00:00Well, let's take a look at the Defensive Rookie of the Year winner in the NFL.
00:04Seems to be a runaway.
00:05And if your investment is on Carson Swessinger,
00:07who plays linebacker for those Cleveland Browns,
00:10he's currently trading at a 92% chance here,
00:13followed by my actual favorite, Nicky Manwari,
00:16the unbelievable rookie defensive back for the champion of the NFC,
00:22Seattle Seahawks.
00:23He's only trading at 6%, Joe.
00:25Let me ask you this question.
00:27What's the question you run away with this thing at 92% right now?
00:31And he is the highest priced asset, Donnie, on the board.
00:34And I guess when you go, why?
00:37Well, because the tackle stats translate directly to votes.
00:41And as a linebacker who racked up over 130-plus tackles at UCLA alone,
00:47he was likely coming into this market, Donnie,
00:51in this season as what they call them the ball magnet.
00:54The production is ridiculous.
00:57And it started in college, and he brought it over to here.
01:01But, you know, you talked about it.
01:02Your favorite guy at 6 cents represents, I think,
01:07a market bias against defensive backs.
01:10Because unless the safety has eight or more interceptions,
01:13they are not likely to win this award over a linebacker who fills the stat sheet.
01:19So, at 92 cents, you're not going to, you know,
01:23you're not going to bring down the house here with profits.
01:26But it is probably one of the safest investments on the board.
01:30And I got to tell you, I know they don't drag these into the playoffs, though.
01:33But even Worry was sensational against the Los Angeles Rams last week.
01:36And he's still going to be playing on the biggest stage in the Super Bowl.
01:39For me, I'm going to go against the trend, Joe.
01:41Give me the $100 investment here on Emon Worry.
01:43At 6% as a chance, that'll pay back $1,429.
01:48And by the way, as of November 9th, Emon Worry was an 18% chance over Swechinger,
01:53who was a 15% chance here.
01:56But obviously, people are really liking what they saw for the rookie year
01:59out of Swechinger here from Cleveland.
02:00We'll see how that one plays out.
02:02Let's flip it over to the rookies on offense here.
02:04Tett McMillan, superstar young wide receiver of the Carolina Panthers.
02:08He's currently trading at a 92% chance over Jackson Dart at only 6%.
02:13But if you just go back just about a month in time,
02:16it was neck and neck between Tett McMillan and also Jackson Dart.
02:19But injuries do play a big deal here, Joe.
02:22Jackson Dart was injured down the stretch, and that's why he fell off.
02:26And didn't start the season under center, right?
02:28But Tett McMillan, again, at that price, Donnie,
02:32one of the closest things to a bond yield on the board.
02:35He broke the Panthers' rookie receiving record.
02:37He led all rookies in touchdown.
02:40There is no arbitrage here, right?
02:43The market knows he is the winner.
02:45The only play is to ignore this market or basically allocate whatever you might
02:51have wanted to put here.
02:53Allocate that capital elsewhere because the reality is I think this one is all
02:58but locked up, Donnie.
03:00Yeah, Dart in that second spot here, he had some pretty good statistics.
03:02But as we said, he did get injured.
03:04Tett McMillan also getting a little bit of a bump at late in the season.
03:07Why?
03:08Because the Carolina Panthers won their division and headed into the playoffs.
03:11But do you remember, Joe, a guy that was steaming up the charts that if you still feel
03:16there's a soft spot for quarterbacks playing well down the stretch, put your boy Tyler
03:20Shuck out here trading at a 2% chance.
03:23A $100 investment pays you back $5,000.
03:28He was hot for a bit and surging up that leaderboard, but seemingly ducking way back down that list
03:33Yeah, when you get a price like this in a market, the only move is basically not to waste capital
03:42trying to find a long shot.
03:44If the market is this short and it is priced this way, it is likely for a reason I would
03:49look for other things outside than trying to take a stab here with a long shot.
03:54So let's go get a couple on.
03:55Who knows?
03:59How manyness out there are.
04:02But if the market will accept a gambling field level.
04:04If your baby will charge it goes 26 canyon laying down which would...
04:05What else is thebek industry bit too?
04:06Exactly.
04:06Well, look, that's the way I'll be amb decoration.
04:18So why are you going to put you down here?
04:19I think a large part here is something you know about He or He or He or HeR
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