Top NFL Player Prop Bets and Predictions for Tonight's Game

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00:00Talk to me props-wise, where does the card begin for you?

00:03Well, I like Jordan Addison today.

00:05Jordan Addison is the guy, I mean, he's got a cheap number, 50 and a half.

00:09I think he could blow out today, 70, 80 yards.

00:12He could be that go-to guy, potentially, for J.J. McCarthy.

00:17He hasn't paid dirt.

00:18I also like him for an anytime touchdown,

00:20so we'll see exactly how that plays out right there.

00:24Zach Ertz, the late game.

00:26I think when you look at the Commanders and Detroit right now,

00:30Mariota will get the start.

00:32Limited weapons, and you just look at the passing attack

00:35when Mariota was in there against Kansas City.

00:38A lot of checkdowns to the running backs.

00:40I do expect Zach Ertz to get through his total today.

00:44Altered him as high, even though I took his regular total.

00:47Altered him as high as 40 or 50,

00:49because if Washington's potentially going to be in it,

00:52he's got to break out in a big way today.

00:54So those are two.

00:55And the third one, I think I added late.

00:58I can't even see who I added.

00:59You got Zach Ertz, your boy.

01:01No, Zach Ertz was who I had.

01:03Zach Ertz, Bam Knight.

01:04Oh, Bam Knight.

01:04Bam Knight, because when you look at the matchup with Seattle,

01:08they have to run the football,

01:10and I know it's going up against a very good front seven,

01:12but they can't get into a shootout.

01:14Bam Knight showed the ability to run the football hard.

01:17They just give him and split carries with him

01:19and DiMarcado and Carter.

01:22I like Bam Knight to potentially get 30, 40 on the ground.

01:24And I think it's a cheap number.

01:25All right.

01:26So I am sitting here with actually three props

01:29that we featured on the target player prop segment

01:33we do on Game Time Decisions.

01:34This doesn't always happen,

01:35but these were all numbers that I thought

01:37maybe would be a little bit heavier.

01:38And I think we've got some good opportunities on.

01:41So let's start with this.

01:42J.J.

01:42McCarthy over 17 and a half rushing yards.

01:44McCarthy had 25 in each of his first two starts

01:47for Minnesota.

01:48Last week, he misses this with just 12 yards.

01:51He lost five yards on kneel downs,

01:53which would have had us at 17.

01:56I think that he can get this with just one run, truly.

02:00Expected to be a trailing game script,

02:02higher scoring atmosphere maybe.

02:04I think J.J. McCarthy gets active on the ground.

02:07Jawan Johnson over 36 and a half receiving yards.

02:09This is like a yard up from last week.

02:12They traded Rashid Shahid,

02:13who led that team in targets last week.

02:16What?

02:17No, because Jawan, it's amazing that old man Jawan Johnson

02:21is the main target for Shuck and that offense.

02:25He might be, though,

02:26because he had just as many catches and targets

02:28as Olave did.

02:29Just from a talent perspective,

02:30they are depleted at the wide receiver position.

02:33You have a situation where they trade Shahid,

02:36Olave and Shuck are not, you know,

02:38some clear-cut one-two,

02:40and Carolina struggled against the tight end position.

02:42I think Johnson at 36 and a half is incredibly light.

02:45And then a little Sunday night special.

02:47Give me Justin Herbert for 35 and a half pass attempts

02:49in games with Joe Walt,

02:5132.4 attempts per game without 40.1

02:55because sometimes they're trailing,

02:59things aren't as efficient,

03:00and then the Steelers have faced the most pass attempts

03:03per game in the league by a lot.

03:05They've seen multiple guys throw the ball 50 times against them.

03:08Six of eight opposing quarterbacks

03:10have thrown at least 37 times.

03:12I love Herbert to sling it tonight here

03:13against Pittsburgh at home.

03:15It's a great look.

03:15I mean, when you just think about how that secondary is played

03:19and Jordan Love was able to light them up,

03:21you have to believe the game plan going in tonight

03:24is to have Justin Herbert cook and throw over the top,

03:27see if he can hit Johnson,

03:29Johnston, Ladd McConkie,

03:30and all the playmakers that he has at his disposal

03:34when they're playing at home.

03:35So, again, I expect them to step up in a big way.

03:38I like the total there, 44 and a half,

03:41but Herbert's a pretty good look.

03:42If they're going to win the game,

03:44they're going to do it with the passing attack.

03:45I'm sorry, are you leaning chargers in that game?

03:47Yeah.

03:47Yeah, I'm...

03:49You're not?

03:49No, no, no.

03:50I don't know, like...

03:52Leaning?

03:53I like them a lot.

03:54Okay, so same.

03:55I mean, I want to be careful,

03:57but I'm feeling I'm getting this, like,

03:58real good rhythm of Pittsburgh games, right?

04:01Green Bay smash,

04:03then they upset Indianapolis.

04:04Like, I don't know,

04:05it feels like everyone's trying to catch their tail

04:07on this team of when to back them and when to fade them.

04:09Well, they had six turnovers,

04:11the Colts did last week, right?

04:12Yeah.

04:13Okay.

04:13Exactly.

04:13So that allowed them to...

04:15Of course.

04:16...to dominate, right?

04:17Again, I think the secondary is not elite,

04:20and again, we've seen...

04:20But three more.

04:21I mean, Justin Fields had a field day with that.

04:24Yeah.

04:24So, again, Herbert, I think,

04:26is going to pick apart this team.

04:28Right.

04:28And again, I'm not going into the mindset,

04:31just because it's horrible,

04:32oh, we got to run the football.

04:34Yo, you go to get the lead and win the game,

04:36and winning the game is exploiting an aging secondary

04:39that hasn't shut down anybody up until this point.

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