Colts vs. Chiefs: Big AFC Matchup with Chiefs Favored by 3.5

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00:00the kansas city chiefs versus the indianapolis colts arguably the biggest game on this slate

00:05as kc is a three and a half point favorite against the colts who come off of their bye week

00:12the chiefs are looking to not only avoid going five and six joe but a third straight loss for

00:18the first time in patrick mahomes career now some have tried to say that that's actually already

00:24happened because he lost the eagles in the super bowl then week one to the chargers and then week

00:30two to the eagles i think that's a little silly i think those are different things as far as three

00:35consecutive wins within the same or three consecutive losses in the same season we've not seen that and

00:41if if i tracked it correctly this team is not only five and oh in avoiding that straight up

00:49five no against the number i find myself drawn towards kansas city in this game but i've seen

00:56them win and not cover quite a bit i know you're going to give me a hard time for this and i'm okay

01:01with it i'd love that hook to disappear that hook's giving me the willies it's scaring you see it's

01:08interesting because they are they're dominant home team they're four and one straight up at home they're

01:13five and five overall they they have struggled in road environments we brought that up obviously last

01:18week in denver and mile high and obviously true to form they struggled right now i i think it's just

01:25the matchup daniel jones versus pat mahomes you're gonna tell me daniel jones who's eight and two with

01:33this football team right is gonna waltz into arrowhead and potentially win this game outright or cover three

01:39and a half i actually think they match up well and we talk about multiple players to expose or or

01:46challenge that spagnolo defense right you know you need a you need a solid tight end well indy has

01:52that with ty warren you need a dynamic running back they have that with jonathan taylor not just with

01:58the rushing attack but with the the screen game and the and the short to intermediate passing game

02:03you have above average receivers and pitman pierce and downs right and you have a quarterback that's

02:08mobile and daniel jones and i understand he's been turnover prone but they have won five of the last

02:15six right they've won those games by an average margin of victory of 16.2 points per game now

02:21people will say well the combined record of those opponents is only 16 and 34 but they did knock off

02:27the charges right they found ways to pull these games out and dominate by double digits and again

02:33they're playing with house money and i just think and i understand the past with daniel jones i just like

02:41jonathan taylor i like ty warren today we know about kansas city's inability to cover tight ends

02:47that's always a problem i think he could have a big day and and they have a similar better offense

02:53than jacksonville which beat them outright right i like indy today and again it's going against

02:59conventional wisdom i i get it backs against the wall kansas city needs to win they can't lose this game

03:06i'm taking the three and a half today

03:08you