00:00But our question today in the prediction market's edge is Anthony Davis' next team,
00:0551% chance now trading with the Atlanta Hawks. Otherwise, stays with Dallas or retires is listed
00:13at 38%. Now understand the caveat in this on the rule summary, at least on Cal Sheep. If Anthony
00:19Davis' next team is Atlanta before February 6, 2026, then the market resolves to yes. So that's
00:26the date, February 6, 2026. For me, I'm scrolling down, Joe. I'm golden, golden, golden state, baby.
00:34Nine cents, $100 investment's going to pay me back $1,112. If not, I just think you might end up
00:41staying with Dallas at this point. But that's a golden state. Make the move. Old player goes to
00:45an old team. Come on. When you get a destination like Atlanta trading at 51 cents there, right,
00:54which is basically, you're saying, a coin flip, then what that usually means is that
00:59beat writers, insiders, the shams of the world, right, there are reports that Atlanta is very
01:07much in the market and has a lot of interest in them and yada, yada. But interest does not equal
01:12deal, Donnie. And that's expensive for a trade that hasn't happened, right? So if I line with,
01:19I like the stadiums with Dallas and retires, I think that's a pretty good hedge at 38 cents here
01:24because there is nothing guaranteed. And 51 feels like a really big price when we have absolutely
01:33no idea which way he's going to go. How about Giannis Antetokounmpo's next team right now looking at the
01:39Cal State marketplace? $1.8 million is the volume bet on this. And the favorite is stays with Milwaukee
01:45or retires. Why is that the heavy favorite? Well, we actually heard Giannis say, believe him or not,
01:50I'm not going to force a trade out of Milwaukee if he stays or retires in Milwaukee. And once again,
01:56the caveat here will be if Giannis Antetokounmpo's next team is stays with Milwaukee or retires before
02:01February 6th, then the market resolves to a yes. I don't know what that means, but if I'm going to take
02:08a flyer, it's going to be on the New York Knicks here. $100 investment pays back $2,500. I do think
02:15if he goes anywhere he goes to the Knicks, but the question, Joe, is, is he actually going to leave
02:19Cleveland? I don't think he's going to retire in the next six weeks. 86, 87% chance he stays,
02:26Johnny. I mean, this is about as unsexy a yield as you're going to get here. If you bet yes and tie
02:33up capital for a 14% return on a deadline situation here, if you have a massive bankroll, great. But
02:44as far as I'm concerned, there are way, way better opportunities in the market than this situation
02:52here. 86 to 87%, no thanks. He's likely staying for a reason.
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