00:00What's going on everyone? Chris from PickDogs.com. I've got a free pick for you from this.
00:05San Diego State versus Colorado State College basketball matchup going down on...
00:10Wednesday, January 28th, 2026. Before we get to that free pick, we try to get every free pick.
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00:55But let's get to this one. Between Colorado State and...
01:00San Diego State, some Mountain West Conference action from the Viejas Arena.
01:05As you've got San Diego State, 14-5 on the year. 8-1 in conference play.
01:10After an 82-71 win over UNLV in their last game while Colorado State's 12-8...
01:15on the year. 3-6 in conference. They're coming off a 65-61 loss at home.
01:20to Utah State. And, you know, Colorado State's giving a lot of teams...
01:25and fits this season. And, you know, they do have the nice win over Grand Canyon on the road.
01:30They also beat UNLV at home. And, you know, they have a blowout win over Air Force, but...
01:35The problem for Colorado State has been this team's also been getting, you know, crushed and...
01:40in certain spots when they've had to take the step up in class, you know, on the road.
01:43They lost to Utah State by four...
01:4542. You know, they lost by double digits at New Mexico at the...
01:48or, sorry, at home against New Mexico.
01:50Not even at the pit. So, that's a tricky one to take. And, you know, they've also lost by double...
01:55double digits at Fresno. So, that's, like I said, leaving a lot to be desired.
01:59Now you got Colorado State...
02:00Colorado State who has to go on the road, take on San Diego State.
02:03And, this is a San Diego State team that plays fast...
02:05fast offensively. A lot faster than I think we're used to seeing from a Brian Dutcher coach team.
02:09But...
02:10they still have that same pressure on the defensive end of the floor.
02:13Top 25 in adjusted defense...
02:15defensive efficiency this season.
02:16Top 20 in turnover percentage on defense.
02:18They have a top 35...
02:20two-point defense nationally and the best two-point defense in Mountain West Conference play.
02:24And...
02:25while that's all well and good...
02:27well, it comes down to can you slow down Colorado State on the perimeter because...
02:30this is a Colorado State team that leads the Mountain West in conference play in terms of three-point shot...
02:35great...
02:36three-point point dependency...
02:37their fourth and three-point shooting...
02:39shooting just under 37...
02:40seven percent from three...
02:41but I think San Diego State will be able to counteract that.
02:44San Diego State...
02:45the fourth best three-point defense in the conference on the other side of the floor...
02:50you have Colorado State's defense that's been problematic at times...
02:53and this is San Diego State team that...
02:55is the most two-point point dependent team in the conference...
02:58so this is...
02:59a clash of styles...
03:00you have one...
03:00one team that lives and dies by the three...
03:02one team that needs to get inside to succeed...
03:04and...
03:05the problem...
03:05for Colorado State in this game is that out of 12 teams in the Mountain West...
03:09you know...
03:10Colorado State...
03:10Colorado State's two-point defense is 10th...
03:12they're allowing teams to shoot just under 56 percent...
03:14from two-point...
03:15range...
03:16I think that's going to be problematic for Colorado State in this game...
03:19I think that San Diego...
03:20the state gets whatever they want inside...
03:22and I think that...
03:23this is just a spot where...
03:24I see...
03:25Colorado State being in some trouble...
03:27I think San Diego State pulls away over the course of the second half...
03:29gets himself a win...
03:30winning cover...
03:31at home in this one...
03:32so give me San Diego State...
03:33that is my free pick for this game...
03:35thank you...
03:35so much for checking out this free pick video...
03:37let me know who you guys like in this game in the comment section below...
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03:51best of luck...
03:52we'll see you guys soon...
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