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Europe Today: Trump diz que guerra com o Irão está 'terminada' apesar de sinais de escalada
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02:30Russia's invasion on Ukraine in 2022.
02:33Here in Doha, people experienced
02:34several elevated alerts on Monday.
02:37Just after 3 p.m.
02:38was the last one where we received a national emergency
02:40alert on our phone, which was followed
02:42by a barrage of explosions in the
02:44skies above. Now, likely
02:46the most intense and impactful
02:48that we've heard since the beginning of this
02:50conflict. Now, Qatar's Ministry of Defense
02:52has intercepted 17
02:54ballistic missiles and 6 drones in that
02:56attack alone. Also on Monday, Qatar's
02:58Prime Minister took part in a virtual
03:00joint session between leaders from the
03:02GCC and the European Union.
03:04Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdurrahman
03:07bin Jassim Al Thani warned
03:08that the current situation doesn't just affect one
03:10country, but it
03:12threatens security of the entire region
03:14and poses serious
03:16risk to global energy
03:18markets and supply chains. He also
03:20reaffirmed Qatar's commitment to working
03:22with regional and international partners,
03:24including the EU, to try to
03:26de-escalate, de-escalate the conflict.
03:29Maeve? Okay,
03:30Adel Khalim, thank you so much for that live
03:32update there.
03:32From Doha, meanwhile, Russia's
03:34President Vladimir Putin and US
03:36President Donald Trump also
03:37discussed the Iran war during a
03:39quote, frank and constructive
03:41telephone call. This, as we
03:42see, dramatic moves on the oil market,
03:44reversing its biggest surge in nearly
03:46four years. Speaking to the press,
03:49President Trump says the war in Iran
03:50may be over soon after
03:52initially signalling it could go on for
03:54another five weeks. For more, we're joined
03:56here in the studio by
03:58Euronews' EU editor, Maria Tadeo.
04:00Good morning, Maria.
04:01Good morning.
04:02So, look, is President Trump playing to
04:03the financial markets here, or does he
04:04really think the war could be over
04:06sooner rather than later?
04:07Well, that's a very good question,
04:08and it really is a question
04:09this morning. Obviously, we need some
04:11context in terms of where those
04:13comments came in. On the Sunday to
04:15the Monday, we saw that big spike when
04:17it comes to the oil market, a lot of
04:19that reflecting this anxiety that in
04:21Iran is still very much the
04:22hardliners who are guiding the country
04:25and obviously a sort of escalation that
04:27is going to have ramifications in the
04:29transportation of oil in the region.
04:31The comments from Trump yesterday
04:33appeared to suggest that the U.S.
04:35now believes this is an operation they
04:37can wrap sooner.
04:38He did say the war is pretty much, to
04:40some extent, done.
04:42He talked about objectives that have
04:43been met, but of course, it is unclear
04:45what the goal then would be because the
04:47son of the late Ayatollah is still
04:50in place. Now, the other factor, too, is
04:52that in the same afternoon that he went
04:55out and said again, if this is a question
04:57of Iran really trying to mess with the
04:59transportation of oil, there will be
05:01severe consequences and they will get
05:03bombed like they've not been bombed since
05:05this war started. Let's take a look.
05:07We're putting an end to all of this
05:09threat once and for all, and the result
05:11will be lower oil prices, oil and gas
05:14prices. But when the time comes, the U.S.
05:16Navy and its partners will escort tankers
05:18through the strait if needed.
05:19And if they do anything, the price will
05:22be incalculable.
05:24They'll never be able to recover, ever.
05:27And that's, of course, President Trump.
05:28But if you listen to the language, this
05:30is really a message to financial
05:32markets. He repeats and goes on about
05:34the price of oil, what will happen if
05:37they do anything that messes with the
05:38flow of oil.
05:40He is a president, and this is very
05:41particular and very important to
05:42understand when it comes to Donald
05:45Trump, is that he really monitors
05:47the stock market, and he really monitors
05:49financial markets overall as an almost
05:51reflection of his performance.
05:53And this is a president who has said in
05:55the early days of the campaign for
05:56re-election, too, that he wants to see
05:58stock markets up.
06:00So really, he likes to present himself as
06:01the all-time high for stocks in the U.S.
