strategy
22:08was actually
22:09to reach
22:10to the doorstep
22:11of Israel
22:11and since 2020
22:13onwards
22:13we have seen
22:14that how
22:15you know
22:15the Qasem Soleimani
22:16elimination
22:17in January 2020
22:19and thereafter
22:21we have seen
22:21you know
22:22every event
22:23which led
22:24to intensification
22:25of this conflict
22:26has you know
22:28resulted
22:28into more bloodshed
22:30and in fact
22:31Israel has
22:32its own justification
22:33that if
22:35they won't
22:35eliminate
22:36these non-state actors
22:38then there will be
22:39an existential threat
22:40for Israel
22:41got it
22:42Pranay stay back
22:43with us
22:44we'll come back
22:44to you
22:44after we bring
22:45in another
22:46yet layer
22:46to this entire
22:47conflict
22:48for all our
22:49viewers as well
22:49let's shift our
22:50focus to what's
22:51happening
22:51on the Houthis
22:53front
22:53the West Asia
22:53war is now
22:54entering a far
22:55more dangerous
22:55phase
22:56the Houthis
22:57have now
22:57entered the
22:58conflict
22:58launching attacks
22:59towards Israel
23:00and in doing
23:00so
23:01turning the Red
23:02Sea
23:03into a potential
23:04flashpoint
23:05for global
23:06trade disruptions
23:07as the war
23:08expands
23:09across multiple
23:10fronts
23:10energy routes
23:11and shipping
23:11lanes
23:12are now
23:12firmly
23:12in the line
23:14of fire
23:16let's break
23:17down how this
23:18conflict is
23:19actually widening
23:20okay number one
23:21the direct
23:21confrontation
23:22continues with
23:23both Israel
23:23and Iran
23:24targeting
23:24infrastructure
23:25the second
23:27important thing
23:27to understand
23:28here is that
23:29most significantly
23:30from the south
23:31the Houthis
23:32now open
23:33a new front
23:33right
23:34firing missiles
23:36and drones
23:36from Yemen
23:37towards Israel
23:38bringing the
23:39Red Sea
23:39theater
23:39into active
23:41conflict
23:42Iran is also
23:43remember
23:44tightening its
23:44hold over
23:45the Strait of
23:46Harbouz
23:47and the world's
23:47most critical
23:48oil artery
23:50that you already
23:51know
23:51meanwhile
23:52what is Israel
23:53doing
23:53that is striking
23:54right
23:54it is striking
23:56Lebanon
23:57escalating
23:58tensions
23:58along its
23:59northern
24:00border
24:01and in return
24:03what's happening
24:03Iran backed
24:04militia
24:05are now
24:06targeting
24:06positions
24:07in Iraq
24:08widening
24:09and opening
24:10up that
24:10battlefield
24:11altogether
24:12you see
24:12how that
24:12red zone
24:14is widening
24:14also the
24:16UAE
24:17continues to
24:17face strikes
24:18while Saudi
24:19Arabia
24:20Qatar
24:20Kuwait
24:21intercepting
24:22incoming drones
24:22as well
24:23underlining
24:23how Gulf
24:24is now
24:25the entire
24:25Gulf region
24:26is now
24:27directly
24:28exposed
24:29remember
24:30Yemen's
24:30Houthis
24:31launched
24:31two waves
24:32of strikes
24:32on Israel
24:33in 24
24:34hours
24:34and has
24:35vowed to
24:35continue
24:36military
24:36operations
24:37in the
24:37coming
24:37days
24:37as well
24:38until
24:38Israel
24:40ceases
24:40its
24:41aggression
24:41the Houthis
24:43who are they
24:44why are they
24:45so significant
24:45because they are
24:46an armed
24:47political
24:48and religious
24:48group
24:49from Yemen's
24:50Shia
24:50Zaydi
24:51community
24:51backed
24:52by Iran
24:53and part
24:54of its
24:54axis of
24:55resistance
24:56theory
24:57now they
24:58control
24:58the Houthis
24:59control
24:59large parts
25:00of Yemen
25:00and have
25:01capability
25:02to disrupt
25:03sort of
25:03maritime
25:04traffic
25:04through
25:05the Babal
25:06Mandeb
25:06strait
25:07again
25:08using drones
25:09and missiles
25:10Houthis
25:11arrival in the
25:11war also
