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Irão ameaça retaliar se Trump atacar rede elétrica e guerra entra na quarta semana

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02:46in check. So whether this will happen, of course, we have to wait.
02:51And that's the thing. It's hard to keep up with President Trump. His messaging keeps changing
02:56on this war. So what does that say, Stefan, about the kind of strategy here of the U.S.?
03:01Well, strategy is a big word. It's pretty incoherent. So the day before he announced
03:05his ultimatum, which would be an escalation of the war, he said, well, we have basically
03:10reached our objectives and we're winding down. That does not really go hand in hand. And on
03:17Sunday, Secretary of the Treasury, Scott Besant, said he tried to justify Trump's
03:24contradictory remarks, saying that they're not mutually exclusive and you have to escalate in
03:31order to de-escalate. So the situation has to get worse before it can get better. He also offered
03:37an interesting timeline. He said the war could go on for another 30 days or 50 days or 100
03:42days. Now, Maeve, you picked your number. We're as smart as we were three weeks ago on this.
03:49Well, whatever happens, we will report it. And of course, meanwhile, the humanitarian toll
03:52keeps increasing, as we reported earlier, Stefan Krobey. Thank you so much for that update
03:57there. Now, moving on. Hungary is hosting their annual CPAC conference in Budapest, just
04:03three weeks before the most important elections of Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's political
04:08career. In power for 16 years, the populist anti-EU leader is welcoming far-right allies
04:14today from Germany, Austria and Spain, among others. The CPAC gathering comes as Poland's
04:19Prime Minister Donald Tusk reveals that Viktor Orbán could be leaking EU summit secrets to
04:24Russia's Vladimir Putin. For more, I'm joined here now on set by our Maria Tadeo.
04:29Good morning, Maria. Good morning. So we know also that President Trump has endorsed officially
04:33Viktor Orbán ahead of this campaign, but he's not showing up at the CPAC.
04:36No, he is not. And also, we should note the CPAC, of course, is a big conservative conference
04:41that has become aligned with the MAGA right and the MAGA world to some extent. And that includes,
04:46of course, the president of the US. But this is the international branch of it. It was held
04:51yesterday and open yesterday in Budapest. Viktor Orbán was the keynote speaker. And this was a
04:57conference beyond the traditional talking points, which, of course, center around the idea of no
05:02woke, no migration. Yes, to a Christian-led, family-oriented society was really an event
05:08for the glory of Viktor Orbán ahead of that election. And to that point, the president of
05:13the US was not physically present, but he did send a message in which he said his endorsement
05:19of Viktor Orbán is full, total and complete. Let's take a look.
05:23I also want to send my best wishes to Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, who I am endorsing,
05:29as you know. I am endorsing his election, which is coming up pretty soon. He has my complete and
05:35total endorsement, as a matter of fact. The Prime Minister has been a strong leader who's shown the
05:41entire world what's possible when you defend your borders, your culture, your heritage, your sovereignty
05:45and your values. Our two countries are showing the way toward a revitalized West. We're going to be
05:51working hard together on energy, and you're going to be working and continuing to work very hard
05:55on immigration, because Europe has got to sort of get going a little bit.
06:02Well, Europe has to get going a little bit. You saw that in that message, the president of the US,
06:06really the full power of the Trump administration behind Viktor Orbán. We're also expecting,
06:12not a date confirmed yet, but expecting a trip by the US Vice President J.D. Vance,
06:17who has cited Viktor Orbán as an inspiration when it comes to politics. You also had Marco Rubio,
06:22remember, on a tour in Central Europe just a few weeks ago. All of this power behind the re-election
06:28of Viktor Orbán, who is trailing in polls. But of course, when you look at any election,
06:32as soon as you get close to voting day, and that is April 12th for the Hungarians, that poll usually
06:38narrows the distance between the two candidates. So you could see a tight race between Viktor Orbán
06:42and Peter Magyar for any European diplomat in Brussels, the capitals. All of them will tell
06:47you this is the most consequential election for Europe this year, because the clash between
06:53Budapest and Brussels is now total. And yesterday, Viktor Orbán got a very friendly audience. But just
06:58three days ago, let's remember, at the European summit, he was trashed by everyone, including the
07:03head of the European Council.