06:04and also very low energy prices.
06:06This is crucial in the U.S., the gas
06:09prices.
06:09This is something that is almost
06:11politically in the psyche of the U.S.,
06:13incredibly important.
06:14So yesterday, those comments trying to
06:16reverse those losses that we saw in the
06:19early trading on the Monday and the
06:21spike in the oil.
06:22But what I would note, however, is that
06:23ultimately, Maeve, this is very simple.
06:26Either he manages a way to find the oil
06:29to flow and to move and to bring down
06:31prices, or ultimately this will just be a
06:33one-day message to bring that and
06:35intervene in energy markets.
06:37But ultimately, no question and no
06:38answers as to how is this operation
06:40really going to play out on the ground.
06:42And meanwhile, here in Brussels, we're
06:44having these emergency talks, remote
06:45emergency talks among EU leaders today,
06:47and also finance ministers are meeting
06:48yesterday and today.
06:50Yes, so finance ministers met yesterday.
06:52There was also a G7 finance minister's
06:55call led by France, and today there will
06:57be a G7 energy minister's, and we also
07:00understand it's going to be a busy day
07:01on the phone, that there will be an EU
07:03leader sort of debrief that is handled
07:05by Italy, Germany and Belgium.
07:08So it's this new sort of coalition that
07:10is emerging.
07:10Nonetheless, what is relevant from these
07:12calls is that ultimately there has been
07:14a signal that if it is necessary and
07:16needed, there could be operations to
07:18export or to escort tankers in the
07:21Strait of Hormuz.
07:21Obviously, that's a crucial point for
07:23geopolitics, but also the idea that there
07:26could be a release of strategic reserves.
07:28This is not the moment.
07:29That's what the French said yesterday,
07:30but a concern from the Europeans that
07:32you could enter a sort of stagflation
07:34scenario if global growth is impacted
07:36and you continue to see this spike in oil,
07:39which then reflects in inflation.
07:41So at this point, it is a sort of wait and
07:43see from the Europeans with concerns on
07:45the global economy.
07:46OK, and we've extended reporting on all
07:47those meetings, of course, on yournews.com.
07:49Maria Tzayel, thank you so much for that
07:50update.
07:51As always, but now moving on.
07:53In this context of an escalating war and a
07:55major oil supply disruption, MEPs are
07:58gathering in Strasbourg this week for a
08:00routine plenary session.
08:01To hear their views on the current state of
08:03play, we can actually cross now to the
08:04European Parliament in Strasbourg and bring
08:06in yournews' Mared Gwynne-Jones.
08:08Good morning, Mared.
08:09Tell us, what is the view from Strasbourg
08:11there on the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran?
08:15Yes, Maeve, good morning from the
08:17European Parliament.
08:18Now, this institution doesn't set the EU's
08:20foreign policy, of course, but traditionally
08:22it has taken a staunchly critical stance
08:25towards the Iranian regime.
08:27And to discuss more, I'm now joined by the
08:29chair of the parliament's Iran delegation,
08:32MEP, Hannah Neumann.
08:34Good morning.
08:35Let me start with this.
08:37Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has been killed in this war,
08:41only to be replaced by his son.
08:44Is this war doing anything, in your view, to help
08:46the Iranian people?
08:48Good morning from Strasbourg.
08:50And Ayatollah Khamenei was responsible for the death
08:53and the brutal repression for so many Iranians.
08:56So his death has sparked some hopes, but him being replaced
09:00with his son just signals a sign of continuity and of more repression.
09:05So this clearly is not what Iranians had hoped for.
09:09Okay, and yesterday we heard Commission Chief Ursula von der Leyen saying
09:13there's two schools of thought here with this war.
09:14One saying this is a war of choice by the US and Israel,
09:17and the other saying, well, this is a war of necessity, this was needed.
09:21Where do you stand?
09:22Donald Trump promised that help is on the way to the protesters before
09:26he started this war.
09:28Right now we see him and I, I mean, some of you saw the press conference yesterday.
09:32It is quite unclear what his goal are, what his strategies are to get there.
09:37And he's gambling with the life of 90 million Iranians and a whole region.