25:12comes with
25:12the threat
25:13of another
25:13potential
25:14blockade
25:14of global
25:15shipping
25:15Houthis
25:16most potent
25:17weapon
25:17is their
25:18ability
25:18to disrupt
25:19the traffic
25:19at Babal
25:20Mandeb
25:21and the
25:22maritime
25:22choke point
25:23linking
25:23the Red
25:23Sea
25:24to global
25:25trade
25:26routes
25:26which is
25:28what
25:28go back
25:28to what
25:29we told
25:29you
25:29in the
25:29beginning
25:29of the
25:30program
25:30on why
25:31this
25:31kind
25:31of a
25:32second
25:32shock
25:32that
25:33is
25:33coming
25:33all
25:33because
25:34of
25:34Red
25:34Sea
25:34being
25:35in
25:35focus
25:36now
25:37the
25:37vital
25:39now
25:39why
25:40is
25:40Mandeb
25:41such
25:41a vital
25:42point
25:43because
25:43it is
25:44extremely
25:44important
25:45for
25:45Red
25:45Sea
25:46handling
25:47and
25:48that
25:48you see
25:49over there
25:50that's
25:51the
25:51that's
25:51exactly
25:52the point
25:53on if
25:53that gets
25:54becomes a
25:54choke point
25:55then about
25:5512%
25:56of global
25:57oil trade
25:57gets stuck
25:58in addition
25:59to what's
26:00happening
26:00in Hormuz
26:00already
26:01now remember
26:02the state
26:03of Hormuz
26:04carrying nearly
26:0420% of
26:05world's oil
26:06supply
26:06this one
26:06about 12%
26:07so far
26:08one is
26:09impacted
26:09if the other
26:10is also
26:11impacted
26:11then
26:13we are in
26:14a massive
26:14escalation
26:15and
26:16what exactly
26:17is the
26:18way
26:18forward
26:19from
26:19that
26:19what
26:20all
26:20is
26:21impacted
26:21because
26:21of
26:22this
26:2212%
26:22and
26:2320%
26:23the next
26:24report
26:25takes you
26:25through that
26:42Yemen
26:43soothies
26:43a staunch
26:44ally of
26:45Iran
26:45have made
26:46a delayed
26:46entry into
26:47the Iran
26:48war
26:49opening
26:50another
26:50front
26:51in the
26:51conflict
26:56the Iran
26:57backed
26:57group
26:58has launched
26:59two waves
26:59of strikes
27:00on Israel
27:00in 24
27:01hours
27:01and has
27:02vowed to
27:03continue
27:03military
27:03operations
27:04in the
27:04coming days
27:05until
27:06Israel
27:06seizes
27:07its
27:07aggression
27:11Houthi
27:12military
27:12spokesperson
27:13has
27:13confirmed
27:14that the
27:14group
27:15carried out
27:15the second
27:16wave of
27:16strikes
27:16against
27:17Israel
27:17with a
27:18barrage
27:18of
27:19cruise
27:19missiles
27:19and
27:20drones
27:20targeting
27:21key
27:21military
27:22sites
27:23with
27:28Allah's
27:28help
27:29and
27:29reliance
27:29upon
27:30Allah
27:30the
27:31Yemeni
27:31armed
27:32forces
27:32carried
27:33out
27:33the
27:33second
27:33military
27:34operation
27:34in
27:35the
27:35holy
27:35jihad
27:35battle
27:36with
27:36a
27:36barrage
27:37of
27:37cruise
27:37missiles
27:38and
27:38drones
27:39targeting
27:39several
27:39vital
27:40and
27:40military
27:40sites
27:41belonging
27:41to
27:42the
27:42Zionist
27:42enemy
27:43and
27:43southern
27:44occupied
27:44Palestine
27:47this
27:48this
27:49operation
27:50consided
27:50with
27:51military
27:51operations
27:52being
27:52carried
27:52out
27:52by
27:53our
27:53Mujahideen
27:53brothers
27:54in
27:54Iran
27:54and
27:55Hezbollah
27:55in
27:55Lebanon
27:56and
27:56by the
27:56grace
27:57of
27:57Allah
27:57it
27:58successfully
27:58achieved
27:59its
27:59objectives
28:02Hewti's
28:02arrival
28:03in
28:03the
28:03war
28:03comes
28:04with
28:04another
28:04massive
28:05threat
28:05to
28:05global
28:05shipping
28:06after
28:06that
28:07already
28:07caused
28:07by
28:08the
28:08closure
28:08of
28:08the
28:09Strait
28:09of
28:09Hormuz
28:10Hewti's
28:11most
28:11important
28:12weapon
28:12is
28:12their
28:13ability
28:13to
28:13disrupt
28:14traffic
28:14through
28:15Bab
28:15Almandeb
28:16the
28:16maritime