07:05We're just on that point. We're also seeing a spot between the polls and the Hungarians ahead of
07:09Yes, over the weekend, all of this starts because of a report in the Washington Post,
07:14which said two things. Both accounts are explosive. One is that Russian intelligence
07:18worried last month that Viktor Orbán is not polling strongly. And one of the ideas they floated to
07:25energize the campaign was to stage an assassination attempt. That is count number one. And then count
07:30number two, this report suggested that the Hungarian foreign minister regularly spoke, including during
07:36meetings with his Russian counterpart, Lavrov, to debrief him on the content of EU summits. Of course,
07:44EU summits, these are held in private. The content is understood to be confidential among the 27. And
07:50the Polish prime minister, Donald Tusk, responded over the weekend in a tweet saying that he is not
07:56surprised about these allegations in the newspapers I mentioned, the Washington Post, but also said the
08:02news that Orbán's people inform Moscow about EU council meetings and every detail should not come
08:07as a surprise. We've long had our suspicions that this was happening. And there's one reason,
08:12or that's the one reason why I take the floor only when strictly necessary and say just as much as
08:18necessary. Obviously, the two accounts are explosive. The Hungarians deny it. But nonetheless, that is the
08:24mood between the EU 27. And this is inevitably going to bring up a question in terms of should the
08:30Hungarians be kept out of delicate discussions? Should there be closer cooperation among some EU
08:35countries, but leave the Hungarians out? And then, of course, there's a question of Antonia Kostak. And
08:39he really bring about his authority when it comes to Viktor Orban, who, again, was trashed at this EU
08:44summit. But nonetheless, his double veto on Ukraine remains. Okay, Countdown is on to those very important
08:51elections. Maria Stael, thank you so much for that update. Now, coming up, we'll be joined by Barstian
08:56Vector, the EU counter-terrorism coordinator. The Dutch diplomat is at the forefront of Europe's fight
09:01against terrorism and is in the spotlight today, given yesterday marks 10 years since the deadly
09:07Brussels bombings that took the lives of 32 people. 16 who are on board a metro just a stone's throw
09:15from
09:15the Uranus studio here in the EU quarter. And 16 who are inside the Brussels airport departure area just
09:21checking in for their flights. Good morning. Thank you so much for joining us here on Europe Today. So look,
09:2710 years on now from those horrific Brussels attacks. For victims and their families watching
09:31this morning, what changes do you feel have been made here that makes Europe safer than it was back
09:36in 2016? Well, first of all, like you say, today is really that we think about all the victims like
09:41we did
09:41yesterday. There were national commemorations in Belgium. Why? Because this affected so many people. I think
09:45we all know people in some way have been affected by these attacks that reverberated really throughout
09:51Europe. Now, what I'd say to victims today is that we're in a much better place. We haven't seen this
09:55type of large-scale concerted attacks in Europe for the last 10 years or so. And that's very much
10:01thanks to, I would say, in the first place, the activities of our law enforcement intelligence
10:07agencies throughout Europe. So that's obviously very reassuring as well for our viewers who are tuning
10:10in this morning. So what are the chances of dying today in a terrorist attack in Europe?
10:14Well, if you consider the number of attacks that we've seen, we've seen a different kind of attacks.
10:19We've seen more self-initiated attacks by lone actors, if you will. So IS, that was responsible
10:25for the terrorist attacks in Brussels 10 years ago, has really adjusted its strategies, which means that
10:30we've also had to adjust. So I would say that the challenges are low. But what we see is that
10:35we're
10:35trying to grasp a new phenomenon, which is new, which is young people radicalising very fast,
10:43radicalising online. And that's something we have to grapple with today.