09:42And I frankly say I can't endorse a war where I don't know what the goal is nor what the
09:46strategy is.
09:46And Iranians clearly deserve better.
09:48You say you don't know what the goal is, if it is regime change, is it right in your
09:52view to seek change in the regime through force?
09:56It will be quite a difficult way to get to regime change.
10:00What is clear is that in the long run regime change can only come from the inside.
10:05So when people from the Revolutionary Guards, from the army defect, and when there's a broad
10:10coalition of people from inside and outside of Iran who represent the diversity of Iran,
10:14who really come up with a new vision for this country, this cannot come by bombs alone.
10:19And in this context, then, what can the EU do?
10:22We've seen a quite a fragmented response, Spain and Slovenia outliers in the condemnation
10:26of the initial attack.
10:28What can it do to exert diplomatic leverage here and urge de-escalation?
10:32I think we have to indeed urge for de-escalation.
10:34The first thing is to work together with the Gulf countries.
10:37This is not our war, right?
10:38We have to deal with the consequences.
10:40And the same is true for the Gulf countries, even more, even worse.
10:44So I think we should work together with the Gulf countries to push for de-escalation
10:48towards Trump and Israel, to clearly make them understand what they are gambling with,
10:54and to tell us what their goals, what their strategies are, and then have a reasonable
10:58discussion.
10:58But also towards the Iranian regime, because the regime is going to fall.
11:02The question is how many of its own people and how much of the region are they dragging
11:06into the abyss?
11:07And I think we should make this as short as possible.
11:09Okay.
11:10MEP Neumann, thank you so much.
11:11And Maeve, there will be a three-hour special debate here in the parliament tomorrow morning
11:15on the escalation situation in the Middle East.
11:18Back to you.
11:19Okay.
11:19Maret Gwynne-Jones, thank you so much for that live update there from Strasbourg.
11:22And also to your guest, the Green MEP, Hannah Neumann.
11:25Now, just days after his appointment, Iranians are very much divided over their new supreme
11:30leader, Mushtaba Khamenei.
11:31Iranian state TV is just showing his supporters celebrating with joy, but many also Iranians
11:36are expressing fear of repression.
11:38Critics worried, of course, about his very strong connections to the IRGC.
11:43Jakub Yalas takes a closer look.
11:46Someone clever once said that history is not about recording dates, but about connecting
11:51the dots.
11:52Iran has named Mushtaba Khamenei as its new supreme leader.
11:56And now everyone is talking about his biography.
11:59But your reporter wants to take a different look.
12:02Let's analyze what his appointment actually means.
12:06And for Europe, that signals a cold winter of diplomacy.
12:10Mushtaba is a shadow operator with deep ties in the Revolutionary Guard.
12:15His rise suggests Tehran has no interest in negotiations.
12:19And Europe must prepare for three shocks.
12:23First, the war will not end quickly.
12:26Mushtaba is a hardline choice for a hardline moment.
12:30And second, oil prices are already surging past $100, threatening a new energy crisis.
12:37Third, is a migration risk.
12:39That instability could trigger an unprecedented refugee wave toward European borders.
12:46And for the US and Israel, Mushtaba is not a statement.
12:50He is a target.
12:52Israel's defense minister was blunt about it, calling him an unquivocal target for elimination.
12:58And for a man who lost his father, mother and wife in recent strikes, compromise with the
13:04US and Israel might be simply off the table.
13:08Finally, and most importantly, what does this mean for Iranians?
13:13For the people, this transition could feel like the ultimate betrayal of the 1979 revolution.
13:19Because after all, that uprising was meant to end hereditary monarchy forever.
13:25And Mushtaba inherits a nation in economic ruin, relying entirely on the military and hardline
13:31security forces to keep control.
13:34And after the recent bloody crackdown on the opposition, he isn't fighting for the Iranian
13:39people, but for the survival of the system.
13:41But one could ask, can a revolution survive by becoming the very thing it once overthrew?
13:53Yeah, could be honest there.
13:54Now moving on, France and its allies are preparing a, quote, defensive mission to reopen the strategically
13:59vital Strait of Hormuz.
14:01President Emmanuel Macron has said the French president has already landed by helicopter on
14:06the Charles de Gaulle aircraft carrier that was dispatched to the Mediterranean just after
14:10the US-Israeli strikes on Iran back on February the 28th.