28:17choke
28:17point
28:17linking
28:17the
28:18Red
28:18Sea
28:18to
28:18global
28:19trade
28:19routes
28:21the
28:22Bab
28:22Almandeb
28:23Strait
28:23or
28:23the
28:23Gate
28:24of
28:24Tears
28:24connects
28:25Asia
28:25to
28:26Europe
28:26via
28:26the
28:26Suez
28:27Canal
28:27and
28:28is
28:28the
28:28world's
28:28fourth
28:29busiest
28:29shipping
28:29choke
28:30point
28:30it
28:31handles
28:31about
28:3112%
28:32global
28:32oil
28:33trade
28:35the
28:36oil
28:36market
28:36could
28:36be
28:37pushed
28:37into
28:37deeper
28:38turmoil
28:38if
28:38the
28:39Houthis
28:39resume
28:40attacks
28:40on
28:40shipping
28:41in
28:41the
28:41Red
28:41Sea
28:41and
28:42Gulf
28:42of
28:42Aden
28:45based
28:46on
28:46declared
28:46intent
28:47a
28:47resumption
28:48of
28:48attacks
28:48on
28:48shipping
28:49is
28:49now
28:49considered
28:50more
28:50probable
28:51than
28:51merely
28:51possible
28:53the
28:54European
28:54Union's
28:55maritime
28:55security
28:56body
28:56has
28:56warned
28:57ships
28:57to
28:58avoid
28:58entering
28:58Yemeni
28:59waters
28:59saying
29:00the
29:00Iran
29:00backed
29:01group
29:01could
29:01resume
29:02attacks
29:02on
29:03merchant
29:03ships
29:04in
29:04the
29:04region
29:10the
29:10question
29:11is
29:11will
29:12Iran
29:12now
29:12fully
29:12deploy
29:13the
29:13Houthis
29:14or
29:14use
29:14them
29:14as
29:15a
29:15leverage
29:15it
29:16needs
29:16in
29:16any
29:17potential
29:17talks
29:17with
29:18the
29:18United
29:18States
29:19Perra
29:20report
29:21India
29:21today
29:26all
29:27right
29:27and the
29:27US
29:28pressure
29:28is
29:28mounting
29:29on
29:30Donald
29:30Trump
29:30what
29:30do
29:30I
29:31mean
29:31by
29:31that
29:31that
29:32a
29:32massive
29:32protest
29:33has
29:33swept
29:34the
29:34country
29:34that
29:35is
29:35United
29:35States
29:35and
29:36in
29:36the
29:36biggest
29:37show
29:37of
29:37resistance
29:37yet
29:38look
29:38at
29:39those
29:39pictures
29:40huge
29:41crowds
29:42poured
29:42into
29:42the
29:43streets
29:43across
29:43more
29:43than
29:443,000
29:44cities
29:45and
29:45towns
29:46on
29:46Saturday
29:47in
29:47the
29:47third
29:48round
29:48of
29:49what
29:49is
29:49now
29:49being
29:49called
29:50the
29:50no
29:50kings
29:51protest
29:52and
29:52the
29:53story
29:53behind
29:53it
29:53is
29:53quite
29:53fascinating
29:54let's
29:54take
29:54you
29:55through
29:55that
29:55from
29:56major
29:56urban
29:56centers
29:57to
29:57small
29:58towns
29:58demonstrators
29:59gathered
29:59in large
30:00numbers
30:00voicing
30:01anger
30:01against
30:02Donald
30:02Trump
30:03administration
30:03and
30:04its
30:04policies
30:04particularly
30:05the
30:06ongoing
30:06conflict
30:07with
30:07Iran
30:07protesters
30:08carried
30:09placards
30:10chanted
30:10slogans
30:11and in
30:11several
30:12locations
30:12even
30:12blocked
30:13roads
30:13accusing
30:13the
30:13administration
30:14of
30:14pushing
30:14an
30:15increasingly
30:15authoritarian
30:17agenda
30:17no
30:18kings
30:19is
30:19the
30:19name
30:20of
30:20this
30:20protest
30:20in
30:21Minnesota
30:22emerged
30:22that
30:23ended up
30:24being
30:24like a
30:25key
30:25flashpoint
30:25with
30:26the
30:26largest
30:26mobilization
30:27centered
30:27around
30:28the
30:29Minneapolis
30:29St.
30:30Paul
30:30area
30:30while
30:31most
30:32protests
30:32remained
30:32peaceful
30:33there
30:33were
30:33scattered
30:34reports
30:34of
30:34tension
30:35clashes
30:35with
30:36law
30:36enforcement
30:36also
30:37some
30:37arrests
30:38now
30:38what
30:39we
30:39are
30:39witnessing
30:39now
30:39in
30:40these
30:40protests
30:41with
30:41those
30:41pictures
30:42is
30:43not
30:43just
30:43opposition
30:44to
30:44a
30:44single
30:45policy
30:45but
30:45a
30:46broader
30:46growing
30:47domestic