10:46And as someone who covered those terrorist attacks, I remember back 10 years ago, there was no trust
10:50between member states. There was very bad coordination as well between authorities.
10:54Has that improved today?
10:55Very much so. Very much so. We've, in Europe, and I should say, very much pushed also by the Belgians
11:01and the French, who, of course, were the first affected by these major terrorist attacks.
11:05Their services have very much put together, for instance, a task force together called
11:10Task Force Gatenité, to work together on these investigations, but also pushed very much for
11:14efforts at European level, meaning that we've put in place interoperable databases. We've
11:19strengthened our borders. We exchanged information much more fast at different levels,
11:23at national level, but also at European level. And mostly, what's very important is that at European
11:27levels, also, beyond strengthening our borders, we've invested much more in relations and dialogues
11:33with third countries, because we know that terrorist threat emanates also from beyond our borders
11:37very much.
11:38And we're reporting, of course, on the 24th day of the ongoing war in Iran. We've seen that
11:43Europol has warned there could be immediate repercussions for us here in Europe, be that
11:47violent extremism or cyberattacks. What are you seeing?
11:50Look, any situation of conflict and violence, instability in any region, always gives an opportunity
11:56to terrorists to assert themselves. And what we're seeing is, of course, that it creates
11:59a lot of narratives, a lot of propaganda online that, again, the young people that I mentioned
12:04before and many others will be affected by, can be influenced by. That being said, Iran has
12:09for a long time already been known as being a, what I would call a lethal spoiler, using terrorist
12:15tactics on our soil, instrumentalizing criminal networks to carry out attacks, to basically disrupt
12:22our society, to target dissidents, cyberattacks. We've seen a range of, let's say, instruments
12:28used by the Iranians. So it's been on our radar for a long time. Of course, in the current
12:33context, you could argue that that threat will only increase.
12:36Thank you so much for coming in to us here on Europe Today on Euronews. But now, moving
12:42on, European car owners might have to pay up to €150 extra per day as oil prices surpass
12:49$100 a barrel. That's according to a new study by Transport and Environment, who argued that
12:54unless Europe weans off fossil fuels, it will always be vulnerable to geopolitical shocks.
12:59Our Jacobianos takes a look at how EU governments are grappling with this huge consequence of Trump's
13:04war on Iran.
13:07Next time you grumble at the petrol pump, who should you really be mad at? The oil companies,
13:13your governments, or maybe the EU? The truth is, you're paying for a lot more than just
13:18the energy itself. In 20 EU countries, taxes swallow more than half the price of petrol.
13:24And the EU sets a minimal petrol tax, but national governments pile on the rest. So when the Iran
13:30war spikes oil prices, these heavy levies multiply the pain of your wallet. So are there any governments
13:36stepping in to ease the pressure?
13:40The answer is yes, and Spain is leading the charge. Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez just took drastic action,
13:46rolling out €5 billion emergency package featuring 80 different measures. The standard 21% VAT on fuel,
13:54electricity and natural gas will go down to just 10%. And for drivers, that car is expected
14:01to knock about 30 cents of a litre of petrol. The retail price of butane and propane, so the gas
14:08used
14:08to power your stove and heat your home, will be completely frozen. Finally, the government is also
14:14temporarily suspending the tax on the value of electricity production and issuing direct fuel
14:19subsidies for farmers and fishermen. And some countries are following suit. Italy and Austria
14:26are already planning their own national tax cuts to shield citizens. Moreover, during the last week's
14:32summit, EU leaders ordered the commission to draft temporary emergency measures, which is basically
14:38political speak for, we need to find quick fix to stop the bleeding. But the overall conclusion seems
14:44to be clear. The only permanent escape from volatile fuel prices is a faster shift to domestic renewables.
14:51So let's look again at Spain. Because almost 60% of their power already comes from renewables.
