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  • 7 months ago
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00:00Let's swing it over to the NBA. Giannis Antetokounmpo's next team. Who would thought we'd
00:05ever be saying that? The guys should be minted in Milwaukee and never want to leave. The only
00:10problem is they can't surround them with the talent that he wants. Stays with Milwaukee or
00:15retires is actually trading at a 71% chance here. The favorite outside of Milwaukee, it's the New
00:21York Knicks at 15%, Joe. Yeah, this is a liquidity crunch here, right? Because you're talking about
00:2870 cents saying he stays. That means we are tying up capital for weeks. For what, Donnie? At this
00:37point, a 30% return. I think the better investment is the Miami Heat at, what, nine cents? Because if
00:43Giannis does change his mind and demand a trade, which he says he won't do, and we know better than
00:49that, Miami is always going to be on the list with Pat Riley. And outside of the Knicks, the only team
00:55he's ever really said he wouldn't mind going to play for, well, here's the Miami Heat. I think at
01:00that price, that's a pretty good lottery ticket because if a single rumor drops, that nine cents
01:08goes to 25 cents, Donnie, and we can triple our investment without him ever getting traded and
01:14be in a good spot. Also, looking at the Calci marketplace, Joe, the rule summary, always
01:19interesting. You got to pay attention to it. It reads, if Giannis Antetokounmpo's next team
01:24is stays with Milwaukee or retires before February 6, 2026, then the market will resolve
01:29to yes. So this isn't one of those, I can wait till next year. And if he eventually goes
01:34to the Miami Heat, it works. This is going to be done at the trade deadline, which means
01:38you're going to have to get a lot of information and process a lot of trades here before we actually
01:42get to that mark here. Miami, nine percent chance here, as well as Golden State, three percent,
01:49Toronto, two percent. I got to tell you, I think he's out of there. Like, I would take
01:53the no at 30 cents here, and that investment comes back to being 334 for Giannis. How about
02:00that? Yeah. And again, he is going to have another contract coming up as well. So there's
02:07only a handful of teams, Donnie, that could actually afford to trade for him. And the question
02:13is whether or not he wants to go play for him. But this is the best part. With the trade
02:18deadline looming, you buy in for a team like, let's say, Miami or Golden State now, and if
02:23there is one report that Giannis likes them or wants or is seen talking or whatever it
02:30is, you are going to be able to 2, 3, maybe even 4x your investment in this spot.
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