30:47backlash
30:48that
30:48Donald
30:49Trump
30:49is
30:49facing
30:50even
30:50as
30:51the
30:51US
30:51finds
30:52itself
30:52deeply
30:53entangled
30:53in a
30:53widening
30:54conflict
30:54overseas
30:55which
30:56does not
30:57seem to
30:57have an
30:58end game
30:59just yet
30:59also
31:00remember
31:00this
31:00comes
31:01frighteningly
31:02close to
31:02the
31:02midterms
31:03as well
31:03how
31:03exactly
31:04will
31:04this
31:04impact
31:05what
31:06is
31:06internally
31:07the
31:07policy
31:07of
31:08the
31:09Republicans
31:09with
31:10this
31:10protest
31:10as well
31:11the
31:11next
31:11report
31:12takes
31:12you
31:12through
31:12all
31:13of
31:13that
31:29it is
31:30the
31:30third
31:30wave
31:31of
31:31anti
31:31Trump
31:31protests
31:32across
31:32United
31:33States
31:36popularly
31:37known
31:37as
31:37no
31:37kings
31:38protests
31:38the
31:39movement
31:39has
31:39rocked
31:40the
31:40world's
31:40oldest
31:41democracy
31:45more
31:45than
31:453,000
31:46such
31:46protests
31:47were
31:47held
31:47across
31:48all
31:4850
31:48states
31:49in
31:49America
31:52the
31:53pressure
31:53of
31:53Iran
31:54war
31:54is
31:54being
31:54felt
31:55globally
31:55and
31:56the
31:56tensions
31:56in
31:57West
31:57Asia
31:57triggered
31:58the
31:58massive
31:58protests
31:59across
31:59United
32:00States
32:04thousands
32:05have
32:05taken
32:05to
32:05the
32:06streets
32:06with
32:06a
32:06unified
32:07message
32:07no
32:08kings
32:11protests
32:12raised
32:12strong
32:13opposition
32:13over
32:13war
32:14with
32:14Iran
32:14immigration
32:15enforcement
32:16and
32:16aggressive
32:17immigration
32:17and
32:18customs
32:18enforcement
32:19operations
32:24I
32:25stand
32:25here
32:26to
32:26defend
32:26with
32:27my
32:27life
32:27the
32:28constitution
32:28of
32:29the
32:29United
32:29States
32:30of
32:30America
32:30our
32:31president
32:31is a
32:33lunatic
32:34yeah
32:34and
32:35and also
32:36a pedophile
32:36we're all
32:37going to
32:37know
32:37that
32:37soon
32:38arresting
32:39citizens
32:39that
32:40aren't
32:40criminals
32:41the list
32:42goes on
32:43and on
32:43there's
32:43a lot
32:44of
32:44grievances
32:47some
32:48protesters
32:48directly
32:49linked
32:49the
32:49blast
32:50and
32:50explosions
32:50abroad
32:51to
32:51decisions
32:52made
32:52in
32:52the
32:52White
32:52House
32:54everything
32:55is
32:55getting
32:55worse
32:56the
32:56fact
32:57that
32:57we
32:57were
32:58drawn
32:58into
32:59an
32:59illegal
32:59war
33:00while
33:01the
33:01cost
33:01of
33:01living
33:02is
33:02just
33:02skyrocketing
33:03it
33:03just
33:03seems
33:04like
33:04a
33:04slap
33:04in
33:04the
33:04face
33:05of
33:05the
33:05American
33:05people
33:05why
33:06are
33:06we
33:06attacking
33:07countries
33:07in
33:07the
33:07Middle
33:08East
33:08and
33:08we
33:08are
33:09a
33:09nation
33:09that
33:09has
33:09been
33:09at
33:09war
33:10long
33:10enough
33:10it
33:11is
33:11time
33:11for
33:12peace
33:12no
33:12more
33:13extra
33:13wars
33:13no
33:13war
33:14on
33:14Cuba
33:14the
33:14power
33:15and
33:15the
33:15solidarity
33:16of
33:16the
33:16people
33:17of
33:17Minneapolis
33:17in
33:18Minnesota
33:19rock
33:19legend
33:19Bruce
33:20Springsteen
33:21performed
33:21at the
33:21main
33:22rally
33:22at
33:22the
33:23state
33:23capital
33:34in
33:35some
33:35cities
33:36demonstrations
33:37brought
33:37traffic
33:38to a
33:38standstill
33:38leading
33:39to
33:39conflict
33:40with
33:40cops
33:44as
33:45US
33:45plans
33:46to
33:46send
33:46troops
33:46on
33:47the
33:47ground
33:47in
33:47West
33:48Asia
33:48with
33:48the
33:49aim
33:49to
33:49negotiate
33:49peace
33:50Trump
33:51administration
33:51is
33:52also
33:52bracing
33:53for
33:53conflict
33:53at
33:54home
33:54Bureau
33:55Report