14:58They end up being naturally shielded from these gas price spikes. And I just wish we had this kind
15:03of a sunlight here in Brussels.
15:10Now, moving on, all eyes on Slovenia this morning. The EU member states since 2004, with a population
15:16of just over two million, held elections this weekend. And it looks like a tie between the Liberal
15:21Party of Robert Golub and the former right-wing populist leader, Janna Sjansa. For more on the dramatic
15:26election, which was overshadowed by election interference and claims of espionage, we're joined here on
15:31set by Petrus Fasoulas from the European Movement International. Good morning. So it was a tight
15:36race, Petrus, but we saw the Liberals claiming victory.
15:39Indeed, this was as close as it can get. And in fact, the election itself, but also the campaign
15:43that preceded it, was worthy of a Netflix political drama. We've seen accusations of foreign interference,
15:50corruption. We have seen a very heated debate between two opposing politicians representing completely
15:57different views of the world. And as a result, I think the Slovenian voters were found guessing and
16:04delivered a very close result. And now that it is so tight, it might be very hard to form a
16:08government.
16:08Indeed. Now a lot depends on who is able to master the coalition and bring together
16:12smaller parties. So it's by no means a done deal. Of course, a lot of people in Brussels were worried
16:19that
16:20former Prime Minister Jansa would return in power. We know his close links to Trump. We know he has
16:25to be very critical of the direction the EU is taking. And as a result, he is expected to join
16:30perhaps Orban in the awkward club. So people will be watching very closely what the result of this
16:36negotiation will be. And as you said, the election campaign itself was very tricky.
16:40Indeed, indeed. And we saw once again that even a small election can master international interest.
16:46And of course, at the moment where we are, with external interference increasing in our politics,
16:51where democracy is under threat even internally, even a population of two million can make a huge
16:56difference. And that's why forces within and outside of the EU are trying to influence that result.
17:01Okay. Petros Fassoulos from the European Movement International, thank you so much for your analysis there.
17:05And meanwhile, a second round of local elections took place in France yesterday, which saw the socialists
17:11hold on to power in the big cities like Paris, Marseille, Lyon and Lyon. For more on the outcome
17:17there, our France correspondent Sophia Katzenkova sent us this update.
17:22France's municipal elections have delivered one clear message tonight, and it's that the left
17:27is holding on to the major cities in France, including the capital Paris, where I'm currently standing.
17:34And behind me, left-wing supporters have just finished celebrating the victory of socialist
17:39mayor Emmanuel Grégoire in the second largest city of France, Marseille. Well, socialist Benoit
17:47Payon was also reelected, but the left remains divided. The hard left of France Unbowed Party also made
17:53quite some significant gains this Sunday, even though they were excluded from alliances, especially by the
18:01socialists during the campaign who accused France Unbowed of anti-Semitism. The far right failed
18:08to win some of the major cities that it was targeting, including Marseille and the southern
18:14city of Toulon. But in Nice, Eric Ciotti, an ally of the far right national rally, ended up winning.
18:22President Emmanuel Macron's Renaissance Party also made some major gains, including the southwestern
18:29city of Bordeaux. But this Sunday is more than just about a local of politics. It is also an early
18:36sign of how the Battle of France's 2027 presidential election is beginning to take shape.
18:46Sophia Katzenkova there reporting for us on those elections. There was also, of course,
18:50local elections in Germany this weekend. For more on any of those elections or any of the stories that
18:56we're covering for you, you can, of course, visit Euronews.com, download our app or visit any of
19:02our social media sites. But that does bring this edition of Europe Today to an end. Thank you so much
19:08for your company and for tuning in. As always, you can always reach out and write to us as well,
19:12whenever you feel like it. It's Europe Today at Euronews.com. Take care and see you soon on Euronews.
19:20Let's see you soon on Euronews.
19:24We'll see you soon on Euronews.
19:27We'll see you soon on Euronews.
19:42Tchau, tchau.
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