00:00Something I'll be watching and betting coaches, Gonzaga and St. Mary's.
00:03I'm a little late to the best of this money line price.
00:06I know I saw plus 130s two hours ago.
00:10These are now more plus 110s, plus 105s.
00:14But I think St. Mary's wins this game.
00:16And I think it's kind of as simple as this Gonzaga team is really good.
00:25They're not unbeatable.
00:29And I know 28-2 is fantastic, but they've flirted with it, I feel, a few times, right?
00:37And that includes trailing to this St. Mary's team when they played them at home in the first half.
00:44At the end of the first half, they were down by four.
00:47I think St. Mary's was super impressive.
00:50And maybe I'm overrating it, but I don't think I am.
00:52In that home victory against Santa Clara by 19 points.
00:57For those that don't know, this is a really, really good Santa Clara team.
01:00I think we expect them to play in the tournament, maybe, right?
01:02I would think so.
01:03Coach, I like St. Mary's here in this spot against the Zags.
01:09So I'm going to ask you a question.
01:11If St. Mary's were to do that, what do they have to do?
01:18Oh, I mean, they're going to have to, you know, it's interesting, J.Y., because I want to say they're
01:23going to have to drag them into one of those rock fights, right?
01:26But this Gonzaga team, again, relative to other years, I find them to be one of the reasons I like
01:36St. Mary's coach, I guess, is I don't think they will struggle too much to keep Gonzaga under 75, you
01:45know, under 72 type of thing where, and again, it might be much lower than that.
01:50But I feel very good about what St. Mary's will bring to the table defensively in this game.
01:56And that's why I think that's why you have to take the under.
01:59Because I think if you look at, there are three coaches, I think, in the nation that do a great
02:07job of getting you to play their way, especially in their gym.
02:15Samson, Barnes, and Bennett.
02:18I think they just do a job of getting you to play their way.
02:23And Gonzaga being literally dead last, I do believe, in league in regards to average possessing length defensively means they're
02:34not going to get out of passing lanes and force turnovers, right?
02:38So they're going, the runouts are gone.
02:39So that means half court game, two teams that don't turn them all over, a team in St. Mary's that
02:46gets you to slow down as much as they want to, especially offensively, a team that's not going to push
02:50the pace defensively in Gonzaga.
02:53All those things lead to a defensive battle, number one and number three in league and affect the field goal
02:59percentage defense.
03:01This game isn't under, and I give St. Mary's, in my opinion, the best chance to win.
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