33:55India
33:56Today
34:04all
34:04more
34:05more
34:05updates
34:05coming
34:06in
34:06this
34:06is
34:07Iran
34:07statement
34:08this
34:08time
34:08saying
34:09that
34:09they
34:09are
34:10ready
34:10to
34:10defend
34:11the
34:11island
34:12look
34:13at
34:13the
34:13speed
34:14at
34:14which
34:14response
34:15is coming in just minutes before we broke to you this latest statement by donald trump and there
34:20you go a response from iran is already in after trump's big threat iran has now released military
34:26video ready to defend its islands iranian soldiers fully mobilize and resolute stand ready to defend
34:34the nation's southern islands with unwavering resolve with that video iran has responded
34:42to donald trump's statement saying that they he wants business to open at the state of hormuz
34:49immediately and if that doesn't happen they will have to start
34:56attacking all the energy and oil infrastructure in iran
35:02all right pranay joins us for more details on this pranay just the speed at which we are hearing
35:08the responses from both these countries just minutes ago we started uh five o'clock around
35:145 15 is when we got the response the first statement from donald trump it's 5 13 15 minutes you
35:20have a
35:20response from iran already clearly something is happening in the grounds that you know in the
35:25background in talks that we don't know about and which is why this projection is taking place
35:30at the moment uh how are we to read these statements with trump now clearly saying it is going to
35:37be
35:38karg islands mentioning that iran saying i'm ready to defend the islands are we just ready to now see
35:46this war in the third phase as troubling as it sounds are we just headed towards that now
35:54two aspects uh uh two aspects of this uh you know my answer here sonal uh one uh what do
36:01you expect in a
36:02country to say you know they will defend their territory and iran has a chain of island besides
36:07their coastline so about 400 islands a small or big including karg island or kashma island or or abu
36:14musa island greater tomb lesser tomb you know series of island territories uh iran has and this gives
36:20iran a very strategic depth in gulf in gulf of persia and also around the state of hormuz but uh
36:26having
36:26said that uh i think this battle this conflict this war is uh not only being fought in on on
36:32land in
36:33sea or in air but also uh this is being fought uh in in the domain of social media as
36:38well and that's
36:39why you see like a lot of statements a lot of propaganda videos a lot of uh you know social
36:44media
36:45posts are being made and targeted to each other and if you follow the social media timeline of the
36:50iranian embassies and iranian diplomatic missions they are specifically targeting president
36:54donald trump his statements uh but uh you know keeping aside all these things definitely there
37:00is something which is moving towards more serious uh aspects of of this conflict because the very fact
37:07that the u.s has decided to deploy its 82nd airborne division the u.s has decided to move its
37:12marines in
37:13in the region and mind it 82nd airborne division is the same uh unit which united states deployed at the
37:21time of its evacuation or its withdrawal operation in uh in uh from from afghanistan in 2021 and before
37:28that in january 2020 they deployed them uh these the same forces uh in iraq as well and the marines
37:35are very particular and very interesting fact about u.s marines especially uh you know on board uss
37:40tripoli that these troops uh about few weeks ago they conducted an exercise in uh in okinawa and
37:47especially in the nansai island of japan along with the japanese forces that how soon they can
