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00:00China's economy grew 5% last year, meeting the government's target and matching the expansion
00:05in 2024. It shows the world's second-largest economy was resilient enough to weather Donald
00:11Trump's trade war by boosting exports outside the US. But a closer look at the data reveals
00:18a more troubling picture. Economic growth lost momentum in the last quarter, expanding at the
00:23slowest pace since China reopened from COVID lockdowns in late 2022. While industrial production
00:30fell well in recent months, retail sales and investment worsened, highlighting the deep imbalance
00:35between strong supply and weak domestic demand. That demand has been weighed down by falling home
00:41prices and persistent deflation, which has now lasted for three straight years, a record streak
00:47since China began transitioning to a market economy in the late 1970s. Adding to the pressure,
00:52China's population has shrank for the fourth straight year, with the number of newborns
00:57dropping to a record low of less than 8 million. China's reliance on exports has already pushed
01:03trade surplus to a record 1.2 trillion last year. Showing the imbalances, net exports contributed to
01:1033% of economic growth in 2025. That's the highest level since 1997, when the share was 42%.
01:16That uneven pattern will likely persist in 2026. But as strong uphands global commerce with terror threats
01:24and foreign policy swings, it remains to see how hard China's trade partners from the EU to Latin America
01:29can push back.
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