14:13For more on the purpose of his trip, we can cross now over to Paris and bring in our correspondent
14:18Sophia Katzenkova.
14:20Good morning, Sophia.
14:21Just tell us, what is the message that Macron is trying to send with this trip?
14:27Well, Maeve, the message that Emmanuel Macron is trying to send is that he will not be directly
14:33involved in the conflict, even as France strengthens its military presence in the region.
14:40Speaking aboard, the aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle deployed in the eastern Mediterranean
14:46last night, the French president insisted that France is not taking part directly in
14:53the war, but is looking to reassure its allies and protect its interests in the region.
14:59Earlier on Monday, Macron also traveled to Cyprus, an EU member state that has become strategically
15:05important in the region as tensions escalate.
15:10Just as a reminder, earlier this month, a drone struck a British military base on this
15:16island, prompting several EU countries, including France, to reinforce its defense.
15:23And speaking during his visit to Cyprus yesterday, Macron framed the island's security as a broader
15:31EUROPEAN issue, let's take a listen.
15:35When Cyprus is attacked, it is Europe that is attacked.
15:39Cyprus's defense is obviously an essential matter for your country, for your neighbor partner
15:44and friend, Greece, but also for France and with it for the European Union.
15:52And as you mentioned, Maeve, well, France is also working along with other partners on a future purely
15:59defensive naval mission to help reopen the Strait of Hormuz and escort commercial ships, according
16:06to Macron, which is a key route for global energy supplies.
16:11And speaking of energy, well, the French leader is back here in Paris on a Tuesday morning as
16:17he's hosting an international summit on nuclear power today.
16:22The meeting is expected to focus on expanding nuclear capacity as countries are looking for
16:29stable energy sources amid growing geopolitical tensions.
16:33And of course, I'll be bringing you the latest from the ground.
16:36Back to you, Maeve.
16:37And of course, the European Commission President Ursula Wallerlein will be speaking at that
16:40very conference you mentioned, Sophia Katsenkova.
16:43Thank you so much for that live update there from the centre of Paris.
16:47And to dive deeper into President Macron's visit and goals, we're joined now by Pascal
16:51Konfafru, the spokesperson for the French Ministry for Europe and Foreign Affairs.
16:55Good morning, Pascal.
16:56Thank you so much for joining us.
16:58Just tell us more about Macron's mission in Cyprus.
17:01Is the war getting closer to home, in your view?
17:05No, our goal is to go for a de-escalation and to avoid any recommendation of the conflict.
17:15President Macron was in Cyprus yesterday and then on the aircraft carrier, there were three
17:19challenges.
17:20Solidarity in Cyprus, protection of our citizens, protection of our allies in the region, that's
17:28the EU, Qatar and so on.
17:30And he made it more clear, the goal of a coalition to the freedom of navigation in the Red Sea
17:38and
17:38to the Great Home.
17:39But you say only defensive, but is there any chance we could see this shift in France getting
17:44more involved in this conflict?
17:47No.
17:47Once again, our opposition is that it's not our war, it's a strike by the United States and
17:55Israel and Iran, we're made out of international law, we cannot approve them, but once again,
18:02what we have to see is who is responsible for first of this situation, it's Iran.
18:28So, Pascal, you're very critical of Iran, but is it time now to contend the US and Israel?
18:33I mean, they started with good intentions, but now the situation is spiraling out of control.
18:39Once again, the first responsibility of the situation is the threat to Iran, even more
18:45after the state violence that they imposed on their own people in the beginning of this
18:52year in January.
18:54This is where Putin has to stop, Iran has to stop sending some missiles and drones on the
19:01neighboring countries, and the other, because we have to avoid or prevent any revitalization
19:09or destabilization of countries.
19:11I can take the example of a country that risks the war.
19:16Pascal, we'll have to leave it there.
19:19Thank you so much for joining us today on Europe Today here on Euronews.
19:23And thank you so much for watching, as always, for more news and analysis.
19:27Do visit Euronews.com.
19:28Take care and see you very soon here on Euronews.
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19:55Legenda por Fábio Jr Laboratório Fantasma
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