37:53capture an island territory and how soon they can control an island territory and same forces have
37:59been deployed now on board uss tripoli to the region and to the battle theater so there has to be
38:04some purpose for deploying u.s marines as well as i was also reading up that domestically in u.s
38:11what's
38:12being discussed at this point and a lot of media reports have come in on how 10 000 troops is
38:17not
38:17enough that does not say that you're ready to go to war and you know put boots on the ground
38:22it is
38:23too less is that is that the correct understanding absolutely absolutely this is a perfect uh you know
38:30perfectly right understanding in terms of uh if you see the topography if you see the terrain of
38:35of iran iran is about 50 to 60 percent mountainous terrain mountain warfare is more complex mountain
38:42warfare is much more challenging and you required much more number of manpower to control any
38:48mountainous territory so therefore we do not see any full-scale invasion by by the united states
38:54military in iran uh what they could try what they could have uh you know uh in in some in
39:01subsequent
39:01days if at all they decide to to do so by capturing some kind of island because uh capturing a
39:07territory
39:08puts puts you know uh gives them a different kind of a leverage or puts uh iran or tehran uh
39:13government into a different kind of a pressure and that's why uh that this could be a tactical way
39:20this could be a strategy to uh to capture some kind of island territory and then go for some kind
39:25of a negotiation uh to make some kind of a pit pro quo got it god we'll leave it there
39:30for the moment
39:31but we'll keep coming back to you stay safe where you are and keep telling us what exactly and how
39:35exactly things are swelling up on the ground there for now but they have my colleague reporting from
39:42tel aviv in israel but let's move on now to bring you a sharp message that has come from tehran
39:48taking direct aim at donald trump but sounding less like political rhetoric and more like a trader's
39:54playbook iranian parliament uh speaker there in a cryptic post that warned investors not to trust
40:00trump's public messaging suggesting markets may be moving on signals not just events now what does
40:07that mean that's where the story gets like a little bit more deeper because as the us iran conflict
40:13enters its fifth week questions are now being raised about unusual high value trades including the 580
40:21million dollar position placed just minutes before the key trump announcement that of a pause that moved
40:27global markets remember we brought you that story right here crazy how the coincidence really is but
40:32is it really coincidence or is there something more from war zones to wall street this is now a battle
40:39not just of missiles but of messages timing importantly and market impact our next report decode signals
40:58a message mocking donald trump that reads less like a political statement and far more like a seasoned
41:05trader's warning delivered not from a trading desk in new york but from the corridors of power in tehran
41:15a tweet appeared early morning on monday by speaker of the iranian parliament mohammad bagheir ghalibaf
41:22it was almost like a coded signal to the markets advising investors against believing trump's truth
41:28social posts alleging that they were just a setup for profit taking his advice do the opposite if they
41:36pump it shot it if they dump it go long it was a political barb but laced with financial instinct
41:43and
41:44aimed squarely at washington as the conflict between the united states and iran enters its fifth week with
