NFL Week 14 Top Betting Picks & Player Performance

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00:00Listen, when you get discounted numbers on pure number ones

00:03like Justin Jefferson, I have to dive in.

00:06It's in the Dome.

00:07It's one of my favorite totals of the day.

00:09I'm going over, Kev, over Justin Jefferson receiving yards today.

00:15What do you think about that?

00:16Yeah, I think that at some point it's got to be.

00:21What?

00:22No, yeah, at some point it's got to be,

00:24but he's plus 280 for 90-plus today.

00:28All right, well, I want to check.

00:28Hold on.

00:29See, I don't like that you know that.

00:32Okay, good.

00:33No, good.

00:33I had to check something.

00:35What did you have to check?

00:36I couldn't do another one.

00:38The Blake Baker special, you know what I mean?

00:40He's not going to sell me something, so I'm happy about that.

00:43Okay, so I put another LSU Tiger in the crunch.

00:46I'm sure you did.

00:47Joe Burrow.

00:48Yeah, go ahead.

00:48He threw for 261 last week.

00:51I think, listen, I know we talked about Chase Brown.

00:54It can be an under, but that doesn't mean Joe Burrow's not going to,

00:56in my mind, chuck the football.

00:58I know there's a little snow in the air, but Tee Higgins coming back.

01:02I think it's a big day, Joe Burrow, yardage-wise.

01:04He might not throw the touchdown, so that's where we agree with Chase Brown.

01:09But I like Joe Burrow.

01:10Must-win game.

01:11Give me over receiving yards, Joe Burrow.

01:14And then we talked about Lamar Jackson.

01:16Lamar Jackson on the ground, I think today, takes the game over.

01:21On the ground, through the air, he does what he has to do

01:24to pull this game out and cover.

01:26I think they dominate today.

01:28Again, we know about Derrick Henry, but Lamar Jackson,

01:31what did he have against Cincinnati?

01:3224, I think.

01:3427 rushing yards.

01:35Didn't run as much, obviously, being in a deficit.

01:39Starting at home, he dominates on the ground.

01:42You don't like it.

01:44I got a shot.

01:45I got a shot.

01:46That's all I can say.

01:53No?

01:53I'm live.

01:54Well, listen, I think Joe, that formula is maybe not working as good

02:03as it once did.

02:04Okay?

02:05Listen, I hear people have been circling your waters a little.

02:09They smell blood in the water.

02:11Throw the chum around them.

02:12Oh, what's that?

02:13Oh, over in the SEC title game.

02:16All right, we got it.

02:17No, so, yeah, so just quick.

02:18I'll throw it out there.

02:19I was in college football on the weekly pick-up.

02:22Oh, here we go.

02:2312 games over 500.

02:25Okay, the weekly.

02:27The weekly.

02:31The one that we put out there.

02:33All right, I'm going to do my crunch.

02:35I'm going to do my crunch.

02:36That is incredible.

02:37You're the best.

02:38You are the best.

02:3912 games over 500, but I lost the game of the year,

02:42century, and millennia.

02:45Other than needing to give out the infinity stone,

02:47this guy's doing just fine.

02:49Give me – I got a three-pack of wide receivers that make the crunch today.

02:53Let's start it off.

02:54Jackson Smith and Jigba.

02:56Bounce-back spot of the season.

02:58My goodness.

02:58This guy comes off of his – not only his lowest game, I mean, by far.

03:02Only 20 yards.

03:03The Vikings with Mac Prosper.

03:05Not a real team.

03:05And it's a bounce-back spot for her –

03:07JSA, it's a bounce-back spot for Sam Darnold.

03:10Sam Darnold's coming off the game with less than 200 yards.

03:13Those games have been followed up with huge passing performances.

03:17Those never happen, ever, without a big game from JSN.

03:22If you look this season and the four games where Darnold has more than 18.5

03:27completions, which is his prop today, JSN has had 100-plus in every single one

03:30of those games.

03:31This is a JSN day here.

03:32Give me over 92.5 receiving yards.

03:34You're going to like this one.

03:36Give me Brian Thomas Jr.

03:37Over 43.5 receiving yards.

03:39Great buy-low opportunity for BTJ.

03:43You factor in no Parker Washington, second week back from injury,

03:49going up against a Colts defense that has no sauce Gardner.

03:53Brian Thomas Jr. has actually hit this in the vast majority of his games.

03:59I really love the number here.

04:01It's a great buy-low opportunity on Brian Thomas Jr.

04:04and then you look right now, no Roman Dunsey, seven-point dog,

04:11six-and-a-half-point dog for the Bears.

04:13They're going to have to throw.

04:15The books have decided that the new number one is Luther Burden.

04:18Maybe, but DJ Moore to me is more the incumbent,

04:22and if their numbers are going to be the same,

04:24I'm going to play DJ Moore over 38.5 receiving yards.

04:28Moore has cleared this number throughout this season.

04:31He clears it again today.

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