00:00MVP races here. We'll start with the American League. And last year, he had a great race all the way
00:04through the summer here. Aaron Judge, I mean, guy was flirting with 400 for the first half of the season,
00:09has a sensational season and takes down the AL from a worthy opponent there in Cal Raleigh with 60 home
00:15runs. Just wasn't good enough to get him over the hump. But no surprise this year, once again, Tom, the
00:21New York Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge, he is the favorite. Not odds on. It's at a plus 180 price, followed
00:27by Bobby Witt, which seems like he's going to be there all the time.
00:29The power, you know, the fielding, as well as the, you know, the chance to hit for average. It's always
00:34going to be there. Then there's Cal Raleigh, who came up just a little bit short last year at a
00:377-1 price. The top three, Judge Witt and Raleigh. Do you feel that should be the order that they're
00:42placing right now, Tom?
00:44I think it should be, and I think that's going to hold Pat for a couple of years. Unless someone
00:49else jumps into the picture, I think Cal Raleigh would be the one to drop out. And, you know, we
00:55can see Gunnar Henderson.
00:56We can see Roman Anthony jump into that next tier of the, you know, 10-to-1 area. But that's
01:01really what we're going to see for the majority of the season.
01:03If these players just get off and start doing their normal thing in terms of production, I think we'll see
01:08some minor juggling.
01:09But Judge will be the favorite. The players behind him will be somewhat close.
01:13And then it's going to be a pretty big drop-off to that next set of players.
01:17It is. And then we take a look at those next set of players here.
01:19Because, again, I'm intrigued. If I have a bounce-back effort from Vladimir Guerrero Jr., and they can win the
01:23American Least, he's going to be up there in the MVP race.
01:2616-to-1 price here. And then you see J-Ram, which you talked about, a great hitter. 16-to
01:29-1.
01:29I don't know if you get the extra curriculums, as I like to talk about, where the Guardians might be
01:32able to win the division and play meaningful baseball late in September.
01:35Sort of put him over the hump and give him that national spotlight.
01:38Gunnar Henderson was very good there in the WBC.
01:41Roman Anthony was in the WBC at a 20-to-1 price.
01:43Is there a chance, Tom, listed down? And also, Tarek Skubal, out there, 40-to-1 price to win it
01:48as well.
01:50Yes, Skubal, if he could win a third straight Cy Young, maybe they would give him MVP along with that.
01:55But, you know, there are paths to Roman Anthony, Gunnar Henderson, J-Ram winning the MVP.
02:01Like I said, I think Jose Ramirez legitimately has a shot to go 40-40, and that would put him
02:05in the conversation.
02:06But him going from 16-to-1 to being 5-to-1, you know, at that Bobby Wig, Cal Raleigh
02:12level,
02:12that's realistic. Does that mean he's going to win the award? No.
02:16But I do think that there's a clear path forward for those types of players to make big impacts and
02:22then move the odds.
02:23But again, does that do enough for them to supersede what Aaron Judge has done and will continue to do?
02:30Yeah, take a look at the AL market here for the Cy Young.
02:32Is it going to be Skubal once again? He won an arbitration over Detroit.
02:36He wants to get paid. Does that mean he gets paid by another ball club next year, or they go
02:41to arbitration again?
02:42It's kind of crazy where Skubal, he's so good at pitching right now, didn't want to pitch in the WBC
02:45outside of that one game.
02:47But he's going to be a force right away. He'll be their opening day starter.
02:49But he is the favorite, followed by Garrett Crochet and Jacob deGrom at 10-to-1, which I still need
02:53a kick out of here.
02:54Are we expecting him to return back the former 200-plus innings pitched, a ton of strikeouts,
02:58and he stays healthy all the way through the season, like we used to see with the Mets.
03:01Valdez at 14-to-1 being that second fiddle here to Tarek Skubal.
03:05How do we approach the market, Tom, coming up on opening day for AL Cy Young?
03:09It is what it is up at the top. DeGrom being there is crazy. I think we both agree with
03:14that.
03:15The answer for me is still and will always be Brian Wu at 17-to-1.
03:20I think that's really interesting where he has the shortest odds of any Seattle Mariner pitcher, right?
03:26He's 17-to-1. His teammate Gilbert's right behind him.
03:29Yet, Brian Wu is fourth on the depth chart in the rotation.
03:33Because as we showed about it before for the Mariner's opening series, they are going with Logan Gilbert 1,
03:40then Castillo, then Kirby, then Wu as the four, but Wu is 17-to-1.
03:45I think that's a little bit interesting.
03:46I truly believe he has the talent to win the Cy Young.
03:50And I think it may be the same situation where, a J-RAM situation where he can do enough to
03:54get into the conversation with Crochet and Skubal,
03:57but I'm not sure he does enough to unseat one of them.
03:59Because if Skubal doesn't win it, I would have to assume it's Crochet this year.
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