41:51no visible signs of de-escalation what is unfolding is not merely a confrontation of military might or
41:58diplomatic posturing but something far more subtle and arguably more consequential a battle of signals and
42:05timing which ripple instantly across global financial markets because beneath the noise of breaking news
42:11alerts and geopolitical rhetoric lies a deeper more unsettling question that traders analysts and
42:19regulators alike are now beginning to confront our markets simply reacting to unfolding events or are they
42:26in some cases moving to insider tidbits just last week in the tense hours before a crucial announcement
42:34by donald trump market data revealed a sudden and highly unusual surge in activity amounting to nearly
42:40580 million dollars flowing into oil futures and equity positions in a narrow window of just 15 minutes
42:47before trump announced a pause in hostilities against iranian energy targets
42:54the positions were sharply contrarian without logic given the ground realities the mystery behind the
43:00audacious bets was solved minutes later with the trump announcement a development that immediately
43:06altered market sentiment and triggered a sharp reversal in futures trading setting off a brief but
43:12powerful relief rally across global equities for traders on the wall street the sequence of events
43:20felt familiar because a strikingly similar pattern was seen just a year earlier that too triggered more
43:26questions than answers on the 9th of april 2025 at 9 37 am the u.s president posted this image
43:33on truth
43:34social this is a great time to buy with his initials as sign off this was after a nightmare week
43:42on the wall
43:43street a plan sparked by trump tariffs the brutal sell-off erased over six trillion dollars in value within
43:49just four trading sessions with the s p 500 index losing 12 of its value less than four hours later
43:57in a move that stunned markets a 90-day pause on nearly all tariffs was announced unleashing a dramatic
44:03surge that sent the s p 500 soaring by 9.5 percent in a single session and restoring approximately 4
44:11.3
44:11trillion dollars in market value nearly 70 percent of what had been wiped out in the preceding days
44:18adding another layer of intrigue to the episode was the sign-off djt a detail that doubled as the stock
44:25ticker for trump's media company whose shares surged over 22 percent on the same day and it is against
44:33the backdrop that ghalibhav's remark now resonate with far greater intensity investors are no longer
44:39just tracking troop movements or diplomatic statements they are watching something far more elusive yet
44:45potentially far more powerful the timing tone and intent behind every public message by donald trump
44:52because these messages are now more potent than missiles bureau report business today tv
45:06all right cutting across to some live updates now prime minister modi interacting with the bjp
45:10workers in bodu cherry this is the mirabu tzabse mazboot address he is addressing uh the leaders
45:18is there let's listen
45:30This is how you can write the story of the people who are already in the country.
45:36If you look at the people who are already in the country,
45:41you can't understand how much of the people are in the country.
45:45That's why we can't understand how much of the people are in the country.
45:51This is how you can write the story of the people.
45:54Mr. Raji, I have a very good question.
45:57Please, who will talk further?
46:00Please, please, I am Shreemati.
46:13Jainthi Ji, Namaste!
46:21Jainthi Ji, tell your story.
46:23Thank you very much.
46:53Thank you very much.
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